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TheIncredulousHulk
Sep 3, 2012

TyrantWD posted:

Why would they go scorched earth over something that was already settled at the polls in 2016? As a country, we already had the debate and people decided they don’t really give a poo poo or are I’m favor of over turning Roe.

If you are a democrat politician right now, you land the easy blows that you will be presented with over the next few weeks, but nothing has fundamentally changed. It may have taken longer than expected for this to finally happen, but the public already decided where they stood on this issue.

I am not sure I agree that a decision by the council of ancient unelected wizards is necessarily a product of democracy

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Fister Roboto
Feb 21, 2008

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1277695835413925888

(from back when he was campaigning)

If he was going to do it he would have done it already. Or at least tried. What's the excuse for not even trying?

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

haveblue posted:

It looks like we’re going to get #2. Too bad almost all abortions after 15 weeks are performed out of dire medical need. I hope it doesn’t take too many Savita Halappanavars to get this undone

Alito specifically says that it is up to the states. He isn't defining fetal personhood in this case (but, he is inching towards it relative to current law)

If his ruling is the actual final holding, he is basically saying that states can do whatever they want with abortion after 15 weeks and before 15 weeks "it depends" with a bunch of hemming and hawing about exactly when viability has been scientifically determined and what kind of restrictions states can place on "post viability terminations."

The focus on post-viability, medical science determining when that date is, and the references to states deciding political questions means he is saying that there isn't a flat ban on abortion after 15 weeks, but just that there is nothing stopping states from banning it after 15 weeks.

Since this is a draft majority opinion and we don't know what/if the concurring opinions are from the other justices, it seems like the conservatives all agreed on allowing states to ban after 15 weeks, but couldn't agree on other aspects and limited the ruling to the Mississippi law at hand.

Heck Yes! Loam!
Nov 15, 2004

a rich, friable soil containing a relatively equal mixture of sand and silt and a somewhat smaller proportion of clay.
New thread title

https://twitter.com/socialistdogmom/status/1521316423666122753

Next question, which side leaked it.

1. A democratic appointed judge's clerk for obvious reasons
2. A GOP appointed judge's clerk to basically get the news out and get it out of the way as soon as possible before the mid terms.
3. Roberts did it to judge how he would vote based on public opinion. (His vote literally doesn't matter)

Heck Yes! Loam! fucked around with this message at 03:39 on May 3, 2022

LionArcher
Mar 29, 2010



yeah pretty much. Mods here are a perfect metaphor for how the news is treating this as well. "don't forget decorum!" There are easy solutions to this, but oh gosh even suggesting it will get you banned which is really just LMAO.

Calibanibal
Aug 25, 2015

I mean two easy solutions you can practice right now are voting and writing a letter to your representatives. Neither of these will get you banned, I hope.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
Wonder if Planned Parenthood is still feeling good about those Senate endorsements.







TyrantWD
Nov 6, 2010
Ignore my doomerism, I don't think better things are possible

TheIncredulousHulk posted:

I am not sure I agree that a decision by the council of ancient unelected wizards is necessarily a product of democracy

It was literally one of the biggest issues of the 2016 election. Everyone had a chance to weigh in on what they want the council of ancient unelected wizards to look like and do, and they made a decision.

This is not some code red emergency that is going to demand an urgent response. This is what people voted for. It may have taken longer than expected to arrive, but it was pretty much explicitly voted on.

Koos Group
Mar 6, 2013

LionArcher posted:

yeah pretty much. Mods here are a perfect metaphor for how the news is treating this as well. "don't forget decorum!" There are easy solutions to this, but oh gosh even suggesting it will get you banned which is really just LMAO.

You can argue whatever solutions you wish as long as it won't get the forums in legal trouble.

Heck Yes! Loam!
Nov 15, 2004

a rich, friable soil containing a relatively equal mixture of sand and silt and a somewhat smaller proportion of clay.
Ahahaha it was probably Roberts that leaked it because he's already talking to CNN about his vote.

https://twitter.com/ValerioCNN/status/1521316796103487489

Bishyaler
Dec 30, 2009
Megamarm

LionArcher posted:

yeah pretty much. Mods here are a perfect metaphor for how the news is treating this as well. "don't forget decorum!" There are easy solutions to this, but oh gosh even suggesting it will get you banned which is really just LMAO.

Suddenly all that earlier revolution talk is a bit more topical, because you sure as hell can't vote your way out of a conservative-dominated, women-enslaving Supreme Court unless the party in power is willing to breach tradition and stack the court, and this one isn't.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Looking forward to Collins' & Murkowski's heaping plates of humble pie & their offers to vote for pro-choice legislation as appropriate penance.

DarkCrawler
Apr 6, 2009

by vyelkin

TyrantWD posted:

It was literally one of the biggest issues of the 2016 election. Everyone had a chance to weigh in on what they want the council of ancient unelected wizards to look like and do, and they made a decision.

This is not some code red emergency that is going to demand an urgent response. This is what people voted for. It may have taken longer than expected to arrive, but it was pretty much explicitly voted on.

Well the GOP stole a Supreme Court seat and the guy with less votes won so I don't think the people have voted for anything. Though they have, high and low, decided to not give a poo poo about fascism or fascists except for a minority of people, so I guess that's kind of deciding something.

TheIncredulousHulk
Sep 3, 2012

TyrantWD posted:

It was literally one of the biggest issues of the 2016 election. Everyone had a chance to weigh in on what they want the council of ancient unelected wizards to look like and do, and they made a decision.

This is not some code red emergency that is going to demand an urgent response. This is what people voted for. It may have taken longer than expected to arrive, but it was pretty much explicitly voted on.

I disagree

Fister Roboto
Feb 21, 2008

The only solution to this right now is a mass protest movement that would dwarf even the Floyd protests, something that would actually shake and threaten the seats of power that allowed this.

But like I said earlier, lots of people just stopped caring after Trump was voted out, and the party that replaced him just made things worse. I'm not gonna hold my breath waiting.

Bishyaler
Dec 30, 2009
Megamarm

TyrantWD posted:

It was literally one of the biggest issues of the 2016 election. Everyone had a chance to weigh in on what they want the council of ancient unelected wizards to look like and do, and they made a decision.

This is not some code red emergency that is going to demand an urgent response. This is what people voted for. It may have taken longer than expected to arrive, but it was pretty much explicitly voted on.

Nah, the Supreme Court is about an undemocratic as it comes and if killing abortion rights were put up to a nation-wide vote it would never pass.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Fister Roboto posted:

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1277695835413925888

(from back when he was campaigning)

If he was going to do it he would have done it already. Or at least tried. What's the excuse for not even trying?

He made several speeches in promotion of it, including endorsing a bill to do so that passed the House. The DoJ has filed amici briefs in several of the antiabortion cases, including an amicus in this case.

The president does not codify laws.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
The weird thing is that (if Alito's opinion is the final holding) all of their waffling and hemming about what to do with abortion prior to 15 weeks means that they will inevitably start getting cases where they have to make more decisions on what can and can't be done during that period, which will just bring them exactly back to the "substitution of judicial values for democratic values" situation they said was intolerable before, except that they have pushed back the deadline from the end of the second trimester to the end of the first trimester. Kind of surprising they were willing to go this far, but not finish the job.

Blindeye
Sep 22, 2006

I can't believe I kissed you!

A big flaming stink posted:

I want to build a shrine to this take

And then piss and poo poo on it

SCOTUS Blog, as I understand it, is supposed to give context for the intra-SCOTUS process and such. I thought this was a description of how the judges/clerks/etc in the court are going to take the leak, not the Official Opinion of the Blog.

But yeah, things are looking grim but the "I told you so" brigade has no way of knowing the repercussions of this.

This language, though, is some of the most blatantly political they could have phrased it, and instead of perhaps the GOP wishes to slowly draw the mask down, rips it right off to reveal the punitive, cruel, and archaic ghoul policies for all to see. There's no attempt to hide their utter contempt for women.

Fister Roboto
Feb 21, 2008

Discendo Vox posted:

He made several speeches in promotion of it, including endorsing a bill to do so that passed the House. The DoJ has filed amici briefs in several of the antiabortion cases, including an amicus in this case.

The president does not codify laws.

Hmm maybe he shouldn't have said that he would codify the law then.

Bishyaler
Dec 30, 2009
Megamarm

Discendo Vox posted:

He made several speeches in promotion of it, including endorsing a bill to do so that passed the House. The DoJ has filed amici briefs in several of the antiabortion cases, including an amicus in this case.

The president does not codify laws.

What good is a bill that passes the House and not the Senate and why are you touting it like an accomplishment?

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin
Theory: someone in the supreme court hates the idea of Biden forgiving student loans. That person rightly believes student loans as his attempt to get election excitement for the party. So the person leaked the decision early to boost dem excitement and make the student loan thing not happen

If they'd waited til the June decision date, the student loans would have already been forgiven

TyrantWD
Nov 6, 2010
Ignore my doomerism, I don't think better things are possible

DarkCrawler posted:

Well the GOP stole a Supreme Court seat and the guy with less votes won so I don't think the people have voted for anything. Though they have, high and low, decided to not give a poo poo about fascism or fascists except for a minority of people, so I guess that's kind of deciding something.

The electoral college is a debate for another time, but the GOP won the 2016 election by running on what they planned to do with the Supreme Court seat and what they hoped the court would do, and people outside the right wing didn’t really care then, and I don’t think their positions have changed since. We knew Roe could get overturned 5.5 years ago, and a large enough amount of people didn’t give a poo poo or rooted for that.

Heck, one of the judges who knew she was a vital number in protecting Roe, wasn’t all that bothered with keeping up the fight.

This news would have been gargantuan if it was April 2016, but it is a nothingburger in May 2022.

LegendaryFrog
Oct 8, 2006

The Mastered Mind

Willa Rogers posted:

I'm pretty sure that Sinema is pro-choice; they'd have to rotate in another baddie (although Manchin alone could kill it, minus any GOP support from Collins or Murkowski).

Sinema is pro-choice but anti-removing the filibuster. Heck, even Manchin may make allusions to wanting to support abortion access, but both of them will use the filibuster as a shield. "No, not even for this."

FLIPADELPHIA
Apr 27, 2007

Heavy Shit
Grimey Drawer
I just don't think this will increase dem turnout in the midterms (I hope I'm wrong). Fascists get what they've wanted for decades because the people they voted for gave it to them. They can feel like winners AND stick it to Joe Biden. Meanwhile, progressives are going to be even more skeptical that voting for dems will protect even their most basic freedoms. I don't think this leak was tactical.

Koos Group
Mar 6, 2013

Fister Roboto posted:

Hmm maybe he shouldn't have said that he would codify the law then.

Indeed. Though he doesn't have the unilateral authority to codify Roe v. Wade, the wording of the promise implies responsibility for whether it happens or not. He didn't say "I will work to codify" or "we will codify," he said "I will codify."

von Metternich
May 7, 2007
Why the hell not?

Bishyaler posted:

What good is a bill that passes the House and not the Senate and why are you touting it like an accomplishment?

I’d like to see someone just sign a house bill and tell the senate their services are no longer needed, but I don’t think it’s going to be on this bill, or this President

TyrantWD
Nov 6, 2010
Ignore my doomerism, I don't think better things are possible

FLIPADELPHIA posted:

I just don't think this will increase dem turnout in the midterms (I hope I'm wrong). Fascists get what they've wanted for decades because the people they voted for gave it to them. They can feel like winners AND stick it to Joe Biden. Meanwhile, progressives are going to be even more skeptical that voting for dems will protect even their most basic freedoms. I don't think this leak was tactical.

Well not voting for Dems did cost progressives this basic freedom. Elections have consequences.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Koos Group posted:

Indeed. Though he doesn't have the unilateral authority to codify Roe v. Wade, the wording of the promise implies responsibility for whether it happens or not. He didn't say "I will work to codify" or "we will codify," he said "I will codify."

We've had this discussion so, so many times. Pretending ignorance of the basics of how the government works to attack Biden or "the Democrats" over a tweet talking about general agenda doesn't become any more intellectually honest the tenth time it happens.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
Susan Collins is concerned and is "open to further discussions" about codifying Roe v. Wade, but opposes the Democrats' bill and eliminating the filibuster.

quote:

Senator Collins supports the right to an abortion and believes that the protections in the Roe and Casey decisions should be passed into law. She has had some conversations with her colleagues about this and is open to further discussions," But Collins opposes the House-passed Women's Health Protection Act, which Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., has promised will get a vote in the Senate.

"Unfortunately, the House Democrats’ bill goes far beyond codifying Roe and Casey. For example, their legislation would severely weaken protections afforded to health care providers who refuse to perform abortions on religious or moral grounds," Clark said.

Even if the Senate finds a majority of votes to codify abortion rights, such a bill would be subject to the 60-vote rule. There aren't 50 Senate votes to weaken the filibuster, nor are there 60 votes to enshrine abortion protections into law.

marshmonkey
Dec 5, 2003

I was sick of looking
at your stupid avatar
so
have a cool cat instead.

:v:
Switchblade Switcharoo
Is this accurate?

https://twitter.com/repdonbeyer/status/1521308218034733058?s=21&t=43B0qPI67oHAVTjh6LI02A

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Yes. Here's the bill.

The dem Nay vote was Henry Cuellar of Texas; Al Lawson, Jr. didn't vote, idk why.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 04:13 on May 3, 2022

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007

TyrantWD posted:

Well not voting for Dems did cost progressives this basic freedom. Elections have consequences.

"Sure we failed to deliver on literally anything, and in fact let one of our cornerstone policies get totally repealed, but when you think about it isn't this all the voters' fault?"

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
It's going to be interesting to see if Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema stand united on this one. This is going to get really intense.

Fister Roboto
Feb 21, 2008

Discendo Vox posted:

We've had this discussion so, so many times. Pretending ignorance of the basics of how the government works to attack Biden or "the Democrats" over a tweet talking about general agenda doesn't become any more intellectually honest the tenth time it happens.

I do not give a single poo poo about "intellectual honesty" or whatever pedantic legalese you want to blather on about when basic human rights are being revoked. Biden promised to protect this right. He has failed. I'm sorry if you think that's an unfair attack, but it's going to be what a lot of other Americans are feeling when their rights are stripped away.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

I AM GRANDO
Aug 20, 2006


The senate could pass a bill with 50 votes if they first used those 50 votes to change some procedures in how the senate votes, yes. They could do this any time they want.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Fister Roboto posted:

I do not give a single poo poo about "intellectual honesty" or whatever pedantic legalese you want to blather on about when basic human rights are being revoked. Biden promised to protect this right. He has failed. I'm sorry if you think that's an unfair attack, but it's going to be what a lot of other Americans are feeling when their rights are stripped away.

If you don't give a poo poo about how the government works, or in speaking honestly about how it works, you shouldn't be in this subforum.

I AM GRANDO posted:

The senate could pass a bill with 50 votes if they first used those 50 votes to change some procedures in how the senate votes, yes. They could do this any time they want.

This would require them to have the 50 votes to change the procedure.

Koos Group
Mar 6, 2013

Discendo Vox posted:

We've had this discussion so, so many times. Pretending ignorance of the basics of how the government works to attack Biden or "the Democrats" over a tweet talking about general agenda doesn't become any more intellectually honest the tenth time it happens.

With all due respect, if he didn't mean the phrasing of what he said, it's President Biden's intellectual honesty that ought to be called into question. If one intends to take credit for a success, they must also be prepared to take responsibility for a failure.

BRJurgis
Aug 15, 2007

Well I hear the thunder roll, I feel the cold winds blowing...
But you won't find me there, 'cause I won't go back again...
While you're on smoky roads, I'll be out in the sun...
Where the trees still grow, where they count by one...

TyrantWD posted:

Well not voting for Dems did cost progressives this basic freedom. Elections have consequences.

Wow! Amazing!

Heres a unifying message. We gotta vote and organize. We've gotta boycott and protest and risk our livelihoods and social status by never shutting the gently caress up about this. And when that inevitability fails (please prove me wrong), we kill and die. It's kind of the brutal chaotic law of existence.

Do your pushups and squats and hey you can even own your posting enemies with videos of it if you're into that.

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Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
obama could have codified roe, possibly without even needing to abolish the filibuster - there were at least 2 gop votes for it. i am unsure as to whether the decision was made not to do so because it was considered bad politics or if because they simply didn't feel it was a priority, but either way it was clearly the wrong decision. and incredibly short-sighted, as the dem party often is.

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