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TLM3101
Sep 8, 2010



Jaxyon posted:

I mean, what explanation do they need?

It helps their side. That's all that's needed. The time of pretending has passed.

Like I said earlier, you are now in the Kritarchy of Gilead. The court has primacy and is explicitly partisan.

e: for more content thanks to snipe:

I think there's definitely a lock of Barret, Thomas, and Alito for overturning Obergefell and Lawrence. I'm not sure whether they can get :kav: on board with throwing those precedents out, but Gorsuch is probably gettable with a 'State's Rights' argument. So that's DOMA back in effect federally, and a whole host of anti-sodomy laws suddenly snapping back into existence around the nation.

Which is on top of the already massive immiseration of women, particularly poor women and women of color, as they're forced to bear children or jailed for having abortions.

And if anyone thinks a national ban on abortion won't be upheld by this court, they are plain kidding themselves.

TLM3101 fucked around with this message at 04:54 on Jun 29, 2022

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azflyboy
Nov 9, 2005
If the fillibuster stays in place, I think the more likely next "big deal" is fetal personhood laws at a state level, since those are great red meat for the GOP base, and I don't see a way for the GOP to get 60 votes in the Senate for that. I'm sure the House will probably ban abortion next year about as often as they repealed Obamacare, but I don't see any way it passes the Senate.

If McConnell kills the fillibuster, I think it'll probably be for some kind of anti-voting bill or something to outright steal an election, since he can just use the Supreme Court to make sure that women and people of color don't have too many rights for any kind of social stuff.

-Blackadder-
Jan 2, 2007

Game....Blouses.

azflyboy posted:

If the fillibuster stays in place, I think the more likely next "big deal" is fetal personhood laws at a state level, since those are great red meat for the GOP base, and I don't see a way for the GOP to get 60 votes in the Senate for that. I'm sure the House will probably ban abortion next year about as often as they repealed Obamacare, but I don't see any way it passes the Senate.

If McConnell kills the fillibuster, I think it'll probably be for some kind of anti-voting bill or something to outright steal an election, since he can just use the Supreme Court to make sure that women and people of color don't have too many rights for any kind of social stuff.
The thing is we're already seeing absolutely massive swings in the polls just from kicking it back to the states. LegalTwitter is really dragging them over Louisiana, their credibility as an institution is dropping like a stone even among their peers (even Dershowitz called them out for judicial activism lol), the more decisions they release, the worse it gets. I don't see how they keep up this momentum if they want things to stabilize. Especially on Abortion, if they try to go national things are going to get heated.

-Blackadder- fucked around with this message at 10:00 on Jun 29, 2022

FizFashizzle
Mar 30, 2005







-Blackadder- posted:

Good lord. Is there really no nuance here?

Lookup Rucho v. Common Cause

quote:

The Court ruled that while partisan gerrymandering may be "incompatible with democratic principles", the federal courts cannot review such allegations, as they present nonjusticiable political questions outside the remit of these courts.

“Sorry Dems literally can’t vote to regain control of the state in North Carolina, but this is a matter for the courts to decide.”

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Jaxyon posted:

I mean, what explanation do they need?

It helps their side. That's all that's needed. The time of pretending has passed.

It's another notch on the ol' "oh it turns out norms and precedent don't actually mean anything and we can do whatever we want" post

-Blackadder- posted:

The thing is we're already seeing absolutely massive swings in the polls just from kicking it back to the states. LegalTwitter is really dragging them over Louisiana, their credibility as an institution is dropping like a stone even among their peers (even Dershowitz called them out for judicial activism lol), the more decisions they release, the worse it gets. I don't see how they keep up this momentum if they want things to stabilize. Especially on Abortion, if they try to go national things are going to get heated.

They don't want things to stabilize, they want to play chicken with human rights and find out how much they can destroy before an angry mob shows up at their homes with more than signs.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Yinlock posted:

It

They don't want things to stabilize, they want to play chicken with human rights and find out how much they can destroy before an angry mob shows up at their homes with more than signs.

Even this is giving them too much credit.

The people pushing this stuff don't "want" any specific actual goal to occur. They're too stupid and ignorant. They aren't pursuing goals.

They're just reflexively hearing the word "abortion" and responding "abortion bad!" like pavlov's dog after a decade watching Fox News.

Like, watch this clip:

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1541848726414786560?s=20&t=S91JIbzZA-Wz1BTKJJR3pA

That's the current governor of South carolina, literally not comprehending that "sometimes you have to choose between the life of the mother and that of the child" is a thing. He's currently trying to get a bill passed to ban abortion in *all* circumstances.

These people are *morons*. The only, the *only* thing they understand is that they have to be crazier than any potential primary challengers, so they always adopt the furthest right wing position they can come up with. That's all. There is no longer term goal here than that. Just securing the next election victory by making sure they sound like the dumbest craziest motherfucker in the next republican primary.

Hieronymous Alloy fucked around with this message at 12:30 on Jun 29, 2022

Meatball
Mar 2, 2003

That's a Spicy Meatball

Pillbug

Just loving that the appeal to tradition logical fallacy is now judicial doctrine.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Ruling that gerrymanders are non-justiciable is one of their more insane decisions that gets overshadowed by others.



It's kind of bad for democracy when the Chief Justice's favorite thing is ensuring the GOP wins no matter how badly they get beat.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Groovelord Neato posted:

Ruling that gerrymanders are non-justiciable is one of their more insane decisions that gets overshadowed by others.



It's kind of bad for democracy when the Chief Justice's favorite thing is ensuring the GOP wins no matter how badly they get beat.
The Supreme Court hasn’t cared about democracy since at least before Bush v Gore

Nitrousoxide
May 30, 2011

do not buy a oneplus phone



-Blackadder- posted:

The thing is we're already seeing absolutely massive swings in the polls just from kicking it back to the states. LegalTwitter is really dragging them over Louisiana, their credibility as an institution is dropping like a stone even among their peers (even Dershowitz called them out for judicial activism lol), the more decisions they release, the worse it gets. I don't see how they keep up this momentum if they want things to stabilize. Especially on Abortion, if they try to go national things are going to get heated.

They don't care, and why would they? No one is going to stop them. The executive isn't going to decide the SCOTUS has overstepped their bounds, it's not going to pack the court, and if one of them retires the current president will only submit a moderate *at best* because he's pretty aligned with their rulings they're putting out anyway and also the Senate makeup wouldn't vote for someone more than moderately right wing anyway.

Cimber
Feb 3, 2014
New batch of awfulness

5-4 decision with Gorsuch siding with the liberals in dissent in Oklahoma v. Castro-Huerta. States can prosecute offenses in Native American lands.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Cimber posted:

New batch of awfulness

5-4 decision with Gorsuch siding with the liberals in dissent in Oklahoma v. Castro-Huerta. States can prosecute offenses in Native American lands.

quote:

The Court holds that the federal government and the state have concurrent jurisdiction to prosecute crimes committed by non-Indians against Indians in Indian country.

Not quite as bad?

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



hobbesmaster posted:

Not quite as bad?

It tosses 200 years of precedent. There is no reason that Oklahoma should have any jurisdiction over tribal lands that the tribes have not granted to them.

Also Thomas, Gorsuch, Barrett, and Alito released a dissent saying that states can say gently caress you to the feds. Not entirely surprising.

Next week the administrative state gets destroyed! Two cases left!!

Mr. Nice! fucked around with this message at 15:25 on Jun 29, 2022

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Mr. Nice! posted:

It tosses 200 years of precedent. There is no reason that Oklahoma should have any jurisdiction over tribal lands.

Also Thomas, Gorsuch, Barrett, and Alito released a dissent saying that states can say gently caress you to the feds. Not entirely surprising.

Next week the administrative state gets destroyed! Two cases left!!

Administrative state gets destroyed tomorrow:

https://www.supremecourt.gov/publicinfo/press/pressreleases/pr_06-29-22

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford




Thanks!

I AM GRANDO
Aug 20, 2006

Can’t even wait until Friday. drat.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



I AM GRANDO posted:

Can’t even wait until Friday. drat.

Clarence is ready to hop in the RV for his summer vacation.

cat botherer
Jan 6, 2022

I am interested in most phases of data processing.
Oklahoma v. Castro-Huerta sucks. Tribal sovereignty and treaty rights being taken more seriously has been a huge boon for environmental lawsuits - its really huge to have some non-psychotic government entities on your side.

Xombie
May 22, 2004

Soul Thrashing
Black Sorcery

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

That's the current governor of South carolina, literally not comprehending that "sometimes you have to choose between the life of the mother and that of the child" is a thing. He's currently trying to get a bill passed to ban abortion in *all* circumstances.

It's actually much worse, because almost every instance where abortion is the solution to save the mother's life, something has occurred to make the fetus non-viable, if it isn't dead already. If the fetus were viable without the mother's survival, they would simply induce labor or perform a c-section and do their best to save the pre-term baby.

Srice
Sep 11, 2011

Cimber posted:

New batch of awfulness

5-4 decision with Gorsuch siding with the liberals in dissent in Oklahoma v. Castro-Huerta. States can prosecute offenses in Native American lands.

Considering how (I assume) this affects abortions on native american lands in states where abortion is now illegal that sure is, uh, convenient timing alright huh.

Cimber
Feb 3, 2014

hobbesmaster posted:

Not quite as bad?

No, its bad, and might even be super bad if you take it to the logical conclusion.

Native lands are were, by treaty and agreement, considered sovereign entities that were part of the United States but accountable to themselves. They had their own police forces, justice systems and rights and responsibilities. Its why tribal lands could have casinos in anti gambling states. The state itself had no jurisdiction over what happened on the native lands.
This is an older map, but it shows how much lands in Oklahoma were directly administered by Native tribes.



This ruling however, says that states can now come into Native tribes and arrest non tribe members for offenses commited on tribal lands. The Native tribes themselves have no say in this. Their local police cannot overrule the state police now.

a) this violates all sorts of treaties that the native tribes signed
b) This means that a good source of native income is now directly at threat, because what happens if a state goes into tribal casinos and starts arresting anyone who is not a member of the tribe for illegal gambling? Not paying taxes on tobacco products or alcohol?

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Srice posted:

Considering how (I assume) this affects abortions on native american lands in states where abortion is now illegal that sure is, uh, convenient timing alright huh.

This is the conservatives rolling back McGirt as much as possible post RBG death. Yet another reason her death hosed everything.

e: The above poster has explained why this is poo poo.

Nitrousoxide
May 30, 2011

do not buy a oneplus phone



Cimber posted:

No, its bad, and might even be super bad if you take it to the logical conclusion.

Native lands are were, by treaty and agreement, considered sovereign entities that were part of the United States but accountable to themselves. They had their own police forces, justice systems and rights and responsibilities. Its why tribal lands could have casinos in anti gambling states. The state itself had no jurisdiction over what happened on the native lands.
This is an older map, but it shows how much lands in Oklahoma were directly administered by Native tribes.



This ruling however, says that states can now come into Native tribes and arrest non tribe members for offenses commited on tribal lands. The Native tribes themselves have no say in this. Their local police cannot overrule the state police now.

a) this violates all sorts of treaties that the native tribes signed
b) This means that a good source of native income is now directly at threat, because what happens if a state goes into tribal casinos and starts arresting anyone who is not a member of the tribe for illegal gambling? Not paying taxes on tobacco products or alcohol?

Also if tribes wanted to allow abortion clinics on their land there previously would have been nothing the states could do to a woman who goes there to get one even in a state that totally banned them. Now they can sit outside such clinics and arrest anyone without a tribe licence plate that pulls up

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

Cimber posted:

No, its bad, and might even be super bad if you take it to the logical conclusion.

Native lands are were, by treaty and agreement, considered sovereign entities that were part of the United States but accountable to themselves. They had their own police forces, justice systems and rights and responsibilities. Its why tribal lands could have casinos in anti gambling states. The state itself had no jurisdiction over what happened on the native lands.
This is an older map, but it shows how much lands in Oklahoma were directly administered by Native tribes.

In this context the native lands in question were only recognized as such since McGirt in 2020 though and in this case the more important question is not whether the state has infrigend Tribal authority (that was mostly decided in Oliphant v. Suquamish Indian Tribe to be not the case) but whether it's State or Federal jurisdiction.

GaussianCopula fucked around with this message at 15:55 on Jun 29, 2022

Meatball
Mar 2, 2003

That's a Spicy Meatball

Pillbug

Mr. Nice! posted:



Next week the administrative state gets destroyed! Two cases left!!

I don't think so. They just made border patrol immune to prosecution, they're not going to invalidate the entire administrative state and put them out of work. They're not about to get rid of the DEA.

They're going to rule environmental regulation unconstitutional and destroy the EPA.

gregday
May 23, 2003

It still shocks me that the EPA was created by Richard Nixon.

-Blackadder-
Jan 2, 2007

Game....Blouses.

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

That's the current governor of South carolina, literally not comprehending that "sometimes you have to choose between the life of the mother and that of the child" is a thing. He's currently trying to get a bill passed to ban abortion in *all* circumstances.

These people are *morons*.

It's always been weird that these people can get so far in their lives and into such high positions of power without ever picking up even basic knowledge through osmosis. I read that some of the states had to hastily rewrite their trigger law to include exceptions for health of the mother. Like what island cave do these asses live in that they didn't already know that? God forbid you talk to an actual doctor before you write legislation involving women's health and medical procedures. There are a few real sadists around (doesn't seem like the SC governor is putting a whole lot of effort into the "comprehending" part) but mostly the issue is that these people really are just the dumbest loving hicks.

External Organs
Mar 3, 2006

One time i prank called a bear buildin workshop and said I wanted my mamaws ashes put in a teddy from where she loved them things so well... The woman on the phone did not skip a beat. She just said, "Brang her on down here. We've did it before."

gregday posted:

It still shocks me that the EPA was created by Richard Nixon.

Imo it's representative of politics was without a right wing media apparatus. Basically an alien landscape.

Crows Turn Off
Jan 7, 2008


Do we know who is writing the majority opinion for the EPA case?

Sucks the Republicans on SCOTUS want a polluted hellscape.

BlueBlazer
Apr 1, 2010

Crows Turn Off posted:

Do we know who is writing the majority opinion for the EPA case?

A ghoul.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



-Blackadder- posted:

It's always been weird that these people can get so far in their lives and into such high positions of power without ever picking up even basic knowledge through osmosis. I read that some of the states had to hastily rewrite their trigger law to include exceptions for health of the mother. Like what island cave do these asses live in that they didn't already know that? God forbid you talk to an actual doctor before you write legislation involving women's health and medical procedures. There are a few real sadists around (doesn't seem like the SC governor is putting a whole lot of effort into the "comprehending" part) but mostly the issue is that these people really are just the dumbest loving hicks.

:lol: you think they give a gently caress about women or consequences of their lovely laws. They're a feature not a bug.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Crows Turn Off posted:

Do we know who is writing the majority opinion for the EPA case?

Sucks the Republicans on SCOTUS want a polluted hellscape.

Nope other than it will be on of the six biggest monsters on the court.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Leon Sumbitches
Mar 27, 2010

Dr. Leon Adoso Sumbitches (prounounced soom-'beh-cheh) (born January 21, 1935) is heir to the legendary Adoso family oil fortune.





I started a podcast with Columbia Law professor Jamal Green yesterday that was recorded in February of 2022. Provocatively, this was the initial interaction:

Ezra Klein: "Given the radical 6-3 divide, what does the Supreme Court look like in a decade?"
Jamal Green: "I wouldn't assume the court continues to exist for another decade. Things change massively and rapidly in moments like this."

The conversation doesn't really dial in on this point, but I'm curious if anyone here could see a path to dismantling the court.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Leon Sumbitches posted:

I started a podcast with Columbia Law professor Jamal Green yesterday that was recorded in February of 2022. Provocatively, this was the initial interaction:

Ezra Klein: "Given the radical 6-3 divide, what does the Supreme Court look like in a decade?"
Jamal Green: "I wouldn't assume the court continues to exist for another decade. Things change massively and rapidly in moments like this."

The conversation doesn't really dial in on this point, but I'm curious if anyone here could see a path to dismantling the court.

Congress could do several things, including restructuring the Court as a series of rotating panels, or taking almost all it's jurisdiction away, but what I suspect or think he's talking about there is the relative likelihood of violence.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Leon Sumbitches posted:

I started a podcast with Columbia Law professor Jamal Green yesterday that was recorded in February of 2022. Provocatively, this was the initial interaction:

Ezra Klein: "Given the radical 6-3 divide, what does the Supreme Court look like in a decade?"
Jamal Green: "I wouldn't assume the court continues to exist for another decade. Things change massively and rapidly in moments like this."

The conversation doesn't really dial in on this point, but I'm curious if anyone here could see a path to dismantling the court.

The United States as it exists now will not exist in 20 years either due to balkanization, civil war, and/or full fascist theocratic dictatorship.

Leon Sumbitches
Mar 27, 2010

Dr. Leon Adoso Sumbitches (prounounced soom-'beh-cheh) (born January 21, 1935) is heir to the legendary Adoso family oil fortune.





Mr. Nice! posted:

The United States as it exists now will not exist in 20 years either due to balkanization, civil war, and/or full fascist theocratic dictatorship.

That sure feels true.

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

Congress could do several things, including restructuring the Court as a series of rotating panels, or taking almost all it's jurisdiction away, but what I suspect or think he's talking about there is the relative likelihood of violence.

Pretty much everyone in a position of authority is sure trying as hard as possible to increase that likelihood

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Yinlock posted:

Pretty much everyone in a position of authority is sure trying as hard as possible to increase that likelihood

Look, if good men do nothing, what's the worst that could happen?

Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

Nitrousoxide posted:

They don't care, and why would they? No one is going to stop them. The executive isn't going to decide the SCOTUS has overstepped their bounds, it's not going to pack the court, and if one of them retires the current president will only submit a moderate *at best* because he's pretty aligned with their rulings they're putting out anyway and also the Senate makeup wouldn't vote for someone more than moderately right wing anyway.

Ah yes, known moderate Ketanji-Brown Jackson didn't get past the Senate.

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Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

Look, if good men do nothing, what's the worst that could happen?

As all politicians know, letting problems fester while systematically cutting off all avenues of a peaceful solution cannot possibly backfire

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