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Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

Winklebottom posted:

who are all these people turning out for SF, the party known for doing absolutely gently caress all
They look like they're doing almost exactly the same as last time? In fact, all of the red block is basically unchanged from last time so far, with the exception of Radikale, which is getting massacred.

As of right now, compared to last election, it is looking like Moderaterne took 10 mandates from the red block (exclusively from Radikale), and 6 from the blue block as a whole.

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Zulily Zoetrope
Jun 1, 2011

Muldoon
I remember being 18, watching a debate where Villy Søvndal absolutely crushed it by laying out concrete plans for public transit refurbishment and poo poo while everyone else just threw platitudes around, voted for SF, only for them to immediately vote for tax cuts for the rich and accomplish nothing else.

gently caress all is a step up

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

Inferior Third Season posted:

They look like they're doing almost exactly the same as last time? In fact, all of the red block is basically unchanged from last time so far, with the exception of Radikale, which is getting massacred.

Exactly, so why do people keep voting for them?

EL is having a bad time, too. Looks like the brilliant strategy of shedding their last remaining principles didn't pay off. Who would've thought?

Winklebottom
Dec 19, 2007

Zulily Zoetrope posted:

I remember being 18, watching a debate where Villy Søvndal absolutely crushed it by laying out concrete plans for public transit refurbishment and poo poo while everyone else just threw platitudes around, voted for SF, only for them to immediately vote for tax cuts for the rich and accomplish nothing else.

gently caress all is a step up

lol that was my exact experience, been carrying a grudge ever since

and yeah, my bafflement is mainly due to the consistent turnout over the years

edit: as politiken put it (though they are overly optimistic about EL):

Winklebottom fucked around with this message at 22:38 on Nov 1, 2022

Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

SplitSoul posted:

Exactly, so why do people keep voting for them?
No joke, probably because of the candidate quizzes on all of the major websites. SF candidates have a vast array of vaguely leftish notions, and there are a lot of them, so an SF candidate can be the top match for anyone taking the quiz that is not solidly in blue block.

Whatever intern programmed the weighting function for the DR kandidatquiz has probably had more of an impact on Danish political power than any single politician.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

Frie Grønne got 26.3% in Tingbjerg as the largest party.

Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

With 80% reporting, there aren't really enough outstanding votes now for major shifts.

What I'd like to see from here are a few tenths of a percent shifts. Get DF from 2.7% to under the 2.0% spærregrænse. And for Alternativet, currently at 3.2%, to outperform Radikale, currently at 3.7%. Neither is particularly likely, but they could happen.

Woodenlung
Dec 10, 2013

Calculating Infinity
Is it too late to sell Greenland?

vuk83
Oct 9, 2012

Woodenlung posted:

Is it too late to sell Greenland?

Why?

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Inferior Third Season posted:

With 80% reporting, there aren't really enough outstanding votes now for major shifts.

What I'd like to see from here are a few tenths of a percent shifts. Get DF from 2.7% to under the 2.0% spærregrænse. And for Alternativet, currently at 3.2%, to outperform Radikale, currently at 3.7%. Neither is particularly likely, but they could happen.
Unless they miscounted the first 80%, I'm not sure how you'd get 2.7% under 2.0%. Even with no more votes, they'd end at 2.2%.

SplitSoul posted:

EL is having a bad time, too. Looks like the brilliant strategy of shedding their last remaining principles didn't pay off. Who would've thought?
It's because they stuck to their anti-nuclear principle actually. Liberal Alliance grew for the opposite reason.

Revelation 2-13
May 13, 2010

Pillbug
Did they shed to SF as well as free greens? I thought someone said that.

E: also I only watched one and a half of the debates, but Mai Villadsens didn’t come off great in those I don’t think.

Revelation 2-13 fucked around with this message at 08:04 on Nov 2, 2022

KozmoNaut
Apr 23, 2008

Happiness is a warm
Turbo Plasma Rifle


Some to SF, a bit to Free Greens, a bit more to The Alternative.

jeebus bob
Nov 4, 2004

Festina lente

Revelation 2-13 posted:

Did they shed to SF as well as free greens? I thought someone said that.

E: also I only watched one and a half of the debates, but Mai Villadsens didn’t come off great in those I don’t think.

Just looking at the percentages, their loss neatly equals the gains made by SF+Å+Q - of course it doesn't work exactly that way, more likely a lot of their voters from last time just didn't vote this time

Villadsen did pretty well, but didn't quite match her predecessors.

vuk83
Oct 9, 2012

jeebus bob posted:

Just looking at the percentages, their loss neatly equals the gains made by SF+Å+Q - of course it doesn't work exactly that way, more likely a lot of their voters from last time just didn't vote this time

Villadsen did pretty well, but didn't quite match her predecessors.

Yeah she's adequate compared to skipper and johanne who were great.
Also some tactical voting for aa.

vuk83 fucked around with this message at 08:50 on Nov 2, 2022

Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Unless they miscounted the first 80%, I'm not sure how you'd get 2.7% under 2.0%. Even with no more votes, they'd end at 2.2%.
It was 80% of the voting locations reporting, not 80% of the votes counted. Smaller locations tend to get their votes reported faster. The dramatic last-minute addition of red's 87th mandate came because locations in Nørrebro and Vesterbro were the very last to report.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Inferior Third Season posted:

It was 80% of the voting locations reporting, not 80% of the votes counted. Smaller locations tend to get their votes reported faster. The dramatic last-minute addition of red's 87th mandate came because locations in Nørrebro and Vesterbro were the very last to report.
Ah, right.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

Dragsted believes EL got trounced because people wanted to secure a seat at the table for Alternativet.

Also:

"Nu har vi muligheden for at fortsætte den politik, der har været ført de sidste tre år. Det vil sige en af verdens mest ambitiøse klimapolitikker, men også en politik, der har holdt hånden under velfærden og en lang række reformer, der gør, at vi passer på hinanden i det her samfund. Det er den politik, vi gerne vil fortsætte."

In other words, stay the course. Good luck with that.

A Buttery Pastry posted:

It's because they stuck to their anti-nuclear principle actually. Liberal Alliance grew for the opposite reason.

No, Mai Villadsen is emphatically pro-nuclear... umbrella. :haw:

jeebus bob
Nov 4, 2004

Festina lente

A Buttery Pastry posted:

It's because they stuck to their anti-nuclear principle actually. Liberal Alliance grew for the opposite reason.

Ah yes the only reason I never get more than 85% match with anyone on the candidate quizzes. Socialism + nuclear power still not a popular combo for some reason.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

jeebus bob posted:

Ah yes the only reason I never get more than 85% match with anyone on the candidate quizzes. Socialism + nuclear power still not a popular combo for some reason.

I'm familiar with a candidate from EL who believes NPPs are literally fission bombs.

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

the reason is because socialist parties have traditionally been environmentalist and pro-disarmament, and both movements have had a very strong anti-nuclear flavour for decades. as the pro-disarmament stance has become increasingly marginal and the environmental stance becomes increasingly obviously incoherent (turns out that environmental policy made in the sixties through eighties isn't primarily aimed at climate change), this is slowly changing, but a lot of people are still reflexively anti-nuclear for, basically, reasons of habit. it's been a talismanic position for so long that i imagine it would be like if NATO were still around in forty years but had totally changed in nature; a lot of ageing socialists would still be anti-NATO, more or less out of inertia. these days you're mostly seeing degrowth types or more *alternative* eco-warriors stridently and seriously oppose nuclear power.

the nuclear power position of the radical left will eventually settle into a kind of keynesian state-led development position as the old paradigm dies off. i'd guess that the turnaround point is less than a decade away. it's not especially material to the actual outcome of our present environmental crises, however.

BonHair
Apr 28, 2007

jeebus bob posted:

Ah yes the only reason I never get more than 85% match with anyone on the candidate quizzes. Socialism + nuclear power still not a popular combo for some reason.

I got 100% matches on EL, except for the dumb nuclear power takes, yeah.

Some of the quizzes were absolute bullshit, with questions like "should psychological care be prioritized over other health stuff?", which allowed you to say "no more therapy" or "cut back on welfare in general". Just bad design.

I'm glad we got the least terrible outcome, even if it means 2 more years of Mette and the associated bullshit. The map is hilariously red, with a few blue spots (lol, Gentofte) and an orange (EL) rash in Copenhagen.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

BonHair posted:

Some of the quizzes were absolute bullshit, with questions like "should psychological care be prioritized over other health stuff?", which allowed you to say "no more therapy" or "cut back on welfare in general". Just bad design.

It's been a tendency all over to phrase these questions dichotomically.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

SplitSoul posted:

It's been a tendency all over to phrase these questions dichotomically.
It's a very fine way to control the scope of permissible political opinions.

BigglesSWE
Dec 2, 2014

How 'bout them hawks news huh!
https://twitter.com/karlssonmax/status/1587542440021561347?s=46&t=y14X3J3nDCvpRlgLxL3YdA

Somewhere, Kristersson’s rabid smile gets even stiffer as he mutters to himself “think of the profits think of the profits SD will ensure profits think of the profits”.

Jack Trades
Nov 30, 2010

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/granskning/ug/sd-toppen-skrev-sig-i-fritidshuset-far-taxiresor-och-traktamente-av-skattebetalare

Bidragsfusk for me but not for thee.

lilljonas
May 6, 2007

We got crabs? We got crabs!
This will be four years of SD scandals and it's very much up in the air if they will finally start to matter or not.

The first polls are showing that M is back as the second largest party, mainly by eating voters from all the other four parties on the right.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

We inhabit an age of immeasurable indignity.

BonHair
Apr 28, 2007

Say what you will, Vanopslagh is extremely skilled. A complete shithead, but skilled.

In other news, I bike past an election poster every day for some social democrat, which has "rejs jer, fordømte her på jorden" graffitied on it. I honestly don't know if it's supportive or dismissive.
The otherwise my area has been mostly Nye Borgerlige and Inger Støjberg.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

Another generation of the Hækkerup dynasty is in apparently. Good grief.

Winklebottom
Dec 19, 2007



:magemage:

KozmoNaut
Apr 23, 2008

Happiness is a warm
Turbo Plasma Rifle


Name and shame.

Winklebottom
Dec 19, 2007

KozmoNaut posted:

Name and shame.

not my photo but I did a little digging and it's a real winner

https://twitter.com/SletDetHele

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy
Assuming I understand this

https://twitter.com/SletDetHele/status/1587792511891808256?s=20&t=j-sJR79tL-i54Wg_-_Vy_Q

jeebus bob
Nov 4, 2004

Festina lente
Lol get hosed Lars Aslan

also Jeppe Kofod, the statutory rapist hand picked from a cushy job in the European Parliament to come be foreign minister, couldn't even get a seat in Folketinget.

McCloud
Oct 27, 2005

BigglesSWE posted:

https://twitter.com/karlssonmax/status/1587542440021561347?s=46&t=y14X3J3nDCvpRlgLxL3YdA

Somewhere, Kristersson’s rabid smile gets even stiffer as he mutters to himself “think of the profits think of the profits SD will ensure profits think of the profits”.

This is just utterly insane from start to finish. How is this not on every headline on every paper in sweden?

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

jeebus bob posted:

Lol get hosed Lars Aslan

also Jeppe Kofod, the statutory rapist hand picked from a cushy job in the European Parliament to come be foreign minister, couldn't even get a seat in Folketinget.

Remember when Aslan lied about receiving death threats on election day and not a single journalist cared?

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER


yeah, you do

Jon Pod Van Damm
Apr 6, 2009

THE POSSESSION OF WEALTH IS IN AND OF ITSELF A SIGN OF POOR VIRTUE. AS SUCH:
1 NEVER TRUST ANY RICH PERSON.
2 NEVER HIRE ANY RICH PERSON.
BY RULE 1, IT IS APPROPRIATE TO PRESUME THAT ALL DEGREES AND CREDENTIALS HELD BY A WEALTHY PERSON ARE FRAUDULENT. THIS JUSTIFIES RULE 2--RULE 1 NEEDS NO JUSTIFIC



BigglesSWE posted:

https://twitter.com/karlssonmax/status/1587542440021561347?s=46&t=y14X3J3nDCvpRlgLxL3YdA

Somewhere, Kristersson’s rabid smile gets even stiffer as he mutters to himself “think of the profits think of the profits SD will ensure profits think of the profits”.
I thought selling out to American and foreign capitalists was the official Swedish policy what with electing social democratic, neo-liberal and bourgeois parties; and joining NATO.

SD should hire former S and M members who can make some internal training videos for SD that show the legal and appropriate way to be a corrupt politician in Sweden.

anatomi
Jan 31, 2015

Apparently the helis turned out to be kinda poo poo and now Försvarsmakten wants to buy new ones, from the US this time around. More bribery that goes unpunished is to be expected.

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V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

military procurement is a huge and ridiculous racket. i remember following the norwegian fighter renewal programme back in the day, and even very official sources gave a completely hilarious picture of what was going on and how the contest was rigged in favour of the JSF/F-35 programme

the F-35 has no applicability in a scenario where we actually have to defend the country against a determined enemy, it was not ready yet and had a bunch of warning signs about its economic management but was *still* under these incredibly optimistic projections several times as expensive as buying Gripen would've been. when they signed the contract, they had a cancellation clause if the price exceeded a certain amount which was generally seen as completely safe, but of course the programme managed to somehow exceed this clause trigger which meant that we had to redo the contract to remove that clause. shameful poo poo

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