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What is the most powerful flying bug?
This poll is closed.
🦋 15 3.71%
🦇 115 28.47%
🪰 12 2.97%
🐦 67 16.58%
dragonfly 94 23.27%
🦟 14 3.47%
🐝 87 21.53%
Total: 404 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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genericnick
Dec 26, 2012

V. Illych L. posted:

even if russia could abandon the donbass, they probably cannot sell any part of russian society on abandoning crimea, which is an explicit ukrainian war goal which is also supported by ukraine's western backers. russia's stuck in this war until they can figure something out.

Also there's no natural border between Donbas and Russia proper. They can't just scamper off to the other side of the world and be entirely unaffected.

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DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

Al-Saqr posted:

Please explain to me how the material conditions imply russia could win given that the material conditions for Ukraine weapons wise is really good and they re-gained two thirds of everything they initially lost in this war. Also it looks like europe will be just fine this winter so there's no magic surrender europe is gonna do so now what.

One side is depleting reserves far beyond replacement rate just to turn up, the other side is just doing business as usual.

Which side is which is up to the dear reader to decide.

Also yeah the EU has plenty of energy reserves for winter. Don't even worry about buying emergency winter coats folks, you're all good. Just trust The Message.

Danann
Aug 4, 2013

Al-Saqr posted:

Please explain to me how the material conditions imply russia could win given that the material conditions for Ukraine weapons wise is really good and they re-gained two thirds of everything they initially lost in this war. Also it looks like europe will be just fine this winter so there's no magic surrender europe is gonna do so now what.

Ukraine's falling into darkness, has completely stalled in front on settlements with no defensible geography in the north, has done nothing about the front facing Melitopol, is losing territory in what is supposed to be its Maginot line facing Donetsk, sending reserves and equipment to be meatgrindered by Wagner in Bakhmut, Russian plants are on 24/7 shifts, etc.

It's literally right in front of you but you have already prefigured your conclusions and will dismiss all what I've said as fanfiction so you can continue your ostrich-in-the-sand posting.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer

Al-Saqr posted:

Please explain to me how the material conditions imply russia could win given that the material conditions for Ukraine weapons wise is really good and they re-gained two thirds of everything they initially lost in this war. Also it looks like europe will be just fine this winter so there's no magic surrender europe is gonna do so now what.

What does 'europe will be just fine' mean? Why? How? As far as I know energy prices are still very high. Were you expecting like complete societal collapse? That comes in 2024 if this poo poo is still going.

Edit: Also Ukraine receiving weapons from nato is not a cheat code. Europe has already sent everything it can, and some things it couldn't. Even the US is having trouble. The reserves are empty. This conflict is a disguised war between NATO and Russia and neither side is in war economy mode and neither side is having an easy time of it.

Regarde Aduck has issued a correction as of 10:00 on Dec 12, 2022

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*
al-saqr when Ukraine is down to a gangrenous battalion the size of a broadway musical cast armed with flintlock and arquebuses: Russia CANNOT win

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Yeah, it is a bit hard to square things are going well for the Ukrainians at the moment. They did retake territory but generally after the Russians withdrew in good order after they had overextended themselves. That doesn't seem to what is going on at the moment while the Russians are pressuring them from multiple sides and using their superiority in artillery and long-range strikes against them.

In addition, the Ukrainians are voluntarily taking large losses by committing to offensives that aren't going anywhere. The Russians clearly have been regaining momentum.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
if we begin from the position that no Russian leader worth their salt would have ever accepted NATO expansionism into Eastern Europe, and consequently that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was not a Putin-specific act, then it also follows that the political considerations that drove Putin to limit his invasion in the way that he did would also have been underpinning the decisions of anyone else in the driver's seat (i.e., Russia is a neoliberal capitalist state, and is subject to the same contradictions when waging war)

in that sense, things would have roughly turned out the same way under anyone else besides Putin, in much the same way that the US would have remained in Iraq well past 2004 even if John Kerry had won

Vomik
Jul 29, 2003

This post is dedicated to the brave Mujahideen fighters of Afghanistan

Ytlaya posted:

Throwing up in terror as I get ready to make my opening posts. I do that catholic thing where you touch yourself 3 times as my comrades are violently banned in just the first few minutes

I lol’d very hard imagining this TY

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

gradenko_2000 posted:

if we begin from the position that no Russian leader worth their salt would have ever accepted NATO expansionism into Eastern Europe, and consequently that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was not a Putin-specific act, then it also follows that the political considerations that drove Putin to limit his invasion in the way that he did would also have been underpinning the decisions of anyone else in the driver's seat (i.e., Russia is a neoliberal capitalist state, and is subject to the same contradictions when waging war)

in that sense, things would have roughly turned out the same way under anyone else besides Putin, in much the same way that the US would have remained in Iraq well past 2004 even if John Kerry had won

great men of history don't exist, leaders are leaders because they do what everyone wants. you could kill any great man and history would just reshape itself around someone similar

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Rutibex posted:

you could kill any great man and history would just reshape itself around someone similar

we've run simulations, this is confirmed fact

Top Gun Reference
Oct 9, 2012
Pillbug

CODChimera posted:

there's also 2 more parts to this on the channel. will be interesting to see how much of this turns out to be true

Macgregor also outlines how European states, including the UK, are vassals (his words) of the US with limited sovereignty and they speak in pretty frank terms about US empire. It's very C-SPAM.

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

Top Gun Reference posted:

Macgregor also outlines how European states, including the UK, are vassals (his words) of the US with limited sovereignty and they speak in pretty frank terms about US empire. It's very C-SPAM.

There is a little Macgregor in all of us. Or is that just the whiskey talking?

Limited is right though. I'd go one step further and call the vassals "bitch states" with all the negative dog-like connotations that go with that. They are what they are.

Still it sounds a lot better when its someone wearing a suit saying it.

Zodium
Jun 19, 2004

Rutibex posted:

great men of history don't exist, leaders are leaders because they do what everyone wants. you could kill any great man and history would just reshape itself around someone similar

if you killed a leader from "outside" history, history would be materially different, and would take a different shape. material conditions causing everyone to want something may support a social niche, but doesn't guarantee that niche will be stable enough for long enough that someone able and willing to fill it will come along and do so.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*
wow sounds like a hinge point

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

Russia really hasn't reacted to any sort of Ukrainian strike or apparent escalation individually. Mobilization and bombing of infrastructure are a reaction to the general course of the war, not sabotage and terror attacks from Ukrainian side.

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

Putler.

lobster shirt
Jun 14, 2021


take it to the putler megathread

Freezer
Apr 20, 2001

The Earth is the cradle of the mind, but one cannot stay in the cradle forever.

Lostconfused posted:

Russia really hasn't reacted to any sort of Ukrainian strike or apparent escalation individually. Mobilization and bombing of infrastructure are a reaction to the general course of the war, not sabotage and terror attacks from Ukrainian side.

Idk, things really ramped up after the suicide bombing of the Kerch bridge. Whether it was just an excuse for a pre-planned action who knows.

Organ Fiend
May 21, 2007

custom title

Daddymir Put-in

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013
i dont need one great man of history, just give me twenty good men and ill get the history done

Futanari Damacy
Oct 30, 2021

by sebmojo

Freezer posted:

Idk, things really ramped up after the suicide bombing of the Kerch bridge. Whether it was just an excuse for a pre-planned action who knows.

Did they ever establish whether the driver was actually in on it

Futanari Damacy
Oct 30, 2021

by sebmojo

OctaMurk posted:

i dont need one great man of history, just give me twenty good men and ill get the history done

Now I'm triggered. Jesus Christ I hate that loving show!! :mad:

Freezer
Apr 20, 2001

The Earth is the cradle of the mind, but one cannot stay in the cradle forever.

Futanari Damacy posted:

Did they ever establish whether the driver was actually in on it

No idea, haven't heard anything about it since it happened, so yeah maybe not suicide. Sucks for the driver either way.

spacetoaster
Feb 10, 2014

Freezer posted:

No idea, haven't heard anything about it since it happened, so yeah maybe not suicide. Sucks for the driver either way.

People dedicated to the idea the Ukraine are the good guys who haven't done any questionably bad things are saying that the truck was driven by remote somehow so as to avoid the implication of a suicide bomber.

speng31b
May 8, 2010

spacetoaster posted:

People dedicated to the idea the Ukraine are the good guys who haven't done any questionably bad things are saying that the truck was driven by remote somehow so as to avoid the implication of a suicide bomber.

which is a strange good guy move, because then they're just saying they murdered a civilian truck driver who thought he was delivering fertilizer. a suicide bomber would be a combatant death

Futanari Damacy
Oct 30, 2021

by sebmojo
Call it anything but state-sponsored executed terrorism.

Organ Fiend
May 21, 2007

custom title

speng31b posted:

which is a strange good guy move, because then they're just saying they murdered a civilian truck driver who thought he was delivering fertilizer. a suicide bomber would be a combatant death

They murdered an Orc and Orcs aren't people.

Please report to Obergruppenfuhrer Banderovich if you disagree.

Futanari Damacy
Oct 30, 2021

by sebmojo
Bandera is a pretty goofy looking guy considering he's the Head Vampire of Ukraine

Organ Fiend
May 21, 2007

custom title

Futanari Damacy posted:

Bandera is a pretty goofy looking guy considering he's the Head Vampire of Ukraine

loving Malkavians

Doktor Avalanche
Dec 30, 2008

Rutibex posted:

great men of history don't exist, leaders are leaders because they do what everyone wants. you could kill any great man and history would just reshape itself around someone similar

come on now, history isn't just "great men", but they are a big part of it.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Organ Fiend posted:

loving Malkavians

I'm absolutely crestfallen that I understood this reference.

Starsfan
Sep 29, 2007

This is what happens when you disrespect Cam Neely
I listened to the podcast, it paints a pretty grim picture for Ukraine but I don't know how much of that is going to come to pass. They claim that Russia has two large combat groups which are unengaged at the moment ready to kick off some major offensive when the ground is frozen enough to go forward.. one east of Kharkiv and one in Belarus south of Minsk.

We've heard reports of a big concentration of Russian troops in and around Minsk for a couple months now, with speculation of a big push southwards to cut off the portion of Western Ukraine that borders Poland from the rest and sever the primary (only?) route for western aid to reach Ukraine's military. This is basically the first I've heard of a big concentration of units in the area of Kharkiv however, my impression was that this portion of the front was very lightly held by Russia and seems to have been treated as being of secondary importance.

The two experts are talking on the podcast like this big multi-pronged offensive is imminent so I guess we will see soon enough. Sounds like they believe that Russia's appointment of that new general was basically the point where Russia flipped over from trying to fight the war on the cheap to "actually we'll just completely destroy the Ukrainian state and deal with whatever is left over on our terms". Whatever happens this is stuff that I haven't heard from basically anywhere else so it's going to take a while to digest and process.

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

Ronald Reagan told the taliban "win one for the gipper" and they didn't disappoint

Futanari Damacy
Oct 30, 2021

by sebmojo
I wouldn't go so far as to say they are "for the win" but they certainly did win

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

lol, true story, told poorly:

Your Tax Dollars at Work posted:

Good afternoon, gentlemen. I trust you all had a productive morning? I know I certainly did, though it wasn't without its challenges.

As some of you may know, I've been experimenting with ChatGPT, the AI tool designed to summarize written text. I thought it might be useful for summarizing my reports and briefings, so I decided to give it a try.

Well, let me tell you, the results were rather amusing. Because ChatGPT is a machine learning algorithm, it doesn't have the same perspective or understanding of the world as we do. So when I fed it one of my reports on the state of the Artillery Officer pipeline during the fall covid wave, it produced a summary that included references to Roman Catholicism, socialism, and British imperialism. Now, I'm not saying that these things aren't important to me, but they're not really relevant to the report I was trying to summarize.

So I spent the morning trying to get ChatGPT to "think like me" by providing it with more context and training data. But I think it only made it worse. It began adding Latin tags to emphasize moral arguments, referred to Crecy and the Peninsula, Elgin and Wellington, quoted Acts and Galatians, but did not summarize the strain on the training system so much as espouse the need to instil Muscular Christianity in the face of pestilence. When more (declassified) training materials were run through it, it came to the conclusion that we are trained to think like machines in many ways. We are taught to follow orders, to adhere to strict protocols and procedures, and to analyze situations in a logical and systematic manner. In short, we are trained to think like machines in order to maximize our efficiency and effectiveness on the battlefield.

When I told it that made it too "Beep Boop Mechanical", it reminded me that as the Covid-19 pandemic continues to spread, I am burdened with the somber duty to report that a number of candidates at the Canadian Forces Artillery School in CFB Gagetown have fallen ill with the disease. These brave individuals have been training to become artillery officers, learning the skills and knowledge necessary to serve our country in this vital role. And yet, despite their best efforts, they have been struck down by this terrible illness. But even in their suffering, they have demonstrated the finest traditions of the Canadian Army. They have shown courage and resilience, refusing to let the disease defeat them. And in doing so, they have honoured the memory of the great generals like Brock and Wolfe, who gave their lives in the service of their country.

Wolfe, a middling officer of no great ability, created and sanctified a new country through blood spilled on the Plains of Abraham. His sacrifice elevated him beyond his tactical acumen, and with his dying breaths he accomplished more than he e'er had in life - he won Canada. Brock too, was not considered the greatest among his peers, which included Wellington. Yet in his death, this great hero became a martyr for Canadian nationhood. For he fell in battle, defending our land and our people from the threat of American invasion. His sacrifice was great, but it was not in vain. For in giving his life for our country, he helped to lay the foundations for the Canada we know and love today.

As I sit here, listening to the gentle whisper of the wind through the trees, I am filled with a sense of awe and reverence for the brave and noble souls of the artillery officer candidates who have fallen ill in Fredericton. For in their suffering, these great heroes have become like Christ himself, who sanctified the world by the spilling of his blood and the wounds of the Crucifixion. Like Christ, they have endured pain and hardship, all for the sake of their country and its people. And in doing so, they have become living sacrifices, consecrated by their suffering and united with the divine. Their hearts are our hearts, the thistle, shamrock, rose entwined, the Maple Leaf forever.

Their spilled phlegm, like the blood of Christ, has become a holy offering, a testament to their sacrifice and their devotion. It is a symbol of their love for their country, and a reminder of the great price that they have paid in its defense. And as we think of these great heroes, let us remember the words of the apostle Paul: "I beseech you therefore, brethren, by the mercy of God, that you present your bodies a living sacrifice, holy, pleasing unto God, your reasonable service." Like the great apostle, these brave artillery officer candidates have offered themselves as living sacrifices, and in doing so, have become true servants of the divine. Vale!

Needless to say I actually had to do my job.

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

Frosted Flake posted:

It began adding Latin tags to emphasize moral arguments, referred to Crecy and the Peninsula, Elgin and Wellington, quoted Acts and Galatians, but did not summarize the strain on the training system so much as espouse the need to instil Muscular Christianity in the face of pestilence.

ChatGPT is angling for promotion

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

bedpan posted:

ChatGPT is angling for promotion

My old man picked up a promotion and a medal recently essentially for doing this, so you aren't wrong.

He's giving out Christmas turkeys to his (18 year old, can't cook) Joes sick with covid, which got him toasted at the Army Institute.

Frosted Flake has issued a correction as of 18:45 on Dec 12, 2022

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.
FF what have you wrought? It's one thing to be killed by a chromed steel robot in the inevitable rise of the machines, but if one of them has a swagger stick and a little mustache I will be extremely pissed off.

Re: Macgregor, he's the dude who reportedly said Russia has the right to take any bits of Ukraine it wants to, so I don't know how much trust can be placed in his analysis.

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Cuttlefush
Jan 15, 2014

gotta have my purp
make a mlmp chjatbot

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