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What is the most powerful flying bug?
This poll is closed.
🦋 15 3.71%
🦇 115 28.47%
🪰 12 2.97%
🐦 67 16.58%
dragonfly 94 23.27%
🦟 14 3.47%
🐝 87 21.53%
Total: 404 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

Organ Fiend posted:

Once again, I submit that Canada's flag needs a slight modification.



canada had the ice nazi uniforms during the sochi olympics lol

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Corky Romanovsky
Oct 1, 2006

Soiled Meat
Ukraine could attempt to use the news of immunity for Polish militants to imply that it was them who sabotaged Minsk accord ceasefire and pullback plans, and express renewed interest in sticking to the federalization plan (or whatever it is that the Ukrainian people find agreeable). Not that I believe the Ukrainian government has the interests of the Ukrainian people at heart.

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

that guy has really interesting opinions on immigrants and refugees

https://globalnews.ca/news/4903246/immigration-refugee-board-dr-no-rehired-asylum-claims/

http://www.infoukes.com/newpathway/Page839.htm

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique


This makes me want to scream as the Ukrainian community literally conspired to sneak war criminals into Canada:

"Shortly after the termination of hostilities in Europe, General Pawlo Shandruk, the former leader of a Nazi- sponsored Ukrainian 'national liberation committee,' contacted Arch- bishop Iwan Buchko, a high-ranking prelate in Rome who specialized in Ukrainian affairs. Describing the former SS soldiers as good Catholics and fervent anti-communists, Shandruk implored Buchko to intervene on their behalf. The archbishop agreed to try. During a special audience with Pope Pius XII, Buchko pleaded the division's case. The pontiff was very sympathetic and promised to contact the appropriate British authorities. As a result of the Vatican's efforts, London agreed to change the Ukrainians' POW status to that of surrendered enemy personnel, a seemingly minor distinction, but one that freed the British from their repatriation obligations under the Yalta agreement."

"Analysis of correspondence between the Home Office and the government of Canada, and of letters from the voluntary organizations in Canada and the United Kingdom that were lobbying for the ‘Galicia’s’ civilianization, explains the nature of the negotiations that led to the ex-enemy personnel being given the status of civilians and allowed to live and work in the West. The ‘Galicia’ men were being cast by the Central Co-ordinating Committee of Ukrainian Organizations simply as soldiers who ‘fought against Soviet Russia on the German Eastern Front’; and the narrative featuring the ‘Galicia’ as a Wehrmacht Division was being used by officials both in Canada and the UK."

"The positive narrative portraying the former ‘Galicians’ as an anti-Soviet Wehrmacht unit was successful in at least securing negotiations with the Canadian government about the potential settlement of the Division members in Canada. This was the case only, however, until the Canadian authority representatives started to pay closer attention to the group in question, and realized that the Division had had no connection to the Wehrmacht, but was, in fact, part of the Waffen SS. Canadian immigration law of the time did not permit accepting former combatants who had served in the German Armed Forces voluntarily. The Memorandum for the Cabinet Committee on Immigration Policy stated that ‘[u]nder existing procedure aliens of Allied or Neutral nationality who served with the Enemy Forces during the war are not admitted to Canada unless they can establish that such service was compulsory. The group of Ukrainians served voluntarily.’ The policy thus stated clearly that Ukrainian men who served in the ‘Galicia’ were not to be permitted to enter Canada."

"Despite the vigorous criticism from different organizations of the pos- sibility of allowing the ‘Galicians’ to enter Canada, and the refusals of the Canadian government to allow the Division men to migrate to Canada, the lobbying efforts continued on both official and personal levels. The Canadian government was ‘under considerable pressure to admit a number of these aliens from the United Kingdom’. The High Commissioner for Canada in the UK wrote to the Secretary of State for External Affairs in August 1950, quoting a letter from the Foreign Office which was written in defence of the ‘Galicia’ men. This letter repeats the rhetoric of the Division being well-behaved and suitable for integration into the Western society....Thus, even in 1950 and even at the level of the Foreign Office and the High Commissioner, there was misinformation produced and reproduced as to the nature of the Waffen SS ‘Galicia’. This misleading information was used to pressurize the Canadian government into allowing the ‘Galicia’ men into Canada."

"Taking a page out of CCCRR's book, CURB adopted the strategy of trying to portray the Ukrainians' wartime service in the best possible light. A key element in that strategy was to minimize the division's SS affiliation. In his early dealings with the immigration bureaucrats, Pan- chuk referred to the division by its last and non-SS designation (1st Division of the Ukrainian National Army) and alleged that the use of SS terminology in its case was little more than Soviet propaganda. He also glossed over the voluntary nature of its recruitment, focusing instead on those Ukrainians who had joined as an alternative to forced labour."

"If the immigration bureaucrats thought the matter was closed, they were mistaken. CURB and the Ukrainian-Canadian lobby continued their campaign to get all or at least part of the 14th SS admitted. Aware that Ottawa's main objection to the division was the apparently voluntary character of its recruitment, those lobbying on its behalf changed their tactics. Henceforth, no effort would be spared in advancing the claim that the rank and file of the 14th SS had been
'forcibly conscripted.' The change in tactics evoked no sympathy in Ottawa. Indeed, the immigration bureaucrats began to betray a cer- tain weariness and annoyance with the lobbying on behalf of the Ukrainian ex-soldiers."

"The civilianization of the 14th SS seemed to galvanize the Ukrainian-Canadian lobby. In stories run in community newspapers in Winnipeg and Edmonton, UCC heralded the British government's action. More importantly, the organization announced that Ottawa was prepared to issue visas to members of the division who were able to produce evidence attesting to their civilian status. This was not the case, of course. Notwithstanding the civilianization of the Ukrainians, there had been no change in policy on the Canadian side. The response of the immigration bureaucrats to the erroneous reports was swift and angry. Denouncing UCC for its apparent attempt to embarrass the government, the superintendent of immigration in western Canada advised that, at a minimum, some sort of retraction be issued. Unwilling to alienate its Ukrainian-Canadian constituency, the government did not publicly rebuke UCC."

"The new civilian status of the Ukrainians did not lead to a lifting of the ban, but it may have been of some assistance in helping individual members of the 14th SS gain admission to Canada. At least a few of the Ukrainian veterans had been able to obtain IRO sponsorship by claiming that they had been civilians during the war. Their success convinced Panchuk that the same tactic might be used to slip some of the men through Canadian immigration screening. 'If applications are made now without any mention of the fact that they were previously confined as PWs,' he advised a representative of the Ukrainian- Canadian lobby, 'no questions are asked.'There is no way of determining how many former members of the 14th SS evaded detection in this manner. But the number may have been significant"

BrotherJayne
Nov 28, 2019


drat they goin' 40k

sum
Nov 15, 2010

Ardennes posted:

It is also why I am skeptical they can't touch the printing presses since something has got to give. Mass austerity, industrial collapse, cutting taxes/revenue is going to only leave a larger and larger fiscal hole, and unless the West actually pony's up the dough in a big way (more than they have been that includes with the latest US bill) the numbers don't match up.

(Also just cutting their defense budget isn't going to happen.)

Neoliberal total war is a contradiction. To fight off Russia, Ukraine has to orient its entire society towards supporting the army, which obviously requires enormous state intervention in the economy. But ideologically the end goal is to decommunize and become a shambling lobotomized EU country with a government too weak to actually do anything. Maybe they'll make some concessions to reality when things become critical (even in wartime these reforms will be enormously unpopular, and regardless they undermine their ability to resist), but I'm not convinced.

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

Frosted Flake posted:

This makes me want to scream as the Ukrainian community literally conspired to sneak war criminals into Canada:

"Shortly after the termination of hostilities in Europe, General Pawlo Shandruk, the former leader of a Nazi- sponsored Ukrainian 'national liberation committee,' contacted Arch- bishop Iwan Buchko, a high-ranking prelate in Rome who specialized in Ukrainian affairs. Describing the former SS soldiers as good Catholics and fervent anti-communists, Shandruk implored Buchko to intervene on their behalf. The archbishop agreed to try. During a special audience with Pope Pius XII, Buchko pleaded the division's case. The pontiff was very sympathetic and promised to contact the appropriate British authorities. As a result of the Vatican's efforts, London agreed to change the Ukrainians' POW status to that of surrendered enemy personnel, a seemingly minor distinction, but one that freed the British from their repatriation obligations under the Yalta agreement."

"Analysis of correspondence between the Home Office and the government of Canada, and of letters from the voluntary organizations in Canada and the United Kingdom that were lobbying for the ‘Galicia’s’ civilianization, explains the nature of the negotiations that led to the ex-enemy personnel being given the status of civilians and allowed to live and work in the West. The ‘Galicia’ men were being cast by the Central Co-ordinating Committee of Ukrainian Organizations simply as soldiers who ‘fought against Soviet Russia on the German Eastern Front’; and the narrative featuring the ‘Galicia’ as a Wehrmacht Division was being used by officials both in Canada and the UK."

"The positive narrative portraying the former ‘Galicians’ as an anti-Soviet Wehrmacht unit was successful in at least securing negotiations with the Canadian government about the potential settlement of the Division members in Canada. This was the case only, however, until the Canadian authority representatives started to pay closer attention to the group in question, and realized that the Division had had no connection to the Wehrmacht, but was, in fact, part of the Waffen SS. Canadian immigration law of the time did not permit accepting former combatants who had served in the German Armed Forces voluntarily. The Memorandum for the Cabinet Committee on Immigration Policy stated that ‘[u]nder existing procedure aliens of Allied or Neutral nationality who served with the Enemy Forces during the war are not admitted to Canada unless they can establish that such service was compulsory. The group of Ukrainians served voluntarily.’ The policy thus stated clearly that Ukrainian men who served in the ‘Galicia’ were not to be permitted to enter Canada."

"Despite the vigorous criticism from different organizations of the pos- sibility of allowing the ‘Galicians’ to enter Canada, and the refusals of the Canadian government to allow the Division men to migrate to Canada, the lobbying efforts continued on both official and personal levels. The Canadian government was ‘under considerable pressure to admit a number of these aliens from the United Kingdom’. The High Commissioner for Canada in the UK wrote to the Secretary of State for External Affairs in August 1950, quoting a letter from the Foreign Office which was written in defence of the ‘Galicia’ men. This letter repeats the rhetoric of the Division being well-behaved and suitable for integration into the Western society....Thus, even in 1950 and even at the level of the Foreign Office and the High Commissioner, there was misinformation produced and reproduced as to the nature of the Waffen SS ‘Galicia’. This misleading information was used to pressurize the Canadian government into allowing the ‘Galicia’ men into Canada."

"Taking a page out of CCCRR's book, CURB adopted the strategy of trying to portray the Ukrainians' wartime service in the best possible light. A key element in that strategy was to minimize the division's SS affiliation. In his early dealings with the immigration bureaucrats, Pan- chuk referred to the division by its last and non-SS designation (1st Division of the Ukrainian National Army) and alleged that the use of SS terminology in its case was little more than Soviet propaganda. He also glossed over the voluntary nature of its recruitment, focusing instead on those Ukrainians who had joined as an alternative to forced labour."

"If the immigration bureaucrats thought the matter was closed, they were mistaken. CURB and the Ukrainian-Canadian lobby continued their campaign to get all or at least part of the 14th SS admitted. Aware that Ottawa's main objection to the division was the apparently voluntary character of its recruitment, those lobbying on its behalf changed their tactics. Henceforth, no effort would be spared in advancing the claim that the rank and file of the 14th SS had been
'forcibly conscripted.' The change in tactics evoked no sympathy in Ottawa. Indeed, the immigration bureaucrats began to betray a cer- tain weariness and annoyance with the lobbying on behalf of the Ukrainian ex-soldiers."

"The civilianization of the 14th SS seemed to galvanize the Ukrainian-Canadian lobby. In stories run in community newspapers in Winnipeg and Edmonton, UCC heralded the British government's action. More importantly, the organization announced that Ottawa was prepared to issue visas to members of the division who were able to produce evidence attesting to their civilian status. This was not the case, of course. Notwithstanding the civilianization of the Ukrainians, there had been no change in policy on the Canadian side. The response of the immigration bureaucrats to the erroneous reports was swift and angry. Denouncing UCC for its apparent attempt to embarrass the government, the superintendent of immigration in western Canada advised that, at a minimum, some sort of retraction be issued. Unwilling to alienate its Ukrainian-Canadian constituency, the government did not publicly rebuke UCC."

"The new civilian status of the Ukrainians did not lead to a lifting of the ban, but it may have been of some assistance in helping individual members of the 14th SS gain admission to Canada. At least a few of the Ukrainian veterans had been able to obtain IRO sponsorship by claiming that they had been civilians during the war. Their success convinced Panchuk that the same tactic might be used to slip some of the men through Canadian immigration screening. 'If applications are made now without any mention of the fact that they were previously confined as PWs,' he advised a representative of the Ukrainian- Canadian lobby, 'no questions are asked.'There is no way of determining how many former members of the 14th SS evaded detection in this manner. But the number may have been significant"

now, now the canadian government really really wanted those the war criminals anyway (to crush domestic left wing ukrainian-canadian orgs) so many things were overlooked/white-washed

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

Corky Romanovsky posted:

Ukraine could attempt to use the news of immunity for Polish militants to imply that it was them who sabotaged Minsk accord ceasefire and pullback plans, and express renewed interest in sticking to the federalization plan (or whatever it is that the Ukrainian people find agreeable). Not that I believe the Ukrainian government has the interests of the Ukrainian people at heart.

the country's been invaded. the minsk accords are clearly off the table. integrating the so-called peoples' republic militias into the national army is obviously impossible at this point. that was a plausible way to go in 2015, but we're far past that now.

if they cannot achieve victory by sheer force of arms - which imo is not likely - they will have to figure out some way to justify a ceasefire of some kind short of their stated war aims, however, and blaming the poles might be useful for that. poland is no natural ally of ukraine, and if they can keep up the goodwill from the US and not make the americans choose between them despite internal animosity, it's a good strategy.

the issue, as ever, is that ukraine is now totally dependent on the US and its attendant institutions to not fall apart as a state. they have very limited ability to do anything else than what the americans indicate that they want them to do - and that is keep fighting.

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010




lol there's our boy again

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

sum posted:

Neoliberal total war is a contradiction. To fight off Russia, Ukraine has to orient its entire society towards supporting the army, which obviously requires enormous state intervention in the economy. But ideologically the end goal is to decommunize and become a shambling lobotomized EU country with a government too weak to actually do anything. Maybe they'll make some concessions to reality when things become critical (even in wartime these reforms will be enormously unpopular, and regardless they undermine their ability to resist), but I'm not convinced.

I would argue it is a little too late beyond more conscription. The infrastructure damage they have taken isn't going to be easy to repair in the short term and the economic/fiscal damage they have taken is permanent. They can't nationalize anything non-Russian.

As far as ordinating society toward the army, I think on the propaganda side they already have the lever pulled to the max. I do think gutting wages and social benefits will eventually have its toll though along with the other issues average Ukrainians are dealing with.

We will see how it goes but even if the frontline is stable I don't think things are looking positive. I would argue perhaps the Russians don't really feel need to go in a rushed manner and perhaps indeed it would make more sense to wait until Spring.

-----

One admission that has come up in Western social media that has been a long in coming is that "not all tanks (including Soviet ones) are useless" with the arrival of Slovenian T-55s on the frontlines. There has even been a little bit of a recant about Russia modernizing T-62s, and the gist of the argument is that even an old tank is useful with a thermal sight and there I agree. (Admittedly, I think the T-62 is just a much better target for modernization than the T-55 due to having a significantly more powerful 115mm smoothbore gun which makes it much more competitive on the battlefield.)

Also, there some recognition finally that ERA is actually pretty useful and it does improve survivability.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 06:44 on Dec 24, 2022

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008


quote:

he said Canada had become a haven for “assorted terrorists, drug peddlers and war criminals.”
:ironicat:

edit: Maybe I shouldn't say anything though, this guy could have been the ratline for a bunch of Ukrainians leaving the collapsed soviet union.

Lostconfused has issued a correction as of 07:19 on Dec 24, 2022

PawParole
Nov 16, 2019

https://twitter.com/ettingermentum/status/1606523200912982016

Funniest way the war could end.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

The thread is vindicated in the book on "Putin's Wars" that just came out.

Not the Generals' War posted:

The irony is that the same Western analysts who were sure Russia was indeed going to invade, were also sure that it would win, and win quickly. The consensus seemed to be that after two weeks, while there might well be continuing resistance by guerrillas, the Ukrainian military would be destroyed and the country essentially in Moscow’s hands. It didn’t quite work out like that.

In part, this was because of the skill and will of the Ukrainians themselves. For eight years, they had been anticipating something of the sort and they had been thinking, planning and training precisely how they could take on the Russians, with defence in depth by motivated Territorial Defence troops, while small, mobile groups of regulars targeted the invaders’ lengthening supply lines, to deprive them of the food, fuel and ammunition they needed to fight. From plumbers to professors, Ukrainians took up arms, and President Zelensky, whom many nationalists had been writing off as a ‘clown’ and a ‘lightweight’, rose to the challenge with humour and aplomb, becoming a rallying point for his people and a powerful advocate for support in the West.

It is not in any way to diminish the Ukrainians’ efforts, though, also to note just how strange the Russians’ strategy seemed from the very first. As discussed in Chapter 27, there is a distinct process the military would typically adopt and a clear sense of how they would fight a serious land war, such as the invasion of a country with a population of over 44 million people and more than 200,000 soldiers (before national mobilization). A Combat Management Group (GBU: Gruppa Boyevovo Upravleniya) would be set up well ahead of time to coordinate preparations. A force ideally able to concentrate a three to one local military advantage over the defenders would be assembled under a single operational commander. The war would start with a Massed Missile- Aviation Strike (MRAU: Massirovanny Raketno-Aviatsionny Udar) to crater every Ukrainian runway, suppress its air defences, break its lines of communications and disrupt and demoralize its troops, combined with devastating cyberattacks. Then, a carefully coordinated combined- arms operation would roll across the border.

Yet what happened on 24 February? The preparatory bombardment was limited and half-hearted, and left Ukraine with an air force and air defence system which could and did contest the skies. It was followed by small-scale assaults, including a landing at Hostomel airport (also known as Antonov airport) outside Kyiv by some several hundred Russian paratroopers who secured the airport, despite heavy resistance. Even reinforced, though, they were soon surrounded and forced to retreat. Although the Russians would later retake the airport for awhile, the whole operation seems to have been based on the bizarre assumption that the Ukrainians would scarcely mount any resistance and that a couple of companies of paratroopers could just drive into Kyiv and arrest the government.

There were myriad other signs that this was not war as the General Staff would wage it. There were, by various estimates, three, maybe even five, separate operational commanders in charge of different fronts in the first six weeks of the war. Without any mobilization, the Russians were fielding units at peacetime strengths, and in particular lacked adequate numbers of infantry, so the sight of unsupported tanks being picked off by Ukrainian ambushes became almost a cliché. There were nowhere near enough supplies for a protracted fight – and the GBU whose job it would be to make sure that this was addressed was apparently set up not months in advance, as it should have been under normal General Staff practice, but just a day before the invasion. When reinforcements or new supplies were brought to the warzone, the various field commanders vied for who would get them, with no clear sense of overall operational priorities.

Police Action, Not War posted:

It seems clear that the initial strategy was cooked up by Putin and his inner circle, none of whom had any real military experience, and all of whom believed – or did not dare contradict – his fundamental and fatally flawed assumption that the Ukrainians lacked the spirit to fight. He called the invasion a ‘special military operation’ rather than a war not just for reasons of spin but also because this was how he was thinking of it. More like a police action: arrest Zelensky and his ‘neo-Nazi’ government, impose a puppet regime, and spend a week or two putting down any small-scale holdouts and dispersing some protests. Perhaps the western part of the country, across the Dnepr River, would not be willing to accept the new order, but most of Ukraine, in his vision, would quickly fall.

With Belarus already essentially dependent on Russian support since its dictatorial leader Alexander Lukashenko brutally suppressed resistance to his regime, that would mean the three great people of what Putin sees as the ‘Russian World’ had been gathered back together. Admittedly, the Ukrainians and indeed the Belarusians see themselves rather differently, but to a Russian nationalist such as Putin, this looked like a fitting high-point for his career.

Although clearly toying with invasion for months, Putin appears only to have made the final decision very late. Indeed, many of the commanders themselves only learned that they were invading a few days in advance. Especially telling was an intercepted voice message between Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov and one of his cronies, Daniil Martynov, who was commanding the Chechen National Guard contingent there. Martynov was clearly in on the secret and he recounted with glee the consternation – and dismay – of his fellow commanders when they were gathered in the week before the invasion to be told (‘with bulging eyes’) what was about to happen. They were right to be worried – many of those National Guard units would take serious losses when they were deployed to take on not Ukrainian protesters but front- line troops. OMON primarily trained for crowd control and small-scale urban operations, was deployed near Kharkiv in light trucks. It was targeted by Ukrainian 122mm artillery and then engaged at extreme range by Ukrainian tanks, when all they had were RPG-29 Vampir rocket launchers, whose 800-metre range simply couldn’t reach their tormentors.

Kiev to Donbas posted:

At first, the Russians were clearly expecting to make rapid advances on all fronts. From Russian and Belarusian soil, forces moved against Kyiv in the north. From the Donbas ‘people’s republics’ and Russia, columns drove towards Ukraine’s second city, Kharkiv in the north-east, as well as along the coast of the Azov Sea in the south-east. Their goals seemed to be to encircle the Ukrainians of the Joint Forces Operation, who were dug in along the Donbas front, and to connect with the battalions pouring in from Crimea, which were heading both east towards Mariupol and west, aiming to take the major port of Odessa. Meanwhile, naval forces blockaded the Black Sea coast and positioned themselves to support a potential assault on Odessa.

Instead of concentrating, they spread themselves too thin, in operations which were inadequately prepared and conducted by soldiers who had not been expecting to be at war. The drive on Kyiv stalled, with a 65-kilometre-long convoy of some 15,000 troops getting bogged down some 20 kilometres outside city limits. By mid-March, the convoy was dispersing, and it soon became clear that Moscow had abandoned its hope of taking the increasingly well-defended capital. By the end of the month, all Russian forces had departed the Kyiv region.

It often bogs down into lib and natsec ghoul talking points, but the rough outlines agree with the discussion here and in other places we've seen emerge over the past few months.

"Nonetheless, there was a clear sense of greater realism and professionalism on the ground, even if from a pretty low base. The war became increasingly one of artillery, an area in which the Russians continue to have the advantage – at least until enough Western guns and counter-battery systems can be deployed – and of slow, methodical progress rather than over-ambitious gambits".

"As of writing, at the beginning of June, even if Putin acknowledges that this ‘special military operation’ is truly a war and orders a partial or full mobilization of his reserves, it seems hard to see him being able to take and hold all of the Donbas, let alone anything more. That move would be politically dangerous, generating an inevitable backlash at home in a population still being told that this is a limited conflict. Furthermore, although in theory there are more than a million Russians on the reserve lists, the military would have serious trouble mustering, training, arming and deploying more than 100,000–150,000 men, and that would take some three months from any decision being made... there is no doubt that this many fresh troops would make a difference on the battlefield. However, they would also take heavy losses, and hence Putin continues, as of writing, to dither."

"Yet the Russian military’s current problems with manpower stem from the fact that it is still fielding a peacetime army against a fully mobilized Ukraine. While Kyiv is essentially at full stretch, Moscow still has options as Russia has more than three times the population, and resources still untapped. Although it is difficult to regain momentum lost at the outset, it would be a mistake to write the Russians off too soon"

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*
you idiot tankies see swastikas everywhere

Cromulent_Chill
Apr 6, 2009

Clever troll and grift

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I mean, Zelenskyy decided to fight because he didn't know Ukraine had no resource to fight Russia in a long war and there is no rebuilding after the war machine drag through the industrial area. He still doesn't know. His profession is an actor. He didn't study the other stuff in school.

He had no idea the US abandoned Southern Vietnam government and will do it again when the time is right. Kissinger negotiated with China 2 years before US walked away from Vietnam.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

Zelensky really was the absolute perfect guy for this. I guess an oligarch had already identified that, which is how he got there, but drat.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/CaesarianHoxha/status/1606432130048851968

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
The part about mobilization didn't come off, although arguably in June it would have probably been more chaotic situation.

It does seem that certain myths are starting to unravel slowly though. Artillery indeed turned out to be useful, and T-62s are not necessarily rubbish. That the Russians did attempt some form of deep-battle but came in quarter cocked, and Bayraktar was just another medium drone not a super-weapon.

In fact, it turned out that numbers, firepower, and industrial warfare very much still matter.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 09:22 on Dec 24, 2022

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Prepare for my priapic projectile's exalted penetration
Nap Ghost
What myth writer said artillery wasn’t useful?

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021

Frosted Flake posted:

A state that can’t levy taxes or provide its own defence isn’t sovereign anyways, but this got me thinking.

Alright, so first and foremost blood and soil nationalism is useful because it creates an worldview where losing sovereignty in any meaningful sense to America is acceptable as part of a greater racial/civilizational war against an other. Nothing can be more important than that, because the stakes aren’t loss of territory, national integrity or sovereignty, but racial pollution, genocide, whatever. The genocide talk from Ukraine started on day one, minute one and I don’t think that’s a coincidence.

Part, much discussed ITT is the National Mythology of aggrieved bumpkins, the famine stuff, but I think it has other purposes. Galicians were claiming that they would be exterminated by Jews in 1891, which I just learned from reading The Plunder. This means it predates the Holocaust and famine significantly. Similarly they claimed the Poles were going to eliminate them during the Polish Revolt when they sided with A-H and brutally massacred the Polish gentry of Galicia in 1846 (and many Jews). I’m not sure what to make of this.

For example, in 1891 they claimed the Jews were destroying the Galician people by being too Capitalist, contrasting it with the natural collectivist nature of the Galician peasants, in 1941 they claimed the Communist Jews were destroying them through collectivized agriculture. I have never, ever, seen that mentioned side by side before. How they imagine their national character, ancestral way of life, swung on a loving dime.

I wanted to put this to a test, so I went to the Holocaust section of the Axis History Forums, and lo and behold “the Jews had it coming because they were Communists” and “the Jews had it coming because they were greedy landlords, bankers and shopkeepers” exist side by side, often by the same posters at the same time. The only disagreement seems to be when Poles and Ukrainians argue in threads about who was the greater victim and who sided with The Enemy to oppress them. Poles say Ukrainians were Communists who sided with the Jews, often Jewish-Ukrainian commissars, the Ukrainians say the Poles were greedy landlords alongside the Jews exploiting the Ukrainians. This doesn’t happen too much as they seem to not bring each other too much and focus on the Jews or stick to their own threads about national victimhood.

All of that to say, if they have constructed a contemporary narrative of Asiatic/Jewish Russians seeking to extinguish the White ”Western” European Ukrainians, White “Western” Americans are on their side and so no sovereignty is lost. How often do Ukrainian statements refer not to the state of Ukraine, but The West? The Civilized World? Pretty often. Within this framing Ukraine already disappears into a larger whole.

You could go further and say the acceptance/subsumption of Ukraine into this whole is desirable. Ukraine becoming absorbed by The West, Europe, EU, NATO is a goal in and of itself and so it might not even be seen as “sacrificing” the nation. This brings me to another historical connection.

Remember the first Galician/Ukrainian identity was as Imperial. That’s how they defined themselves against Poles and Jews for nearly all of the 1800’s. As Imperial subjects they have no sovereignty as a state. Rather, their nation is the bulwark of an Empire, a source of racial pride and patron of vengeance against their enemies closer at hand. They have simply exchanged one patron for another.

Austria had a long history of doing this in border or restive regions. Examples would be the Pandours (Croats), Grenzers (Serbs) and Bosniaken (Bosnians). Each provided military service to Austria, loyal in battles and wars after German and Hungarian troops had given in, but domestically their loyal service gave them the license and military means to drive away their neighbours. Not only did they ethnically cleanse the countryside of their regions, they downright revelled in Imperial prestige and patronage. It became a big part of the construction of their national identities, and loyal service became intertwined with eliminating the disloyal and dangerous Enemy that threatened the Empire.

This heated up with pan-Slavism and I can very easily see how they began to see themselves as not-Slavs, more similar to the Germans/Europeans/West. Only in this case Serbia and the Russian Empire have been replaced by the Russian Empire. Seeing national identity as consisting of westward longing and eastward violence, which depends on the western patron, make sense as a virulent Ethno Nationalism that doesn’t require national sovereignty or even independence.

That actually is probably worth looking into, because I see a through-line from Vienna, to Berlin to Washington.

I don’t think I’ve seen much at all about post-2014 being independent, charting an independent outlook or policy, but a lot about part of the West, EU, NATO. If there’s something to that mirroring the earlier Imperial identity, then it all makes sense to me. Galicia/Ukraine is finally accepted as a member of the Empire and gets to use the Imperial arsenal to punish all of their ethnic enemies. Big Israel.

joining the west when multipolarity is just around the corner lol.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Frosted Flake posted:

It collapsed because it didn’t realize that levis and bananas represented a system even more red in tooth and claw instead of freedom.

https://twitter.com/creation247/status/1606315521183342592

it's so funny that the right-wing position is now "exporting Levi's to the whole world was a bad thing, actually"

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021
they are all similar dresses? Like whats the difference between the swedish and the italian one?

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold
at least use the national dress costumes that people haven’t worn since the 1750s for the before picture

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021
also half of them are movie costumes lol.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

Tankbuster posted:

joining the west when multipolarity is just around the corner lol.

I was going to ask you if maybe the “Imperial” identity and communal violence against enemies close to home could tie in with Martial Races and the Punjab but I think that’s a stretch.

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021
given that punjab was a hotbed of indian independence that kept being radicalized in a leftward direction just like bengal and eventually the rest of the raj - lol no. Like the vast majority of punjabis were sunni muslim peasants.

HazCat
May 4, 2009

Tankbuster posted:

they are all similar dresses? Like whats the difference between the swedish and the italian one?

The difference is that all the women in the top panels are correctly performing femininity for male consumption, but the woman in the bottom panel is not.

The message here is not actually about clothing.

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021

HazCat posted:

The difference is that all the women in the top panels are correctly performing femininity for male consumption, but the woman in the bottom panel is not.

The message here is not actually about clothing.

I don't think the ones at the bottom are feminine at all.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

mlmp08 posted:

What myth writer said artillery wasn’t useful?

quote:

Russia has relied heavily in Ukraine on long-range attacks with unguided weapons, like howitzers and artillery rockets. By comparison, Western military forces have almost entirely converted their arsenals to use guided rockets, missiles and bombs, and they have even developed kits that can turn regular artillery shells into precision weapons. Russia may be limited by sanctions and export controls affecting its ability to restock modern weapons, and much of its precision-guided arsenal may now have been exhausted.

The first two sentences are technically not wrong but the implication is one is effective while the other is (and it is a good thing that the West has few non-precision shells on hand) and the third sentence is laughably wrong. We know artillery in the sense of even non-precision HE shells supplied in a regular manner are effective, artillery as a whole is effective.

quote:

These Cold War-era, unguided Russian weapons have the capacity to shoot well beyond the range of the human eye — many miles past the point where a soldier could see the eventual target. To use these weapons lawfully at long range, Russia would have to use drones or soldiers known as “forward observers” to watch where the weapons hit, and then radio back corrections. There was little evidence that they were doing so until recently.

“I think what we’re seeing here with the Russians is kind of like what you’d see back in World War II, where they just bomb the hell out of people,” a senior American defense official said in an interview.

Orcs don't know what drones are and are using "ww2" style tactics

This is June 19th 2022 NYT

We know they have been using spotter drones since the beginning of the war, and their tactics weren't "from the Second World War." While the West has degraded its use of non-precision artillery in many senses, it hasn't been been replaced by precision weapons and the Russian use of non-precision HE has been clearly effective as well. Also, it is nearly 2023 and we are still waiting for the Russians to run out of precision munitions.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 09:41 on Dec 24, 2022

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

I mean, ethnic dress disappeared as textile industry and retail became more and more concentrated in both geography and ownership, and needed to lose specific ornamentation and develop broad appeal for mass markets.

It’s always capitalism at the root of it but the furthest right wingers get - maybe - is “media”.

If they thought about if for even a second they could get on board, you know local textile industries and shops go hand and hand with vibrant regional culture, but they never do.

Endman
May 18, 2010

That is not dead which can eternal lie, And with strange aeons even anime may die


drat you need to do so much reading to keep up with this thread

I know far too much about western countries importing right wing diasporas now

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Frosted Flake posted:

I mean, ethnic dress disappeared as textile industry and retail became more and more concentrated in both geography and ownership, and needed to lose specific ornamentation and develop broad appeal for mass markets.

It’s always capitalism at the root of it but the furthest right wingers get - maybe - is “media”.

If they thought about if for even a second they could get on board, you know local textile industries and shops go hand and hand with vibrant regional culture, but they never do.

most of africa still rules for fashion because they never got absorbed into the levi's ussr and east asia thing

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

I didn’t even get to the part about Vatican involvement, for example the Papal Envoy that swayed the British being a former member of the 14th SS.

Or, what seems like overlapping conspiracies in the Vatican, British Government and Canadian Diaspora, who may have not been aware of the others’ existence, so there were parallel ratlines and parallel subversions of the Canadian government. Or that parts of the Canadian government had a secret meeting with the UK, so possibly that’s four conspiracies, and then the official importation.

Or the bizarre 1982 ruling that contravened Nuremberg. Or our intelligence linked #GirlBoss Deputy PM getting up to God knows what today, like personally making phone calls without the PM or Cabinet to get Poroshenko out of jail.

lol I mean, it’s so over the top in places you’d think it was ODESSA.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Frosted Flake posted:

lol I mean, it’s so over the top in places you’d think it was ODESSA.

look the oil fields have provided jobs for highschool-level grads that have never seen wealth before. shame they use it on F250s

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Endman posted:

drat you need to do so much reading to keep up with this thread

I know far too much about western countries importing right wing diasporas now

learning about all the different flavours of idiot right wing nationalistic ethnic groups that fight each other like they're a Pokemon element counter chart

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

Ardennes posted:

I would say the context is "if we needed to we should just bump it to 10% and completely crush the Russians." It is the assumption that not Ukrainian lives are meaningless you are keep on inching the nob higher to get a grander result.

It is why you need a narrative that the West could always just pump a bit more aid in and shift the situation to their advantage but in reality I think much of the trading has been going better for the Russians than they want to admit. If you are talking about 8-10,000 KIA Russians, that likely means only so much equipment was likely lost (especially since verified captures seem actually pretty rare).

The entire "efficiency" argument is sociopathic...but it is also hollow. You need to put the Russians in a place where they can't replace their losses and honestly I just don't think that is happening. If anything Russian arms manufacturing seems to be upping production.

The Ukrainians can still linger a while though, and they have the men still to put into battle but I wouldn't say things are looking better for them either.

The greatest loss from this conflict was decided in the spring when it turned out the sanction regime of the West means absolutely nothing against an industrialized economy of a peer

Danann
Aug 4, 2013

Военный Осведомитель posted:


(Click thumbnail to open video)
Кустарно установленное на украинский МТ-ЛБ 100-мм орудие МТ-12 «Рапира».

@milinfolive
(from t.me/milinfolive/94729, via tgsa)

more mtlb waffentrager content

ZOKA's Channel posted:


(Click thumbnail to open video)
Quadcopters of the Russian forces do not leave their own.

@zoka200
(from t.me/zoka200/5716, via tgsa)

quadcopters evacuating damaged quadcopters from the battlefield

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Slavvy
Dec 11, 2012

Sometimes I forget it's the future now but then I see that there are gopnik privates enlisted in the recovery platoon of a drone battalion and I remember

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