Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




So, we have the 14th Saeima elections in Latvia on the 1st of October, where we choose our parliament. This is the most important election of Latvian political cycle, since the parliament elects our president. Brief summary of our electoral system: http://archive.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2177_B.htm

I'll go through all 19 party lists, summarizing their demographics, party program overall – condensed where possible, and focusing on policies, rather than demagoguery, but otherwise as neutrally as I can manage. In addition to that, I'll also try to throw in something about noteworthy recent scandals for the parties. Parties are ordered as on the actual ballot stack (ballot rank of 1 means that this is the first list a voter sees when they open their voting envelope in the booth), and political orientation labels I've made up on my own.

For the summaries of political programmes, things useful to know:
  • OIK – mandatory procurement component for energy, or, very simplified, a static fee on your electricity bill, stemming out of 2001/77/EC. It was cancelled on August 16 by the ruling coalition, so after some parties had submitted their manifestos. If you'd like to learn more (oh god, why) – https://elenger.lv/en/what-is-the-mpc/
  • KNAB – Corruption Prevention and Combating Bureau of Latvia
  • CVK – Central Election Commission of Latvia
  • VID – State Revenue Service of Latvia
  • Latvian pension system – https://www.manapensija.lv/en/pension-system/pension-system-2/
  • Civil union law – legalization of gay marriage
  • Vehicle operating tax – https://www.fm.gov.lv/en/vehicle-operating-tax
  • Altum – Necessary context here is that this is a public agency that does subsidize mortgages, but you can read more here: https://www.altum.lv/en/about-altum/what-we-are/
  • Non-citizen – After the USSR collapsed, Latvian citizenships were (re-)issued under jus sanguinis principle, referencing citizenship status in the first independent Latvia. This means Soviet colonists and immigrants, and exclusively their descendants, did not become Latvian citizens, and their civil rights did metastasize into a special status of a non-citizen (with privileges exceeding those of post-1991 permanent residency grants). As of 2019, 10% of Latvian population are non-citizens, with the most important restriction on their rights, relative to citizens, being inability to vote. You can read more here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-citizens_(Latvia)
Furthermore, here are the party ratings as of the 6th of September. 51.2% turnout estimate, and balls represent 2018 performance of the parties. Further ratings data is here: https://reitingi.factum.lv/reitingi-saeima/


Links to individual parties (meaningful 2018 election results in brackets):
  • JV (6.69%, 8 MPs)
  • LKS
  • ZZS (9.91%, 11 MPs)
  • TKL
  • SV
  • KPP
  • S (19.80%, 23 MPs)
  • S!
  • TVS
  • VL
  • NA (11.01%, 13 MPs)
  • LPV
  • K (13.59%, 16 MPs, named JKP at the time)
  • KuK
  • PRO
  • A/P (12.04%, 13 MPs)
  • AL (14.25%, 16 MPs, named KPV at the time)
  • AS
  • R

P.S. Current parliament numbers may not be accurate. In part because our Saeima's website is not great, in part because our parliamentary factions don't quite work like that, and in part since it's 3am and I simply cannot be arsed to cross-reference that much. It's not too relevant in any case, these numbers I'm copy-pasting will be maybe 1 MP off for a few parties where I know they're not exactly right.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 14:20 on Sep 18, 2022

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (New Unity, ticker: JV)

Ballot rank: 1
Year founded: 2018 (2010)
Political position: Centre-right
Ideology: Liberal conservativism, pro-Europeanism
Current MPs: 11/100
In government: Yes – Prime Minister's office, and ministries for finance, foreign affairs
European party: European People's Party
Current MEPs: 3/8
Website: https://jaunavienotiba.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/jauna-vienotiba
Demographics:


A reboot of a 12-year-old party called Unity (surprising, I know), has been in every government since 2010. No recent major scandals, PM just gets to be the punching bag for being the top government official. I guess the local journalists did roast the minister for finance on being looser with facts than his peers.

Their programme summary:
  • "Protecting democracy and the nation": Accountable promises of education exclusively in Latvian by 2025; 2.5% GDP budget for defence and internal affairs each. Vague promises of a political nation; stronger Latvian media, national identity, courts; permanent NATO presence; enduring support to the EU, Ukraine; transparent civil defence and crisis management system.
  • "Equal opportunities for everyone": Accountable promises of curbing public healthcare system queues to 30 days maximum; de facto legalized civil unions; subsidizing NGOs by 1% of income tax; investing into annual construction of 1000 rental units minimum. Vague promises of support for families and companies through energy and inflation crises; patient-oriented national health insurance scheme; elimination of domestic violence and violence against women; more kindergartens; social budget for ensuring retirement with dignity; public management overhaul; expansion of paved roads network; digital connectivity in the whole country; public transport system overhaul.
  • "Human capital": Accountable promises of 1.5% GDP budget for R&D; mandatory secondary education with a minor in natural sciences; teacher's minimum age of 120% the national average. Vague promises of promoting re-immigration; comprehensive education syllabus reform; two universities in the international top 500; availability of sports activities.
  • "Nature capital": Accountable promises of energy independence from Russia; construction of a modern LNG terminal. Vague promises of sustainable management of natural resources; economy ready for climate neutrality by 2050; local adaptation of the Green Deal; boosted solar and wind generation; subsidies for companies improving their energy efficiency.
  • "Industrial capital": Vague promises of smart re-industrialization; unified digital management for the public sector; investments in development of regions; unified metropolitan model for Riga; minority shares of state enterprises on the local stock market; modernization of agriculture.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Latvijas Krievu savienība" (Latvian Russian Union, ticker: LKS)

Ballot rank: 2
Year founded: 2014 (1998)
Political position: Radical centre
Ideology: Social conservativism, minority politics
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: European Free Alliance
Current MEPs: 1/8
Website: https://rusojuz.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/latvijas-krievu-savieniba
Demographics:


One of the older parties around, has been in opposition since 2010. They're increasingly leaning into populism, so there are plenty of controversies to pick from. The big one for this year would be organizing a May 10 event at the Victory Monument, in response to it being closed off for May 9, the Soviet Victory Day. It ended up being a pro-Russian Federation and pro-USSR gathering, featuring war songs and a few Latvians getting beaten up. As they've found out, now there's popular mandate to demolish basically every Soviet army monument in the nation, and I wouldn't call the party quite safe from being banned altogether. They also managed to embarrass the police on the day, which led to weeks of the national police boss being dragged to TV shows as the fall guy. Consequently, the police has remarkably stepped up enforcement of regulations on displays of affection for the Soviet Union, and the Russian Federation, since earlier this year.

Their programme summary (no clear section headings):
  • Heading on protecting Russian speakers: Accountable promises of preservation of the monuments; unbanning of Russian television; establishment of a Latvian TV channel in Russian language; right to vote for non-citizens; revocation of the preamble to the constitution; revocation of fining rights from the State Language Centre. Vague promises of protecting right for education in a foreign language; support for citizenship to all non-citizens; enforcement of neutrality for the State Security Service and the National Electronic Mass Media Council; restricting minister for defence's privilege of deploying armed forces abroad.
  • Heading on cost-of-living crisis: Accountable promises of banning debt collection practice for utilities bills; VAT reduction on utilities and heating to 12% and 5% respectively; cancellation of OIK; free school lunches until the 9th grade; increasing childbirth welfare to 500 + 300/month; reducing food and first necessity goods' VAT to 5%; cancellation of all fines relating to COVID-19 certificates. Vague promises of compensations for drastic cost-of-living increase on essentials; buying cheapest internationally available energy resources; indexation of social welfare and the minimum pension for inflation; tying the untaxable minimum raises to the minimum wage raises; increased state quotas for medical services.
  • Heading on economic crisis: Vague promises of redirecting transport infrastructure funds towards manufacturing; establishment of innovation centres at the local universities, to attract foreign talent; making salaries in public sector proportional to the minimum wage; state subsidies for innovative sectors and startups; state subsidies and state-backed loans for companies looking to develop or expand manufacturing.
  • Nameless heading: Accountable promises of diversity quotas in the executive and judicial branches; factorization of vehicle operating tax into the cost of fuel. Vague promise of greater functional scope and selective autonomy for regional governments.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (Union of Greens and Farmers, ticker: ZZS)

Ballot rank: 3
Year founded: 2002
Political position: Centre-right
Ideology: Agrarianism, Regionalism
Current MPs: 7/100
In government: No
European party: European People's Party
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://zzs.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/zalo-un-zemnieku-savieniba
Demographics:


An older party led by a US-sanctioned oligarch, that has typically been in the government, but is currently in opposition. Their recent controversy, and perhaps the controversy of the year in Latvian electoral politics in general, is the brazen return of the oligarch Aivars Lembergs into politics – I guess tied-ish with the return of Ainārs Šlesers. That alone caused ZZS to fracture earlier this year and lose 2 constituent parties. One of the departing parties was Latvian Green Party, meaning that we no longer have a party that pursued Green and Agrarian policies simultaneously (aka, property values). Moreover, ZZS may now need to give their name a do-over.

Their programme summary:
  • "National security": Accountable promise of 2.7% GDP budget for defence. Vague promises of defending Latvian interests in the EU and international bodies; support to Ukraine's EU bid and opposition to Russian imperialism; better working conditions and compensation in the ministry of the interior; support to join EU military spending; support for NGOs and the media; diaspora outreach; elimination of the executive interference in the judiciary; stronger anti-corruption measures.
  • "Energy security": Vague promises of promotion of energy independence; compensation of rising energy prices to households; development of energy efficiency programmes in housing sector.
  • "Social security": Accountable promises of indexing pensions twice per year; annual 240 euro winter bonus for vulnerable individuals; and bringing salaries in medical sector into compliance with the established regulation. Vague promises of expanded child welfare; extra pension contributions for job experience before 1996; annual raises for welfare payments; domestic investments from the 2nd level pension funds; fair real estate tax policy; increased financing for the health sector; increased local availability of medical services; strengthened GP network.
  • "Economic development": Accountable promises of restoring 80% income tax contribution to the municipal treasuries; transfers of customs levies into the EU budget. Vague promises of balanced development of local farms, lumber mills, and fisheries; VAT reduction for essential goods and medications; restoration of tax easements for small businesses; support for regions, especially entrepreneurship there; review of the administrative territorial reform; support for startups; unification of the technological landscape for public sector communications.
  • "Education, science, culture, and sports": Vague promises of high-quality teaching resources; stronger school network; teacher compensations model co-developed with their union; gradual transition to free lunches in schools; modernization of vocational education; increased budget for tertiary education and science; promotion of Latvian language and culture; promotion of social cohesiveness; promotion of availability of sports.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:22 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




TAUTAS KALPI LATVIJAI (Servants of the People for Latvia, ticker: TKL)

Ballot rank: 4
Year founded: 2022 (2003)
Political position: Left-wing
Ideology: Populism, Syndicalism
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://www.tautaskalpi.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/tautas-kalpi-latvijai
Demographics:


They're new, but seem to under an umbrella of a "serial politician" (in an analogy to a serial entrepreneur) Juris Žuravļovs, and using a shell company. Therefore, no controversies of note – the best I could find is the nominal leader has run a seemingly failing diamond trading business in Ukraine. And a host of other companies involved with construction or diamonds in other EE countries, and also has previously been convicted for forging passports.

Their programme summary (it's an unstructured list):
  • Accountable promises of conveying the Constitutional Assembly to restore the 1922 constitution; transition to a presidential republic model; at least five-fold reduction of the referendum threshold; halving the number of ministries and staffing the remainder with technocrats; restoration of sovereign and independent industry guilds and chambers; withdrawal from Eurozone, back to the Latvian lats; nationalization of all land, to be subsequently rented out to the citizens; legally defining roads, waterways, bridges, airfields, ports, natural resources, airspace, and territorial waters as joint property of the population; cancellation of real estate tax on the sole home; cancellation of housing and transportation expenses compensation for MPs; elimination of the staff role of MP's assistant; restoration of the 1939 administrative territorial model with local governance, militia, and so on.
  • Vague promises of defending freedom of speech and political beliefs; withdrawal from international organizations that interfere in Latvian affairs; reduction of influence of political parties; restoration of regional governance; simplification of the tax system; education system model rooted in the Latvian way of life, subordinated to the rhythm of solstices and the festivals of seasons; restoration of local economy and reinvestment of resources into uniform economic development in the country; focus on healthy lifestyle and preventative healthcare, with immediate availability of necessary medical services; ensuring equal representation of society's opinions in the media.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"SUVERĒNĀ VARA" (Sovereign Power, ticker: SV)

Ballot rank: 5
Year founded: 2022 (2005)
Political position: Right-wing
Ideology: Christian conservativism, populism
Current MPs: 2/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://suverenavara.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/suverena-vara
Demographics:


They're nominally old, but that's a shell company, and de facto the party was founded by Jūlija Stepaņeko after she was made one of the two scapegoats kicked from LPV, potentially in a play where Šlesers thought to publicly kill two of the more outspoken Russophiles to divert regulatory attention from his business dealings with a Russian oligarch. Besides this, her other scandal of the year was her not doing her job for 4 months, since she refused to provide the parliament with a valid COVID-19 certificate, and was thus not let into the building. In general, however, her scandals-per-year dynamics are close to someone like Marjorie Taylor Greene.

Their programme summary (it's an unstructured list):
  • Accountable promises of banning employment restrictions based on medical status concerning infective diseases; reducing heating and electricity VAT to 5%; cancelling OIK; amending the constitution with a definition of a natural family; waiver of income tax for people under 25; setting state child support at 1/4 of the minimum wage; doubled tax returns for single-parent families; 10 years earlier retirement age of parents of children with disabilities; setting the minimum pension to 1/2 of the minimum wage; allowing people to withdraw their 2nd level pension; waiver of income tax for disability pensions; making interest payments on mortgages eligible for tax returns; cancelling code inspections for personal home construction plans; cancelling real estate tax for all dwellings; redirecting 95% of income tax to the municipal governments; reducing VAT on food made in Latvia to 5%; reducing VAT on social food and housing to 5%; setting the lowest wage bracket for teachers at the national average wage; VAT waiver for hobby education; free education for future critical industry workers; healthcare patient co-pay waiver; reducing tax burden for sole proprietors and family businesses to 9.5% social contribution and 0.5% income tax; reducing VAT on agricultural animal feed and supplements to 5%; blocking privatization of ports; cancellation of vehicle operating tax; reducing voting threshold for initiating direct democracy legislative action to 2.5% of the population eligible for voting; reducing the number of members of parliament to 50; mixed majoritarian vote electoral system with recall; reducing the state employee headcount by 1/3; public presidential election; allowing every citizen to choose which political party should receive the part of their income tax previously earmarked for the shared party funding pool.
  • Vague promises of defending freedom of speech and beliefs; punish all wrongdoing pertinent to medical interventions against infectious diseases; oppose the Green Deal elements not profitable for Latvia; combined parental leave extension to 3 years, with welfare; compensations for poor individuals underutilising the child support subsidies; support for businesses employed retirees; trying untaxable pension minimum to the minimum wage; parental leave equivalent on adoption; limits on lumber materials exports, respective of the domestic demand; special tax and subsidies policies for promoting manufacturing in regions; using public resources to lobby on exporters' behalf abroad; support for development of science; fair salaries for medical professionals; protecting companies from inappropriate or unmotivated inspections; transforming Latvian transport infrastructure into a multimodal international logistics hub; stronger investments into the road network; public service buses providing access to government services in the regions.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 05:17 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Kristīgi Progresīvā Partija" (Christian Progressive Party, ticker: KPP)

Ballot rank: 6
Year founded: 2021 (2009)
Political position: Centre-right
Ideology: Scientocracy, nationalism
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: N/A
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/kristigi-progresiva-partija
Demographics:


They're a nominally old company, but that's just a shell company. A relatively short members list, surprisingly devoid of scientists. No one I recognize, so the best I can tell is that they have some sort of indirect association with Ainārs Šlesers.

Their programme is relatively short, so I'll translate the policy section of it in its entirety, word by word:

Our goals – to guide processes in the Latvian nation and society with methods which are rooted in the achievements of modern science. The economy cannot be guided by people lacking knowledge.

GOALS
  • Economic development – the foundation of people's wellbeing. To use the scientific method and prognosis. To support (using economic methods) companies, whose development the nation would benefit the most from in the short and the long term.
  • To spur growth of a national network of manufacturers or suppliers of high-value-added products and services. Latvia must become a nation-manufacturer of robots.
  • To swiftly and promptly, based on scientific evaluations, offer the inhabitants of Latvia the most optimal solutions to the problem of energetics. To disallow forcing households to declare bankruptcy en masse (using low efficiency solutions) and causing inhabitants to flee from the country.
  • To scientifically develop the national energy sector development model and to implement it in a manner that does neither ignore the interests of the inhabitants, nor makes them go broke.
  • To put in order the national transport grid. To use the scientific method in solving this issue. Latvia requires high-quality roads, ports, rail and air transport. To reduce corruption in the industry.
  • To achieve an increase in the level of wellbeing of the inhabitants. To stop the catastrophic decrease in the population numbers.
  • To achieve establishment of a middle class in the nation.
  • To put in order the healthcare system. Using the scientific method, we will ensure that the sector operates efficiently.
  • To put in order the efficient education system.
  • To integrate science into the economy and the government.
  • To optimize requirements facing entrepreneurs and business. To put in order taxes and to reduce the red tape. To make the country more attractive to business activities.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Saskaņa" (Harmony, ticker: S)

Ballot rank: 7
Year founded: 2010
Political position: Centre-left
Ideology: Social democracy, minority politics
Current MPs: 18/100
In government: No
European party: Party of European Socialists
Current MEPs: 1/8
Website: https://saskana.eu/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/saskana-socialdemokratiska-partija
Demographics:


Can be arguably considered as the single most popular party in the history of 2nd independent Latvia. The party has a long list of scandals, but for this year I'll mention that, after supporting gay marriage previously, they allied with NA this year to disrupt the quorum for the 3rd reading vote on the civil union law. They also prominently joined LKS for the May 10 events.

Their programme summary:
  • "Representatives of people, not stooges of parties": Accountable promises of popular presidential election; single mandate majoritarian electoral system with recall; right to vote in municipal elections for non-citizens; digital voting platform. Vague promises of simplified referendum initiation procedure; regional referenda.
  • "Latvia – socially oriented country": Vague promises of increased the role of state in macroeconomics; increased regulation in strategic economy sectors; resilient energy market model; reduced taxation red tape for small and-medium companies.
  • "Economic befits for the majority": Vague promises of reduced tax burden on select goods both for consumers and manufacturers both; price caps on select goods and services; one-time welfare payouts to select population groups.
  • "Human potential is the main wealth of Latvia": Vague promises of increased financing for medicine; extra staffing for GPs; restoration of specialized medical schools; increased state control over prices of medication; long-term investments into science and R&D; flexibility of choice in the language of instruction in education; functional life-long education and career change system.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:24 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Stabilitātei!" (For Stability!, ticker: S!)

Ballot rank: 8
Year founded: 2021
Political position: Radical centre
Ideology: Populism, Euroscepticism
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://www.partijastabilitatei.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/politiska-partija-stabilitatei
Demographics:


They're a new party, founded by two politicians formerly representing S in the Riga municipal parliament. Nothing too remarkable, albeit one of the founders is the vice president of the national cop union, and has threatened to "find" laws to go after the current government for the demolition of the Victory Monument [if elected].

Their programme summary:
  • "We shall not permit damage to our nation's independence": Vague promises of a review of Latvia's dependence of EU, with priorities of economic sovereignty and independent foreign policy towards neighbours; controlled default against the EU debt; exit from the EU energy market in favour of local hydropower at local prices.
  • "We will revise tax policies to favour the people": Accountable promises of reducing VAT for food to 5%; waiving VAT for medication; waiving real estate tax for the sole home; reducing excise tax on fuel by 50% for the duration of the crisis; paying 1000 euro stipend for childbirth, with 300 euro/month welfare for the first 18 months, and then 100 euro/month until the age of 20. Vague promise of a beneficial tax policy for small companies.
  • "Our children are the nation's priority": Accountable promises of access to education in mother tongue; free school lunches. Vague promises of cancelling the school reform; increasing the number of free tuition seats in universities.
  • "The state's moral imperative is to treat pensioners fairly": Vague promises of indexation of pensions; increased untaxable minimum for pensions.
  • "We shall not permit splintering our society": Accountable promises of right to vote for non-citizens; public presidential elections; party-less or majoritarian vote electoral system.
  • "We will put in order the executive": Accountable promises of merging ministries of finance and economics; merging ministry of culture into ministry of science and education; reducing the number of members of parliament to 50; banning members of parliament from abstaining from a vote. Vague promises of a VID reform aimed at support and consultation functions; war on bureaucracy, to reduce the state apparatus both in headcount and in square metres occupied.
  • "Politicians must be responsible for their actions": Accountable promises of calling to criminal responsibility the current parliament and government for the pandemic management; introducing personal criminal liability for political decisions of members of parliament; cancelling OIK.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:24 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Tautas varas spēks" (The Power of People's Power, ticker: TVS)

Ballot rank: 9
Year founded: 2022 (2007)
Political position: Right-wing
Ideology: Populism, conspiracism
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: N/A
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/politiska-partija-tautas-varas-speks
Demographics:


They seem to be an older party, rather than just a shell party, but a fringe one that has never made it anywhere. Close to 0 hits for them on search as well. The only thing I can come up with is that their Riga list headliner is Valentīns Jeremejevs, who has spent the entire pandemic running around and calling the government a bunch of "covidfascists".

Their programme cannot be summarized, as there are no policy proposals in it. There's just a short list of complaints ranging from "food prices have drastically gone up" to "the word mother has been replaced with Parent No.1".

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:25 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Vienoti Latvijai" (United for Latvia, ticker: VL)

Ballot rank: 10
Year founded: 2012
Political position: N/A
Ideology: N/A
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: N/A
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/partija-vienoti-latvijai
Demographics:

It's a shell party formerly used by Ainārs Šlesers. The list of members is very short, and there's no one prominent there. I'm struggling to find literally anything meaningful about them.

The party programme is one word, "nation's government".

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Nacionālā apvienība "Visu Latvijai!"-"Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK" (National Alliance "All For Latvia!" – "For Fatherland and Freedom/LNNK", ticker: NA)

Ballot rank: 11
Year founded: 2014 (2010)
Political position: Far-right
Ideology: Conservativism, ethnonationalism
Current MPs: 13/100
In government: Yes, ministries of economics, culture, and agriculture
European party: European Conservatives and Reformists Party
Current MEPs: 1/8
Website: https://nacionalaapvieniba.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/nacionala-apvieniba-visu-latvijai-tevzemei-un-brivibai-lnnk
Demographics:


A merger of older conservative parties, has been in the governing coalitions sice 2011. Their most recent scandals were boycotting the civil union law to disrupt the quorum, and their first economics minister being so bad that he got sacked earlier this year despite the PM opposing that move.

Their programme summary:
  • "Growing Latvia": Accountable promises of rent-for-mortgage scheme for municipal housing; increased minimum pension; reduced VAT for traditionally Latvian foods and the food services industry; reduced labour taxes; free tertiary education; 20% increased number of roads qualifying as being in good condition. Vague promises of increased child support; targeted welfare for troubled individuals; boosted exports; boosted innovation in entrepreneurship; expansion of housing refurbishment scheme; improved methodological basis for general education; diaspora outreach; subsidies for small and medium farms; and increased digital literacy.
  • "Secure Latvia": Accountable promises of energy independence from Russia; ban for government-aligned Russian media of any kind; introduction of mandatory civil defence class for secondary education; introduction of conscription military for men; and introduction of GI Bill equivalent for active national guard members. Vague promises about stronger support for NATO and opposition to "federalization" of EU defence and foreign affairs policymaking; cultural and economic support for Latgale; and improved speed of court proceedings.
  • "Latvian Latvia": Accountable promises of education exclusively in Latvian; destruction of monuments glorifying Soviet occupation; codification into law of right to provide services exclusively in Latvian; and revised tax regime for creatives. Vague promises about increased proportion of Latvians; opposition to mass immigration; and further development of local arts and cinematography.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




LATVIJA PIRMAJĀ VIETĀ (Latvia First, ticker: LPV)

Ballot rank: 12
Year founded: 2021
Political position: Right-wing
Ideology: Populism
Current MPs: 2/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://latvijapirmajavieta.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/latvija-pirmaja-vieta
Demographics:


A young party, but has quite some political luggage already, being founded by Ainārs Šlesers. Going over stuff like Jūrmalgeita bribery case wouldn't be too relevant here, so I'll just loop back to the SV origin story, Stepaņenko and Švecova being kicked out of LPV for being too pro-Russian or just convenient to sacrifice. Going to be amusing if this ends up being the dominos meme, with LPV failing the 5% threshold due to the SV splinter draining votes.

Their programme summary (it's an unstructured list):
  • Accountable promises of mixed electoral model; referendums starting at 30k signatures; closure for the constitutional court; constitution amended with the definition of a family as a heterosexual union; waiver of all taxes on the first year of employment; reduction of the tax wedge on labour to at least EU average; quadrilingual secondary education; opening a national investment bank; golden passports scheme funding reimmigration bonus of 5000 EUR and mortgage rebates for families with children; from 10% for a single-child family; to 100%; up to 100k limit; for a family with five children; protection against closure or freeze of one's sole bank account; VAT for food and food services reduced to 10%; cancellation of real estate tax; 10% patent fee for sole proprietors
  • Vague promises of better national security and societal cohesiveness; restoration of presumption of innocence; prevention of mandatory vaccination; persecution of the current government; financial compensation for costs incurred during the pandemic; reduced tax burden for young companies; timely healthcare system; fair salaries for teachers; relaxed rules for foreign university teachers; further sports subsidies; pensions indexed in accordance with inflation; price caps on energy; heating; and main food products during high-inflation periods; prevention of receipt of advance tax payments; protection of privacy; financial support for restoration of houses of worship; restoration of the road fund for transport infrastructure development; reduction of bureaucracy through merger of similar state institutions; introduction of personal responsibility for inaction of elected or public officials; making Latvia the Dubai of the North; prevention of brain drain and promotion of reimmigration; making Latvia one of the world's richest countries in 8 years.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:26 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Konservatīvie (the Conservatives; ticker: K)

Ballot rank: 13
Year founded: 2022 (2014)
Political position: Centre-right
Ideology: Liberal conservativism
Current MPs: 15/100
In government: Yes, ministries of justice (vice PM), education and science, welfare, transport
European party: European People’s Party
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://latvijapirmajavieta.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/konservativie
Demographics:


They're a splinter of NA, formerly known as Jaunā konservatīvā partija (the New Conservative Party, ticker: JKP). Their big, if indirect, scandal was the constitutional court ruling that gay couples having worse labour rights than hetero couples is unconstitutional, in response to which K, the would-be "law-and-order" flavour of conservatives, said "well then" …and made a fully functional gay marriage law with not much fuss or flair, called the civil union law here. This did immensely piss off so much of the political spectrum that a certain horse-related theory springs to mind.

Their programme summary:
  • "Fair energy prices": Accountable promises of LNG infrastructure in 2 years; energy independence from Russia; electrical grid connection to Sweden; and 50-fold increase to solar and wind power generation. Vague promises of viewing nuclear energy favourably and adequate heating season utilities bills.
  • "Curious; healthy youth and motivated educators": Accountable promises of eliminating pay discrepancies between pre-school; education only in Latvian; and school staff salaries and doubling funding to science and tertiary education. Vague promises of stability in the education system; annual pay raises for educators; and greater investments in youth's physical education.
  • "Defence; internal security; and foreign affairs": Accountable promises of growing armed forces to 50k and fixing police buildings. Vague promises of developing MIC; buying modern NATO weapons; deepened relationship with US/UK/Baltics/Ukraine; salaries of loyal policemen/border guards/firemen boosted to 1500; systemic and swift removal of occupation memorials; and continued gambling restrictions.
  • "50k new dwellings in regions and Riga": Accountable promises accessing 2nd pension level funds for mortgage down payment or urgent health problems; reduced Altum fees; 0% Altum mortgage down payment for people under 35 with above-average income. Vague promises of waived real estate tax on first home until certain value; reduced real estate tax for farmers and entrepreneurs; and deregulation of building code inspections.
  • "3×750 and twice greater family welfare": Accountable promises of minimum wage and average pension reaching 750; twice increased family welfare for children; and extending the multi-child family education stipend to parents of such families. Vague promises of untaxable minimum for the income tax.
  • "Reliable healthcare system": Accountable promises of introducing a registry of cancer patients and annual increase in state budget for medicines of at least 10%. Vague promises of oncological treatment together with European institutions; restrictions of excess price raises for medication; and GPs' quality being measured through patients' health and life expectancy.
  • "Unflinching rule of law": Accountable promises of introducing register of lobbies and establishing Judicial affairs academy to provide education for future judges; prosecutors; and law enforcement leaders. Vague promises of quantifiable effectiveness evaluation criteria for KNAB and the Competition Council; state sponsorship programmer for anti-corruption NGOs; and prevention of violence against women; and domestic violence in general.
  • "Latvian roads – best in the Baltics": Accountable promises of starting renovation of the Riga ring road. Vague promises of building new highways to main development centres; establishing railroad as the backbone of transportation; and a national cycling roads programme.
  • "Work smart for Latvia": Accountable promises of 5000 IT professionals attracted to the local job market and seasonal workers tax regime in agriculture; hospitality; and food services. Vague promises of 10 unicorns in 10 years; lowest interest rates and banking fees in the Baltics; focused AML policies; increased subsidies for small-medium farmers; and reduced entrepreneurial red tape.
  • "The most effective government in Europe": Accountable promise of restoring 80% income tax split in favour of municipalities. Vague promises of a fair public sector salaries reform; Latvia reaching top 3 of Europe for e-government and open data; and regional revitalization with ministries gradually relegated to the regions.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:27 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"KATRAM UN KATRAI" (For Each and Every One, ticker: KuK (pronounced almost like you suspect))

Ballot rank: 14
Year founded: 2022 (2021)
Political position: Centre-right
Ideology: Liberal conservativism
Current MPs: 2/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://www.katraiunkatram.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/politiska-partija-katram-un-katrai
Demographics:


A splinter of S and PCL (formerly KPV), founded by, arguably, the 4 most scandalous MPs of the 13th Saeima election. They had big drama virtually immediately after founding, with half of the founders quitting. To pick a more pastoral scandal, Aldis Gobzems, a former PCL MP and the principal founder of KuK, at one point was asking people not vaccinated against COVID-19 to wear a yellow star in public, to share his plight. To be clear, this isn't the first or the last scandal of him – the personality there is aptly described by "what if Latvian Matt Gaetz and Latvian Michael Avenatti were the same person".

Their programme summary:
  • "Restore power to the people": Accountable promises of public presidential election; reduction of referendum threshold to 30k; electronic referendums; and cancellation of reimbursements MPs receive for housing and transportation expenses. Vague promises of reducing the number of MPs and restoration of democratic principles.
  • "Educated society": Accountable promises of free lunches in school and staff salary raises as per the established regulation. Vague promises of proximity of schools to children; European level of education; secondary education for everyone; and boosting reputation of being a teacher.
  • "Promotion of healthcare": Accountable promises of reducing VAT on medications to 5% and staff salary raises as per the established regulation. Vague promises of availability of medical staff; responsible attitude to one's own health; and an integrated education process.
  • "Welfare": Accountable promises of food VAT reduction to 12%; food; electricity; gas; and fuel VAT reduction to 5% in times of crisis; cancellation of vehicle operating tax; cancellation of the real estate tax; childbirth bonus of 5000; monthly child welfare of 100; lowering pension age of mothers of 4+ children to 60 years; and counting their maternal leave as job experience; income tax waiver for pensions below 1000; additional indexation of pensions for people with job experience predating 1997; free public transport for all pensioners; ban on crisis-time foreclosure or utilities bills debt collection; Latvian citizenship jus soli from 1991; retroactively. Vague promises of automatic welfare grants system and improving quality of life of individuals with disabilities.
  • "Fertile entrepreneurial environment": Accountable promises of 9-month tax-free regime for new companies; halved 2nd pension level; redistributing the remainder into 2pp for 1st pension level; and 1pp for healthcare; consequently reducing net social contribution to 31.09%; and individual control over pension funds. Vague promises of revised and simplified tax system; competitive prices for energy; financial; and human resources; investments into entrepreneurship; transforming Altum into a national investment bank; simplified import of foreign labour; restoration of part-time jobs; equal subsidies and EU-level lobbying for farmers; and simplified tax payment regime for the self-employed.
  • "Government": Vague promises of deregulation; lean government; prohibition of punishing people before consulting them; prohibition of measuring effectiveness by fines collected; reduction of repressive functions and excessive control; state revenue service mandated to help file taxes; rather than to punish; promotion of electronic documents; prohibition of asking for information available in public data banks.
  • Miscellaneous sections : Accountable promises of establishing a security academy; doubling salaries for police; fire departments; and the border guard; 2.5% GDP budget for defence; an acoustic concert hall in Riga; culture sector workers' salaries in accordance with the established regulation; establishment of free public legal consultation centres; judicial sector workers' salaries in accordance with the established regulation; cancellation of all COVID-19 restrictions; and ban of mandatory vaccination against COVID-19. Vague promises of the most modern national security expertise centre in Europe; support for development of military skills; fully-fledged participation in EU and NATO; and defence of Latvia's interests in international organisations.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:27 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"PROGRESĪVIE" (the Progressives, ticker: PRO)

Ballot rank: 15
Year founded: 2017
Political position: Centre-left
Ideology: Progressivism, Green politics
Current MPs: 0/100
In government: No
European party: European Green Party
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://www.progresivie.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/progresivie
Demographics:


It is a successor to an NGO named the same, and, in away, a splinter faction of the Latvian Social Democratic Workers' party. Nothing recent in terms of scandals they've caused, but they're a frequent target of culture wars about cycling lanes, gay marriage, abortion rights, etcetera.

Their programme summary:
  • "To overcome crisis responsibly": Vague promises of price caps on energy and reductions to the utility bills; VAT reductions for fresh food characteristic to Latvia; reduced taxes for individuals with monthly gross income below 1000; increased real estate tax for idle properties; fair pensions; social labour programme for economically vulnerable groups; close collaboration with EU and NATO.
  • "To invest in people and resilience": Accountable promises of setting the minimal salary for teachers to the national average wage; 100% increase for R&D investments and student welfare; 0.5% GDP annual increases to healthcare budget until it's 8%; establishment of national public housing system; abolition of natural gas use in favour of local resources; established of agency for energy efficiency; introduction of regulation for online gambling. Vague promises of balanced workload for teachers; state subsidies for education; deliberate industrial policy with modern reforms and areas of focus; increased efficiency of the healthcare system; reduction of deductible on medical services and medications; improved availability of GPs in regions, with differentiated salary; subsidies for physical education in schools; increased salaries for social workers, and families supporting long-term care relatives; comprehensive Nordic-style reform of public transportation, focusing on railroad; thoughtful environmental policies; support for agricultural cooperatives; expanded nature preservation programs; gradual ban of casinos with slot machines.
  • "To shape an inclusive society": Accountable promises of education only in Latvian from age of 1.5 years; ratification of the Istanbul Convention. Vague promises of increased support for public media; open financing for NGOs; improved accessibility for disabled individuals; framework for anti-bullying; support for the culture sector, including digitalization; increased support for KNAB; regulation of lobbying; overhaul of management in public institutions and companies.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Attīstībai/Par! (Development/For!, ticker: A/P)

Ballot rank: 16
Year founded: 2018
Political position: Radical centre
Ideology: Classical liberalism, pro-Europeanism
Current MPs: 14/100
In government: Yes, ministries of defence (vice PM), health, the interior, and environmental protection and regional development
European party: Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Party
Current MEPs: 1/8
Website: https://attistibaipar.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/attistibai-par
Demographics:


It's a somewhat recent party, formed as a result of 3 smaller liberal parties merging. They're in the ruling coalition, holding ministries for defence, the interior, environmental protection and regional development, and health. Their ministers are, generally speaking, incompetent, and have each been subject of months-long shitstorms, except for maybe the defence minister, who is too incompetent to get himself into a big scandal. The most recent scandal would be with failing to prevent the May 10 protest mentioned earlier, the largest – initial response to COVID-19, on many fronts. To name a specific example, our vaccine procurement strategy got pulled out of some rear end, and for the initial purchase we were one of a few European countries deviating from EC/EMA-recommended split between manufacturers. We focused on AstraZeneca, and exercised only ~10% of the volume of mRNA vaccines we were entitled to, which set our national vaccination campaign behind by at least 3-4 months.

Their programme summary (another list):
  • Accountable promises of construction of 1000 MW of domestic electrical capacity between wind, sun, wood, and geothermal; restoration of conscription service; establishment of an internal security academy; English language and programming classes starting from the elementary school; a public secondary in every county; 100% increase to spending on education, science, and R&D; free annual STEM or digital literacy courses for everyone; 100% increased public fund for NGOs.
  • Vague promises of subsidies for house heating improvements; price caps on heating costs; new programmes for hydrogen and nuclear energy; wide-scale reforms of the national security apparatus; procurement of air defence systems; stationing a permanent NATO brigade in Latvia; further subsidies and development programs for Latvian language; respectable wage and sense of mission for every teacher; relaxed regulations around foreign teachers and students in universities; increased focus on preventative care; reforms for primary care and oncology; digitalization of medicine; reduction of medication prices; reindustrialization of regions; subsidies for elderly care; increased digitalization; legal protections for all families; regulations for the social media; support for European federalization.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Apvienība Latvijai" (Union for Latvia, ticker: AL)

Ballot rank: 17
Year founded: 2022 (2016)
Political position: Right-wing
Ideology: Populism, Euroscepticism
Current MPs: 1/100
In government: No
European party: European People's Party
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://cilvecigi.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/apvieniba-latvijai
Demographics:


Formerly known (kind of, it's a whole new legal entity) as PCL and KPV LV, this party represents the main manifestation of Trumpist politics in Latvia. A lot of the other populist parties running this year trace their roots to this. AV has lost 15 MPs and were kicked out of the ruling coalition, down from being tied for the second place with K for the number of MPs. Of the recent scandals, this party, elected on an anti-corruption platform, was indicted this year by KNAB for illegal use of state funding to political parties, losing access to it for a year. Fun fact: they're registered as a party union for the election, while being the sole party in their union, if I understand it correctly – since their April 27 alliance with LSDSP did fall apart by June 1.

Their party programme:
  • "Government": Accountable promises of electronic voting system; public presidential elections. Vague promises of direct democracy; lean government; personal liability for public servants; laws simplified to laypeople's level; broad reform of the institute of the president; modernization of governments data banks; requiring public institutions to "consult first".
  • "Foreign affairs": Vague promises of support for Ukraine and opposition to European federalization.
  • "Internal affairs": Vague promises of management overhaul at ministries of Justice and the Interior; lustration of the ministry of the Interior; police reform; proportional salary and social security reform for critical public sector workers; employing retirees of the Interior ministry.
  • "Science": Accountable promise of boosting science funding to the EU average. Vague promise of supporting commercialization of scientific research.
  • "Education": Vague promises of bringing the education system into order; basic skills life-long education programme; career counsellors in elementary school; promotion of entrepreneurship in tertiary education;
  • "Health": Accountable promise of free annual health check for everyone. Vague promises of better preventative care; science-based voluntary vaccination; "people's sport".
  • "Economy": Accountable promise of closure of OIK. Vague promises of economic support for people regardless of credit rating or current debts; appropriate state assistance to green energy producers; strategic reserves designation for local natural resources.
  • "Taxation": Accountable promises of forbidding foreclosure on the sole home; waiving taxes on pensions. Vague promises of simple tax system, particularly supportive to small businesses; consultative obligation for the state revenue service; reduced income tax for the poor.
  • "Finances": Accountable promises of capping personal bankruptcy at 18 months; capping debt collection cases at 10 years, unless for alimonies or criminal activity. Vague promises of establishing a national investment bank; easier debt erasure.
  • "National security": Vague promises of joint military drills; establishment of an HQ covering fire departments, ambulance, police, national guard, and army; comprehensive civil defence plan.
  • Miscellaneous sections. Accountable promise of banning any immigration to Latvia. Vague promises of strengthening energy independence; preservation of immaterial culture values; reduction of human waste in nature; civil education programme for waste management.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:34 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"APVIENOTAIS SARAKSTS – Latvijas Zaļā partija, Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība, Liepājas partija" (United List, ticker: AS)

Ballot rank: 18
Year founded: 2022 (2014)
Political position: Centre-right
Ideology: Regionalism, Green conservativism
Current MPs: 4/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://www.apvienotaissaraksts.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/apvienotais-saraksts-latvijas-zala-partija-latvijas-regionu-apvieniba-liepajas-partija
Demographics:


This is the ZZS splinter mentioned earlier, using a shell company. The "boring, stable adult" part of it, so there's nothing to go on regarding any recent scandals.

Programme summary (it's a brain dump about how the country should work, rather than what they are going to do to get there, in most cases):
  • Accountable promise of mixed electoral model.
  • Vague promises of strong job market; more frequent indexation of pensions during crisis; closer cooperation with NGOs; equal access to municipal and public services everywhere; increased budged for education and science, focusing on STEM; reduction in self-serving reforms; reduced referendum threshold; subsidies for MIC; support for national and civil security institutions; lobbying for further NATO presence in the region.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:29 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




"Republika" (Republic, ticker: R)

Ballot rank: 19
Year founded: 2021
Political position: Radical centre
Ideology: Populism
European party:
Current MPs: 2/100
In government: No
European party: N/A
Current MEPs: 0/8
Website: https://republika2030.lv/
CVK page: https://sv2022.cvk.lv/pub/kandidatu-saraksti/politiska-partija-republika
Demographics:


This party is a combined PCL and S splinter, founded after PCL's collapse out of the ruling coalition by Sandis Ģirģens, ex-minister of the Interior for PCL, and Vjačeslavs Dombrovskis, a prominent politician. The recent scandals was the S half bailing out of the party not even half a year after their founding, with Ģirģens accusing Dombrovskis of stealing over 300 party membership applications on his way out.

Programme summary:
  • "Protection of voters. Eradication of parties' cartel": Accountable promises of reducing number of MPs to 50; electronic online voting; single-mandate districts electoral model with revocation rights. Vague promises of reduced referendum threshold; obligation for president to form a technocratic government.
  • "National security": Accountable promises of 2.5% GDP budget for internal security; preservation of service pensions. Vague promises of continued support to the volunteer army and national guard; support for MIC; fair salaries and social support for employees of ministries of Defence, the Interior, Justice, and Finance; restoration of a modern police academy.
  • "Prevention of crime and corruption, rule of law, protection of human rights": Accountable promises of unification of KNAB, Internal security bureau, and VID internal security department. Vague promises of modernization of the state police and the public procurement watchdog; independent and quicker courts; prevention of corruption and cartels in public procurement; reinforcement of basic human rights protections.
  • "Economy": Accountable promises to withhold hydropower from Nord Pool; strategic resource status for local natural resources; construction of an SMR nuclear plant; transfer of vehicle operating tax to fuel prices; technical expansion for less than a decade old vehicles once in 2 years; waived real estate tax for the sole home; tax wedge capped at the EU average; shadow economy reduced to 19% of GDP. Vague promises of reducing utility fees in energy sectors; fixed rate for local renewables in time of crisis; reduced PVN for some sectors; redistribution of VAT and personal and corporate income taxes between the state and the municipalities.
  • "Social wellbeing, demographics": Accountable promises of automatic pension inheritance; waiving taxes on pensions; pegging minimum pension to the minimum wage; making 2nd pension level optional; allowing to withdraw pension funds into an investment account with waived income tax. Vague promises of increased pensions; targeted welfare programs for various demographic groups.
  • "Education, health, science, innovations, and social partners": Accountable promises of free lunches in schools. Vague promises of prioritization of faster development for education, health, science, and R&D; fair salaries and social welfare for employees in sectors of education, health, social support, and science, in accordance with unions' requirements; reduced patient co-payments; expanded preventative care, access to health services and medications; availability of medical specialists, including palliative care, in all regions.
  • "Sports, healthy nation": Vague promises of a "ready for labour and defence" national sports programme; support for popular and elite sports; state subsidies for sports for individual children.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 04:30 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Right, so this was an rear end load to type, so apologies if I've slipped up on details, grammar somewhere, or something looks stupid – just let me know.

Anyway, my quick takes, I guess, since I need at least a slight break away from typing this week:

JV – Very generic mainstream centrism for Latvia, with a competently written programme. The ratings reflect that quite astutely. Not super happy to see the political nation part leaning into Latvian language, but at this point there's only Russia to thank for our Overton window swerving hard towards nationalism. Everyone who has ever wanted to vote for clowns like NA has already done that.

LKS – In addition to transition to populism, they're also increasingly dropping the pretence of being the human rights or the minority rights party, and are just focusing on being Russophile. Furthermore, while hardly the worst example of it this election, the programme has a whole load of de facto impossible stuff. Like, even if they win the absolute majority in parliament-impossible.

ZZS – The programme is fairly modest, a bit uncharacteristically so, and I'm thus not sure what's the play here. I guess Lembergs is doing damage control to save the train wreck of the party now, at least in some way, since they're losing the ratings battle against their splinter. Bet that as it may, friends don't let friends to vote for Lembergs, so I don't think there's anything worth analysis here.

TKL:allbuttons:

SV – This is obvious idiot bait, obvious enough even for the target demographic. Wouldn't be surprised to learn later that this was very specifically Stepaņenko trying to torpedo LPV's chances for making it over the parliamentary threshold, out of spite.

KPP – I was honestly so loving lost reading this. I'm not sure if this is some boomer doing a bit, 375 IQ tax dodge, or something else going on here. Would love some robots, though.

S – Surprisingly weak programme, I'm genuinely puzzled about it. They seem to be well on their way to swerving from being the main champion of social democracy politics in the country to an angry populist party number #5. What I think happened is that they were a bit too meek, for their base, on pushing against COVID-19 policies, and then Russia decided to go crazy, and instead of just full sending it like LKS, S tried to sit on all chairs at once, tearing their rear end in the progress.

S! — Very unfortunate name-ticker combo for this post. In any case, I think this is the kind of populism that's going to stick around. I'm somewhat surprised they didn't lean into oiling up pensioners, like a few others did, but this is hitting the lean government notes, railing against VID and the government acting as "punishers" (basically the whole thing about government helping, consulting, assisting, not punish, etcetera is concern trolling from lolbertarians loving around and finding out, especially during COVID-19 lockdown). Would've expected something more about taxes, but, I guess, that would be a bit too on the nose wrt our budget deficit and such. Kind of surprised, both here and elsewhere, seeing parties push for a smaller parliament, but I'm uncertain if there's more to it than attempts to consolidate power by the leaders of all those splinter parties. Virtually all of them exist because KPV LV was run idiotically by complete morons, and did very well in parliamentary election, so like half of the current populism wave is just a big Dunning-Kruger FYGM slap fight essentially.

TVS – The actual idiot party, and the rating accurately reflects that.

VL:confused:

NA – Same old usual poo poo. Actually surprised to see them trying to mention Latgale favourably, when they're openly :godwin: about making ethnic percentages go up. Going to refrain about speculation how the cinema subsidy line came in, would be rude to speak like that of Christians.

LPV – this is very much Šlesers doing his gently fondles ball sack of business thing, using COVID-19 anger as a springboard to gather some votes, if I had to guess. Some of those financial promises are pretty lol, though.

K – The mortgage part feels like trying to pay people off for popular anger with the ministers for justice and for education and science, but otherwise these feels like the expected "slightly more technocratic and slightly more to the right than JV". Surprisingly quiet/weak on healthcare.

KuK – Another obvious idiot bait, but Gobzems is much better at social media game than SV.

PRO – Nothing pragmatic about economy, leaning into nationalism like the rest of body politics, though out of necessity, some literal "the thing but better" stuff. Overall, disappointingly vague, I can only say. I'm at a genuine loss at how they decided that this a solid political message to put into writing, since the other possibility is considerably more terrifying to consider.

A/P:wtc: Did they let Pabriks write this alone as a compensation for his biggest fuckup so far being merely goofy on Twitter (since manifesto happened before he just decided to be straight up sexist on the main stage TV) when he stands on the shoulders of giants of public failure like loving V*ņķele?

AL – ah yes, the "everyone gets one house for free" manifesto.

AS – the liberal boomer vote goes here.

R – honestly can't tell what's the programme's message, and to whom. Especially the GTO part :laffo:

In general, I'm mildly amused to see how much electoral model change talking is going on, and how much are populists crying about "state must teach us instead of punish us :qq:". Our dipshits are really inspired by Gobzems and Americans, yet afraid to follow, huh.

P.S. For my election predictions, I'm going to wait for other takes (and the ratings for the 37th week).

P.P.S. Random trivia I learned when writing this: Janīna Kursīte and Janīna Kursīte-Pakule are different MPs in very different parties.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 06:10 on Sep 18, 2022

Sir Bobert Fishbone
Jan 16, 2006

Beebort
Hell yes thank you for your service I am going to read the hell out of this.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

S breaking off to form S! is pretty great

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.
Thanks for all your effort! I have a few questions/suggestions:

1. Consider making the OP a link index going to the individual parties, that will make it easier to parse. That chart's just really handy.
2. Internal references to other parties being links to their respective posts (e.g. around the LPV fracture) would also help. The same is true for your opinion post at the end.
3. What specifically do you mean by "accountable promise"?
4. Under SV, could you clarify what "doubled tax returns for single-child families" means?
5. Should I understand KPP as being similar to the old technocratic movement in the US?
6. What is Saskaņa's deal- are they basically just trying to disrupt the current government at any cost? Is there some sort of interplay happening between them and NA?
7. Under S!, what is "the school reform" they are nominally opposing?
8. Under LPV, what the gently caress does "making Latvia the Dubai of the North" mean? Oil extraction?
9. PRO seems good (which would explain why they're doing better than previously, and why they're a frequent target). What's their position on nuclear energy and grid integration?
10. Slight typo, "brining" under the AL entry.
11. Regarding AS, should we understand the splintering as being done to preserve its power relative to ZZS?
12. In your reaction/summary post, "AV" should be "AL".
13: Regarding your opinion post for R, idk what you mean by "GTO".

Generally, this layout of policy programmes and party splits is less depressing than I'd feared. It's very interesting to see how a tendency toward fracturing affecting the right rather than the left has the effect of leaving the major conservative/central party far saner than the US Republicans. Maybe I'm misattributing the causation though.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 04:01 on Sep 18, 2022

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009
Disappointing that KuK isn't some sort of "Make Latvia a part of resurgent Austro-Hungarian Empire" party with that name. Sounds like it would be an improvement, too.
(... not sure how I would deal with those choices if I were Latvian...)

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Discendo Vox posted:

Thanks for all your effort! I have a few questions/suggestions:

1. Consider making the OP a link index going to the individual parties, that will make it easier to parse. That chart's just really handy.
2. Internal references to other parties being links to their respective posts (e.g. around the LPV fracture) would also help. The same is true for your opinion post at the end.
3. What specifically do you mean by "accountable promise"?
4. Under SV, could you clarify what "doubled tax returns for single-child families" means?
5. Should I understand KPP as being similar to the old technocratic movement in the US?
6. What is Saskaņa's deal- are they basically just trying to disrupt the current government at any cost? Is there some sort of interplay happening between them and NA?
7. Under S!, what is "the school reform" they are nominally opposing?
8. Under LPV, what the gently caress does "making Latvia the Dubai of the North" mean? Oil extraction?
9. PRO seems good (which would explain why they're doing better than previously, and why they're a frequent target). What's their position on nuclear energy and grid integration?
10. Slight typo, "brining" under the AL entry.
11. Regarding AS, should we understand the splintering as being done to preserve its power relative to ZZS?
12. In your reaction/summary post, "AV" should be "AL".
13: Regarding your opinion post for R, idk what you mean by "GTO".

Generally, this layout of policy programmes and party splits is less depressing than I'd feared. It's very interesting to see how a tendency toward fracturing affecting the right rather than the left has the effect of leaving the major conservative/central party far saner than the US Republicans. Maybe I'm misattributing the causation though.

I like your suggestions, and cheers for the typos hints. On your questioons:

3. My intuition on how plausible it would be for a party to do something apart from what an ordinary adult would understand with a specific promise, and subsequently misrepresent their actions as a fulfilment of an electoral promise. In other words, whether if I consider the promise falsifiable, with the additional adjustment of practicality. For instance, raising a teacher's salary from 6000 to 6600 EUR brutto is a 10% raise, so, quite competitive within nominal dynamics oh Latvian labour economy at a calm time. However, expressed as the average wage in Riga, the change is impractically small – from 39.15% to 43.07%. In other words, all binary outcomes were included, but for gradual outcomes I've designated as vague those where I don't consider effectively meaningless, our outright misleading, compliance as particularly difficult to achieve.

4. On this note, I'm glad to expand on all vague things – I literally just wanted to avoid doing full translation of all programmes from the outset, since this approach already took more time than I initially estimated.

Also, I did a brain fart there. The specific policy proposal is “To double the easements for dependents in single-parent families”, rather than single-child families. The easement here specifically is 250/month for each dependent until the age of 24 with some finer modalities that are not essential to know right away. This easement does increase your non-taxable income in the annual tax filing.

The proposal would make this easement 500/month/dependent for a single parent.

5. I would suggest somewhere closer to people with cardboard signs, but on the policy level that page looks kind-of there, at least based on a brief scan of the page you linked.

6. They got de fact exiled out of ever being in a government some 10-15 years ago. Not explicitly, of course, as that would be highly illegal, but through this implicit friction with nationalists, the extent of Russophobia that the generalised electorate is content with being a passive bystander of, and failing, if at least somewhat lopsided, repeat purity tests on not being affiliated or otherwise interested in maintaining a relationship with the political establishment of Russian Federation. Since then, the party has kind-of thrashed around, struggling to find its indetity, or a way forward, while its de facto leader, Ušakovs, essentially fled Latvian police, pursuing him on corruption charges, by becoming a MEP. This has left them in at best an awkward spot in our political system.

That said, in this specific case, this isn't really a party line that's enforced hard. Latvian parliament doesn't operate through political parties, and it's impossible to have a party whip or some such. Once an MP is elected, they can flip everyone they want off and do their thing. And on the specific vote I'm referencing, while majority of Harmony's faction abstained from voting, blowing up the quorum in alliance with NA, ZZS, and the "idependent" faction of AL (KPV) failsons, there were Harmony MPs enabling the vote as well. The party's preference was explicitly in favour of abstaining from vote, however, with the stated reason being suspected corruption (KNAB investigated it and found no wrongdoing) in the legislative development process for the law. The more likely reason is that after COVID-19 and Ukraine (as we're currently talking about June 2022 events) Harmony has bled all the young people, and have a decidedly socially conservative electorate left to court.

7. It's a good question, I don't know as well. :) The full language use is “We will cancel the poorly thought out school reform”, and there are quite a few things described by that, possibly.

If I had to guess, this refers to the most recent one, which was not really an education reform (i.e., what you'd think there), but as a financing reform, under which the government has stopped paying teachers “directly”, and just transfers are lump sum to a municipality, telling it to use the funds for payroll expenses in local schools. I don't have kids and live in a city, so I'm not well familiar with the effects of it, but it may have caused longer commutes in the countryside, indirectly shuttering the less sustainable schools. While we have schools where staff headcount basically exceeds student headcount, this seems to be a somewhat mainstream complaint (though it then leaves other problems unsolved).

8. Rich and cool city. No, not taking a piss.

9. Yeah, they're cool people, despite me having some personal history with an individual party member, being at odds with their historical immigration policy (a few years back, they cited Denmark as an example to look up to). I just wish there would be a bit more pragmatic, or communicate their pragmatism better, since otherwise they sometimes feel like “I'll fix her” category of dating mistakes, but policymaking approach.

Their programme doesn't mention nuclear at all, and I'm not sure what their historical stances on that have been. Based on the way things are here in general, I would say that it's less than 50% likely that they view it non-negatively. What you meant with grid integration?

11. I'm not going to prescribe anything here, but my subjective interpretation is that this is our Green party making a defensive move against placing herself into a position where they must fight an oligarch's personality cult for political influence, while being explicitly vulnerable to the said oligarch's cash.

13. GTO here means Gotov k Trudu i Oborone, a very specific and very famous public health policy of the Soviet Union. I cannot understate how odd it is to, khem, carbon copy this, including the name of it, and in 2022 of all times.

Also, I would caution against viewing our populism as being motivated by adherence to right-wing ideals. Their activities are driven by profiteering, whereas NA or K will be the actual right-wing ideologues of different kinds. I would say that overall the strength of political convictions (polarization, kind-of, but maybe not quite that mechanistically) here is lower than in the US, meaning that populism can have a solid sway in the centre, regardless of what the ideological pairings actually look like, whereas, going outwards, all the populist splinter drama is akin to sea foam to the proverbial ideological glaciers of LKS and NA.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 05:57 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Latvian PBS equivalent has a short series of articles in English on the election:

https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/saeima/saeima-elections-2022-how-it-all-happens.a467052/
https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/election/saeima-elections-2022-all-the-parties-part-1.a471458/
https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/election/saeima-elections-2022-all-the-parties-part-2.a472204/
https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/election/saeima-elections-2022-all-the-parties-part-3.a472293/
https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/election/saeima-elections-2022-all-the-parties-part-4.a472417/

A few extra you may find interesting

https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/election/latvias-pre-election-campaign-spending-currently-at-145-million.a468987/
https://eng.lsm.lv/article/politics/election/why-latvians-vote-and-dont-vote-in-saeima-elections.a470505/

More stuff in Latvian, for the few of us here or anyone really brave and armed with Google Translate

Partiju Šķirotava has received answers from all 19 parties. https://www.lsm.lv/velesanas2022/partiju-skirotava/ (this is a party matcher where you answer the same questions that parties submitted their official positions on)

LVPortāls has done a long rear end series, in consultation with local political scientists

https://lvportals.lv/norises/343481-partiju-programmas-ko-tajas-vertet-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/343592-lasam-partiju-programmas-areja-drosiba-un-starptautiskas-attiecibas-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/343693-lasam-partiju-programmas-energetika-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/343757-lasam-partiju-programmas-iekseja-drosiba-un-tiesiskums-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/343795-lasam-partiju-programmas-sabiedribas-saliedetiba-un-informativa-telpa-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/343938-lasam-partiju-programmas-veselibas-aprupe-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/344076-lasam-partiju-programmas-izglitiba-un-zinatne-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/344163-lasam-partiju-programmas-socialais-atbalsts-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/344202-lasam-partiju-programmas-pasvaldibas-regionu-attistiba-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/344364-lasam-partiju-programmas-uznemejdarbiba-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/344495-lasam-partiju-programmas-kultura-2022
https://lvportals.lv/norises/344611-lasam-partiju-programmas-politiska-sistema-un-valsts-parvaldiba-2022

Also have a few more thoughts to post, but I'm so tired that starting to forget what I wanted to write up about. Finger crossed it was something stupid, or I remember it after I've had some sleep.

OddObserver posted:

Disappointing that KuK isn't some sort of "Make Latvia a part of resurgent Austro-Hungarian Empire" party with that name. Sounds like it would be an improvement, too.
(... not sure how I would deal with those choices if I were Latvian...)

Easy, just need to be slightly more angry than usual. I'll deal with my vote, as usual, but this year my parents asked me for a shortlist of parties worth reading more of, and I really don't know how I'm doing that one without providing them with a disclaimer longer than the list :suicide:

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 05:59 on Sep 18, 2022

a podcast for cats
Jun 22, 2005

Dogs reading from an artifact buried in the ruins of our civilization, "We were assholes- " and writing solemnly, "They were assholes."
Soiled Meat

Discendo Vox posted:


9. PRO seems good (which would explain why they're doing better than previously, and why they're a frequent target). What's their position on nuclear energy and grid integration?


Yes, mostly. Bias disclosure is that I am an early (albeit very passive) member and voted for them already in mail in voting. They've underdelivered in the Riga city council, a bit, their economical policies are a bit too vague and fluffy for my liking, but it has the makings of a genuinely good organization. I have very little access to the rumour mill, but my understanding is that there are very few hints of shadiness. To quote my only source with insider access, "There are couple of people at the top who should be kept away from money and power if possible, but I'm happy with literally everyone else."

PRO joined the European Greens this year, after an internal vote on the decision. I voted against, largely due to EG stance on nuclear energy. Their position is to favour renewables over LPG and nuclear while pursuing independence from Russian energy. The projected idea is that nuclear could be a long term solution, but not practical in short to medium term. In all honesty, I'm not perfectly comfortable with this.

OddObserver posted:

Disappointing that KuK isn't some sort of "Make Latvia a part of resurgent Austro-Hungarian Empire" party with that name. Sounds like it would be an improvement, too.
(... not sure how I would deal with those choices if I were Latvian...)

Now that you mention it, KuK is exactly the sort of party Josef Švejk would be telling anecdotes about.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.
GTO sounds similar to, in certain respects, the very good and Trump-discontinued US President's Fitness Challenge prorgam.

cinci zoo sniper posted:

9. Yeah, they're cool people, despite me having some personal history with an individual party member, being at odds with their historical immigration policy (a few years back, they cited Denmark as an example to look up to). I just wish there would be a bit more pragmatic, or communicate their pragmatism better, since otherwise they sometimes feel like “I'll fix her” category of dating mistakes, but policymaking approach.

Their programme doesn't mention nuclear at all, and I'm not sure what their historical stances on that have been. Based on the way things are here in general, I would say that it's less than 50% likely that they view it non-negatively. What you meant with grid integration?

I noted another party (blanking on which) was advocating linking the power grid to neighboring EU states.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 06:31 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Discendo Vox posted:

I noted another party (blanking on which) was advocating linking the power grid to neighboring EU states.

Oh, EU electrical grid is interconnected already – we need to do some clean-up there, due to Soviet legacy infrastructure, but that’s not something noteworthy. The plan you’re referencing is by K, and my read on it is that they want a direct connection to the closest friendly producer of nuclear energy, as a precaution.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 14:11 on Sep 18, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




https://twitter.com/davekeating/status/1571423790373937153

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
You should probably add some kind of explanation of the whole non-citizen thing to the first post. It pops up in some programmes, but if you're not familiar with the term, it may look like it's about immigrants.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
:byewhore:

Thanks for the heroic effort cinci! Way more than I can digest at once but will definitely read through it.




EU really needs to crank up the PR in Serbia

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Paladinus posted:

You should probably add some kind of explanation of the whole non-citizen thing to the first post. It pops up in some programmes, but if you're not familiar with the term, it may look like it's about immigrants.

Good point, added that.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

mobby_6kl posted:

:byewhore:

Thanks for the heroic effort cinci! Way more than I can digest at once but will definitely read through it.




EU really needs to crank up the PR in Serbia

This raises a question about what kind of PR does China have there. I think there was a Serbian billboard with 'Thank you brother Xi' or something like that.

Mokotow
Apr 16, 2012

Paldies, cinci, but also :wtc: that’s a lot of work for a dead gay comedy forum

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Mokotow posted:

Paldies, cinci, but also :wtc:

I can’t believe that you’re taking issue with bringing back the glorious local governments of late 30s Mussolini-style fascist dictatorship of Ulmanis

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Paladinus posted:

This raises a question about what kind of PR does China have there. I think there was a Serbian billboard with 'Thank you brother Xi' or something like that.

China kindly moved their embassy to a new location and then built a cultural center to the site of the old embassy though the initiative and some of the money came from USA :v:

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




I just reread my last long post and, loving hell, I definitely require another night of sleep before I write a more grounded take on the election that we face.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Doctor Malaver
May 23, 2007

Ce qui s'est passé t'a rendu plus fort

Paladinus posted:

This raises a question about what kind of PR does China have there. I think there was a Serbian billboard with 'Thank you brother Xi' or something like that.

Vučić relatively frequently meets in person with Xi Jingping or talks with him. Same with Putin, at least before the war. And of course EU people. Pro-Vučić media (that's 90% of all Serbian media) milk every such occasion. No need for China to purchase ads or whatever when there's a million news items about unending friendship between two friendly nations etc.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply