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spacemang_spliff posted:lol the shitlibs out here in the KC metro running ads are all "we actually love cops more than republicans and we also hate china more" yeah as offended as i am at the garbage htey're trying to throw at us for an uncontested senate seat, it's hard to actually care since she's going to get so shellacked that only crying and swimming in her huge money vault will console her either that or a walk in the woods, that seems to be what liberal garbage women do when they fail pathetically
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Oct 31, 2022 18:11
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The liberal polls have been wrong for the last like 10 years or w/e. Red wave coming.
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Oct 31, 2022 18:12
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yeah because obviously the other polls are real and these over here are wrong, nope nothing going on that would sink dem numbers
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Oct 31, 2022 18:15
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In Training posted:The liberal polls have been wrong for the last like 10 years or w/e. Red wave coming. yeah, it was 2012 where the polls lined up just right for everyone to see obama beating romney easily way ahead of time, and people like karl rove and megyn kelly were refusing to believe election results that night because of their unskewing. they were just ahead of their time, who gave birth to the bill mitchells of 2016
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Oct 31, 2022 18:16
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As entertaining as the red waves polls are, Patty Murray got 54% of the vote in an open primary 2 months ago. Even if Smiley picked up all of the people voting for all of the Republicans, Libertarians, and other Democrats; she still would have lost. An actual election result like that brings the polling method into question more than her chances.
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Oct 31, 2022 18:18
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Leviathan Song posted:As entertaining as the red waves polls are, Patty Murray got 54% of the vote in an open primary 2 months ago. Even if Smiley picked up all of the people voting for all of the Republicans, Libertarians, and other Democrats; she still would have lost. An actual election result like that brings the polling method into question more than her chances. hear me out: no one cares about showing up to dumbass primary votes
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Oct 31, 2022 18:23
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ive never been polled so they’re fake
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Oct 31, 2022 18:26
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primary turnout this summer in NYC was 8% lol. 5% for the 2nd primary we had bc the state house couldn't finish gerrymandering districts in time for the first election deadline. Nobody votes for this crap
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Oct 31, 2022 18:27
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mastershakeman posted:hear me out: no one cares about showing up to dumbass primary votes There was 40% turn out in Washington. The state mails you a ballot and a helpful pamphlet as long as you register; you don't even have to think about putting on pants to vote. Weekly poll movements are bullshit. No one changes their opinion that fast. People just like bitching about the latest thing the guy they already hate did.
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Oct 31, 2022 18:29
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to get polled you often need a connected landline which also means even more scam calls
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Oct 31, 2022 18:34
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Cranappleberry posted:to get polled you often need a connected landline which also means even more scam calls i only have a cell # and i get plenty of scam calls i've gotten text surveys which i answered as incomprehensibly as possible but I get more now so maybe it's the same people answering polls
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Oct 31, 2022 18:36
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THS2 posted:ive never been polled so they’re fake i got one on my cell, poo poo took a solid hour lol
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Oct 31, 2022 20:27
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mastershakeman posted:hear me out: no one cares about showing up to dumbass primary votes You don't actually have to "show up" in WA. You get a ballot in the mail and you can just toss it into the mailbox when you're done without any postage. I mean yeah, plenty of people still won't be bothered but it's about as low-effort as could be.
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Oct 31, 2022 20:33
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Shear Modulus posted:Did they embed bates? Well, no, but
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Oct 31, 2022 21:10
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Minecraft Holmes posted:i got one on my cell, poo poo took a solid hour lol how long did the poll take
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Oct 31, 2022 21:12
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Mayor Dave posted:Well, no, but No Bates and no Ducklo? Who the gently caress is running this goddamn one-ring circus. Who do I gotta blow to get some goddamned loving embedding?
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Oct 31, 2022 21:16
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In Training posted:The liberal polls have been wrong for the last like 10 years or w/e Correct. Same ones who had 99% Hillary saying Dems keep everything this year. Wonder why some bad actors here never acknowledge that
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Oct 31, 2022 22:55
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2016 was the one year where the polls were off by a polling error. Polls have been pretty reliable over the years other than that one. Also just lmbo that if we aren't parroting most of the doomsdayers in this thread that we're "bad actors." Cry me a fuckin river.
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Oct 31, 2022 23:07
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Grandpa Palpatine posted:2016 was the one year where the polls were off by a polling error. IIRC the national polls weren't even that far off from what the popular vote ended up being.
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Oct 31, 2022 23:18
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Grandpa Palpatine posted:2016 was the one year where the polls were off by a polling error. the demokkkrats are going to be destroyed in 8 days
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Oct 31, 2022 23:19
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the bitcoin of weed posted:the demokkkrats are going to be destroyed in 8 days 8 days... 6 hours... 42 minutes.....12 seconds.... That is when the dems will lose.
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Oct 31, 2022 23:23
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You have one full week left before the Dems are destroyed, and then you have the rest of your life to make excuses for why it happened and actually wasn't fair
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Oct 31, 2022 23:27
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Grandpa Palpatine posted:2016 was the one year where the polls were off by a polling error. why is it “doomsdayers” to say the democrats are going to lose. are you a democrat or something
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Oct 31, 2022 23:33
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Minecraft Holmes posted:i got one on my cell, poo poo took a solid hour lol I got polled on my cell back in July, first and only time. My phone came up with Political Call and I was curious so I answered and it was a poll 2/10 would not answer for Political Caller again
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Oct 31, 2022 23:39
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polls werent just off in 2016 i think were off in 2020 as well
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Oct 31, 2022 23:51
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i for one am glad the democrats will lose
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Oct 31, 2022 23:53
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HallelujahLee posted:polls werent just off in 2016 i think were off in 2020 as well Unless I’m misremembering they were pretty accurate for trump/Brandon but they really overstated democrats on all the down ballot stuff
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Oct 31, 2022 23:53
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HashtagGirlboss posted:Unless I’m misremembering they were pretty accurate for trump/Brandon but they really overstated democrats on all the down ballot stuff yeah thats what i recall
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Oct 31, 2022 23:54
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HashtagGirlboss posted:they really overstated democrats on all the down ballot stuff
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Oct 31, 2022 23:56
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Grandpa Palpatine posted:2016 was the one year where the polls were off by a polling error. The only doomsayers are the ones saying the democrats might not be destroyed When in reality they are already destroyed they just don't know it yet
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Nov 1, 2022 00:02
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spacemang_spliff posted:The only doomsayers are the ones saying the democrats might not be destroyed the fist of the poll star in truly invincible
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Nov 1, 2022 00:04
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HashtagGirlboss posted:Unless I’m misremembering they were pretty accurate for trump/Brandon but they really overstated democrats on all the down ballot stuff They were wrong on both. A panel convened by the top trade association of pollsters determined 2020 was the biggest presidential miss in 40 years. Here is the report Here is some top-line stuff from the executive summary: quote:● The 2020 polls featured polling error of an unusual magnitude: It was the highest in 40 years for the national So if you're banking on "2020 polls were accurate, its fine, its not over-estimating Dems like 2016" you might be in for a rough time a week from tomorrow. Or maybe they fixed it all. We'll see.
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Nov 1, 2022 00:04
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fast cars loose anus posted:They were wrong on both. A panel convened by the top trade association of pollsters determined 2020 was the biggest presidential miss in 40 years. they haven't fixed anything is my guess
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Nov 1, 2022 00:05
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HallelujahLee posted:they haven't fixed anything is my guess yeah mine too but I've given up trying to predict things
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Nov 1, 2022 00:05
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fast cars loose anus posted:yeah mine too but I've given up trying to predict things poll-heads should take this sentiment to heart for themselves and simply accept that the democrats will be destroyed, and if they somehow avoid this fate it was due to completely random luck
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Nov 1, 2022 00:07
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fast cars loose anus posted:They were wrong on both. A panel convened by the top trade association of pollsters determined 2020 was the biggest presidential miss in 40 years. Oh huh. I appreciate the correction. Lmao yeah unskewing polls is just always a bad look but especially in 2022
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Nov 1, 2022 00:07
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Also I didn't bold this part but if polls are overstating Dem senatorial/gubernatorial support by an average of 6% this year they are super-ultra-mega-doomed
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Nov 1, 2022 00:10
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HallelujahLee posted:they haven't fixed anything is my guess 1) nerds like to make their models right 2) nerds will fix their models 3) the new models don't look like the old models, or look like as much of a horse race, so they will be quietly shitcanned by the people who actually sign checks and write puff pieces
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Nov 1, 2022 00:26
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fast cars loose anus posted:they are super-ultra-mega-doomed
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Nov 1, 2022 00:32
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| # ? May 23, 2024 08:32 |
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I'm not a doomsayer, I'm a demslayer
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Nov 1, 2022 00:37
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