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Baconroll
Feb 6, 2009
One wild-card in the whole 'Ukraine should get ATACMS' debate - America isn't the only country that has them.

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Arrath
Apr 14, 2011


Baconroll posted:

One wild-card in the whole 'Ukraine should get ATACMS' debate - America isn't the only country that has them.

That could be a scant supply of missiles, since they're only made here and the DoD could presumably say "oh you want more? Tough luck" when country X comes by looking to replenish their stocks after giving them away.

Steezo
Jun 16, 2003
Now go away, or I shall taunt you a second time!


Comedy option: secret Ukrainian Orion Drive nuclear weapon that drops a conventional kinetic penetrator, and nothing else. Maybe a toilet.

Wombot
Sep 11, 2001

Putin just gave his address:
Partial mobilization, of reserves and former military persons.
Called Ukraine "novarossisk"
Referendums to be annexed by Russia will go through in Kherson, Donetsk, Luhansk, a few others.
The torture reports are real but done by Ukraine.
Ukraine is blackmailing Russia with the ZNPP.

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

https://mobile.twitter.com/Andrew__...-to-speak-at-un

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





Wombot posted:

Putin just gave his address:
Partial mobilization, of reserves and former military persons.
Called Ukraine "novarossisk"
Referendums to be annexed by Russia will go through in Kherson, Donetsk, Luhansk, a few others.
The torture reports are real but done by Ukraine.
Ukraine is blackmailing Russia with the ZNPP.

I'm doing my part

Marshal Prolapse
Jun 23, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Comrade Blyatlov posted:

I'm doing my part

In getting pink misted synced to the Benny hill theme.

Xakura
Jan 10, 2019

A safety-conscious little mouse!
:siren: Partial mobilization :siren:

Now let's see who's going to train them, and what they're going to be equipped with.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Xakura posted:

:siren: Partial mobilization :siren:

Now let's see who's going to train them, and what they're going to be equipped with.

Its partial mobilisation because thats the part they're not doing.

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

Xakura posted:

:siren: Partial mobilization :siren:

Now let's see who's going to train them, and what they're going to be equipped with.

Per the latest ISW update:


quote:

Russian forces continue to degrade their force generation capabilities by cannibalizing training elements to fight in combat formations in Ukraine. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russian military is forming four new infantry battalions at the base of the Russian 36th Motorized Rifle Brigade (29th Combined Arms Army, Eastern Military District) in Borzya in Zabaykalsky Krai and that the Russian military is pulling faculty from the Russian Far Eastern Higher Combined Arms Command School to serve as officers in these battalions.[44] The Russian military‘s continued stripping of Russian training units and service academies of personnel will further impede its ability to train new conscripts and replacements.[45]

Carth Dookie
Jan 28, 2013

Steezo posted:

Comedy option: secret Ukrainian Orion Drive nuclear weapon that drops a conventional kinetic penetrator, and nothing else. Maybe a toilet.


Just fill washing machines with cobalt 60 and trebuchet them over the border.

Elviscat
Jan 1, 2008

Well don't you know I'm caught in a trap?

Fortunately for everyone Zelensky's government is smart, and knows the easiest path to nuclear security is by furthering ties to NATO and the nuclear armed western powers, not starting a Manhattan Projeski that would sap valuable industrial resources and give Russia an excuse to nuke them without reprisal.

If Russia goes nuclear I would like to think that the US and NATO would, at a minimum conduct a full blockade of Russia, to include destroying any assets out of their territorial waters or airspace, as well as providing direct air and LACM support in the conflict in Ukraine, but I'm hoping I don't find out.


Full Clancy option: Russia launches strategic nuclear weapons at Ukraine that are intercepted by land-based AEGIS from Poland. In retaliation a wolf pack of US submarines sink the entire Northern Fleet and Tomahawk every Naval installation on the white sea. Simultaneously the 82nd Airborne and half the USMC make landfall in Sevastopol and drive the Russians out of Ukraine with a firm warning not to come back

stealie72
Jan 10, 2007

Carth Dookie posted:

Just fill washing machines with cobalt 60 and trebuchet them over the border. wait for them to be stolen and shipped over the border.

Kazinsal
Dec 13, 2011
With any luck, Putin will shoot himself in the back of the head eighteen times then fall out of a window into the trunk of a car.

Raged
Jul 21, 2003

A revolution of beats

Xakura posted:

:siren: Partial mobilization :siren:

Now let's see who's going to train them, and what they're going to be equipped with.

Are you forgetting they have Steven Segal?

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
Ah yes, to train you to poo poo your pants when confronted

BadOptics
Sep 11, 2012

Throwing untrained reservists or old vets that haven't even probably ran in years into planes, tanks and infantry units didn't help Germany in '45 and won't help Putin now.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

BadOptics posted:

Throwing untrained reservists or old vets that haven't even probably ran in years into planes, tanks and infantry units didn't help Germany in '45 and won't help Putin now.

Yup. Even better, he's probably going to drain a lot of the workforce that is needed to enact his other plan to step up production of weapons and ammo.

M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon
Fingers crossed, the more desperate he gets the more likely the window option is. He knows it, we know it, his buddies know it.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

M_Gargantua posted:

Fingers crossed, the more desperate he gets the more likely the window option is. He knows it, we know it, his buddies know it.

I mean, yeah, that's why everybody else is going out the window this year.

https://twitter.com/JayinKyiv/status/1572547984386322432?s=20&t=ow6nXGDofaH1GGQMKMwm8Q

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 14:18 on Sep 21, 2022

perfluorosapien
Aug 15, 2015

Oven Wrangler
Putin's nuclear threats are meant to get the US and UK to negotiate with him on Ukraine's behalf. Zelensky is not a nuclear head of state, so obviously Washington and London shouldn't leave MAD in his hands. Putin truly believes that the US and UK operate hand-in-glove with respect to Kyiv. That was evident in February when he wanted to negotiate with them more than with Ukraine. So he may think that his way out is to shock the US and UK into talks.

Washington has its own blind spots. The State Dept is supposed to be the voice of diplomacy. It's their job to have staff who can take an understanding approach to any foreign power, even pariahs, and put diplomatic options on the president's menu. A while back War on the Rocks (I think?) had a State Dept senior councilor on the show to discuss Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the guy was super disinterested in Russia as an actor. He was completely preoccupied with showing how tough State could be. The guy was, obviously, morally right, but also failing at his job, which is not to show that diplomats can be meatheads too.

World powers do want to avoid war, and ruling classes want to avoid ruin, but blind spots like these make it possible for miscalculations to pile on top of miscalculations, potentially resulting in most of us getting fried.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

yurtcradled posted:

World powers do want to avoid war, and ruling classes want to avoid ruin, but blind spots like these make it possible for miscalculations to pile on top of miscalculations, potentially resulting in most of us getting fried.

Putin isn't going to use nuclear weapons over Ukraine. He's used this threat repeatedly and its the same bluff as always.

The message has been clear, he has to negotiate with Ukraine, and Ukraine wants him out of the occupied territories and will accept nothing else.

CainFortea
Oct 15, 2004


CommieGIR posted:

They intend to:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/25/russia-to-send-belarus-nuclear-capable-missiles-within-months

Part of the Referendum earlier in the year was towards that goal of both stationing Strategic weapons in Belarus and starting the process of integrating Belarus into Russia proper.

They don't have the tires to move them there.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

CainFortea posted:

They don't have the tires to move them there.

Spintires lied to me!

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

He threatened to use "military technical means" to prevent Finland and Sweden from joining NATO, and yet here we are.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

psydude posted:

He threatened to use "military technical means" to prevent Finland and Sweden from joining NATO, and yet here we are.

Does that mean a dshk on a lada?

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

A.o.D. posted:

Does that mean a dshk on a lada?

That or more Hard bass.

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009
Is "bribing Orban and Erdogan to vote no on Sweden and Finland" military-technical?

aphid_licker
Jan 7, 2009


The X-man cometh posted:

Is "bribing Orban and Erdogan to vote no on Sweden and Finland" military-technical?

Technically mno

Roblo
Dec 10, 2007

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!
As a Brit it's pretty hilarious that Putin is wanting to negotiate with "US and UK" as if the UK is anywhere near as important as the states.

Don't get me wrong I'm pleased with our response to date, but it seems daft. Putin seems to have a really inflated opinion of the UKs importance.

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

The X-man cometh posted:

Is "bribing Orban and Erdogan to vote no on Sweden and Finland" military-technical?

Yeah but it's kind of on the extreme end of the alignment chart

Prop Wash
Jun 12, 2010



Roblo posted:

As a Brit it's pretty hilarious that Putin is wanting to negotiate with "US and UK" as if the UK is anywhere near as important as the states.

Don't get me wrong I'm pleased with our response to date, but it seems daft. Putin seems to have a really inflated opinion of the UKs importance.

Probably it’s because they’ve had a lot more success infiltrating the British decision making process and hope to use the UK to assist with Russian desired outcomes

Torrannor
Apr 27, 2013

---FAGNER---
TEAM-MATE
Or they think the UK is America's poodle and so treat both of them as a package deal.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Roblo posted:

As a Brit it's pretty hilarious that Putin is wanting to negotiate with "US and UK" as if the UK is anywhere near as important as the states.

Don't get me wrong I'm pleased with our response to date, but it seems daft. Putin seems to have a really inflated opinion of the UKs importance.

Don't sell yourselves short. Other than the Czechs, the Poles, and the Baltic states, all of whom have a personal grudge, y'all have been more weight in this than anyone else in Europe.

As for Putin, I think any declaration of what he wont do is premature. At every opportunity during his reign, he's chosen to escalate. He's doing it now, and there's no rational indication that he'll stop any time soon. This is only going to get more dangerous the longer this continues and he's in charge.

Arsenic Lupin
Apr 12, 2012

This particularly rapid💨 unintelligible 😖patter💁 isn't generally heard🧏‍♂️, and if it is🤔, it doesn't matter💁.


BIG HEADLINE posted:

As much as I don't want to see this war escalate to Russia using tacnukes, if it does, the world will not end, it'll just get way more dangerous and tense. The entire Indian subcontinent could go up in ashes and the incidence of cancers in North America might rise in the single digit percentages over the next two decades. Yes, there'd be agricultural effects, but, as usual, they'd gently caress the poor and third world over way more than "us."
" Mr. President, I'm not saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed. "

yurtcradled posted:

The State Dept is supposed to be the voice of diplomacy. It's their job to have staff who can take an understanding approach to any foreign power, even pariahs, and put diplomatic options on the president's menu. A while back War on the Rocks (I think?) had a State Dept senior councilor on the show to discuss Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the guy was super disinterested in Russia as an actor. He was completely preoccupied with showing how tough State could be. The guy was, obviously, morally right, but also failing at his job, which is not to show that diplomats can be meatheads too.
You can't discuss the competence of the State Department without acknowledging the enormous gap left by all the senior people who resigned/were fired under the Trump administration, hardest-hit the experienced Russia/former USSR specialists. Several generations of expertise gone.

Hyrax Attack!
Jan 13, 2009

We demand to be taken seriously

I know the info isn’t available but would be fascinating to know how barebones every non-Ukraine war Russian deployment is at the moment, especially if it’s true they are sending nuke missile specialists in as infantry. Wonder if they’ve considered docking navy ships and having crews redeploy as infantry.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Hyrax Attack! posted:

I know the info isn’t available but would be fascinating to know how barebones every non-Ukraine war Russian deployment is at the moment, especially if it’s true they are sending nuke missile specialists in as infantry. Wonder if they’ve considered docking navy ships and having crews redeploy as infantry.

There was already a couple Naval Aviation troops killed or found in Ukraine. And their Naval Infantry is already deployed there and a brigade got wiped out.

Marshal Prolapse
Jun 23, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
https://twitter.com/markrid89403375/status/1572617285466222592?s=46&t=h4lMBYTJL31VXMSXFsyhGQ

That doesn’t strike me as a sound way to transport bombs.

Marshal Prolapse fucked around with this message at 17:08 on Sep 21, 2022

Joke Miriam
Nov 17, 2019



Are the nuke soldiers actual nuke-touchers or just the security guards for nuclear bases?

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Marshal Prolapse
Jun 23, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Joke Miriam posted:

Are the nuke soldiers actual nuke-touchers or just the security guards for nuclear bases?

Road based mobile launcher drivers and crews.

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