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Who will win the federal Election This poll is closed. |
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| Labor Majority |
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48 | 42.48% |
| Labor Minority |
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29 | 25.66% |
| Liberal Majority |
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3 | 2.65% |
| Liberal Minority |
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12 | 10.62% |
| UAP Majoirty |
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21 | 18.58% |
| Total: | 113 votes | ||
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Tehan posted:It used to be the case and might still be the case that you could change your provider pretty easily, if you research the ones in your area you can hopefully find one that's a non-profit or not-for-profit that should hopefully be less ghoulish. The jobaccess website says that in DES you can switch up to five times no questions asked and that you can do so by calling Centrelink, so even if all of the ones you can reach are for-profit you can shop around and hopefully get someone better. Call Centrelink? There's the catch.
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Apr 25, 2022 09:09
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abigserve posted:My story about employment is that there is now an absolutely devastating lack of onshore technical specialists in Australia. Its an abject failure of our education system that we are pumping out lawyers into low paid admin jobs due to oversupply while you can't pay enough to get a person to touch computers the right way. The chokepoint for me getting a proper computer touching job wasn't getting into uni. It was finding a proper entry level job after I graduated even though I had like 3 months experience from an internship (unpaid because I couldn't get anything better). It ain't a problem with the uni's, companies just don't want to train graduates.
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Apr 25, 2022 09:12
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https://twitter.com/PRGuy17/status/1518496761349697537?s=20&t=4Um7PAIqYw-nMMGjl9f2kw
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Apr 25, 2022 09:38
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https://twitter.com/kevinbonham/status/1518507298355748864 good poll for labor alert
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Apr 25, 2022 09:54
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mahershalalhashbaz posted:actually, speaking of disability, does anyone itt have any experience with disability employment services? there's a royal commission going on right now that is unearthing some nasty poo poo (pack boxes for $4/hour! have a go to get a go!) but it seems to be the opinion of the public that disabled people should just suck it up and accept that slave labour is their lot in life. i have been on des for about two years now and my personal consultant is quite evil, i am blessed to have a single shining specialist who protects me from centrelink but i've seen enough of the des methodology to know they're absolutely ruining the lives of people who are more vulnerable than i am. supported employment can pay as low as $3.5, with the participant continuing to receive their pension and the employer being subsidised by the government for taking them on. it is almost universally designed as a supported work environment for people with mental disabilities, as said, but that doesn’t stop those jobs being offered to people with physical disabilities too. I suppose it might be a less poo poo way out job search wise, as an option? tying bows on bags of lollies or assembling boxes at least isn't the worst work, as long as it isn't so mind numbing you and to try and drive your head through the wall or something. mahershalalhashbaz posted:the most noteworthy recent thing about my des experience was that my consultant went hard on trying to get me to work as a disability support worker. like, "you are interviewing here, they will offer you this position, and if you say no, i'm putting you down as non-compliant." she told me absolutely nothing about the role until i dug, and only begrudgingly admitted i'd be going into the homes of the highest-need, most "full on" clients to clean their kitchens and their bathrooms. which is definitely something that needs to be done - but i am disabled too, and immunocompromised (i just had covid and even triple vaxed it's kicked my rear end), and i am just not the person for that sort of job. she also told me happily that she gets "a couple of grand" for placing me. i had no opportunity to say no, and only my gp and psychologist tag-teaming to write angry letters to the provider got me out of it. now the coalition keeps bragging about how many more workers there are in disability and aged care from november last year, and i know drat well it's because they've turned the pressure on long-term centrelink recipients to do those jobs or get cut off and starve. your consultant is right in that they can force you to attend interviews they set up for you and that you are compelled to accept any offer of suitable work you get offered. However they cannot circumvent what counts as suitable or not, that’s in legislation : quote:Work will be Unsuitable if it: that first one, as long as you have medical people who are also on your side, can go a long way to protecting you from truly unsuitable work poo poo. And if your DES is this terrible, you really should think about dropping them like a hot potato: quote:If a participant is unhappy with the services they are receiving, they can change their provider at any time by calling the National Customer Service Line on 1800 805 260. Participants can change their provider five times, no questions asked, during their time in the program. also a programme of support generally lasts 18ish months and covers a 3 year-ish period of time, afaik. it’s now mandatory to complete before you can get on the DSP, and medical suspensions of the job provider do not count towards the 18 months you need to complete.
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Apr 25, 2022 10:02
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Samantha Maiden can suck the poo poo out of my rear end in a top hat. She just put out an article accusing a restauranteur friend of mine of being a Labor stooge attempting to maliciously sway voters because, get this, she likes Albo and thinks ScoMo is a melon. Why is this news? Because Albo is the landlord for her restaurant and news.com themselves put out an article the previous day reporting on a tiktok video she made saying that Albo was a good bloke for dropping the rent during the pandemic. Her love of Albo is hardly a secret - she's in his electorate, has done a food collab with him and even has a picture of hot Albo on the wall of the restaurant. But because news corp journalism consists of "here's this tiktok we found" they didn't have any of that stuff in the first article they ran, which means they then can follow it up with another article that pretends she somehow deceived them. And then the classy fucks in the editorial section give it a clickbait headline that suggests she's getting dicked down by Albo, leading to scores of the worst people in Australia to say some pretty ugly things to and about her on twitter. Just absolutely delightful work all round by news corp and a journalistic tour de force by Maiden.
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Apr 25, 2022 10:03
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You can see the media narrative coalescing around "we're heading for a hung parliament" which is going to turn out as badly as wrong as "we're heading for a Labor victory" in 2019 or "Turnbull will lose a few seats in the double dissolution but still have about a 10-seat majority" in 2016
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Apr 25, 2022 10:03
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Tehan posted:It used to be the case and might still be the case that you could change your provider pretty easily, if you research the ones in your area you can hopefully find one that's a non-profit or not-for-profit that should hopefully be less ghoulish. The jobaccess website says that in DES you can switch up to five times no questions asked and that you can do so by calling Centrelink, so even if all of the ones you can reach are for-profit you can shop around and hopefully get someone better. Also echoing this, church based or non profits are from anecdotal experience far less shite. There was collated table of satisfaction data covering every JSP and DES in the country somewhere that said different, but it didn't seem too crazy of an idea to me that being made to fill out a positive customer survey being forced on poor bastards in a poo poo DES so.
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Apr 25, 2022 10:11
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freebooter posted:You can see the media narrative coalescing around "we're heading for a hung parliament" which is going to turn out as badly as wrong as "we're heading for a Labor victory" in 2019 or "Turnbull will lose a few seats in the double dissolution but still have about a 10-seat majority" in 2016 yeah the hung parliament narrative isn't supported by anything at all except wilful stupidity from pundits offering brilliant insight like "labor can't win with a primary vote under 40%!" (never mind that the greens exist, or that labor won with 39% in 1990) and stuff like resolve not giving a TPP figure for their polling which leads to worse-than-usual analysis from the media because they see primary votes fairly close and don't look at the other parties etc. was that really the narrative in 2016 though, polling was pretty close for months leading up to the election so it being a very close liberal victory wasn't very surprising from what i remember. 2019 was just the polls were wrong & labor's expected victory did fit a narrative of 'chaotic government changed leaders twice and accomplished very little' so at least the media were wrong for an understandable reason
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Apr 25, 2022 10:22
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https://twitter.com/tom_tanuki/status/1518485392202567680
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Apr 25, 2022 10:25
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Yes, I'll have the chilli eggs tribute to a fictional communist invasion of America, and could I also get the imperial Japan-inspired breakfast from your child soldiers of WWI kids menu. Lest we forget. Also any place spelling "brekky" as "breaky" should be shut down for violating the Food Standard Code.
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Apr 25, 2022 11:00
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freebooter posted:You can see the media narrative coalescing around "we're heading for a hung parliament" which is going to turn out as badly as wrong as "we're heading for a Labor victory" in 2019 or "Turnbull will lose a few seats in the double dissolution but still have about a 10-seat majority" in 2016 Fairly sure this is a blatant attempt to scare swing voters away from giving Labor a shot, because those are the same smooth-brained idiots that bought the Abbott narrative hook Line and sinker in 2013, ignoring the fact that the 43rd parliament represented the most effective federal governance since the Whitlam years. Probably won't work, but I'm throwing this in the same box as "the financial press screeching at the RBA to jack up interest rates because it might scare people enough to vote for the incumbent". More bag of tricks poo poo which doesn't seem to be working but makes good ammunition for an enquiry into the media code of practice being a loving joke.
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Apr 25, 2022 11:17
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fwiw interest rates did rise during the 2007 election campaign and it didn't damage labor
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Apr 25, 2022 11:19
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https://twitter.com/rhysam/status/1518415346159566848
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Apr 25, 2022 11:31
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Stopped reading at "country"; sounds pretty good mate.
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Apr 25, 2022 11:35
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How oddly relevant! Gee, I wonder what common factors exist between Australia in 1964 when this was written, and 2022?  Oh.
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Apr 25, 2022 12:22
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https://twitter.com/GhostWhoVotes/status/1518553388522229761 no change to newspoll's tpp albanese approval has gone up slightly, morrison disapproval has gone up slightly, but morrison as preferred pm has also gone up slightly
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Apr 25, 2022 12:37
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All I'm seeing apart from the slight but consistent growth in the Greens primary vote is variance consistent with the margin of error - not that approval ratings or PPM even matter a whole lot. A significant nosedive by either party leader's approval ratings is definitely something I'd pay attention to, but 1-2% is just noise. Still not going to say it's in the bag, but the "Albo's horror week" narrative does not seem to have carried a lot of water outside the increasingly unhinged press corps.
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Apr 25, 2022 12:56
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it hurt his approval rating a fair bit last week but only barely affected the actual voting intentions
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Apr 25, 2022 13:06
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I've returned to my town in regional nsw from a week long holiday in qld and there's PUP and one nation corflutes all over the place, curled around all the power poles like some kinds of hosed up plastic weeds gone feral. What's the rules/laws around pulling them down or defacing them?
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Apr 25, 2022 13:15
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mahershalalhashbaz posted:...i'm in another unpopular demographic. i am in the nightmare scenario right now of trying to get disability without an official diagnosis (brain injury in childhood that was officially covered up, so no paper trail). i can't work, i can't afford to live alone or like, eat, and every time i check the news i see someone going "no we are just going to keep tightening the screws on disabled people, the best support is a job!" and it pings me straight to suicidal. then i get to thinking how that would be considered mission accomplished by the people in charge; one less undesirable mouth to feed. anybody with a personal stake in anything right now is better off just tuning the gently caress out of whatever the psychopaths are saying and focusing on their real-person support networks instead. It's pretty hosed being in the disabled category, and pretty much in the same boat as what you're describing. I'm caught in a life that's basically a waking nightmare! But I guess at least my GP has written out a confirmation of conditions, and man seeing all the diagnosed poo poo, the fact that they're basically permanent, it's a bummer. Hopefully between her, psychologist and psychiatrist can get something sorted out in terms of support. bee posted:I've returned to my town in regional nsw from a week long holiday in qld and there's PUP and one nation corflutes all over the place, curled around all the power poles like some kinds of hosed up plastic weeds gone feral. Just don't get caught I guess.
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Apr 25, 2022 13:28
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bee posted:I've returned to my town in regional nsw from a week long holiday in qld and there's PUP and one nation corflutes all over the place, curled around all the power poles like some kinds of hosed up plastic weeds gone feral. Apparently you can report them to Ausgrid if it’s deemed a hazard and they’ll request the party/standing member to remove them in a week or they’ll be removed and the party will be charged for removal fee. Here’s the act here… look at 49 https://twitter.com/saharkhalilifp/status/1516994558294302720?s=21&t=ycbfmW1lFflIS2bNC-mnVg
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Apr 25, 2022 13:32
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Spam email from a recruiting agency I used to deal with occasionally (Michael Page): Frankly, I'd be more interested to know who the hell is in a position to "give up" a salary increase or bonus in TYOOL 2022 that isn't either a C-Suite, or fits into the catchall of "cyber security and other tech workers in critical undersupply since immigration effectively halted", who can pretty much pick and choose their employer based on their individual needs right now anyway?
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Apr 25, 2022 13:54
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Don Dongington posted:Spam email from a recruiting agency I used to deal with occasionally (Michael Page): There are lots of people in comfortable office jobs and the like that are moving around looking for greater fulfilment at the cost of dollars rn. It's the talk of LinkedIn.
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Apr 25, 2022 14:14
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hawaiian_robot posted:Just don't get caught I guess. Tomberforce fucked around with this message at 14:18 on Apr 25, 2022 |
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Apr 25, 2022 14:16
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Ah! One of my favourite things about ANZAC day is the shameless cashing in. "Fresh in our memories"...
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Apr 25, 2022 15:34
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Little diggers menu lmao
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Apr 25, 2022 15:40
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The little diggers menu is just the normal menu but a middle aged woman comes up and spits in your face if you don't order anything
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Apr 25, 2022 15:45
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After enjoying a meal from the little diggers menu your kids can play in the lil gallipoli sandbox
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Apr 25, 2022 17:30
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lih posted:was that really the narrative in 2016 though, polling was pretty close for months leading up to the election so it being a very close liberal victory wasn't very surprising from what i remember. My specific quote is something I distinctly remember Uhlmann saying (off the record, I don't think he ever would've committed such a firm prediction to print or broadcast) but I do remember at least in the first few weeks of the campaign the general narrative was that an early DD election was "genius" because it would allow Turnbull to clear out the recalcitrant Senate crossbench and he could "afford" to lose some lower house seats. Is there any Australian quote hoarier than this?
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Apr 25, 2022 21:19
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well turnbull did have room to lose seats but it turned out much much closer than that, and the polling was super close from like a month before the election was called so it did seem pretty possible for labor to win - they weren't the favourites but there wasn't any sort of clear lead for the government. not really surprised uhlmann could have come up with fantastic insight like that
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Apr 25, 2022 21:28
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My favourite part about 2016 is the way Turnbull triggered a constitutional safeguard and wiped out all of parliament and then used it to... create a few extra hours of paper work a week for unions. Genius.
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Apr 26, 2022 00:03
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Don Dongington posted:Spam email from a recruiting agency I used to deal with occasionally (Michael Page): For people not living paycheck to paycheck there are definitely quite a few at the moment who seem willing to take a bit less pay in exchange for conditions like WFH flexibility and 4 day weeks.
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Apr 26, 2022 00:45
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Absolutely vile disrespect to our diggers shown by Scott Morrison during yesterday's ANZAC memorial, where he is shown texting whilst the minutes silence is occuring https://v.redd.it/nokht0y0arv81
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Apr 26, 2022 01:02
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Wizard Master posted:Absolutely vile disrespect to our diggers shown by Scott Morrison during yesterday's ANZAC memorial, where he is shown texting whilst the minutes silence is occuring Can you imagine if any Labor or Greens politician had done this.
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Apr 26, 2022 01:24
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Apr 26, 2022 02:38
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Wizard Master posted:Absolutely vile disrespect to our diggers shown by Scott Morrison during yesterday's ANZAC memorial, where he is shown texting whilst the minutes silence is occuring Candy Crush claims another boomer.
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Apr 26, 2022 03:51
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https://twitter.com/AustralianLabor/status/1516709601521012741 from last week but umm... cool thread guys... reads like boomberbook posts
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Apr 26, 2022 04:18
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Congrats to the Chaser for managing to be funny for once https://twitter.com/ACTcameramatt/status/1518773091337650176
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Apr 26, 2022 05:50
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Don Dongington posted:My favourite part about 2016 is the way Turnbull triggered a constitutional safeguard and wiped out all of parliament and then used it to... create a few extra hours of paper work a week for unions. I'm pretty sure the ABCC was a desperate attempt to find something to try to rally the warring factions of the party behind to consolidate his internal power. Probably best to view all policies announced by a Liberal leader from the moderate faction through that lens.
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Apr 26, 2022 09:16
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