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Cythereal
Nov 8, 2009

I love the potoo,
and the potoo loves you.
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1515008951494094851?s=20&t=HwyAjV7ADNrU1E9-HM_-Ig

The Pentagon has confirmed the Ukrainian story about the Moskva's sinking.

The story, as best anyone can tell from what the Pentagon has confirmed, is that a drone distracted the Moskva's air search radar (or more likely, its operators) and two shore-launched Neptunes then hit the ship while its only radar was tracking the drone instead of the incoming missiles. The ship and its ammunition caught fire, prompting the surviving crew to abandon ship. The Russians then took the burning but still afloat ship under tow until a secondary explosion (or several) put holes below the waterline and sank the ship.

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Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous (for instance, NATO operates as a defense pact and not directly as a means to assert dominance over an area) but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

Tiny Timbs fucked around with this message at 18:33 on Apr 15, 2022

Stultus Maximus
Dec 21, 2009

USPOL May

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

No.

Robert Facepalmer
Jan 10, 2019


bulletsponge13 posted:

Also, not so good at English. Or radios.
Really good at using lots of explosives.

No radio-more room for boom.

If we need to get in touch with each other, just blow something up.

CainFortea
Oct 15, 2004


Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous (for instance, NATO operates as a defense pact and not directly as a means to assert dominance over an area) but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

If you want to post in CSPAM, just go post there.

lightpole
Jun 4, 2004
I think that MBAs are useful, in case you are looking for an answer to the question of "Is lightpole a total fucking idiot".

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

If China attacked Russia we could always admit them and come to their aid.


Seriously though, only if you believe defense treaties to be a provocation anywhere which would seem silly. Being provoked by a defense treaty....

ASAPI
Apr 20, 2007
I invented the line.

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous (for instance, NATO operates as a defense pact and not directly as a means to assert dominance over an area) but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

For that argument to work, it would have to be Ukraine invading Russia. If anything, what is happening in Ukraine right now is a NATO recruitment drive, proving what NATO is capable of.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

No, because Poland (along with Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania) is part of NATO and while the Russians aren't happy about it, they've learned to deal with it.

Finland is a *little* different because that's a whole lotta border territory Russia needs to keep a closer eye on, and Sweden has their panties in a bunch because Sweden's Navy does have the ability to interdict their access into and out of the Baltic Sea, which...they've always had the ability to do even without being NATO members, especially since Russia has a history of loving around with Sweden's territorial waters.

Their "threat" to host nuclear weapons in Kaliningrad is empty as well because...they're already doing that.

The moral? Don't listen to tankies.

EDIT: Forgot Romania and Slovakia.

BIG HEADLINE fucked around with this message at 18:38 on Apr 15, 2022

Murgos
Oct 21, 2010

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous (for instance, NATO operates as a defense pact and not directly as a means to assert dominance over an area) but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

Only if you see denying Russia the ability to arbitrarily invade people is unduly provocative to Russia.

Russia has demonstrated repeatedly that if they view your territory and population as something they desire they will take it regardless of provocation or appeasement attempts.

Let's not forget that Russia had previously signed treaties guaranteeing Ukrainian sovereignty so it's not like anything other than pure force is a deterrent.

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

CainFortea posted:

If you want to post in CSPAM, just go post there.

Why would I want their take? That’s one place I’ve been seeing the argument and anyone querying it just gets a gish gallop of grayzone-style nonsense.

Murgos posted:

Only if you see denying Russia the ability to arbitrarily invade people is unduly provocative to Russia.

Russia has demonstrated repeatedly that if they view your territory and population as something they desire they will take it regardless of provocation or appeasement attempts.

Let's not forget that Russia had previously signed treaties guaranteeing Ukrainian sovereignty so it's not like anything other than pure force is a deterrent.

Yeah I think it’s interesting (and a tell for the real motivation of the argument) that Ukraine is the focus of an anti-NATO argument despite being a country that has repeatedly been told their admission to NATO was not feasible specifically because of ongoing Russian meddling.

Tiny Timbs fucked around with this message at 18:41 on Apr 15, 2022

Hyrax Attack!
Jan 13, 2009

We demand to be taken seriously

Tiny Timbs posted:

…what the internet left seems to be settling on.

*mechanic voice* yup there’s your problem. A well meaning friend falls into that echo chamber sometimes and so I hear about why it’s been decided all white people need to leave Seattle, except himself as you see… (he’s gotten better since marrying a sensible person and no longer having unlimited free time)

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous (for instance, NATO operates as a defense pact and not directly as a means to assert dominance over an area) but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

It is a provocation only if you believe that Russia has a moral right to invade and forcibly annex countries around it whenever it wants to, just because it's a big power and that's what big powers do.

NATO is intended to stop that sort of behavior. It wouldn't exist if the countries surrounded by Russia didn't fear for their safety from it.

bird food bathtub
Aug 9, 2003

College Slice

Tiny Timbs posted:

Is it worth giving any credence to the idea that maintaining NATO is an absurd provocation along the same lines as the US allowing Cuba to stage Soviet missiles? I’m having a hard time seeing Finland joining NATO as analogous (for instance, NATO operates as a defense pact and not directly as a means to assert dominance over an area) but it’s what the internet left seems to be settling on.

No. Russia is "antagonized" by an organization specifically for countering their war criming rape and murder sprees because it stops them from war criming rape and murder sprees. If they weren't war criming their way through other countries, those countries would not be banding together for mutual defense against them.

gently caress anyone making this argument. It's disingenuous "stop hitting yourself" playground bully bullshit. The aggressor doesn't get to complain about their victims defending themselves.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

The key point is that whenever NATO says to Russia 'okay if you have concerns about forces in Eastern Europe then lets talk about reciprocal restrictions on deployments of land-based missile forces and conduct of snap exercises' then Russia suddenly goes very quiet.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Alchenar posted:

The key point is that whenever NATO says to Russia 'okay if you have concerns about forces in Eastern Europe then lets talk about reciprocal restrictions on deployments of land-based missile forces and conduct of snap exercises' then Russia suddenly goes very quiet.

"Oh right, we forgot we're not China. Our mistake!"

Fearless
Sep 3, 2003

DRINK MORE MOXIE


bulletsponge13 posted:

Oh poo poo.
Moldovan EOD were loving terrifying. They knew one formula- "P=Plenty". They once blew up 40lbs of C4 in a ditch so they didn't have to return it.

They launched a ZU-23 barrel over 500 meters like a loving spear.

Also, not so good at English. Or radios.
Really good at using lots of explosives.

I mean I'm a mental health professional and not an explosives kind of person but it seems to me that for all of the things it is important for EOD to be good at, "using lots of explosives" would be at or near the top of the list.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

BIG HEADLINE posted:

"Oh right, we forgot we're not China. Our mistake!"

The tankie argument gets most obviously flawed when they were flipping effortlessly at the start of the year from 'NATO enlargement is provocative to Russia' to 'Russia moving troops within its own borders is perfectly normal and anyone in the West expressing concern that they're obviously deploying for an offensive war is cynically beating war drums'.

Mustang
Jun 18, 2006

“We don’t really know where this goes — and I’m not sure we really care.”

Hyrax Attack! posted:

*mechanic voice* yup there’s your problem. A well meaning friend falls into that echo chamber sometimes and so I hear about why it’s been decided all white people need to leave Seattle, except himself as you see… (he’s gotten better since marrying a sensible person and no longer having unlimited free time)

LMAO I live in Seattle and haven't met anyone like that yet. I only ever see the tankie stuff on the internet.

cruft
Oct 25, 2007

Cythereal posted:

https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1515008951494094851?s=20&t=HwyAjV7ADNrU1E9-HM_-Ig

The Pentagon has confirmed the Ukrainian story about the Moskva's sinking.

The story, as best anyone can tell from what the Pentagon has confirmed, is that a drone distracted the Moskva's air search radar (or more likely, its operators) and two shore-launched Neptunes then hit the ship while its only radar was tracking the drone instead of the incoming missiles. The ship and its ammunition caught fire, prompting the surviving crew to abandon ship. The Russians then took the burning but still afloat ship under tow until a secondary explosion (or several) put holes below the waterline and sank the ship.

So basically they pointed at a cloud and said "look at that!"

Nice job to the team that designed and built the Neptunes, though. That's got to be a real feather in their cap.

Murgos
Oct 21, 2010

Alchenar posted:

The key point is that whenever NATO says to Russia 'okay if you have concerns about forces in Eastern Europe then lets talk about reciprocal restrictions on deployments of land-based missile forces and conduct of snap exercises' then Russia suddenly goes very quiet.

This is a key point. Whenever someone starts going down the line of Russia needs something, whatever that is, realize that the conversation has moved to things of value and it can be easily countered by asking "What is Russia offering in exchange for this thing that's valuable to it?" To which the answer is nothing, because the proposition is 'give it freely or we take it by force'.

For example Russia doesn't want Ukraine to ever be able to join NATO. Ukraine being in NATO is a thing valuable to Ukraine, arguably, Ukraine being in NATO has some value to NATO and obviously Ukraine not being in NATO is extremely valuable to Russia.

So, what did they offer as compensation for the loss of value to Ukraine and NATO?

Hyrax Attack!
Jan 13, 2009

We demand to be taken seriously

Mustang posted:

LMAO I live in Seattle and haven't met anyone like that yet. I only ever see the tankie stuff on the internet.

Yeah it’s an interesting mix of folks who spend too much time online and start thinking certain non-mainstream political views outweigh reality, then run into trouble trying to put them into action. Like the same guy acting on something Chapo said so he would no longer aim to have his small business make profit beyond the bare minimum so he could work like 20 hours a week. That lasted maybe a day until his wife yelled at him for forgetting they had a baby on the way and she was working far more in a high stress job that was the reason they have health insurance.

Different from another friend who thought his progressive views meant he should move to a not great part of Seattle and he was burglarized in less than a week.

Stultus Maximus
Dec 21, 2009

USPOL May

cruft posted:

So basically they pointed at a cloud and said "look at that!"


Lol, years ago when I was in charge of writing tactical simulations for our CIC, I would always do that kind of poo poo. Drone, helicopter, small boat, then send some ASCMs from another axis.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Fearless posted:

I mean I'm a mental health professional and not an explosives kind of person but it seems to me that for all of the things it is important for EOD to be good at, "using lots of explosives" would be at or near the top of the list.

Some people might prefer that EOD be good at 'using the exact correct amount of explosives'

bad_fmr
Nov 28, 2007

Hekk posted:

Australian Army was pretty effective too. They struggle to break down into small units like we do though. Their platoon and squad structure didn’t support breaking down to the fireteam level which led to some differences in how we conducted training.

This is intersting. Can you elaborate?

Our Finnish infantry standard (conscript) smallest combat 'unit' is fighting pair, meaning that two soldiers cooperate and watch for eachother, coordinating reloads in combat situations etc. Then in the infantry recon / guerilla (my training) the basic smallest structure is a 3 person patrol. Basically a leader, a radio guy and one extra, often tasked with orienteering and/or carrying special gear like sniper rifles or anti-armour gear.

Uncle Enzo
Apr 28, 2008

I always wanted to be a Wizard

Murgos posted:

arguably, Ukraine being in NATO has some value to NATO and obviously Ukraine not being in NATO is extremely valuable to Russia.

I think Ukraine at this point has shown themselves to be a formidable addition to a potential military alliance.

Along those lines, I expect their arms exports to be highly sought when this is done. If I was a smaller country wanting to deter a neighbor I'd be very willing to consider Stugna-P's and Neptunes. Way cheaper than NATO weapons, but very effective and long-ranged.

Heck, are there many incidents of ASM's actually sinking a proper ship? Neptune is instantly one of the more blooded ASM's in the world. It certainly took out the biggest ship ever missile'd.

Hekk
Oct 12, 2012

'smeper fi

bad_fmr posted:

This is intersting. Can you elaborate?

Our Finnish infantry standard (conscript) smallest combat 'unit' is fighting pair, meaning that two soldiers cooperate and watch for eachother, coordinating reloads in combat situations etc. Then in the infantry recon / guerilla (my training) the basic smallest structure is a 3 person patrol. Basically a leader, a radio guy and one extra, often tasked with orienteering and/or carrying special gear like sniper rifles or anti-armour gear.

It's been a few years but as I remember it an Australian Army platoon has (3) eight man maneuver sections and a twelve man support section. Their maneuver sections don't break down smaller than 8 men. Compared to a USMC platoon which has (3) thirteen man squads that can break down into (3) four man fire teams.

Most of the training USMC infantry units do start at the fire team level and work their way up. Because the USMC used 4 person fire teams but our squads were 13 (three fire teams plus the squad leader), the Australian maneuver unit was smaller than our squads but bigger than our fire teams and we had to adjust our training to accommodate the differences in our structure.

stealie72
Jan 10, 2007

Uncle Enzo posted:

It certainly took out the biggest ship ever missile'd.
Every few days something like this comes up to remind us all just how massively Russia hosed up.

When everything is "BREAKING NEWS" it's hard to not get caught up in the minutia, but then you have a moment and realize that a theoretical global power just had a fleet flagship sunk like it's WWII.

Defenestrategy
Oct 24, 2010

Deteriorata posted:

It is a provocation only if you believe that Russia has a moral right to invade and forcibly annex countries around it whenever it wants to, just because it's a big power and that's what big powers do.

NATO is intended to stop that sort of behavior. It wouldn't exist if the countries surrounded by Russia didn't fear for their safety from it.

I don't understand how NATO is any more or less a provacative force than the CSTO? Do people not know that Russia itself has a bunch of defensive alliances with former USSR states?

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.

Defenestrategy posted:

I don't understand how NATO is any more or less a provacative force than the CSTO? Do people not know that Russia itself has a bunch of defensive alliances with former USSR states?

It’s not really an alliance when you’re not allowed to leave without getting invaded.

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

Anyone got a good writeup on the Moskva being tricked by a drone? CNN and WaPo just have brief statements from the Pentagon saying they confirmed Ukraine's version of the events.

BTW Russia is saying that the crew of the Moskva was deposited back in Sevastopol. They did not comment on how many nor their present state of aliveness.

psydude fucked around with this message at 20:26 on Apr 15, 2022

Fearless
Sep 3, 2003

DRINK MORE MOXIE


A.o.D. posted:

Some people might prefer that EOD be good at 'using the exact correct amount of explosives'

Yes, but aren't explosives used to blow up things and so therefore "lots" is always the correct amount?

Stravag
Jun 7, 2009

Constituent atoms count right?

Hyrax Attack!
Jan 13, 2009

We demand to be taken seriously

stealie72 posted:

Every few days something like this comes up to remind us all just how massively Russia hosed up.

When everything is "BREAKING NEWS" it's hard to not get caught up in the minutia, but then you have a moment and realize that a theoretical global power just had a fleet flagship sunk like it's WWII.

Oh yeah for sure for a nation with barely any navy against an ostensible superpower built to fight the US/Royal/French/maybe also Japanese navies all at once it’s absurd.

Proud Christian Mom
Dec 20, 2006
READING COMPREHENSION IS HARD

stealie72 posted:

Every few days something like this comes up to remind us all just how massively Russia hosed up.

When everything is "BREAKING NEWS" it's hard to not get caught up in the minutia, but then you have a moment and realize that a theoretical global power just had a fleet flagship sunk like it's WWII.

its almost like warfare is completely different when your adversary can match or exceed you on a technical level and is also backed by the entire western world

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.

Fearless posted:

Yes, but aren't explosives used to blow up things and so therefore "lots" is always the correct amount?

Back when I was in mining, the mill people would often get annoyed at the blasters for making the muck too small.

Then the week after the muck would be too big, it was a fun argument.

Cythereal
Nov 8, 2009

I love the potoo,
and the potoo loves you.

psydude posted:

Anyone got a good writeup on the Moskva being tricked by a drone? CNN and WaPo just have brief statements from the Pentagon saying they confirmed Ukraine's version of the events.

There aren't any hard details from an objective, non-Ukrainian non-Russian source as of yet. What is known is this:

The Moskva was in the middle of an intense storm in the Black Sea, and the Ukrainians were using a drone in the area. The Ukrainians claim it was a deliberate attempt to distract the Moskva's air search radar, but there's also a real chance they were using the drone to get a fix on the Moskva's location.

When the Ukrainians launched two Neptunes, the Moskva's air defense systems - which should be capable of shooting down inbound ASMs like that - failed to hit either missile.

The Ukrainians are claiming that the Moskva's air search and defense systems were distracted by the drone. There's been anecdotal accounts that the Moskva may not have been fully crewed, and the personnel on board were not properly trained in operating the ship's radar and air defense systems. Other accounts claim that the ship's radar was malfunctioning due to poor maintenance, and perhaps not even installed correctly, and that the ship wasn't tracking inbound contacts properly.

Cythereal fucked around with this message at 20:34 on Apr 15, 2022

Arsenic Lupin
Apr 12, 2012

This particularly rapid💨 unintelligible 😖patter💁 isn't generally heard🧏‍♂️, and if it is🤔, it doesn't matter💁.


https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1514941186397683715

Arrath
Apr 14, 2011


Stultus Maximus posted:

Lol, years ago when I was in charge of writing tactical simulations for our CIC, I would always do that kind of poo poo. Drone, helicopter, small boat, then send some ASCMs from another axis.

Seems like classic misdirection and distraction. How'd that work out?

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers






Owns

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Arrath
Apr 14, 2011


FrozenVent posted:

Back when I was in mining, the mill people would often get annoyed at the blasters for making the muck too small.

Then the week after the muck would be too big, it was a fun argument.

I'm in this post and I like it. Complain about my fragmentation will you? It's go time.

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