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Notorious R.I.M. posted:you call yourself a meteorologist yet you can't instantly recognize a tropical NAM plot....................... Lots of people have repressed memories of Nam.
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Sep 26, 2022 01:26
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SirPablo posted:Oh it's the 3km NAM lol sure why not it’s really funny. these are all for Wednesday Zulu time, (so Tuesday late afternoon/evening). it shows up in view of the model at 1003 drifts down to 965 over 12 hours then: 00z: 972 01z: 965 02z: 956 03z: 933 04z: 908 05z: 880 06z: 874 seems legit, lockitin. sorry to disappoint the hypercane fans though, they’d go down to like 700 hPa. hurricane Wilma has the record for the Atlantic basin at 882 hPa, the worldwide record is typhoon tip at 870 hPa.
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Sep 26, 2022 01:34
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https://twitter.com/currently/status/1574196611919527937
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Sep 26, 2022 01:40
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Nature is healing. Tampa is an open sore on the face of the Earth.
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Sep 26, 2022 01:44
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That scenario looks really similar to how Katrina hosed up New Orleans, by just hanging out near the city for a long while instead of actually hitting the coast and rapidly losing power.
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Sep 26, 2022 01:45
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SKULL.GIF posted:That scenario looks really similar to how Katrina hosed up New Orleans, by just hanging out near the city for a long while instead of actually hitting the coast and rapidly losing power. Also Harvey/Houston, and Dorian/Bahamas, no?
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Sep 26, 2022 01:51
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I’m in danger lol
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Sep 26, 2022 01:56
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RandolphCarter posted:I’m in danger lol Get out now
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Sep 26, 2022 01:57
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Good thing DeSantis already established air service from Florida to Martha's Vineyard.
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Sep 26, 2022 02:02
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I feel like that's the first one that's done that. I would be incredibly surprised if it did that exactly. Usually when I have looked at the Euro it's dipping into the west coast and crossing the peninsula.
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Sep 26, 2022 02:17
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lol they have a suburb named Brandon
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Sep 26, 2022 02:23
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https://twitter.com/ExtremeStorms/status/1574180785636114433
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Sep 26, 2022 02:27
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actionjackson posted:lol they have a suburb named Brandon Glebz Glooub Glahngbon
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Sep 26, 2022 02:32
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I hope the hurricane destroys all of Florida
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Sep 26, 2022 02:48
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actionjackson posted:lol they have a suburb named Brandon There’s tons of hype for the evacuation. Let’s go, Brandon!
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Sep 26, 2022 02:53
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Platystemon posted:Lots of people have repressed memories of Nam.
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Sep 26, 2022 04:08
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Lol, lmao
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Sep 26, 2022 04:18
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Looks like Ian's finally starting to get its act together on the Cayman Islands radar, an eye is clearly visible https://www.weather.gov.ky/radar
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Sep 26, 2022 04:25
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tam-pa hyper-cane *clap clap clapclapclap*
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Sep 26, 2022 04:27
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OK baizuo posted:Looks like Ian's finally starting to get its act together on the Cayman Islands radar, an eye is clearly visible .KY, huh?
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Sep 26, 2022 04:35
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MLK Ultra posted:i know this is wrong and isn't going to happen but ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ IAN TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
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Sep 26, 2022 04:54
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gently caress COREY PERRY posted:tam-pa hyper-cane *clap clap clapclapclap*
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Sep 26, 2022 04:57
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MLK Ultra posted:i know this is wrong and isn't going to happen but You just got NAM’d
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Sep 26, 2022 05:52
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RIP Touchdown Tom
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Sep 26, 2022 05:57
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WaryWarren posted:RIP Touchdown Tom The ‘M’ stands for ‘MILD’. 
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Sep 26, 2022 06:06
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latest NAM run still is trying to make 878 happen lol
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Sep 26, 2022 06:08
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What does the M stand for? I assume H is hurricane and S is uh storm?
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Sep 26, 2022 06:09
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ekuNNN posted:What does the M stand for? I assume H is hurricane and S is uh storm? both correct, M is “major” for major hurricane (3 or above)
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Sep 26, 2022 06:10
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Murdercane
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Sep 26, 2022 06:11
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Stereotype posted:both correct, M is “major” for major hurricane (3 or above) Oh so it's actually worse than H? I assumed hitting Cuba weakened it and turned it to uh Medium or something I guess Cuba is too skinny for it to really have an impact on the strength of the hurricane then
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Sep 26, 2022 06:14
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 Cuba has some solid mountains but usually it’s the eastern part of the island that will slow down storms It’s not like the big island of Hawaii where Mauna Loa can just eat a tropical storm
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Sep 26, 2022 06:17
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 tampa is totally hosed
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Sep 26, 2022 06:20
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Pryor on Fire posted:
Good
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Sep 26, 2022 06:26
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There was a lot of uncertainty and wobbling in this forecast, so only two days to evacuate or less. get the gently caress out of tampa tonight if you can, roads will be a complete shitshow tomorrow
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Sep 26, 2022 06:28
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Can we write our eulogies for Tampa here?? Dearest Tampa I love your many bays Your shopping centers Your traffic You're an ugly lady but a solid one Tarpon Springs is pretty cool Hopefully everything works out and old Tampa doesn't get sponged off the map
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Sep 26, 2022 06:33
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It seems like maybe it's worthwhile to raise some alarms even when there's still a lot of uncertainty in the forecast, especially when you're talking about major cities. But I guess that would mean worrying about things or not always assuming that everything will work out so it's probably a bad idea.
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Sep 26, 2022 06:35
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hobbesmaster posted:
it's very funny to me that so far my experience has been that it seems like either forecast models don't include any effects from the mauna's, or that they do it incorrectly. it always projects that hurricanes are gonna move through them with little effect and then the volcanoes devour the storm and we just get some rain
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Sep 26, 2022 06:40
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oh i have a real question: where can i get satellite or nextrad weather maps from a time that isn't within the past 72 hours? even maps going back a week or a month would be cool, and i can't even find those. i'd love to be able to pull up the measurements from years ago too, there's one hurricane that i distinctly remember was supposed to smash honolulu as like a cat 4 (which would be the end of honolulu) but then it just, stopped spinning. just came to a complete halt as it passed the big island, and we just got rain clouds.
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Sep 26, 2022 06:44
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Stereotype posted:it's very funny to me that so far my experience has been that it seems like either forecast models don't include any effects from the mauna's, or that they do it incorrectly. it always projects that hurricanes are gonna move through them with little effect and then the volcanoes devour the storm and we just get some rain At least for the West Indies, the GFS and Euro do a reasonable job of tropical systems interacting with mountains, but it still is one of those bifurcation points that can cause major model inconsistency. Irma was a real good example of this. Stereotype posted:oh i have a real question: where can i get satellite or nextrad weather maps from a time that isn't within the past 72 hours? even maps going back a week or a month would be cool, and i can't even find those. i'd love to be able to pull up the measurements from years ago too, there's one hurricane that i distinctly remember was supposed to smash honolulu as like a cat 4 (which would be the end of honolulu) but then it just, stopped spinning. just came to a complete halt as it passed the big island, and we just got rain clouds. I don't know if there are sites that save long histories of radar in general. For old tropical systems though, I bet you can find some saved radar loops on the storm2k.org forums in the relevant archived storm thread. Although there are significantly less posts on systems that aren't gulf or atlantic threats. Notorious R.I.M. has issued a correction as of 06:48 on Sep 26, 2022 |
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Sep 26, 2022 06:45
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Pryor on Fire posted:
As I accidentally said in the thread for normal people: Tampa must and shall be destroyed. This hubris cannot stand: 
ekuNNN has issued a correction as of 06:48 on Sep 26, 2022 |
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Sep 26, 2022 06:45
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