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(Thread IKs: skooma512)
 
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fanfic insert
Nov 4, 2009

Eric Cantonese posted:

The day hasn't even started for the US. Jeez. As that Saudi minister and Janet Yellen knows first hand, someone phrases something wrong and people could get spooked and do all the things you degenerates are rooting for.

I suspect European markets are more optimistic than before that somehow the UBS/CS merger will help keep the financial system stable.

:mad:

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HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

credit pisse

TDepressionEarl
Oct 28, 2010


I'm trying to win the World Cup
but I'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps playing Argentina onside


i would have thought europe was insulated from swiss bank failure by virtue of swiss self-exclusion from the union

Demon Of The Fall
May 1, 2004

Nap Ghost

err posted:

the car situation is so bad, cars are so expensive now and people with low credit scores are missing payments at record levels:


https://www.axios.com/2023/03/01/low-income-households-are-falling-behind-on-car-bills

was the recent dip during covid checks? HOLY poo poo GIVING PEOPLE MONEY IS ACTUALLY AWESOME AND HELPS A LOT WITH BILLS AND STUFF

Horseshoe theory
Mar 7, 2005

TDepressionEarl posted:

i would have thought europe was insulated from swiss bank failure by virtue of swiss self-exclusion from the union

Schengen Area influence!

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

europe signed too many commercial pacts with the swiss and were on negative influence

Archduke Frantz Fanon
Sep 7, 2004

Demon Of The Fall posted:

was the recent dip during covid checks? HOLY poo poo GIVING PEOPLE MONEY IS ACTUALLY AWESOME AND HELPS A LOT WITH BILLS AND STUFF

tons of bad indicators tanked when the checks went out

but it turns out the entire us economy falls apart for years if you reduce misery even slightly

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Lol NY Bancorp up 40% at opening

Seems normal

ScrubLeague
Feb 11, 2007

Nap Ghost
We bailed out airlines for more than they were collectively worth because they had to sit on their hands for two weeks.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

forkboy84 posted:

Lol NY Bancorp up 40% at opening

Seems normal

They got the decent assets from Signature Bank at a big discount. I can see a bull case for that.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wedbush-upgrades-ny-community-bancorp-on-sweetheart-deal-for-signature-bank-assets-810a1915

TDepressionEarl
Oct 28, 2010


I'm trying to win the World Cup
but I'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps playing Argentina onside


ScrubLeague posted:

We bailed out airlines for more than they were collectively worth because they had to sit on their hands for two weeks.

airlines are banks that also do logistics. if airlines fail then the state fails.

they aren't "worth" a whole lot because it costs a ton to keep jets maintained and organized correctly, and the labor is specialized with security clearance, so the profit is slim.

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

TDepressionEarl posted:

airlines are banks that also do logistics. if airlines fail then the state fails.

they aren't "worth" a whole lot because it costs a ton to keep jets maintained and organized correctly, and the labor is specialized with security clearance, so the profit is slim.

they should be nationalized op

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Guy on Bloomberg arguing for FDIC to guarantee deposits up to $1m.

net work error
Feb 26, 2011

Number up, no crisis here.

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

forkboy84 posted:

Guy on Bloomberg arguing for FDIC to guarantee deposits up to $1m.

let banks gamble with no consequences, drat it

thin wafer cookie
Mar 17, 2023

Spoondick posted:

my stepdad was into this poo poo too then a wildfire burnt all his poo poo to ashes in 2 hours... a collapsed society has no woodland firefighters so rugged independent off the grid dudes in forests are going to be in for some surprises

I never understood the appeal of weekend prepper poo poo because survival isn't really a hobby ans you're not really doing wilderness survival if you're working in an office five days a week

Primitive cultures had answers for forest fires but none of them matter if you're filing reports and going to meetings when you should be preparing a fire line

sleep with the vicious
Apr 2, 2010

forkboy84 posted:

Guy on Bloomberg arguing for FDIC to guarantee deposits up to $1m.

As of last week they already insure infinite deposits

coelomate
Oct 21, 2020


FRC down 10%+ today. Remember, there's always blood somewhere :unsmith:

FlapYoJacks
Feb 12, 2009

sleep with the vicious posted:

As of last week they already insure infinite deposits

only for big banks. Small banks can pound sand lol.

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

FlapYoJacks posted:

only for big banks. Small banks can pound sand lol.

well yeah they want to consolidate everything into the giant 4

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

FlapYoJacks posted:

only for big banks. Small banks can pound sand lol.

what if small banks just don't over-leverage themselves, play around with the $250k or less money per account and keep the rest of the money safe like they're meant to

Horseshoe theory
Mar 7, 2005

Good Soldier Svejk posted:

what if small banks just don't over-leverage themselves, play around with the $250k or less money per account and keep the rest of the money safe like they're meant to

*CEO looks at savings account* "How about 'NO'?"

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

also why hasn't Biden replaced Powell with someone who will just turn back on the money fountain since it's pretty clear that the fiscal austerity bullshit is just the same thing that happens every time a dem takes office

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

Good Soldier Svejk posted:

what if small banks just don't over-leverage themselves, play around with the $250k or less money per account and keep the rest of the money safe like they're meant to

But then they won't be able to compete with the big banks!!!

It's perverse, right? The FRC and SVB sized banks were agitating for Dodd Frank rollbacks so they could get more aggressive and offer better terms to help them keep customers. They ultimately got screwed, though, because they could not offer the kind of safety afforded by the more regulated bigger banks.

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

forkboy84 posted:

Guy on Bloomberg arguing for FDIC to guarantee deposits up to $1m.

The funny part is that 1 million wouldn't be near enough. There are vc tech companies, they have way more than just a million bucks.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

99.9% of bank deposits are probably below 10k

A Bakers Cousin
Dec 18, 2003

by vyelkin
over 50% of americans dont have 500 in the bank

Koirhor
Jan 14, 2008

by Fluffdaddy
[doomsday economics] coo coo for CoCos Bonds

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Eric Cantonese posted:

But then they won't be able to compete with the big banks!!!

It's perverse, right? The FRC and SVB sized banks were agitating for Dodd Frank rollbacks so they could get more aggressive and offer better terms to help them keep customers. They ultimately got screwed, though, because they could not offer the kind of safety afforded by the more regulated bigger banks.

"Regulated"

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

Grapplejack posted:

"Regulated"

in the same sense that all gun owners are a well-regulated militia

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
The recession is here. The economy just doesn't know it yet. 😎


Edit: the Fred decision Wednesday is being estimated between -25bps to 25bps.

Gunshow Poophole
Sep 14, 2008

OMBUDSMAN
POSTERS LOCAL 42069




Clapping Larry
so nothing is happening eh? opening bell was almost an hour ago

Archduke Frantz Fanon
Sep 7, 2004

So it looks like SVB was running a ponzi scheme? Lending money to startups that needed a liquid source of funds, requiring them to keep the loaned money in SVB, then drawing on the deposited loaned money to make more loans.

Though ryan grim is sourcing this twitter account :https://twitter.com/Cryptadamist/status/1637385476565872645?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

and I really don't want to go any further down that rabbit hole

Harik
Sep 9, 2001

From the hard streets of Moscow
First dog to touch the stars


Plaster Town Cop

FlapYoJacks posted:

only for big banks. Small banks can pound sand lol.

what bank was allowed to go under and wipe out deposits over 250k?

because that'd be the end of all banks, lol. The only thing keeping the system alive is the FDIC saving all deposits, all the time.

sleep with the vicious
Apr 2, 2010

Archduke Frantz Fanon posted:

So it looks like SVB was running a ponzi scheme? Lending money to startups that needed a liquid source of funds, requiring them to keep the loaned money in SVB, then drawing on the deposited loaned money to make more loans.

Though ryan grim is sourcing this twitter account :https://twitter.com/Cryptadamist/status/1637385476565872645?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

and I really don't want to go any further down that rabbit hole

No, from most or all public reporting they were doing what every bank was, they just massively over indexed on banking for tech companies (whose cash reserves spiked due to the tech bubble) and long term bonds and hit a liquidity crunch when all the tech companies needed their money because they don't actually sell anything so they draw down their cash to meet payroll. A perfect storm but inevitable due to interest rate rises

Harik
Sep 9, 2001

From the hard streets of Moscow
First dog to touch the stars


Plaster Town Cop

Archduke Frantz Fanon posted:

So it looks like SVB was running a ponzi scheme? Lending money to startups that needed a liquid source of funds, requiring them to keep the loaned money in SVB, then drawing on the deposited loaned money to make more loans.

Though ryan grim is sourcing this twitter account :https://twitter.com/Cryptadamist/status/1637385476565872645?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

and I really don't want to go any further down that rabbit hole

that's not a ponzi, it's literally how fractional reserve banking works.

or it is a ponzi but it's an accepted one, take your pick.

A Bakers Cousin
Dec 18, 2003

by vyelkin
the difference between jp morgan and ol chucky ponzi is one bank didnt get bailed out

slave to my cravings
Mar 1, 2007

Got my mind on doritos and doritos on my mind.
going to put my savings in casino tokens in Vegas cause I know I can always cash those out

Archduke Frantz Fanon
Sep 7, 2004

sleep with the vicious posted:

No, from most or all public reporting they were doing what every bank was, they just massively over indexed on banking for tech companies (whose cash reserves spiked due to the tech bubble) and long term bonds and hit a liquidity crunch when all the tech companies needed their money because they don't actually sell anything so they draw down their cash to meet payroll. A perfect storm but inevitable due to interest rate rises

It wasn't a huge part of their books, and i think they would have been fine if they didn't run their bank like a poorly run circus so im gonna go with

Harik posted:

that's not a ponzi, it's literally how fractional reserve banking works.

or it is a ponzi but it's an accepted one, take your pick.

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triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



love getting ghosted by recruiters in this poo poo job market

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