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You count the normal number of deaths and then see how many more you're getting.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:07
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https://twitter.com/coldwarsteve/status/1577600884560863236
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Oct 5, 2022 11:07
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NotJustANumber99 posted:How are these excess deaths calculated? Against other western countries or something? Because like, unless you have access to an alternative timeline or something, figures going back a decade are just like actual deaths, rather than excess? Historical extrapolation, essentially Have a read for yourself https://jech.bmj.com/content/early/2022/09/26/jech-2022-219645
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Oct 5, 2022 11:10
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Protesters interrupting PM speech count: 1 (to be updated)
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Oct 5, 2022 11:19
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jeebus bob posted:Protesters interrupting PM speech count: 1 https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1577604550588071936 https://twitter.com/harry_horton/status/1577604310682181634
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Oct 5, 2022 11:22
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hey the day collar is back!
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Oct 5, 2022 11:22
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https://twitter.com/mikegalsworthy/status/1577603288907878401
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Oct 5, 2022 11:25
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Repurposing meme: Everything I know about Liz Truss I have learned against my will.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:26
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looooooool truss's speech is like she's reading out a very low effort GCSE economics essay
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Oct 5, 2022 11:27
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Glad to hear the conservatives have cracked nuclear fusion https://twitter.com/bbradley_mans/status/1576982525485801472?s=46&t=42ZuO_0olxeySmkql_Vcrw
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Oct 5, 2022 11:30
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NotJustANumber99 posted:How are these excess deaths calculated? Against other western countries or something? Because like, unless you have access to an alternative timeline or something, figures going back a decade are just like actual deaths, rather than excess? To oversimplify for ease of explanation: say you have a country with a static population of 80 million and a life expectancy of 80. Each year you would expect 1 million people to die as the old pass away and the young are born, yes? So if 1.01m people die in a year, there have been 10,000 excess deaths. The full explanation involves statistical trends over time, a lot more factors and something resembling an actuarial table, but that's the idea in a nutshell: work out how many people should be expected to die, anything more than that is excess. Under the Tories and prior to COVID we have had ten consecutive years of excess deaths in the five figure range, which even at its lowest was about a 3% variance on what was expected. Once you get to 2015 and a Tory majority government, that number rockets up to something like a 10% variance and stays there. The connection is pretty much indisputable; while we did have things like a really bad winter in 2016, numbers don't stay that high year in year out without an underlying cause and there is only one major change that aligns on the timeline - Tories in power.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:34
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Ziggy Tzardust posted:Glad to hear the conservatives have cracked nuclear fusion It's actually a new design where you boil terf piss and use the heat to generate steam to turn the turbine.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:34
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Failed Imagineer posted:Historical extrapolation, essentially Interesting thanks. So its this red bit basically.  They probably say why, but they've selected from 1981 which gives a nice straight line, if you look further back its not like we've been on such a clear path.  And all of Europe shares a very similar pattern to the UK. 
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Oct 5, 2022 11:38
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.nm just saw date on it.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:38
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Ziggy Tzardust posted:Glad to hear the conservatives have cracked nuclear fusion The Conservative economic policies: Nuclear ConFusion
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Oct 5, 2022 11:41
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NotJustANumber99 posted:They probably say why, but they've selected from 1981 which gives a nice straight line, if you look further back its not like we've been on such a clear path. Presumably because when a trend becomes constant then a deviation is notable.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:41
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Wtf and also lmao: Truss appears to have done the ‘Elvis has left the building’ routine and walked off the stage straight into a waiting car that whisked her away. Is that… normal?
Answers Me fucked around with this message at 11:55 on Oct 5, 2022 |
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Oct 5, 2022 11:50
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Answers Me posted:Wtf and also lmao: Truss appears to have done the ‘Elvis has left the building routine’ and walked off the stage straight into a waiting car that whisked her away. Is that… normal? It's normal when you suck at talking to media.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:51
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My pie already feels bigger after watching that
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Oct 5, 2022 11:52
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NotJustANumber99 posted:Interesting thanks. I think the argument is that it's been caused by austerity measures, which were also adopted across much of Europe
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Oct 5, 2022 11:54
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Watching that speech made me feel a visceral hatred that feels unhealthy.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:55
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NotJustANumber99 posted:They probably say why, but they've selected from 1981 which gives a nice straight line, if you look further back its not like we've been on such a clear path. As they point out in the discussion, the cutoff at 1981 probably leads to a more conservative estimate. NotJustANumber99 posted:
Yeah, that's also bad
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Oct 5, 2022 11:57
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I was thinking of a different Movin' On Up for a start https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYcqToQzzGY Guess they went for the literal deal with the devil one rather than the vaguely aspirational one, cool  Tesseraction posted:It's actually a new design where you boil terf piss and use the heat to generate steam to turn the turbine.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:58
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Truss says the “anti-growth coalition” has hindered growth. Please point out an example where a degrowth initiative has actually made a meaningful impact on how the U.K. economy operates in recent memory, I’d love to be cheered up.
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Oct 5, 2022 11:59
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I'm working on a chrome extension that changes all text occurences of (spaces included) "James Cleverly " to "James, Cleverly " and "James Cleverly, " to "James, Cleverly, "
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Oct 5, 2022 11:59
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Tijuana Bibliophile posted:I'm working on a chrome extension that changes all text occurences of (spaces included) "James Cleverly " to "James, Cleverly " and "James Cleverly, " to "James, Cleverly, " James! Cleverly?
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Oct 5, 2022 12:05
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James, Cleverly? No, funny clown!
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Oct 5, 2022 12:06
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Please use his full title, James, Cleverly, Minister for Braintree.
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Oct 5, 2022 12:08
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Necrothatcher posted:hey the day collar is back! Did it go?! I haven't seen a recent photo of her without one
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Oct 5, 2022 12:11
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Battersea power station is set to open after its 10 year redevelopment. It's very apt: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJO0n6kvPRU
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Oct 5, 2022 12:12
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liz was traumatised by seeing boarded up shops and by seeing how much tax came out of her first payslip, she's had a rough old life
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Oct 5, 2022 12:14
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Guavanaut posted:Please use his full title, James, Cleverly, Minister for Braintree. Through A Brain, Cleverly
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Oct 5, 2022 12:14
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https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1577615700373413889
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Oct 5, 2022 12:16
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This is not a significant anything
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Oct 5, 2022 12:19
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Failed Imagineer posted:This is not a significant anything Minuscule, just just funny timing to be her speech.
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Oct 5, 2022 12:25
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I know the dips are insignificant given the recent wobbles, I also take pleasure at seeing the markets react in realtime to her talking.
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Oct 5, 2022 12:27
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Camrath, the fudge man delivered today and the Apple Pie is flippin immense.
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Oct 5, 2022 12:33
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Catzilla posted:This came from my mums house. Miftan explain yourself? Easy - Israel is also a country with many many many garbage opinions and products! Rarity posted:Maybe there isn't room for everyone in socialism... I am willing to forgive your bad opinions.
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Oct 5, 2022 12:37
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https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1577623759585959938?s=20 I’m sorry but it just looks like Greenpeace were the ones who voted for this
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Oct 5, 2022 12:42
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Now this graph on the other hand https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1577624054718029824?t=egzlBekF4fobaZpDzSmrKg&s=19
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Oct 5, 2022 12:59
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