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Rustybear
Nov 16, 2006
what the thunder said

ronya posted:

compulsory taking of property by rendering it useless through indirect means - leaving the "empty husk" of ownership that is worth much less or nothing - is generally held as tantamount to taking, fwiw; it's not some ingenious Legal Hack that nobody's ever thought of before

right but the inverse that the government of the day is under no obligation to enforce market conditions that maintain a business's profitability is also true

i think we can all agree it'd be messy as gently caress; i wonder if there are any similar disputes over our general economic position with a heavy bent on international laws and agreements that we've navigated recently?

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Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.
If you're receiving dividends off of essential utilities then you're already taking

Only Kindness
Oct 12, 2016
Screw handwringing about "taking" and "compensating". What have the last 40 years been other than "taking"?



Perhaps if you want cOmPeNsAtIoN you should look to 40 years of being handed public assets on the cheap, above-inflation price rises, cut services, destroyed jobs, corruption and profit-taking?

Not good enough? Here is my offer: NOTHING, and you get to walk away. It's a good deal.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

Only Kindness posted:

When done in the other direction however, it's just called Starve The Beast.

quite. annoyingly enough, intent matters

anyway this is all quite silly because energy companies are hardly Gilded Age unregulated beasts roaming the landscape - Ofgem actively sets price controls to target a profit level sufficient to propel investment and not, say, a wave of exits when a period of volatility with no foreseeable end comes knocking

Z the IVth
Jan 28, 2009

The trouble with your "expendable machines"
Fun Shoe

Only Kindness posted:

Not good enough? Here is my offer: NOTHING, and you get to walk away. It's a good deal.

I am altering the deal. Pray I don't alter it further.

sinky
Feb 22, 2011



Slippery Tilde

Rustybear posted:

right but the inverse that the government of the day is under no obligation to enforce market conditions that maintain a business's profitability is also true

Actually the sole purpose of the government is to ensure that Number Go Up.

Jippa
Feb 13, 2009

sassassin posted:

Where the hell is this rain they promised? My garden is dying.

It's just started for me so at least a few more hours I would think.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
a glib mental model sketched in some college tutorial session a long time ago:

- ok so, the world has volatility, and volatility is costly to mitigate. The question is: who pays for said mitigation
- normally, utilitarian social planner would like to say: the little people should be shielded from it and the big institutions with long time horizons should eat the volatility instead (and therefore also gain the returns, mind you). And indeed this is generally what we see
- however, there's a spanner in British labour/social economic history, in a "1970s sick man of Europe"/"wow, look at that graph of days lost to industrial activity go" sense. The spanner is: the UK labour movement never quite decided whether it wanted corporatist tripartism/labour codetermination in permanent coexistence with capital, or whether it wanted confrontation that would lead to socialist revolution - emblematized in the struggle over Clause IV and the failure of Croslandite revisionism in the wake of the postwar consensus
- although arguably a numerical majority preferred the former, there was always a substantial+violent faction that passionately wanted the latter, and this tendency propelled policy formation
- and the net result is, volatility mitigation in Britain instead tends to follow moves in labour power
- and of course, labour power tends to co-move with business cycles. That is, contrary to classical socialist intuitions, labour gets stronger during booms and weaker during recessions - not the other way around
- so, volatility is distributed differently relative to France/West Germany etc. comparable economies - during good times, necessary to "cash out" quickly and overheat the labour market, with the flip side during bad times

(this is a sketch that visibly predates the 1990s and is weighted heavily to defending the honour of Anthony Barber, and was already outdated when illustrated to me years ago. It's also 99% bullshit and should not be taken seriously in the slightest. But it's fun to think about re: energy sector volatility and the Ofgem regulatory mandate)

Tarnop
Nov 25, 2013

Pull me out

I didn't think it was possible for my opinion of PPE degrees to drop any further but there it goes

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

TACD posted:

look, you can either have heat and food, or you can have the rules-based status quo. I’m afraid you can’t have both.

*crosses arms and smugly waits for everyone to choose the status quo*
Problem is when you look at people with power who want to dismantle the liberal rules-based order for every follower of Dennis Skinner who wants to do it to unseat the protections of property from the people there's a dozen fascist and theocrat assholes who want to do it so that they can hang gay people again. And like one High Church Trot weirdo who wants both for some reason Peter Hitchens.

Tying in propertarian ideas about ownership with libertarian ideas about freedom of expression and egalitarian ideas about the state not torturing your family was a natural move for the Cold War west, but I'm not convinced that knocking holes in it is the best idea right at the moment, when there's other ways to nationalize/municipalize infrastructure and the actual problem is that the government doesn't want to (but actively does want to knock holes in that order for other reasons).

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal


Only the free market can save us from corporations, says Professor Giant Brainerson

https://twitter.com/Acronusra/status/1559107004190208005

Apraxin
Feb 22, 2006

General-Admiral
the government and jacob rees-mogg: it is draconian and illiberal, nay, anti-British, for universities to ban certain speakers from campus just because they're 'racist' or 'transphobic'. the minds of the nation's youth must be exposed to views and opinions outside of their comfort zone so that they can become mature adults!

also the government and jacob rees-mogg: we must not allow career civil servants, whose innocent brains are not yet fully developed, to be corrupted by extremist speakers with beyond-the-pale views such as criticising any aspect of government policy within the past 5 years
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1559097881730187265?cxt=HHwWgoC8qerQg6MrAAAA

piano chimp
Feb 2, 2008

ye



IANAL but can't we just declare anyone profiting off energy price hikes a criminal, seize the company (as it's then proceeds of crime) then nationalise it at a police auction like a stolen bike?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
There's a ton of things that are actually within the remit of government (especially in an emergency), from bailouts being conditional on national majority share ownership to price controls to rationing. The problem is that they don't want to do any of them.

Rustybear
Nov 16, 2006
what the thunder said

ronya posted:

a glib mental model sketched in some college tutorial session a long time ago:
- ok so, the world has volatility, and volatility is costly to mitigate. The question is: who pays for said mitigation
- normally, utilitarian social planner would like to say: the little people should be shielded from it and the big institutions with long time horizons should eat the volatility instead (and therefore also gain the returns, mind you). And indeed this is generally what we see
sounds good

quote:

- however, there's a spanner in British labour/social economic history, in a "1970s sick man of Europe"/"wow, look at that graph of days lost to industrial activity go" sense. The spanner is: the UK labour movement never quite decided whether it wanted corporatist tripartism/labour codetermination in permanent coexistence with capital, or whether it wanted confrontation that would lead to socialist revolution - emblematized in the struggle over Clause IV and the failure of Croslandite revisionism in the wake of the postwar consensus
ok mayyyebeee true at the time but they lost and were crushed and are by far the least influential wing of uk politics when it comes to public policy. is this just a complicated way of saying thatcher happened?

quote:

- although arguably a numerical majority preferred the former, there was always a substantial+violent faction that passionately wanted the latter, and this tendency propelled policy formation
huge citation needed on that last bit

quote:

- and the net result is, volatility mitigation in Britain instead tends to follow moves in labour power
- and of course, labour power tends to co-move with business cycles. That is, contrary to classical socialist intuitions, labour gets stronger during booms and weaker during recessions - not the other way around
not saying that's bullshit but gonna need to see some real examples of collective bargaining power being stronger as opposed to workers just earning more which is nowhere near the same thing at all

quote:

- so, volatility is distributed differently relative to France/West Germany etc. comparable economies - during good times, necessary to "cash out" quickly and overheat the labour market, with the flip side during bad times

(this is a sketch that visibly predates the 1990s and is weighted heavily to defending the honour of Anthony Barber, and was already outdated when illustrated to me years ago. It's also 99% bullshit and should not be taken seriously in the slightest. But it's fun to think about re: energy sector volatility and the Ofgem regulatory mandate)
is the intent of this bit to say that this is because the french/german left didn't have the same sort of split the uk left did? or for some other reason?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
Or maybe the weirdoes in the New European (who definitely aren't racist, they said so) are right and our route out of the liberal rules-based order is being taken over by the PRC.

https://mobile.twitter.com/AyoCaesar/status/1557663387827437568

They might actually build some houses, and social credit terrifies all the worst people.

Rustybear
Nov 16, 2006
what the thunder said

piano chimp posted:

IANAL but can't we just declare anyone profiting off energy price hikes a criminal, seize the company (as it's then proceeds of crime) then nationalise it at a police auction like a stolen bike?

only if you're comfortable jailing hundreds maybe even thousands of wholly innocent and blameless corporate executives

Bobby Deluxe
May 9, 2004

piano chimp posted:

IANAL but can't we just declare anyone profiting off energy price hikes a criminal, seize the company (as it's then proceeds of crime) then nationalise it at a police auction like a stolen bike?
Would probably end up the same as how war profiteering is illegal, but manufacturing weapons to be used in war by a for-profit company and lobbying the government to get involved in conflicts and then selling the weapons to both countries is fine.

The Question IRL
Jun 8, 2013

Only two contestants left! Here is Doom's chance for revenge...

Guavanaut posted:

Or maybe the weirdoes in the New European (who definitely aren't racist, they said so) are right and our route out of the liberal rules-based order is being taken over by the PRC.

https://mobile.twitter.com/AyoCaesar/status/1557663387827437568

They might actually build some houses, and social credit terrifies all the worst people.

"You got to give me the fangs."

Looke
Aug 2, 2013

Guavanaut posted:

Or maybe the weirdoes in the New European (who definitely aren't racist, they said so) are right and our route out of the liberal rules-based order is being taken over by the PRC.

https://mobile.twitter.com/AyoCaesar/status/1557663387827437568

They might actually build some houses, and social credit terrifies all the worst people.

https://twitter.com/TheNewEuropean/status/1557664975753285633?s=20&t=yBa6LgGxabfkoo--CQdGpw

https://twitter.com/TheNewEuropean/status/1557668138363359232?s=20&t=Xoz4AJHH8NcLZs3BzjR-ow

very normal behaviour lol

Dabir
Nov 10, 2012

Rustybear posted:

only if you're comfortable jailing hundreds maybe even thousands of wholly innocent and blameless corporate executives

Weird hypothesis

Noxville
Dec 7, 2003

Unsurprisingly, the public support the nationalisation of pretty much everything by a factor of at least 3:1

https://twitter.com/survation/status/1559178537248215040?s=21&t=bqJveAtxLbPNxJoetxfmHA

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

Rustybear posted:

ok mayyyebeee true at the time but they lost and were crushed and are by far the least influential wing of uk politics when it comes to public policy. is this just a complicated way of saying thatcher happened?

more a sampler of the fatalism of british thinking in the late 1980s/early 1990s

"actually the British electorate is presently too immature to not have short-termist politics" as an excuse for low standards (oft more politely pitched as a part of a call for more deliberative/consultative democracy, as in intellectual vogue back then, esp amongst soft left academic types)

(the context here is an intra-Tory war between the wets* and dries, in particular the Tory wet types who attacked Thatcher and the New Right for not actually being competent at governance - kind of hilarious in a Johnson age, has to be said. One of the charges was that Thatcherism had abandoned Disraelian paternalistic collectivism for cheap electoralism and quick wins at the expense of the party's long-term viability etc., to which "no you see this is actually what the people want" is a either a triumphant response or a glum resignation, depending on the speaker.

this kind of meta-revisionism as a hobgoblin of idle intellectuals isn't unique to the Tories ofc, the Stuart Hall-flavoured "okay maybe Thatcherism has a 'rational and material core', that reflects something really existing as working class priorities/concerns" revisionism on the Left is well-known, even before New Labour turned it into really existing politics a decade later

* like I said, unduly devoted to defending Barber)

the sketch gives (and is really only intended to give) a gloss on thinking back in the period

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

I really can't think of any reason why just forcibly seizing all the infrastructure and also hanging everyone who previously owned it would not be 1. good and 2. popular.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Noxville posted:

Unsurprisingly, the public support the nationalisation of pretty much everything by a factor of at least 3:1

https://twitter.com/survation/status/1559178537248215040?s=21&t=bqJveAtxLbPNxJoetxfmHA

They like the idea, just don't like any politicians who propose it. Weird.

Beefeater1980
Sep 12, 2008

My God, it's full of Horatios!






Only Kindness posted:

When done in the other direction however, it's just called Starve The Beast.

Yeah and it’s dumb there too. If expropriation was One Weird Trick to prosperity then the richest countries in the world would be Venezuela, North Korea, Iran and Egypt, and the USSR would probably still be knocking around with amazing agricultural production instead of having had to import food from the US during the Cold War.

It’s a bit like finance really, kings used to arbitrarily just say nah, I’m not paying back that loan, what are you going to do about it? When the Dutch and then the British hit on the revolutionary idea of consistently paying back their government loans in full, on time, every time, they suddenly became able to finance entire wars indefinitely.

Z the IVth
Jan 28, 2009

The trouble with your "expendable machines"
Fun Shoe

OwlFancier posted:

I really can't think of any reason why just forcibly seizing all the infrastructure and also hanging everyone who previously owned it would not be 1. good and 2. popular.

I disagree, that's a lot of waste.

Reprocess them into high energy animal feed instead.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Beefeater1980 posted:

It’s a bit like finance really, kings used to arbitrarily just say nah, I’m not paying back that loan, what are you going to do about it? When the Dutch and then the British hit on the revolutionary idea of consistently paying back their government loans in full, on time, every time, they suddenly became able to finance entire wars indefinitely.

To me this seems like an argument for not paying back your loans.

Like, cooperating with finance allows you to do things that are extremely destructive to everyone except finance assholes? Perhaps this is a bad thing.

xtothez
Jan 4, 2004


College Slice

OwlFancier posted:

I really can't think of any reason why just forcibly seizing all the infrastructure and also hanging everyone who previously owned it would not be 1. good and 2. popular.

To play devil's advocate for a second, what effect would seizure have on private pensions? Aren't a significant portion of utility company shares owned by investment funds?

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

I don't really see why that should be a concern?

For one thing I find it extremely unlikely that I would either live to see any payoff from whatever lovely pension scheme I'm enrolled in, not least because I have minimal confidence that the world will even function well enough for that to be a thing by then. And what use would it be anyway if everything is unaffordable?

To be perfectly frank I am very tired of sacrificing my future and present for other assholes. If it breaks the heart of people with worthwhile private pensions, so much the better.

OwlFancier fucked around with this message at 16:05 on Aug 15, 2022

sassassin
Apr 3, 2010

by Azathoth
I wasn't prepared for another hot day. It was supposed to be thunder storms, not a light 5 minute shower then back to an oven.

xtothez posted:

To play devil's advocate for a second, what effect would seizure have on private pensions? Aren't a significant portion of utility company shares owned by investment funds?

You don't need a pension if you starve/freeze to death now.

Beefeater1980
Sep 12, 2008

My God, it's full of Horatios!






OwlFancier posted:

To me this seems like an argument for not paying back your loans.

Like, cooperating with finance allows you to do things that are extremely destructive to everyone except finance assholes? Perhaps this is a bad thing.

It depends on whether you ever want to borrow anything later. Sure, you can (just ask Argentina!) but you’ll also go bankrupt even faster next time round because of the interest rates (also, just ask Argentina!), and each time you go bankrupt people will starve and your country will fall further behind its neighbours and inflation will go through the roof because the rest of the world makes stuff you need and you now have to pay for it with currency that’s slightly less valuable than toilet paper.

Z the IVth
Jan 28, 2009

The trouble with your "expendable machines"
Fun Shoe

Beefeater1980 posted:

It depends on whether you ever want to borrow anything later. Sure, you can (just ask Argentina!) but you’ll also go bankrupt even faster next time round because of the interest rates (also, just ask Argentina!), and each time you go bankrupt people will starve and your country will fall further behind its neighbours and inflation will go through the roof because the rest of the world makes stuff you need and you now have to pay for it with currency that’s slightly less valuable than toilet paper.

Or conversely the people who loan you money will proceed to asset strip your entire country in the name of repayments and your people will starve anyway.

It kinda sucks when you're a little soggy island that produces nothing of value.

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.

xtothez posted:

To play devil's advocate for a second, what effect would seizure have on private pensions? Aren't a significant portion of utility company shares owned by investment funds?

Increase the state pension so people can live on it, bing bong, "your investments may go up as well as down", a whap a loopa a bap bam boo

piano chimp
Feb 2, 2008

ye



Rustybear posted:

wholly innocent and blameless corporate executives

Isn't this an oxymoron?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

xtothez posted:

To play devil's advocate for a second, what effect would seizure have on private pensions? Aren't a significant portion of utility company shares owned by investment funds?
Go too far down that path and you end up at:

Guavanaut posted:

I think the worst that I heard was that pharmaceutical companies actually make quite slim returns, because most of their profits go to their shareholders, and being reliable investments the biggest shareholders are pension pots and retirement funds, so if you complain about price gouging medicines, that's morally the same as stealing from your dear old nan. You wouldn't do that would you? Steal from her purse?

Where the obvious answer (other than 'lol, lmao') is that it doesn't do my nan much good to have a private pension if she's going to have to pay £50k for drugs she needs to live.

Same goes here, what good does having that private pension do if it's all going on heating bills?

piano chimp
Feb 2, 2008

ye



OwlFancier posted:

I really can't think of any reason why just forcibly seizing all the infrastructure and also hanging everyone who previously owned it would not be 1. good and 2. popular.

Invoke Occam's razor except it's a literal razor used in a guillotine imo

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
Also if I had two million nans distributed across an actuarial table and they wouldn't spare me 50p each for a life saving procedure then I'm definitely shaking down their investment manager and I'm not getting them a birthday card either.

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.
Two million nans, Jeremy, two million? That's insane.

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Beefeater1980
Sep 12, 2008

My God, it's full of Horatios!






Z the IVth posted:

Or conversely the people who loan you money will proceed to asset strip your entire country in the name of repayments and your people will starve anyway.

I mean the late 20th century tested all this, it’s not some unknowable mystery. Between the end of WW2 and 2000 approximately 47M people died in famines, as follows:

China 33M
N Korea 3.5M
USSR 2M
Cambodia 2M
Ethiopia 1.9M (3 separate famines JFC)
Bangladesh 1.5M
Nigeria 1M

Rest of World: <2M

Source: famine in the 20th century, an article whose thesis is that socialist countries were pretty good at mitigating natural disaster famines (but, as it turns out, were also really, really bad at not creating even worse famines through government policies like, oh yeah, expropriation).

It’s not that you shouldn’t control your capitalists, it’s that the way to do it isn’t arbitrarily taking all their poo poo from time to time, it’s predictably taking most of their profit all the time. This is why money is currently flowing out of China for the first time in like 40 years and every overseas listed Chinese company’s shares is in freefall; nobody knows which company or industry the government is going to pick on next, so you may as well go invest somewhere else for a bit.

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