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Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Zamujasa posted:

it's incredibly trivial to craft a narrative that makes absolute sense, what are you talking about?

trans people are very obviously and very directly being targeted by right wing poo poo across the country, a narrative of someone finally having enough and going on a rampage is a story that writes itself. feed that to someone who isn't well aware of the real happenings and boom

even if it was insane, we have a literal congress person who literally appears to believe in Jewish space lasers. "very clearly doesn't make sense" doesn't matter in this world.

That narrative doesn't make sense. If a hypothetical trans person were violently lashing out against legislative oppression, they'd probably target a lobbyist group, not an elementary school.

As someone else said a bit earlier in the thread, there is no good and plausible reason to shoot up a class of elementary schoolers that makes any sort of sense.

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Alkydere
Jun 7, 2010
Capitol: A building or complex of buildings in which any legislature meets.
Capital: A city designated as a legislative seat by the government or some other authority, often the city in which the government is located; otherwise the most important city within a country or a subdivision of it.



Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

Biden is still refusing to negotiate over the debt ceiling and McCarthy says that Republicans will just pass their own debt ceiling bill with all the cuts they want over and over until the Senate accepts and Biden signs it. McCarthy says they won't send a clean bill to raise the debt ceiling and will try to blame the Senate for a default until Biden agrees to negotiate or accepts their bill.

McCarthy had previously said that the House Republicans would not be offering their own specifics for spending cuts. McCarthy says this is proof that Republicans will not allow default and if a default occurs, then it is because the Senate and Biden did not accept their bill to raise the debt ceiling.

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1641522675926310915

Well if the dumbass wants to drive pedal to the metal into the brick wall to reach the cliff on the other side...yeah, sure.

I guess being known as the idiot who finally kicked off the Second Great Depression by sending America into default and making the entire world banking system collapse is one way to get your name into the history books.

the_steve
Nov 9, 2005

We're always hiring!

Alkydere posted:

Well if the dumbass wants to drive pedal to the metal into the brick wall to reach the cliff on the other side...yeah, sure.

I guess being known as the idiot who finally kicked off the Second Great Depression by sending America into default and making the entire world banking system collapse is one way to get your name into the history books.

Pretty sure the people who own the History Book factory already have the chapter of how this was actually something Biden kicked off written and ready to print.

Zamujasa
Oct 27, 2010



Bread Liar

Main Paineframe posted:

That narrative doesn't make sense. If a hypothetical trans person were violently lashing out against legislative oppression, they'd probably target a lobbyist group, not an elementary school.

As someone else said a bit earlier in the thread, there is no good and plausible reason to shoot up a class of elementary schoolers that makes any sort of sense.

we already know that the shooter in this case has ties to the school and apparently attended. "christians" are also some of the most outspoken anti trans people.

it really is not hard to come up with a plausible motive. it also doesn't have to be perfectly sound, because as you point out, you have to be deranged in the first place to go shooting up a school.

Doctor Yiff
Jan 2, 2008

Yes, I know it doesn't make any kind of sense. After about the 500th time having to correct whatever dumbshit filtered out to local news about anything having to do with trans people, and I live in fuckin' New England, I've stopped expecting any kind of floor to what Joe Blow will think is plausible.

cat botherer
Jan 6, 2022

I am interested in most phases of data processing.

Zamujasa posted:

we already know that the shooter in this case has ties to the school and apparently attended. "christians" are also some of the most outspoken anti trans people.

it really is not hard to come up with a plausible motive. it also doesn't have to be perfectly sound, because as you point out, you have to be deranged in the first place to go shooting up a school.
Everyone's heard the concept of "stochastic terrorism" where anti-[insert bad thing] rhetoric by fascist elements causes a deranged individual to commit random violence against an out group they associate with [bad thing]. It's perfectly reasonable to expect deranged people in the victimized group to ocassionally commit random violence against some group they associate with their oppressors. It's really just the other side of the same coin.

Unfortunately, it's not perfectly symmetric, in that the counter stochastic violence just furthers the fascists' goals, because they are the ones prepared to exploit the event to increase fear of the out group.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Zamujasa posted:

we already know that the shooter in this case has ties to the school and apparently attended. "christians" are also some of the most outspoken anti trans people.

it really is not hard to come up with a plausible motive. it also doesn't have to be perfectly sound, because as you point out, you have to be deranged in the first place to go shooting up a school.

If she shot up the school because they abused her for being trans, then she didn't shoot up the school due to "gender ideology", she shot it up because she was abused.

Yeah, it's easy to come up with a motive that's plausible to people who are actively trying to buy into right-wing framing, but there's not really a whole lot that can be done about that.

When it comes to the Nashville case, the issue is that even though the authorities have her manifesto and all of her other writings and planning materials, they're dripfeeding out info of dubious credibility over a period of days, so that rather than getting a clear and accurate picture out in the first place, they're leaving people to speculate with incomplete facts. For example, cops quickly stated that the shooter was trans and a former student at the school, and didn't take long to claim that the attack was "planned and targeted". But we learned yesterday evening that the shooter had originally targeted public non-Christian schools, but settled on Covenant because it had less security. Moreover, we also learned that police think the shooter had also been planning to shoot up a local mall and kill "certain family members".

quote:

Nashville Council Member Robert Swope told The New York Post that the FBI’s Behavioral Analysis Unit (BAU) is working with the Metro Nashville Police Department (MNPD) to carry out “a very in-depth analysis” of both the manifesto and “certain aspects of the shooter’s life” as they investigate what led up to the horrific mass murder.

Once criminal profilers have analysed its contents, the manifesto will be shared with the public, said Mr Swope.

“The manifesto is going to be released. It’s just a matter of when,” he said.

“There are some incredibly brilliant psychological minds and psychological analysts combing through her entire life.”

Mr Swope said that Hale had “looked at” carrying out attacks on two other schools, both of which were public.

But he said that Hale appears to gave decided that “the security was too great to do what she wanted to do” and so “she chose a private Christian school, for, probably the reason is that the security is a whole lot less”.

Nashville Police Chief John Drake said on Tuesday that investigators “strongly believe” Hale was planning to carry out other attacks including at a local mall and targeting family members.

“We strongly believe there was going to be some other targets, including maybe family members, and one of the malls here in Nashville,” the police chief said.

“And that just did not happen.”

He said that some maps “pertaining to maybe some thinking about some other incidents” had been discovered during a search of the shooter’s family home, along with other weapons.

The Covenant School was believed to have been singled out for an attack because it had a lower level of security – with no school resource officer – than other locations.

Moreover, we also know that the suspect was receiving mental health treatment, and that the suspect's family had been pressuring them to sell their guns because the family "felt that she should not own weapons".

quote:

Prior to Monday’s massacre, Hale had been able to legally purchase seven firearms – despite receiving mental health treatment at the time.

In a press conference, Chief Drake said that Hale was under care “for an emotional disorder” and that her family “felt that she should not own weapons”.

The police chief said that Hale’s parents were aware the suspect had purchased one firearm, but believed it had since been sold.

In reality, the 28-year-old had legally purchased seven firearms and hid them around the family home.

Three of those firearms – two assault rifles and a handgun – were used in Monday’s shooting.

Even if Hale’s parents had been aware of the stash of weapons and contacted law enforcement, there is no red flag law in Tennessee that could have been used to take away the firearms.

virtualboyCOLOR
Dec 22, 2004

Lots of people interested in gossip over a murderer.

Everyone will head to their usual talking points and “centrists” will continue to shrug and say “someone should do something”.

Publicizing the manifesto of a murderer doesn’t do anyone good and wouldn’t provide closure.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
Grand Jury has voted to indict Trump on criminal charges.

quote:

A Manhattan grand jury voted to indict Donald J. Trump on Thursday for his role in paying hush money to a porn star, according to four people with knowledge of the matter, a historic development that will shake up the 2024 presidential race and forever mark him as the nation’s first former president to face criminal charges.

The felony indictment, filed under seal by the Manhattan district attorney’s office, will likely be announced in the coming days. By then, prosecutors working for the district attorney, Alvin L. Bragg, will have asked Mr. Trump to surrender and to face arraignment on charges that remain unknown for now.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/03/30/nyregion/trump-indictment-news

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011



CNN reporting NY grand jury has voted to indict trump.

AhhYes
Dec 1, 2004

* Click *
College Slice
Beaten hard. Still happy.

DEEP STATE PLOT
Aug 13, 2008

Yes...Ha ha ha...YES!




:yeshaha:

how long until his supporters do another Big Dumb

Zamujasa
Oct 27, 2010



Bread Liar

hopefully this time "ah! well. nevertheless," will finally be put to rest

XboxPants
Jan 30, 2006

Steven doesn't want me watching him sleep anymore.

Main Paineframe posted:

If she shot up the school because they abused her for being trans, then she didn't shoot up the school due to "gender ideology", she shot it up because she was abused.

Am I the only one who feels uncomfortable that so many people are referring to Hale as being a transman, while at the same time, using "she" to refer to him?

It's a hard topic for me to bring up, because I don't want it to sound like I'm defending a school shooter, and I know it sounds like that. But I feel like when we people do this, it supports the narrative that, say, AFAB people who identify as men aren't really men, they're just mentally deranged deviants.

If having your gender identity be respected is a fundamental human right, then being trans can't be something we have to earn through being a model citizen. And it can't be lost because the person is a criminal, even a child killer.

Is it because people just don't feel there is enough evidence that Hale was really trans? From what I've read, there are multiple sources ranging from online stuff, people who knew him, and the goodbye text where Hale referred to himself as "Aiden", and was also entered into that friend's phone as "Aiden".

I'm sorry if it feels like I'm taking this all out on you, Main Paineframe. You probably just aren't sure? But as a transperson myself, this year has ALREADY been horrifying, and now it's blowing up way worse and it just feels like this is a societal flashpoint where for the first time in years, a major person in the news who seems to identify as trans isn't having their gender, name, or pronouns respected by the press or the discourse and that reversal is very scary.

SirFozzie
Mar 28, 2004
Goombatta!


Announcement Bin Laden style.

"Ladies and Gentlemen... We've got him.. er.. indicted him."

yes, I know nothing matters, weakest bit of mycrimes.txt he's done, yadda yadda yadda. Let me enjoy this moment,

Silly Burrito
Nov 27, 2007

SET A COURSE FOR
THE FLAVOR QUADRANT

SirFozzie posted:

Announcement Bin Laden style.

"Ladies and Gentlemen... We've got him.. er.. indicted him."

yes, I know nothing matters, weakest bit of mycrimes.txt he's done, yadda yadda yadda. Let me enjoy this moment,

Hell, pop a cold beverage and savor it.

Farking Bastage
Sep 22, 2007

Who dey think gonna beat dem Bengos!
hahahahahahaahahahaha

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

Farking Bastage posted:

hahahahahahaahahahaha

Meatball
Mar 2, 2003

That's a Spicy Meatball

Pillbug
Wow, trump got indicted.

All I can think of is a line from super troopers: "Are you ready for the fun part? Because here comes the fun part!"

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Even with those charges I still see him mopping the floor with DeSantis next year

He'll just cry that he's the victim and his supporters will ignore the charges

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

XboxPants posted:

Am I the only one who feels uncomfortable that so many people are referring to Hale as being a transman, while at the same time, using "she" to refer to him?

It's a hard topic for me to bring up, because I don't want it to sound like I'm defending a school shooter, and I know it sounds like that. But I feel like when we people do this, it supports the narrative that, say, AFAB people who identify as men aren't really men, they're just mentally deranged deviants.

If having your gender identity be respected is a fundamental human right, then being trans can't be something we have to earn through being a model citizen. And it can't be lost because the person is a criminal, even a child killer.

Is it because people just don't feel there is enough evidence that Hale was really trans? From what I've read, there are multiple sources ranging from online stuff, people who knew him, and the goodbye text where Hale referred to himself as "Aiden", and was also entered into that friend's phone as "Aiden".

I'm sorry if it feels like I'm taking this all out on you, Main Paineframe. You probably just aren't sure? But as a transperson myself, this year has ALREADY been horrifying, and now it's blowing up way worse and it just feels like this is a societal flashpoint where for the first time in years, a major person in the news who seems to identify as trans isn't having their gender, name, or pronouns respected by the press or the discourse and that reversal is very scary.

Sorry, my mistake.

When I first started writing that post, I was consciously trying to focus on using "the shooter" and gender-neutral pronouns because the authorities have been very unclear about the specifics of that (which, by itself, is another issue with the dripfeeding - they confirmed the shooter being trans right away, but it took days for a consensus to emerge on whether "Audrey" was the deadname or the real name). However, I rewrote basically the entire post a couple times while digging through sources and trying to settle on an argument to pursue, and apparently I totally forgot about the prononus while revising stuff and accidentally slipped into the framing the authorities have been using. My bad.

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver
I doubt that anything from this indictment sticks in any real way, but it is very funny.

coelomate
Oct 21, 2020


lol. lmao.

XboxPants
Jan 30, 2006

Steven doesn't want me watching him sleep anymore.
Well I guess the "Trump won't be indicted because no one will take the unprecedented act of indicting a former president" argument goes out the window for the other cases. :getin:

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
Trump's 2024 campaign has put out a short statement:

quote:

Donald Trump was the victim of an extortion plot, yet he is the one being prosecuted.

Says they will be releasing a full statement announcing how they plan to respond soon.

Youremother
Dec 26, 2011

MORT

So what's next? Is the possibility of Trump being arrested, let alone brought to court or even prison, thinkable right now? I really doubt this is going to amount to much, I don't see a warrant being sent out for Trump, but hey who knows

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

Youremother posted:

So what's next? Is the possibility of Trump being arrested, let alone brought to court or even prison, thinkable right now? I really doubt this is going to amount to much, I don't see a warrant being sent out for Trump, but hey who knows

If he is indicted, then he will have to be arrested and booked. He will likely be allowed to surrender on his own, though.

They won't issue a warrant unless he skips court.

XboxPants
Jan 30, 2006

Steven doesn't want me watching him sleep anymore.

Main Paineframe posted:

Sorry, my mistake.

When I first started writing that post, I was consciously trying to focus on using "the shooter" and gender-neutral pronouns because the authorities have been very unclear about the specifics of that (which, by itself, is another issue with the dripfeeding - they confirmed the shooter being trans right away, but it took days for a consensus to emerge on whether "Audrey" was the deadname or the real name). However, I rewrote basically the entire post a couple times while digging through sources and trying to settle on an argument to pursue, and apparently I totally forgot about the prononus while revising stuff and accidentally slipped into the framing the authorities have been using. My bad.

It's cool! I'm unsure about it, myself. Especially after the other shooter who pretended to be non-binary. From what I've seen Hale does seem to have identifying as a transman, but it seemed like they were still comfortable with either Audrey or Aiden. Ugh it's such a mess.

But hey, good news! I hope they respect Trump's request to bring him in with an orange jumpsuit and handcuffs and do a full perp walk.

CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better

This is good but a part of me has to go "really? The first one?"

coelomate
Oct 21, 2020


Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

If he is indicted, then he will have to be arrested and booked. He will likely be allowed to surrender on his own, though.

They won't issue a warrant unless he skips court.

The man loves attention more than anything else, so I could see him refusing to turn himself in to force a dramatic arrest.

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011



The rhetoric that the five were just spouting on Fox news was insane.

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc
Trump was apparently caught off guard entirely by this per the Maggie Haberman in the NYT article live update

quote:

Trump is at Mar-a-Lago absorbing this information, according to aides. It’s not clear what his next move will be. Trump aides were caught off guard by this happening today, according to several people close to the former president. They had believed reports by some news outlets that the grand jury in Manhattan was not hearing the Trump case. Some advisers had been confident that there would be no movement until the end of April at the earliest and were looking at the political implications for Trump’s closest potential rival, Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida.

also lol
https://twitter.com/SebastianMurdoc/status/1641555934383095809

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
Mike Pence has a pre-scheduled live interview on CNN tonight a 9 pm. That probably just got a lot more exciting.

Doctor Yiff
Jan 2, 2008

Like a 100% chance he hops on a private jet and skips the country, right?

Youth Decay
Aug 18, 2015

coelomate posted:

The man loves attention more than anything else, so I could see him refusing to turn himself in to force a dramatic arrest.

He's said that he wants to be handcuffed lol.

Which honestly I think will backfire big time as he could easily go too far and affect the other impending cases.

Old James
Nov 20, 2003

Wait a sec. I don't know an Old James!


Something... matters? :dafuq:

Youremother
Dec 26, 2011

MORT

It's going to be interesting to see if Trump will come out of this looking more like a martyr or a weakling. It really could go either way, the only thing I can't see is amounting to very little

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

Mike Pence has a pre-scheduled live interview on CNN tonight a 9 pm. That probably just got a lot more exciting.

BREAKING: Former Vice President Mike Pence sets world record for world's long "Uhh..." in response to CNN interview questions, 4 hours 38 minutes... and counting!

Senor Tron
May 26, 2006


Youth Decay posted:

He's said that he wants to be handcuffed lol.

Which honestly I think will backfire big time as he could easily go too far and affect the other impending cases.

That Sideshow Bob speech where he confesses to all his crimes to brag about how good he is at getting away with stuff.

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FizFashizzle
Mar 30, 2005







Doctor Yiff posted:

Like a 100% chance he hops on a private jet and skips the country, right?

No.

He’ll get taken through a back door, processed without cameras present, released on his own recognizance, and start fundraising off of it.

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