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A shitload of Russia's land-based nuclear weapons are mobile. In theory they could be anywhere. In practice I'm sure that knows exactly where every nuke-equipped TEL in Russia is at any given point in time.
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# ? Oct 13, 2022 23:57 |
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# ? Jun 6, 2024 08:39 |
Soul Dentist posted:Tagging a tailed boat (or other asset) seems a good guess. I'm not an expert in any way though I think it's a pretty fair assumption that there are a few US attack subs silently sitting in torpedo range of the Black Sea Fleet too.
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# ? Oct 13, 2022 23:58 |
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Comrade Blyatlov posted:I think it's a pretty fair assumption that there are a few US attack subs silently sitting in torpedo range of the Black Sea Fleet too. Not that I'm doubting our capabilities, but sneaking them past the Turks into the Black Sea is certainly....a task
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 02:36 |
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Marshal Prolapse posted:A lot to be a fly on the wall at the Pentagon as they plan contigency strike plans and packages. I wonder how long it would take from nuke to first NATO attack? Sunk Russian ships/subs within 24 hours. Russian air force defeated and no fly zone semi-active/active within 3 days (allowing for deployment ring rust) and pretty much anything still in Ukraine with a Z on it eating an F-16 dopped GBU/HARM/JDAM before the week is out. GD_American posted:Not that I'm doubting our capabilities, but sneaking them past the Turks into the Black Sea is certainly....a task if they aren't already there, I imagine Erdogan would stop loving around pretty quick and wave them through if Russia really did drop a tac nuke. He's an evil greedy fucker, but he knows what the winning side is.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 02:57 |
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I can't imagine Turkey keeping a US sub transit quiet. Even if they wanted to or were supposed to. They just wouldn't be capable of it.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 03:02 |
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Could Turkey even detect our current stuff if we didn’t tell them? We could also claim it’s from a P-8 (which would be deployed too) and then everyone can enjoy plausible deniability. Not that I want the act needed to cause this. Wish we could just do it to Russia already (and yes yes I know why, but pink misting those war criminals and making their military worse then the DPRK would be nice).
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 03:11 |
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Marshal Prolapse posted:Could Turkey even detect our current stuff if we didn’t tell them? We could also claim it’s from a P-8 (which would be deployed too) and then everyone can enjoy plausible deniability. The Dardanelles are max 55m deep and the Bosporus is max 110m deep. You can't sneak a serious sub through there. edit: to be clear, the answer for the Russian presence in the Black Sea isn't NATO subs, but anti ship missiles that target anything on the surface, and a smothering anti sub helicopter presence that targets anything below it that isn't permanently settled to the bottom. A.o.D. fucked around with this message at 03:17 on Oct 14, 2022 |
# ? Oct 14, 2022 03:14 |
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Even if you could sneak subs around, locking such a rare and important asset inside the Black Sea with a frankly pretty unimportant Russian fleet seems unwise.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 03:35 |
why would Turkey, a member of NATO, be keeping NATO submarines out of the black sea the straits have been locked to participants in the ongoing ukrainian conflict. NATO countries aren't that.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 04:17 |
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Also if Turkey started 'leaking' info about US sub movements through their territory there'd be diplomatic hell to pay. They are not doing that
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 04:20 |
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If there's a full NATO response, the Turks are NATO members and probably have their own plan to destroy the Black Sea fleet.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 04:24 |
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:why would Turkey, a member of NATO, be keeping NATO submarines out of the black sea Submarines are to make the passage surfaced. So even when passage is open, it's public. quote:the straits have been locked to participants in the ongoing ukrainian conflict. NATO countries aren't that. I haven't checked to see if it is still true, but initially Turkey canceled passage for all warships that aren't returning to home port in the Black Sea. So if you are a warship and don't live and operate there, you can't come or go. The very simple answer: I dunno, could be wrong, but it would be a waste of time to put a sub in the Black Sea when it could be doing more important and useful things. I might be misremembering, but I don't think non-Black Sea subs are allowed into the Black Sea, period? even in peacetime?
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 04:35 |
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:why would Turkey, a member of NATO, be keeping NATO submarines out of the black sea The Montreux Convention, which apparently has some pretty silly restrictions on countries not bordering the Black Sea, and not just in type but tonnage and maximum time allowed. https://www.mfa.gov.tr/implementation-of-the-montreux-convention.en.mfa
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 04:51 |
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I wonder how many tactical nukes the Russians would have to fire to get one that would actually go off ? Considering the lack of testing, Russian corruption and maintenance standards. Even American warheads have historically had issues with corrosion, components aging/breaking down, and even a safety mechanism that would have stopped most of one type from going bang when we wanted them to.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 05:12 |
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What would happen if they did launch a tactical nuke but it was a dud and just landed in a field or in the middle of a Kyiv street? Would the attempt be enough to trigger the promised retaliation?
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 06:06 |
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Yeah, we're not sneaking SSNs into the black sea. If we need to deal with the Black Sea Fleet MPRAs and attack aircraft are what we'll use. The SSNs are for sinking the rest of the Russian fleet if they do some stupid rear end nuclear poo poo.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 06:10 |
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Elviscat posted:Yeah, we're not sneaking SSNs into the black sea. If we need to deal with the Black Sea Fleet MPRAs and attack aircraft are what we'll use. We could poo poo a ton of CAPTOR mines into the Black Sea. It's not like they'd sink all the submarines the Ukrainians don't have.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 06:51 |
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Uh excuse me Ive read the technical document on secretly transiting the Bosporus while submerged the really insane Clancy-on-coke plotline is the Iraqi sleeper agent joining the Israeli navy and then getting trained by the US to captain submarines
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 08:24 |
Wasn't that the Suez?
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 08:46 |
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orange juche posted:Pro flying by the Ukrainian drone operator, knew to not attack from below but drop from above to break the other drones props. Why would you post this? Pro flying by the operator, knowing the single most basic fact about drones.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 11:05 |
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tbf the russian operator probably thought he could lawn mower it
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 11:07 |
The Russian drone was facing the other direction so he never saw it coming. At best he suddenly got an obstacle warning from the rear collision sensors, which would have been pretty confusing for someone flying high up in an open area
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 14:11 |
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Hey Iran, and all the others who want to help Russia out, get hosed. Sincerely, USA. https://twitter.com/firstsquawk/status/1580931655413698560?s=46&t=54eGLe_TKRto01YMgSYCGw
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 15:43 |
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“Oh no, sanctions”, says the one Iranian who has never read a newspaper or book about his nation’a history
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 16:04 |
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Herman Merman posted:Why would you post this? Pro flying by the operator, knowing the single most basic fact about drones. Not everyone knows about drone operation?
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 18:03 |
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GD_American posted:“Oh no, sanctions”, says the one Iranian who has never read a newspaper or book about his nation’a history Wonder how Israel is reacting to Iran protests. Gotta imagine they’d want to boost chances of their nuclear aspirant neighbor switching from a fundamentalist government.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 19:17 |
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Hyrax Attack! posted:Wonder how Israel is reacting to Iran protests. Gotta imagine they’d want to boost chances of their nuclear aspirant neighbor switching from a fundamentalist government. Publicly they have been, but I also wonder if there is some better the enemy you know thinking. Still this is also clearly a revolution for liberal democratic values, so that may help tip the scale.
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# ? Oct 14, 2022 19:20 |
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Marshal Prolapse posted:Publicly they have been, but I also wonder if there is some better the enemy you know thinking. Still this is also clearly a revolution for liberal democratic values, so that may help tip the scale. I'd argue that it's in their best interests to passively support the protesters simply because a regime change is very likely going to stop or hobble their nuclear program if/when the checks stop coming. BIG HEADLINE fucked around with this message at 00:56 on Oct 15, 2022 |
# ? Oct 15, 2022 00:47 |
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Herman Merman posted:Why would you post this? Pro flying by the operator, knowing the single most basic fact about drones. You'd be surprised how many dumb drone pilots exist
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 01:30 |
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BIG HEADLINE posted:I'd argue that it's in their best interests to passively support the protesters simply because a regime change is very likely going to stop or hobble their nuclear program if/when the checks stop coming. I think that makes sense. Russia on the other hand continues to suck….long and hard. https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1581072741683585024?s=46&t=sw_T46CQ9tyTQvPx_vI5eg
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 01:40 |
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orange juche posted:You'd be surprised how many dumb drone pilots exist I feel seen. bounced mine off the neighbor’s roof a few weeks back drunk trying to get cool moon pics
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 02:02 |
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Intro and excerpts as I decide etc blah. https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3189340/senior-military-official-holds-a-background-briefing-on-ukraine/ Highlights/Other: Other -There was a separate brief with the Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary, and she was asked every which way what the deal is with SpaceX and demands for payments, and all she could really say was that the DOD is talking to SpaceX regarding Starlink. About something. For some reason. And that Starlink service in Ukraine has been funded by some private people at least in part. And maybe the US government, but didn't know for sure. And that she hadn't seen all of Elon Musk's tweets. It was weird and can be read here if you like https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3189495/sabrina-singh-deputy-pentagon-press-secretary-holds-a-press-briefing/ Latest PDA: https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3189571/725-million-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/ SMO: -Russia's use of precision-guided munitionis (PGMs) has been indiscriminate and imprecise. "Most" of the recent strikes struck civilians and/or civilian infrastructure. Some of this is the result of indiscriminate targeting. Other times Russia appears deliberately to target civilians, with the specific examples given of electricity, bridges, etc. -Kharkiv: Lines are mostly static, and Russia is digging in. Not zero movement but "really limited in terms of movement this week." -Bakhmut: Russia has made "very small" gains around Bakhmut. Sometimes Ukraine counterattacks and retakes land. "All of those attacks on both sides are coming with pretty high impact in terms of the employment of artillery and the losses to the sides who are making those advances." -Zaporizhzhia: No real movement of the line. "We have seen artillery that's landed in and around the Zaporizhzhia area, but nothing that's caused us a great concern over the week. " -Kherson: Ukraine has gained from the north toward Kherson. Not a lot of advancement but "some" on the central approach to Kherson. Russia has established new lines in Kherson defense since this started six weeks ago, but will need to make a decision on how/'where to defend along the Kherson axis. Neither side really making a move at the edge of Kherson city itself. -Of ~80 missiles fired by Russia in the first 24 hours of retaliation over Kerch strait bridge [My note: SMO did not confirm that Ukraine attacked Kerch Strait bridge, though refers to Russia retaliation in response to bridge attack], roughly half reported intercepted. Ukraine likely firing more than one SAM in many of those defensive engagements, which is part of why Ukraine requires air defense support. -SMO does not comment on whether or not the Ukrainian assessment of Russia's remaining stock of PGMs is accurate. Says it is telling that Russia is now relying on Iranian one-way attack UAS. -SMO on Starlink: It is very useful to be able to communicate. Did not want to address questions on Musk and his recent comments -The press had a lot of questions about air defense, but the SMO today wasn't terribly knowledgeable on air defense specifics and wasn't sharing what are probably still ongoing somewhat sensitive discussions of who can/will/might provide what and when quote:SENIOR MILITARY OFFICIAL: Thanks, (inaudible). Hi, everybody. How are you? This is -- this is different for me, so I'll get to see you all roll your eyes when I -- when I give you the answer that you may not want, as opposed to just doing it on the phone.
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 04:00 |
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mlmp08 posted:
I feel like my dislike of Elon Musk has gone from mild annoyance to intense hatred in a very short amount of time.
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 04:22 |
highme posted:I feel seen. bounced mine off the neighbor’s roof a few weeks back drunk trying to get cool moon pics I have crashed three in my duties as licensed drone pilot at work. One wasn't my fault. Nuclear Tourist posted:I feel like my dislike of Elon Musk has gone from mild annoyance to intense hatred in a very short amount of time. Y'know, for anyone who doesn't already dislike musk, somehow. Edit: "like" should have been "dislike" Arrath fucked around with this message at 06:05 on Oct 15, 2022 |
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 04:39 |
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Arrath posted:I have crashed three in my duties as licensed drone pilot at work. He just has the most kick in the dick personality ever.
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 06:01 |
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Basticle posted:Uh excuse me Ive read the technical document on secretly transiting the Bosporus while submerged Holy poo poo I read that garbage in HS hahahah
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 06:54 |
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Arrath posted:I have crashed three in my duties as licensed drone pilot at work. World's "richest" "man" looking for a handout from the United States.
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 07:12 |
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Musk is Backpfeifengesicht: The Person
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 09:48 |
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I can't wait for the https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nCQGQ5qBQTA
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 10:06 |
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# ? Jun 6, 2024 08:39 |
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An adult child.
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# ? Oct 15, 2022 12:06 |