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Konomex
Oct 25, 2010

a whiteman who has some authority over others, who not only hasn't raped anyone, or stared at them creepily...
Say you vote no, the voice gets struck down. What then? Won't the LNP just say 'Australia voted against it' anytime you try to propose something beyond the voice? 20 years of 'We had a referendum on that sort of thing, and Australians said they didn't want it'

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birdstrike
Oct 30, 2008

i;m gay

Konomex posted:

Say you vote no, the voice gets struck down. What then? Won't the LNP just say 'Australia voted against it' anytime you try to propose something beyond the voice? 20 years of 'We had a referendum on that sort of thing, and Australians said they didn't want it'

spontaneous independence

The Artificial Kid
Feb 22, 2002
Plibble

Bald Stalin posted:

Why do you think a small group of people picked by the colonizers, ruling class and their collaborators, at a meeting from which some walked away, to ask for something that won't help the first nations plight and instead set back the cause, should trump the correct analysis given by the BPU and ACP? It appears you're going with feelings and idealism, not thorough analysis of history and the material conditions.

How do you see things playing out if the Voice is defeated?

Jezza of OZPOS
Mar 21, 2018

GET LOSE❌🗺️, YOUS CAN'T COMPARE😤 WITH ME 💪POWERS🇦🇺

Konomex posted:

Say you vote no, the voice gets struck down. What then? Won't the LNP just say 'Australia voted against it' anytime you try to propose something beyond the voice? 20 years of 'We had a referendum on that sort of thing, and Australians said they didn't want it'

this isnt directed at me and im voting yes because i genuinely believe that its a tiny pitiful step in the right direction of incremential change that is required to give indigenous people some semblence of actual agency in directing the future of the colony but for the record this idea that the future of an actual treaty and self actualization hinges on a voice to parliament is dramatically underestimating both the motivation and determination of the black people fighting for more than a voice

Regular Wario
Mar 27, 2010

Slippery Tilde
remember: better things are not possible, so why even try

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.
Like a lot of people I was eh on the voice til I saw all the worst people in the country furiously frothing against it.

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
If no wins it's a clear demonstration that helping aboriginal people is not something you should bother with too much in Australian electoral politics. I imagine that means nothing will happen harder.

starkebn
May 18, 2004

"Oooh, got a little too serious. You okay there, little buddy?"
Thats not my lame sarcastic words

Recoome
Nov 9, 2013

Matter of fact, I'm salty now.
Outside of my own class bubble, I think the issue is that people probably overwhelmingly agree to some kind of constitutional recognition, but aren't on board with something beyond lip service.

I don't think the Yes campaign has done a great job, sure, you can point to the whole "well the specific look of the voice comes after" but this is a specific weakness of Yes that the No campaign just does not have. No has been able to build out what those future states look like, even if it's bullshit and contradictory but people want that kind of certainty.

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.

Recoome posted:

Outside of my own class bubble, I think the issue is that people probably overwhelmingly agree to some kind of constitutional recognition, but aren't on board with something beyond lip service.

I don't think the Yes campaign has done a great job, sure, you can point to the whole "well the specific look of the voice comes after" but this is a specific weakness of Yes that the No campaign just does not have. No has been able to build out what those future states look like, even if it's bullshit and contradictory but people want that kind of certainty.

I don't think so

https://twitter.com/KosSamaras/status/1687959553315590144?t=oAbHxvC099_tJc2ugxpwlw&s=19

Mola Yam
Jun 18, 2004

Kali Ma Shakti de!
honestly shitcan it at this point. before it becomes incredibly obvious that it's not gonna get up.

we're looking at a full 30 year gap between republican referendums. this will be dead for as least as long if it's a no.

trunkh
Jan 31, 2011



Avoid Action Albo taking action? Unlikely

Jezza of OZPOS
Mar 21, 2018

GET LOSE❌🗺️, YOUS CAN'T COMPARE😤 WITH ME 💪POWERS🇦🇺

trunkh posted:

Avoid Action Albo taking action? Unlikely

he isn't even going to commit to treaty if the voice passes lol

Bargearse
Nov 27, 2006

🛑 Don't get your pen🖊️, son, you won't be 👌 needing that 😌. My 🥡 order's 💁 simple😉, a shitload 💩 of dim sims 🌯🀄. And I want a bucket 🪣 of soya sauce☕😋.
“We tried, we really did, but those mean old out of touch latte sipping greenie lefties wouldn’t let us!”

-Albo, probably

Eediot Jedi
Dec 25, 2007

This is where I begin to speculate what being a
man of my word costs me

can we start accusing albo of calling for a referendum too early to ensure it will fail yet?

also


Imo having no option for undecided, the forced choice, is going to skew the undecided responders towards no, but that is my gut feeling of people preferring a status quo not backed by any evidence or proof whatsoever
e: i.e. a forced choice poll would likely skew no and thus would likely be useful to someone wanting to say "look at how many people already say no! wowzers"

EvilElmo
May 10, 2009

Ghost Leviathan posted:

Like a lot of people I was eh on the voice til I saw all the worst people in the country furiously frothing against it.

As long as you tell people its a progressive no, it's different. Write in "progressive" above the No on the ballot and theyll have to count the votes as Yes/No/Progressive No.

Non Compos Mentis posted:

remember: better things are not possible, so why even try

If the question put was in line with the progressive no position, would you vote yes or would you want to have even better wording and vote no because things can always be better.

EvilElmo fucked around with this message at 02:54 on Aug 7, 2023

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe

EvilElmo posted:

As long as you tell people its a progressive no, it's different. Write in "progressive" above the No on the ballot and theyll have to count the votes as Yes/No/Progressive No.

This is basically my view as well. It's better that we get what we can at the moment and push for more, rather than letting this say to First Nations people "nah fuckya" and shut this down for 30 more years. There are fair reasons to vote no for this, and if the choice was between an advisory body and a body with real power I would absolutely vote for the body with real power. But the choice is between advisory body and nothing.

EDIT: Given how the no campaign is running on "<plural slur> WILL CONTROL THE WHOLE GOVERNMENT" maybe they should have put it up as a body with real power, but lol if anyone imagines that ALP actually wants that, then they might be forced to do something.

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
Business is dropping support for it because they don't want to publicly back a loser. This is way less popular than gay marriage.

a strange fowl
Oct 27, 2022

the voice is an op so they can collect data on which demographics may be a future threat to the white supremacist colonial state

The Lord Bude
May 23, 2007

ASK ME ABOUT MY SHITTY, BOUGIE INTERIOR DECORATING ADVICE
I’m confused as to how the yes vote can be leading among people who voted for labor and the greens but trailing overall, given the outcome of the last election.

SyntheticPolygon
Dec 20, 2013

trunkh posted:

Avoid Action Albo taking action? Unlikely

Is not doing a vote more action than doing a vote?

SyntheticPolygon
Dec 20, 2013

The Lord Bude posted:

I’m confused as to how the yes vote can be leading among people who voted for labor and the greens but trailing overall, given the outcome of the last election.

It is overwhelmingly unpopular amongst people that voted for the liberals and only slightly more popular for people that voted for labor and the greens.

E: Ok its overwhelmingly popular for those that voted Green.

Pleasant Friend
Dec 30, 2008

JBP posted:

Business is dropping support for it because they don't want to publicly back a loser. This is way less popular than gay marriage.

Well maybe support for yes will bounce back then. Nobody wants to support a cause Coles and AFL are proudly supporting.

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe

Pleasant Friend posted:

Well maybe support for yes will bounce back then. Nobody wants to support a cause Coles and AFL are proudly supporting.

Fresh in our memoriesTM

MysticalMachineGun
Apr 5, 2005

Yeah keeping in mind that the Liberals absolutely did not want a Republic and served up a dogshit option, it's amazing how similarly Labor is doing a bad job on the Yes vote despite being for it.

I was concerned that I had a racist wingnut in my neighbourhood as I found a Yes pamphlet torn up in my front yard but it was just my daughter tearing it up after throwing a tanty

(she's not racist)

(aside from being Australian)

Eediot Jedi
Dec 25, 2007

This is where I begin to speculate what being a
man of my word costs me

MysticalMachineGun posted:

Yeah keeping in mind that the Liberals absolutely did not want a Republic and served up a dogshit option, it's amazing how similarly Labor is doing a bad job on the Yes vote despite being for it.

I was concerned that I had a racist wingnut in my neighbourhood as I found a Yes pamphlet torn up in my front yard but it was just my daughter tearing it up after throwing a tanty

(she's not racist)

(aside from being Australian)

you have to report your daughter to the death squads now, then yourself for allowing your daughter to do that

sorry its the rules.

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe

Eediot Jedi posted:

you have to report your daughter to the death squads now, then yourself for allowing your daughter to do that

sorry its the rules.

Reported for failing to report.

Regular Wario
Mar 27, 2010

Slippery Tilde
the last thing you will hear is a boomerang crashing into your skull

lih
May 15, 2013

Just a friendly reminder of what it looks like.

We'll do punctuation later.

MysticalMachineGun posted:

Yeah keeping in mind that the Liberals absolutely did not want a Republic and served up a dogshit option, it's amazing how similarly Labor is doing a bad job on the Yes vote despite being for it.

they learned the wrong lessons from the republic referendum. one of the widely cited reasons why the republic referendum failed is that the model howard offered up for a republic (head of state chosen by 2/3 of parliament) was controversial with the republic movement, some of whom wanted a different model (such as direct election) and that could have been enough to tip it. what they seem to have taken from that is to not provide much meaningful detail on the voice at all and just ask people to vote for it on the vibes to avoid any sort of dispute about the particular workings of the voice. however, since the general public doesn't really have a strong idea of what the voice is or how it will work and the government isn't providing much detail there, this has meant that the no campaign has been able to fill that void of information with its own lies. the vibes alone also isn't necessarily particularly convincing, since it won't have any effect at all for most people which makes it a more difficult sell and they don't seem to have any idea how to overcome that.

Rock Puncher
Jul 26, 2014
im going to vote below the line and highlight the policies i take issue with.

Konomex
Oct 25, 2010

a whiteman who has some authority over others, who not only hasn't raped anyone, or stared at them creepily...

hooman posted:

This is basically my view as well. It's better that we get what we can at the moment and push for more, rather than letting this say to First Nations people "nah fuckya" and shut this down for 30 more years. There are fair reasons to vote no for this, and if the choice was between an advisory body and a body with real power I would absolutely vote for the body with real power. But the choice is between advisory body and nothing.

EDIT: Given how the no campaign is running on "<plural slur> WILL CONTROL THE WHOLE GOVERNMENT" maybe they should have put it up as a body with real power, but lol if anyone imagines that ALP actually wants that, then they might be forced to do something.

Do you have any idea how much giving real power will poo poo off the average Australian? Just speaking from the WA perspective where we implemented, what seemed to me quite sensible laws, to prevent companies like BHP from exploding priceless rock art to pieces over and over. Now they want to walk them back because a couple of people, who had no authority at all, complained about things, and that confused some other people, and then the media decided that we didn't do things like plant some trees because of this legislation. Which is not true.

Also, I'm seeing people on facebook saying they're voting no because they don't think we should alter the constitution for a voice, they should just legislate it. I just don't think the average Australia is clued in enough on anything at this point, the yes campaign needs to up its game because they're dealing with idiots.

Rock Puncher
Jul 26, 2014
there's no way a yes vote wins this. There's going to be a strong contingent of people who would vote no on principal and the moderates will easily be spooked into a no vote, and a not insigificant amount of labor voters are racists too, so you're basically counting on the greens contingent to carry this through

Rock Puncher
Jul 26, 2014
aboriginals get a voice and the proles get poo poo, that envy will also doom it


albo already out on a media tour telling people this is a 'once in a generation opportunity' - so yes, after australia votes this down, thats it.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-08-06/pm-warns-no-constitutional-indigenous-recognition-if-voice-fails/102693828

Rock Puncher fucked around with this message at 07:17 on Aug 7, 2023

Jezza of OZPOS
Mar 21, 2018

GET LOSE❌🗺️, YOUS CAN'T COMPARE😤 WITH ME 💪POWERS🇦🇺
albos intent is pretty clearly to fob off responsibility for making actual progress onto the states and tbh it might not even be that dumb of an idea from both the view of 'what helps federal labor the most' and even the actual intent of giving real agency to first nations people but i have my doubts they are considering the latter

birdstrike
Oct 30, 2008

i;m gay

a strange fowl posted:

the voice is an op so they can collect data on which demographics may be a future threat to the white supremacist colonial state

:hmmyes:

starkebn
May 18, 2004

"Oooh, got a little too serious. You okay there, little buddy?"

Konomex posted:

the yes campaign needs to up its game because they're dealing with idiots.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QFgcqB8-AxE

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.

The Lord Bude posted:

I’m confused as to how the yes vote can be leading among people who voted for labor and the greens but trailing overall, given the outcome of the last election.

The greens don't have cut through across the board. That % is high but still 1.2m people or thereabouts. Edit: ALP no is about double.

JBP fucked around with this message at 08:53 on Aug 7, 2023

Recoome
Nov 9, 2013

Matter of fact, I'm salty now.
Wow, amazing that the person who leaked the Lehrmann case review was actually the former Justice who authored it.

What the actual gently caress.

Robodog
Oct 22, 2004

...how does that work?
for further comedy he did so after finding a couple instances of 'serious misconduct' by the DPP

then releases the loving report to journos before even giving it over to the chief minister

rock solid process, inspires huge confidence in the justice systems of the act and afp

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JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
Doesn't parliament house have its own bizarro Swiss guard AFP as well?

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