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Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
Also, the stimulus payments and UE may have increased inflation inflation (which was a good thing at the time) on their own, but a big part of it was combined with the pandemic changing habits and supply chains dramatically.

All of sudden, people had a ton of extra free time and money they couldn't spend on the movies/restaurants/bars. So, demand for stuff like Nintendo Switches, Pelotons, and certain other durable goods exploded at the same time that supplies were cut short. That was why they were selling PS5s, Pelotons, webcams, and laptops for 400% MSRP and still selling out for about a year straight.

Inflation basically went up around the same rate in every major country at the exact same time, so Americans would have to have been throwing all of their money all over the globe for the stimulus payments to be responsible for all of the following inflation. Nobody really honestly believes that it was the cause of global inflation in 2021 through 2023. But, it is a very useful angle to attack "big spending" policies and most people who were promoting that theory were just doing it to advocate for their preferred spending policies.

Leon Trotsky 2012 fucked around with this message at 15:57 on Jul 7, 2023

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Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

trevorreznik posted:

Main Painframe, can you link to the pre-1935 crime statistics you have?!I've never seen those and that's really.interesting.

Also, what's the theory for why the 2000s/10s were more like the 1940s-60s for violent crime?

I've seen this chart floating around a fair bit, and while I'm unable to find who originally put it together (I didn't save where I found it last night, and when I search for it now I see that it's mostly being reshared by people with terrible opinions), the sourcing details seem solid enough.



Note that research on pre-WWII crime rates is a bit shaky due to a lack of good data; other sources I've found say that the homicide rate fell through the 1800s to a historic low in around 1900, and then rose again to peak in the early 1930s.

The best piece of research I've found for about 20th-century crime rate trends is a 1975 paper titled Homicide Trends in the United States, 1900-74. Yeah, it's old, but that's apparently a recurring trend in this field. It also contains a homicide rates chart to illustrate the pattern well:



The difference in how these two charts treat the first couple decades of the century, by the way, is because Homicide Trends in the United States relies directly on the reported data, but Estimates of Early Twentieth-Century Homicide Rates believes that official numbers were widely underreported until the 1930s for various reasons (most of which come down to careless and sloppy handling and reporting of death data in that era). As a result, it discards the official numbers and attempts to instead calculate the true homicide rate using statistical analysis. In that author's view, the rising homicide rate in the early 20th century was the result of improvements in reporting practices and record-keeping, rather than an actual increase in crime.



Regardless, both approaches agree on a key point: crime peaked in the early 1930s before sharply dropping, then staying at that new level until the mid-60s (aside from a brief spike when the troops were brought home in the late 40s), and then rapidly rising back to 1930s levels.

As for why crime rates are so much lower in the 21st century, there's plenty of theories, but a lot of them are very obviously ideologically-motivated, and it's hard to tell with any certainty which one is correct. Even when it comes to the crime dynamics of the first half of the century, there's still plenty of competing theories. Just click the "terrible opinions" links back at the start of my post to see some absolutely loving racist criminal justice theorists claiming with a straight face that the drop in the 1930s had nothing to do with the New Deal and was entirely due to falling immigration rates reducing the number of people from crime cultures.

Given that there's no big obvious event impacting the nation to the degree that the New Deal or WWII did, it's going to be a lot harder to settle on any one theory. The lead hypothesis (that the crime wave was caused by leaded gasoline) and the abortion hypothesis (that the decriminalization of abortion led to more potential criminals being aborted) both seem fairly popular in pop-discussion circles like this, but I personally don't find either one to be a satisfying theory. Personally, my view is that the high perception of high crime rates led to a relatively high level of political focus on reducing crime rates, leading authorities all over the country to put substantial resources into all sorts of efforts and initiatives and experiments to try to bring down the crime rate. That led first to a wave of ineffective policy directions like "Tough on Crime" and "War on Drugs", but after those failed to reduce crime rates, that opened the door to new directions and experimentation, some of it ineffective (like broken windows policing) and some of it more effective (like community policing). On top of that, some of the social factors that heavily destabilized cities during the 1960s, like white flight and urban decay, had slowed or even begun to reverse by the 1990s.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
I remember seeing analysis around last summer that about two thirds of the inflation was caused by global economic conditions/pandemic recovery and about a third was caused by Biden's policies. (Give or take a quarter or a sixth in each direction, just half-remembering.) If it had bumped inflation up to 4% or 5% from 2% for a few months that wouldn't have been that big of a problem, but it was unfortunate that the fiscally induced inflation came in at the same time and on top of the circumstantial inflation. It was well-timed for conservatives and centrist liberals to jump all over it and try to discredit policies like stimulus payments and the child tax credit.

I'm not sure if it worked though. In October last year a a survey showed 60+% in favor of (and less than 20% against) stimulus checks to deal with inflation, and the popularity of the child tax credit expansion also seems to have rebounded (to its original state of "incredibly loving popular".) "Giving people money" memorably became a campaign issue in 2020 (no, I don't know where your $600 is!) so maybe it will again in '24. Especially if inflation continues to drop.

It's also notable that the US has recovered economically from the pandemic better than pretty much any other country in the world, by a lot, not just under Biden but in the latter half of 2020 as well. (We actually passed pre-pandemic GDP before Biden even took office.) I think it's mostly the incredibly generous relief and stimulus programs of '20-'21 that did it, and even if those policies contributed to inflation that's no good argument that they weren't also the right thing to do. Without CARES, HEROES and ARA we still would've had high inflation alongside a whole host other maladies.

Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 16:18 on Jul 7, 2023

single-mode fiber
Dec 30, 2012

The bottom 60% or so of people in the US used their various covid stimulus (the direct payments, child care tax credit, etc.) to pay down existing debts. The top 20% combined the stimulus with a tremendous amount of cash-out mortgage refinances when rates cratered and went on a giant revenge spending spree. You have to remember that for the latter, those refinances alone typically resulted in $10,000 to $100,000 per household. Furthermore, that money went into the hands who already carried low or no revolving debt, and a social class of people for whom the acquisition and display of material luxuries is their main motivation (i.e. they're not actually wealthy, they can't wield influence like that, but they can buy a newer car, or a bigger pontoon boat, things like that to signal to those around them that they're standing slightly higher on the cinder pile). They were willing to pay the premium (and thus feed further into current and future inflation expectations) because they wanted all their new stuff immediately, as a psychological pacifier from being unable to handle wearing a mask in public and not being able to eat inside a restaurant.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

single-mode fiber posted:

The top 20% combined the stimulus with a tremendous amount of cash-out mortgage refinances when rates cratered and went on a giant revenge spending spree. You have to remember that for the latter, those refinances alone typically resulted in $10,000 to $100,000 per household. Furthermore, that money went into the hands who already carried low or no revolving debt
Yeah, America is a machine that turns having money into having more money, and it only gets more effective during recoveries from downturns.

trevorreznik
Apr 22, 2023

Main Paineframe posted:

I've seen this chart floating around a fair bit, and while I'm unable to find who originally put it together (I didn't save where I found it last night, and when I search for it now I see that it's mostly being reshared by people with terrible opinions), the sourcing details seem solid enough.



Note that research on pre-WWII crime rates is a bit shaky due to a lack of good data; other sources I've found say that the homicide rate fell through the 1800s to a historic low in around 1900, and then rose again to peak in the early 1930s.

The best piece of research I've found for about 20th-century crime rate trends is a 1975 paper titled Homicide Trends in the United States, 1900-74. Yeah, it's old, but that's apparently a recurring trend in this field. It also contains a homicide rates chart to illustrate the pattern well:



The difference in how these two charts treat the first couple decades of the century, by the way, is because Homicide Trends in the United States relies directly on the reported data, but Estimates of Early Twentieth-Century Homicide Rates believes that official numbers were widely underreported until the 1930s for various reasons (most of which come down to careless and sloppy handling and reporting of death data in that era). As a result, it discards the official numbers and attempts to instead calculate the true homicide rate using statistical analysis. In that author's view, the rising homicide rate in the early 20th century was the result of improvements in reporting practices and record-keeping, rather than an actual increase in crime.



Regardless, both approaches agree on a key point: crime peaked in the early 1930s before sharply dropping, then staying at that new level until the mid-60s (aside from a brief spike when the troops were brought home in the late 40s), and then rapidly rising back to 1930s levels.

As for why crime rates are so much lower in the 21st century, there's plenty of theories, but a lot of them are very obviously ideologically-motivated, and it's hard to tell with any certainty which one is correct. Even when it comes to the crime dynamics of the first half of the century, there's still plenty of competing theories. Just click the "terrible opinions" links back at the start of my post to see some absolutely loving racist criminal justice theorists claiming with a straight face that the drop in the 1930s had nothing to do with the New Deal and was entirely due to falling immigration rates reducing the number of people from crime cultures.

Given that there's no big obvious event impacting the nation to the degree that the New Deal or WWII did, it's going to be a lot harder to settle on any one theory. The lead hypothesis (that the crime wave was caused by leaded gasoline) and the abortion hypothesis (that the decriminalization of abortion led to more potential criminals being aborted) both seem fairly popular in pop-discussion circles like this, but I personally don't find either one to be a satisfying theory. Personally, my view is that the high perception of high crime rates led to a relatively high level of political focus on reducing crime rates, leading authorities all over the country to put substantial resources into all sorts of efforts and initiatives and experiments to try to bring down the crime rate. That led first to a wave of ineffective policy directions like "Tough on Crime" and "War on Drugs", but after those failed to reduce crime rates, that opened the door to new directions and experimentation, some of it ineffective (like broken windows policing) and some of it more effective (like community policing). On top of that, some of the social factors that heavily destabilized cities during the 1960s, like white flight and urban decay, had slowed or even begun to reverse by the 1990s.

That's really interesting, thanks.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
Yeah MPF great stuff, that's why we come here.

Dick Trauma
Nov 30, 2007

God damn it, you've got to be kind.
License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

quote:

According to documents that the Sheriff’s Office provided EFF through a public records request, it has shared license plate reader data with law enforcement agencies in states that have passed laws banning abortion, including Alabama, Oklahoma and Texas.

quote:

The Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office isn’t the only one sharing that data; in May, EFF released a report showing that 71 law enforcement agencies in 22 California counties — including Sacramento County — were sharing such data. The practice is in violation of a 2015 law that states “a (California law enforcement) agency shall not sell, share, or transfer ALPR information, except to another (California law enforcement) agency, and only as otherwise permitted by law.”

Barrel Cactaur
Oct 6, 2021

If you want to know where the inflation is coming from look at the companies that posted record increases in profits. Anyone with highly concentrated marker power took the opportunity to cash in.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/370171854_Sellers%27_inflation_profits_and_conflict_why_can_large_firms_hike_prices_in_an_emergency

This is a paper specifically analyzing the phenomenon, which challenges traditional thinking about inflation (I.E why has labor done this? Blasts market until unemployment hits 5%)

quote:

The dominant view of inflation holds that it is macroeconomic in origin and must always be tackled with macroeconomic tightening. In contrast, we argue that the US COVID-19 inflation is predominantly a sellers’ inflation that derives from microeconomic origins, namely the ability of firms with market power to hike prices. Such firms are price makers, but they only engage in price hikes if they expect their competitors to do the same. This requires an implicit agreement which can be coordinated by sector-wide cost shocks and supply bottlenecks. We review the long-standing literature on price-setting in concentrated markets and survey earnings calls and compile firm-level data to derive a three-stage heuristic of the inflationary process: (1) Rising prices in systemically significant upstream sectors due to commodity market dynamics or bottlenecks create windfall profits and provide an impulse for further price hikes. (2) To protect profit margins from rising costs, downstream sectors propagate, or in cases of temporary monopolies due to bottlenecks, amplify price pressures. (3) Labor responds by trying to fend off real wage declines in the conflict stage. We argue that such sellers’ inflation generates a general price rise which may be transitory, but can also lead to self-sustaining inflationary spirals under certain conditions.

I think this lines up with general anecdotal complaints at the time, like the sudden spike in meat prices that was disconnected from actual price at market for livestock.


Dick Trauma posted:

License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

Its almost like theirs a fascist conspiracy inside the police. They literally cant help but fash out.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Dick Trauma posted:

License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr
ACAB, always and forever

Also none of the justices who permitted this should ever be able to have a moment’s rest again

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
To be fair, that license plate camera article says that they are sending traffic info to every state nearby, which includes states where abortion is banned, and that nobody has ever requested it for information related to abortion. They are just worried that it could theoretically be used for that at some point. One of the departments already stopped doing it. The article is pretty different than the headline.

quote:

In 2015, Democratic Elk Grove Assemblyman Jim Cooper voted for Senate Bill 34, which restricted law enforcement from sharing automated license plate reader (ALPR) data with out-of-state authorities. In 2023, now-Sacramento County Sheriff Cooper appears to be doing just that.

The Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) a digital rights group, has sent Cooper a letter requesting that the Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office cease sharing ALPR data with out-of-state agencies that could use it to prosecute someone for seeking an abortion.

According to documents that the Sheriff’s Office provided EFF through a public records request, it has shared license plate reader data with law enforcement agencies in states that have passed laws banning abortion, including Alabama, Oklahoma and Texas.

Adam Schwartz, EFF senior staff attorney, called automated license plate readers “a growing threat to everyone’s privacy ... that are out there by the thousands in California.”

Automated license plate readers are often fixed to stationary locations, or police vehicles, and can collect thousands of license plate images that then are stored in a digital cloud. Once in the cloud, it can easily be shared with out-of-state agencies that use the same software.

Schwartz said that a sheriff in Texas, Idaho or any other state with an abortion ban on the books could use that data to track people’s movements around California, knowing where they live, where they work and where they seek reproductive medical care, including abortions.

The Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office isn’t the only one sharing that data; in May, EFF released a report showing that 71 law enforcement agencies in 22 California counties — including Sacramento County — were sharing such data. The practice is in violation of a 2015 law that states “a (California law enforcement) agency shall not sell, share, or transfer ALPR information, except to another (California law enforcement) agency, and only as otherwise permitted by law.”

When The Bee wrote in May about the initial EFF report, the Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office Twitter account responded, even though it was not initially on the list of agencies sharing data.

“Law enforcement agencies commonly use information from License Plate Readers (LPRs) to investigate serious crimes, such as homicide, child kidnappings, human trafficking, and drug trafficking across state borders,” the twitter account said.

It is unclear who sent the tweets from the official account.

It went on to say that organizations like EFF “have lied that law enforcement sharing this information is an attempt to violate people’s legal rights. These false claims are intentional and part of a broader agenda to promote lawlessness and prevent criminals from being held accountable.”

The Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office did not respond to The Bee’s request for comment by deadline. On Wednesday, after this story published, Cooper took to Twitter to accuse the EFF of “protecting child molesters, fentanyl traffickers, rapists and murderers.”

In the tweet, Cooper said that the law allows his office to share license plate data with other law enforcement agencies and that “criminals are not aware of jurisdictional boundaries, much less state lines.”

“The bill and this law has absolutely nothing to do with reproductive rights. My record on women’s and reproductive rights has been strong throughout my time in the State Assembly, and nothing has changed since becoming Sheriff,” Cooper wrote.

Schwartz said that the May tweets “surprised us, because we had not sent a demand letter to them.”

He said that he was not aware of any cases where ALPR data was used to prosecute someone for getting an abortion, but added, “We think we shouldn’t have to wait until the inevitable happens.”

The EFF attorney said that this is a “Tale of Two Cities, best of times and worst of times” situation. While the Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office appears to be defying the law, another nearby law enforcement agency that was named in the initial report announced that it is no longer doing so.

In a letter to the EFF that was shared with The Bee, Woodland Police Chief Derrek Kaff wrote, “We have implemented a revised protocol that does not allow the sharing of ALPR data with any out-of-state agencies. As a department we are committed to upholding the privacy rights of individuals and reinforces our dedication to adhering to the principles of the Fourth Amendment.”

Leon Trotsky 2012 fucked around with this message at 18:33 on Jul 7, 2023

Four Dollars
Jul 3, 2023

by Fluffdaddy

Dick Trauma posted:

License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

I'm shocked that the plan to give cops more money and praise didn't result in better behavior.

So when can we get serious about defunding the whole institution of government sponsored far-right thugs and starting over?

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010
If people read the article they'd see it wasn't as nefarious as it sounded.

Dick Trauma
Nov 30, 2007

God damn it, you've got to be kind.

Morrow posted:

If people read the article they'd see it wasn't as nefarious as it sounded.

It sounds bad to me, particularly this attack against the EFF that's right out of the current right-wing extremist playbook.

quote:

The Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office did not respond to The Bee’s request for comment by deadline. On Wednesday, after this story published, Cooper took to Twitter to accuse the EFF of “protecting child molesters, fentanyl traffickers, rapists and murderers.”

In the tweet, Cooper said that the law allows his office to share license plate data with other law enforcement agencies and that “criminals are not aware of jurisdictional boundaries, much less state lines.”

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1677340587123408897

Biden has begun his transformation. The next 3500 years are going to be rough, but worth it.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



zoux posted:

https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1677340587123408897

Biden has begun his transformation. The next 3500 years are going to be rough, but worth it.
This is not for lack of trying on the Fed’s part

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Dick Trauma posted:

License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

The article doesn't say anywhere that the license plate data is being used to aid in anti-abortion prosecutions. That's just plain wrong. In fact, the article says exactly the opposite: that there hasn't been a single case of that happening.

It's an entirely made-up scenario that the EFF cooked up out of whole cloth, probably because they realized boring privacy issues like "the cops aren't following state laws against sharing license plate photos across state lines" wouldn't garner much attention or interest on their own.

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal
No known cases. If the issue isn't resolved at the federal level soon we are definitely going to see prosecutions based on questionable cross-state evidence chains

Kalit
Nov 6, 2006

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

Dick Trauma posted:

License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

I'm confused, does this data sharing consist of an open database where all the listed agencies have free reign of each other's data? Or is it restricted to the department and a copy is created/given only after a formal request is made/approved? Looking through the article and the linked public records document, it's very unclear.

If the former, I could see the concern. But if the latter, I don't really see an issue with this at all.

As far as the Senate bill 34 referenced, is anyone here familiar with it? I started to read through it, but it's a little too long for me to skim it. The Sacramento sheriff, who claims he voted for the bill, stated it still allows sharing with out of state law agencies, it just prohibits selling the information (and notification if the data is breached).

Kalit fucked around with this message at 19:15 on Jul 7, 2023

Ethiser
Dec 31, 2011

zoux posted:

https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1677340587123408897

Biden has begun his transformation. The next 3500 years are going to be rough, but worth it.

Thank you for this.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Kalit posted:

I'm confused, does this data sharing consist of an open database where all the listed agencies have free reign of each other's data? Or is it restricted to the department and a copy is created/given only after a formal request is made/approved? Looking through the article and the linked public records document, it's very unclear.

If the former, I could see the concern. But if the latter, I don't really see an issue with this at all.

As far as the Senate bill 34 referenced, is anyone here familiar with it? I started to read through it, but it's a little too long for me to skim it. The Sacramento sheriff, who claims he voted for the bill, stated it still allows sharing with out of state law agencies, it just prohibits selling the information (and notification if the data is breached).

The law in question doesn't specifically mention any sort of prohibition against sharing data across state lines. It just restricts agencies to only sharing the data with other public agencies and law enforcement agencies:

quote:

A public agency shall not sell, share, or transfer ALPR information, except to another public agency, and only as otherwise permitted by law. For purposes of this section, the provision of data hosting or towing services shall not be considered the sale, sharing, or transferring of ALPR information.

Incidentally, that appears to be a broadening of the law, which seems to have previously only permitted sharing the data with law enforcement agencies specifically.

Although the Sacramento Bee quotes the specific clause of the law they believe this practice is violating, they actually substitute out the nouns with their own. So their quote of that line reads:

quote:

a (California law enforcement) agency shall not sell, share, or transfer ALPR information, except to another (California law enforcement) agency, and only as otherwise permitted by law.

Their interpretation appears to be based on an earlier clause in the law, which sets specific boundaries on what counts as a "public agency" for purposes of the bill:

quote:

“Public agency” means the state, any city, county, or city and county, or any agency or political subdivision of the state or a city, county, or city and county, including, but not limited to, a law enforcement agency.

So to my eye, that lists the following as public agencies:
  • "the state" (which, given that this is state law, clearly means the State of California and not just any state)
  • Any city, county, or city and county
  • Any agency or political subdivision of the State of California
  • Any agency or political subdivision of any city, county, or city and county

The question, then, is whether "any city, county, or city and county" means any city or county in California or any city or county anywhere. The Sac Bee clearly took the former interpretation, while the Sacramento Sheriff's Department no doubt took the latter interpretation.

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


Morrow posted:

If people read the article they'd see it wasn't as nefarious as it sounded.

Wait are you saying someone on twitter posted a hot take that totally misrepresented the source material?

Inconceivable (I really can't wait for twitter to die)

Kalit
Nov 6, 2006

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

Main Paineframe posted:

The law in question doesn't specifically mention any sort of prohibition against sharing data across state lines. It just restricts agencies to only sharing the data with other public agencies and law enforcement agencies:

Incidentally, that appears to be a broadening of the law, which seems to have previously only permitted sharing the data with law enforcement agencies specifically.

Although the Sacramento Bee quotes the specific clause of the law they believe this practice is violating, they actually substitute out the nouns with their own. So their quote of that line reads:

Their interpretation appears to be based on an earlier clause in the law, which sets specific boundaries on what counts as a "public agency" for purposes of the bill:

So to my eye, that lists the following as public agencies:
  • "the state" (which, given that this is state law, clearly means the State of California and not just any state)
  • Any city, county, or city and county
  • Any agency or political subdivision of the State of California
  • Any agency or political subdivision of any city, county, or city and county

The question, then, is whether "any city, county, or city and county" means any city or county in California or any city or county anywhere. The Sac Bee clearly took the former interpretation, while the Sacramento Sheriff's Department no doubt took the latter interpretation.

Ahh okay, that makes a lot more sense. Thank you for this clarification!

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

Main Paineframe posted:

I've seen this chart floating around a fair bit, and while I'm unable to find who originally put it together (I didn't save where I found it last night, and when I search for it now I see that it's mostly being reshared by people with terrible opinions), the sourcing details seem solid enough.


The source appears to be "The Rise and Fall of Violent Crime in America", by Larry Batzer, published by right wing entity Encounter Books, which is basically in line with and the basis for at least some of the atrocious racist reasoning you mention (the Atlantic article is David Frum basically promoting the book by interviewing Batzer). I've not dug into the data that is the basis for the chart.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 20:15 on Jul 7, 2023

Gumball Gumption
Jan 7, 2012

Anti-abortion states are fascist run so I can see the concern with any data sharing that legitimizes fascist states and could possibly assist them.

Four Dollars
Jul 3, 2023

by Fluffdaddy

Main Paineframe posted:

The article doesn't say anywhere that the license plate data is being used to aid in anti-abortion prosecutions. That's just plain wrong. In fact, the article says exactly the opposite: that there hasn't been a single case of that happening.

It's an entirely made-up scenario that the EFF cooked up out of whole cloth, probably because they realized boring privacy issues like "the cops aren't following state laws against sharing license plate photos across state lines" wouldn't garner much attention or interest on their own.

I'm not sure we should wait until information shared with a state which has criminalized abortions or "abortion trafficking" actually gets someone jailed or killed to be concerned about blue state cops working with red state cops. We've seen blue state cops engage in all kind of heinous behavior up-to and including smuggling armed neo-nazi groups into protests and providing them a snipers nest.

Fork of Unknown Origins
Oct 21, 2005
Gotta Herd On?
I’m not a big fan of license plate readers to begin with, although at least with them I do see the potential good that they can do and I have a hard time balancing that against the inherent privacy violation I feel being tracked continuously like that.

But then a lot of people leave the GPS on their phone on all the time and share their location with family which I consider to be absolutely insane so I may be in the minority now on the preference for privacy.

Kalit
Nov 6, 2006

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

Four Dollars posted:

I'm not sure we should wait until information shared with a state which has criminalized abortions or "abortion trafficking" actually gets someone jailed or killed to be concerned about blue state cops working with red state cops. We've seen blue state cops engage in all kind of heinous behavior up-to and including smuggling armed neo-nazi groups into protests and providing them a snipers nest.

If cops want to share abortion-related data with another state to specifically get someone jailed, they would just stake out a clinic that performed abortions and take pictures of out of state license plates.

The only way I could see how shared ALPR data would create a higher risk is if other states had free reign to this data. Or if there was an ALPR that could read license plates in a parking lot of a clinic that performed abortions

Kalit fucked around with this message at 20:56 on Jul 7, 2023

Roadie
Jun 30, 2013

Gumball Gumption posted:

Venture capital investments are down 53%, the economy is bad. Every start up I know has been spending the year either scrambling for funding that has tried up or are preparing for a recession/market downturn.

All the VC collapse indicates is that the "light cash on fire for years and pray that it appeases the profit gods enough for a random slam dunk success" business model doesn't work without 0% interest rates.

Edit: Tech startups might now need actual business plans and ways to show they can bring in a profit at literally any point. How horrifying.

Roadie fucked around with this message at 21:11 on Jul 7, 2023

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Gumball Gumption posted:

Anti-abortion states are fascist run so I can see the concern with any data sharing that legitimizes fascist states and could possibly assist them.

mod hat: I didn't really want to probe this, I just wanted to gently observe that a blunt take this hot and spicy could probably be helped with some kind of a source or an argument crafted with a bit more care than this? I'm not necessarily saying I disagree, but it is kind of hard to respond to this without being on the side of fascism.

Captain Invictus
Apr 5, 2005

Try reading some manga!


Clever Betty

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

All of sudden, people had a ton of extra free time and money they couldn't spend on the movies/restaurants/bars. So, demand for stuff like Nintendo Switches, Pelotons, and certain other durable goods exploded at the same time that supplies were cut short.
even in niche markets this was readily apparent, you saw this particularly starkly with the Magic: The Gathering economy during the pandemic. The prices for Reserved List cards(cards they have said they will never reprint) EXPLODED, anything on that list shot up ten times in value in a lot of cases during the pandemic. The costs of old sealed booster boxes magnified multiple times over, like a box of Mirage would sell for $10,000 when it was worth a fraction of that beforehand, despite not even possibly containing enough to make up that cost.

Recently, the market has...not collapsed, but drat near close, with prices returning to basically pre-pandemic levels in a lot of cases and stuff like the Mirage sealed box going for 2-3k again. many who invested heavily in old MTG stuff during the pandemic have largely taken a bath on stuff, as people stop having so much free time and those who didn't need the stimulus but got it regardless used it on frivolous things.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Dick Trauma posted:

License plate readers are being used by Sheriffs in states where abortion is legal to aid in the prosecution of residents of states where it's illegal. They're doing this even in states where it's illegal to share the information.

https://twitter.com/brat2381/status/1676986194012540930?s=20

https://news.yahoo.com/sacramento-sheriff-sharing-license-plate-133000119.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

I came across a somewhat interrelated story that was linked from a new Klippenstein piece on the Intercept, although the referred story was published several weeks ago. This surveillance, however, is happening at the federal level.

Cliffs bolded instead of restated.

quote:

U.S. MARSHALS SPIED ON ABORTION PROTESTERS USING DATAMINR

DATAMINR, AN “OFFICIAL PARTNER” of Twitter, alerted a federal law enforcement agency to pro-abortion protests and rallies in the wake of the reversal of Roe v. Wade, according to documents obtained by The Intercept through a Freedom of Information Act request.

Internal emails show that the U.S. Marshals Service received regular alerts from Dataminr, a company that persistently monitors social media for corporate and government clients, about the precise time and location of both ongoing and planned abortion rights demonstrations. The emails show that Dataminr flagged the social media posts of protest organizers, participants, and bystanders, and leveraged Dataminr’s privileged access to the so-called firehose of unrestricted Twitter data to monitor constitutionally protected speech.

“This is a technique that’s ripe for abuse, but it’s not subject to either legislative or judicial oversight,” said Jennifer Granick, an attorney with the American Civil Liberties Union’s Speech, Privacy, and Technology Project.

The data collection alone, however, can have a deleterious effect on free speech. Mary Pat Dwyer, the academic program director of the Institute for Technology Law and Policy at Georgetown University, told The Intercept, “The more it’s made public that law enforcement is gathering up this info broadly about U.S. residents and citizens, it has a chilling effect on whether people are willing to express themselves and attend protests and plan protests.”

The documents obtained by The Intercept are from April to July 2022, during a period of seismic news from the Supreme Court. Following the leak of a draft decision that the court would overturn Roe v. Wade, the cornerstone of reproductive rights in the U.S., pro-abortion advocates staged massive protests and rallies across the country. This was not the first time Dataminr helped law enforcement agencies monitor mass demonstrations in the wake of political outcry: In 2020, The Intercept reported that the company had surveilled Black Lives Matter protests for the Minneapolis Police Department following the murder of George Floyd.

The Marshals Service’s social media surveillance ingested Roe-related posts nearly as soon as they began to appear. In a typical alert, a Dataminr analyst wrote a caption summarizing the social media data in question, with a link to the original post. On May 3, 2022, the day after Politico’s explosive report on the draft decision, New York-based artist Alex Remnick tweeted about a protest planned later that day in Foley Square, a small park in downtown Manhattan surrounded by local and federal government buildings. Dataminr quickly forwarded their tweet to the Marshals. That evening, Dataminr continued to relay information about the Foley Square rally, now in full swing, with alerts like “protestors block nearby streets near Foley Square,” as well as photos of demonstrators, all gleaned from Twitter.

The following week, Dataminr alerted the Marshals when pro-abortion demonstrators assembled at the Basilica of St. Patrick’s Old Cathedral in Manhattan, coinciding with a regular anti-abortion event held by the church. Between 9:06 and 9:53 that morning, the Marshals received five separate updates on the St. Patrick’s protest, including an estimated number of attendees, again based on the posts of unwitting Twitter users.

In the weeks and months that followed, the emails show that Dataminr tipped off the Marshals to dozens of protests, including many pro-abortion gatherings, from Maine to Wisconsin to Virginia, both before and during the demonstrations. Untold other protests, rallies, and exercises of the First Amendment may have been monitored by the company; in response to The Intercept’s public records request, the Marshals Service identified nearly 5,000 pages of relevant documents but only shared about 800 pages.
The U.S. Marshals Service did not respond to a request for comment.

The documents obtained by The Intercept are email digests of social media activity that triggered alerts based on requested search terms, which appear at the bottom of the reports. The subscribed topics have ambiguous names like “SCOTUS Mentions,” “Federal Courthouses and Personnel Hazards_V2,” “Public Safety Critical Events,” “Attorneys,” and “Officials.” The lists suggest that the Marshals were not specifically seeking information on abortion rallies; rather, the agency had cast such a broad surveillance net that large volumes of innocuous First Amendment-protected activity regularly got swept up as potential security threats. What the Marshals did with the information Dataminr collected remains unknown.

“The breadth of these search categories and terms is definitely going to loop in political speech. It’s a certainty,” Granick told The Intercept. “It’s a reckless indifference to the fact that you’re going to end up spying on core constitutionally protected political activity.”

***

The following month, Dataminr reported two tweets to the Marshals that appeared to be more hyperbolic fantasies than credible threats. One user tweeted that they would pay to watch the Supreme Court justices who overturned Roe burn alive, while another cited an individual who tweeted, “I’m not not advocating for burning down buildings. But trauma and destruction is kind of the thing that I love.”

At other times, Dataminr seemed incapable of distinguishing between slang and violence. Among several tweets about the 2022 Met Gala inexplicably flagged by Dataminr, the Marshals Service was alerted to a fan account of the actor Timothée Chalamet that tweeted, “i would destroy the met gala” — an online colloquialism for something akin to stealing the show.

These alerts show that despite the claims in its marketing materials, Dataminr isn’t necessarily in the business of public safety, but rather bulk, automated scrutiny. Given the generally incendiary, keyed-up nature of social media speech, a vast number of people might potentially be treated with suspicion by police in the total absence of a criminal act.


***

Although most of the Dataminr alerts don’t include the text of the original posts, those that do often flag innocuous content across the political spectrum, including hundreds of mundane comments from blogs and news websites. In July, for instance, Dataminr reported to the Marshals web comments calling New York Attorney General Letitia James a “racist;” a user saying, “God Bless Gov. Youngkin,” referring to the Virginia governor; and another comment arguing that “Trump wants to hide out in the Oval Office from the responsibility and any accountability for what he did on January 6th and before.” When Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost made national headlines after suggesting that reports of a 10-year-old rape victim denied an abortion may have been fabricated, the Marshals received dozens of alerts about blog comments debating his words.

In some cases, Dataminr appeared incapable of differentiating between people with the same name. On May 18, the Marshals received an alert that “New Jersey District Court Magistrate Judge Jessica S. Allen” was mentioned in a Telegram channel used to organize an anti-Covid lockdown rally in Australia. The text in question appears to be automated, semicoherent spam: “I’ve been a victim of scam, was scared of getting scammed again, but somehow I managed to squeeze out some couple of dollars and I invested with Jessica Allen, drat to my surprise I got my profit within 2 hours.”

Even those sharing links to articles without any added commentary on Telegram fell under Dataminr scrutiny. When one Telegram user shared a July 4, 2022, story from The Hill about Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron’s request that the Supreme Court put the state’s abortion ban back in place, it was flagged to the U.S. Marshals within an hour.

“Discussions of how people view political officials governing them, discussions of constitutional rights, planning protests — that’s supposed to be the most protected speech,” Georgetown’s Dwyer said. “And here you have it being swept up and provided to law enforcement.”

Klip's current piece about the FBI using the surveillance contractor that replaced Dataminr is worth a read, too.

Gumball Gumption
Jan 7, 2012

Rigel posted:

mod hat: I didn't really want to probe this, I just wanted to gently observe that a blunt take this hot and spicy could probably be helped with some kind of a source or an argument crafted with a bit more care than this? I'm not necessarily saying I disagree, but it is kind of hard to respond to this without being on the side of fascism.

I think the EFF is in the right to bring up possible concerns and the argument that it is normal does not mean it is the correct action for police in California to take and it makes sense for activists to make an attempt to block it because anti-abortion states are, if not fascist because that's a loaded term but we do like saying that the Republicans are fascists, directly harming people with inhumane laws.

Fork of Unknown Origins
Oct 21, 2005
Gotta Herd On?

Gumball Gumption posted:

I think the EFF is in the right to bring up possible concerns and the argument that it is normal does not mean it is the correct action for police in California to take and it makes sense for activists to make an attempt to block it because anti-abortion states are, if not fascist because that's a loaded term but we do like saying that the Republicans are fascists, directly harming people with inhumane laws.

Have any of these mass surveillance things ever not ended up abused? We have to factor the abuse into the cost/benefit analysis of doing it in the first place.

How many crimes get foiled by ALPRs? How many of those rely on ALPR data being held for more than a day? Scrubbing the data daily would put at ease a lot of my concerns.

the_steve
Nov 9, 2005

We're always hiring!

https://twitter.com/satanic_temple_/status/1677344745901682690?t=t9HLwpECZ92MpJxV4qbrOw&s=19

So, who remembers a few years ago when Jason Rapert installed a 10 Commandments monument in a courthouse/some sort of local government building?
And the Satanic Temple offered a Baphomet statue so that it wouldn't look like the government was playing favorites with religion?

Obviously this Twitter thread is biased, but, here you go

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Gumball Gumption posted:

I think the EFF is in the right to bring up possible concerns and the argument that it is normal does not mean it is the correct action for police in California to take and it makes sense for activists to make an attempt to block it because anti-abortion states are, if not fascist because that's a loaded term but we do like saying that the Republicans are fascists, directly harming people with inhumane laws.

yeah, I think I agree with all of that. I am just selfishly hoping you might choose to post with a bit more tact to generate maybe 1.5 fewer reports/week for me to look at. :unsmith:

shimmy shimmy
Nov 13, 2020

Dick Trauma posted:

It sounds bad to me, particularly this attack against the EFF that's right out of the current right-wing extremist playbook.

Call me crazy but I do think that criminals actually are aware of state lines.

Gumball Gumption
Jan 7, 2012

Rigel posted:

yeah, I think I agree with all of that. I am just selfishly hoping you might choose to post with a bit more tact to generate maybe 1.5 fewer reports/week for me to look at. :unsmith:

I can't really control other people's emotions but sure. Might want to bring it up with folks making reports you don't think are worth pulling the trigger on.

Was it the coaster posts? :smith:

Captain Invictus
Apr 5, 2005

Try reading some manga!


Clever Betty

the_steve posted:

https://twitter.com/satanic_temple_/status/1677344745901682690?t=t9HLwpECZ92MpJxV4qbrOw&s=19

So, who remembers a few years ago when Jason Rapert installed a 10 Commandments monument in a courthouse/some sort of local government building?
And the Satanic Temple offered a Baphomet statue so that it wouldn't look like the government was playing favorites with religion?

Obviously this Twitter thread is biased, but, here you go

I open it and it only shows me the initial tweet, is the compromise elmo made with not logged in people to just make it so you can see posts but not replies

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Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Captain Invictus posted:

I open it and it only shows me the initial tweet, is the compromise elmo made with not logged in people to just make it so you can see posts but not replies

Must be, there were liking 20 replies by the OP in the thread

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