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(Thread IKs: weg, Toxic Mental)
 
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Sashimi
Dec 26, 2008


College Slice

zone posted:


Puccia made a new discovery. Cope hangars.
The scaffolding makes it look like someone's building a concert stage over a jet.

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Shogeton
Apr 26, 2007

"Little by little the old world crumbled, and not once did the king imagine that some of the pieces might fall on him"

Eh, I feel like I'm willing to give Lula a break on this one. Not because I think Lula genuinely believes that Russia is anything but an imperialistic rear end in a top hat. But Russia is not really a threat to Brazil. The US is. So it makes sense that Brazil might not want to do anything that burns bridges with someone they might at some point in the future want to use their 'nuclear power' privileges to help them out. So I figure Lula is on the 'we're not gonna outright help Russia, and we'll even vote to condemn it' but we're not gonna make enemies. And I feel that the amount of 'enemy making' that they earn by 'not arresting a HoS when it enters' would hurt them far less than the amount they would by arresting him, and it wouldn't really gain them all that much.

bad_fmr
Nov 28, 2007

WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:

Today I had a haircut done by a very nice Ukrainian woman. We talked quite a bit about Ukraine and she talked about how much she misses it. She left in 2016. Our conversation was a lot about geography and where I wanted to travel post war. The lady was astounded at my level of geographical knowledge of the country. She was from Kharkiv, so family there.

Finally you post your sources.

redshirt
Aug 11, 2007

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

BaldDwarfOnPCP
Jun 26, 2019

by Pragmatica

redshirt posted:

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

It's just babushkas and they're having a hard time making molotovs with all the rooskie standard drunk up from the stress. They're also somewhat incontinent from poor health care and abuse from the patriarchy all their lives so mobility is iffy.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

Shogeton posted:

Eh, I feel like I'm willing to give Lula a break on this one. Not because I think Lula genuinely believes that Russia is anything but an imperialistic rear end in a top hat. But Russia is not really a threat to Brazil. The US is. So it makes sense that Brazil might not want to do anything that burns bridges with someone they might at some point in the future want to use their 'nuclear power' privileges to help them out. So I figure Lula is on the 'we're not gonna outright help Russia, and we'll even vote to condemn it' but we're not gonna make enemies. And I feel that the amount of 'enemy making' that they earn by 'not arresting a HoS when it enters' would hurt them far less than the amount they would by arresting him, and it wouldn't really gain them all that much.

No gently caress Lula. He could've easily said something generic as to not make any commitments instead of this:

quote:

“I believe that Putin can go easily to Brazil,” Lula said. “What I can say to you is that if I’m president of Brazil, and he comes to Brazil, there’s no way he will be arrested.”

And that's despite the decision of arrest being theoretically entirely in the hands of the judiciary.

redshirt posted:

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

Check the maps post previously. There are some major defensive lines but overall I suspect it's just going to be like this all the way to the coast.

Rugz
Apr 15, 2014

PLS SEE AVATAR. P.S. IM A BELL END LOL

LordArgh posted:

have you considered that countries can do things for reasons other than as a reaction to something the US did at some point in history

If even the mighty Russia is only capable of doing things as a reaction to what the West does then what hope does Brazil have of any agency?

poor waif
Apr 8, 2007
Kaboom

Shogeton posted:

Eh, I feel like I'm willing to give Lula a break on this one. Not because I think Lula genuinely believes that Russia is anything but an imperialistic rear end in a top hat. But Russia is not really a threat to Brazil. The US is. So it makes sense that Brazil might not want to do anything that burns bridges with someone they might at some point in the future want to use their 'nuclear power' privileges to help them out. So I figure Lula is on the 'we're not gonna outright help Russia, and we'll even vote to condemn it' but we're not gonna make enemies. And I feel that the amount of 'enemy making' that they earn by 'not arresting a HoS when it enters' would hurt them far less than the amount they would by arresting him, and it wouldn't really gain them all that much.

it's entirely in line with their other policies like being Bucha truthers, propagating against sanctions or really any consequences at all for Russia, and promoting a peace deal which essentially is just "give Russia everything it wants". now they also explicitly support war criminals coming and going to Brazil as they please.

but they're doing it for entirely self-serving reasons, so that does make it all better.

McGavin
Sep 18, 2012

BRICS gonna BRIC.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Maybe I'll go where I can see stars


Sedgr
Sep 16, 2007

Neat!

Lula is weakly positioned and knows it, he'll bend over backwards to appear open and welcoming to basically any potential ally at the moment. Even total pieces of poo poo. Still would be better to see a denouncement rather than open arms, but Poots isn't going to risk a visit so it's irrelevant grandstanding either way.

Putin is a real piece of poo poo.

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.

I am glad we're finally getting a new Tingle game on the switch 2

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009
Lula isn't thinking straight because Bolsonaro was close to Putin, just like Trump.

One of the biggest leftist brainworms is the idea that US foreign policy doesn't change with the party in power.

McGavin
Sep 18, 2012


Freshly-Picked Putin's Rosy Rupeeland.

Thorn Wishes Talon
Oct 18, 2014

by Fluffdaddy

The X-man cometh posted:

Lula isn't thinking straight because Bolsonaro was close to Putin, just like Trump.

One of the biggest leftist brainworms is the idea that US foreign policy doesn't change with the party in power.

it's just internet leftists who think that, tbh. you can see some examples of it in these very forums in fact

Thorn Wishes Talon
Oct 18, 2014

by Fluffdaddy

redshirt posted:

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

what does your heart tell you

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Maybe I'll go where I can see stars

mobby_6kl posted:

Check the maps post previously. There are some major defensive lines but overall I suspect it's just going to be like this all the way to the coast.

Not really, mapped defensive lines stop near major towns like Tokmak + there are also more defenses near Melitpol and Crimea

Alan Smithee
Jan 4, 2005


A man becomes preeminent, he's expected to have enthusiasms.

Enthusiasms, enthusiasms...

Sashimi posted:

The scaffolding makes it look like someone's building a concert stage over a jet.

Probably U2 cuz much like the spy plane even that old poo poo can get AirPlay

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009

Thorn Wishes Talon posted:

it's just internet leftists who think that, tbh. you can see some examples of it in these very forums in fact

Internet leftists and the president of Brasil

the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

redshirt posted:

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

A lot depends on the state of Russian reserves. There are theoretically multiple defensive lines remaining between Ukraine's forces and their immediate objective of Tokmak. If their reserves are bad enough, those rear lines will barely be speedbumps. If their reserves are good enough, they'll be able to make the defense hold even outside of prepared lines, at least buying time to erect more prepared defenses further back.

Nobody here can say for sure what the situation looks like, but Russia looking to mobilize 200k additional soldiers does not paint a great picture of Russia's reserve situation.

zone
Dec 6, 2016

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1700872247605338394
Is losing ground on a front that was supposed to be impregnable to advances a good thing? asking for an angry monkey with a big table

Arivia
Mar 17, 2011
I also wonder if Russia's going to be able to build up more defensive lines further back if the counteroffensive has to stop for the winter/mud season like I've seen a lot of people suggesting.

LordArgh
Mar 17, 2009

Nap Ghost
BRICS are making their own ICC to rival the one that issued an arrest order on Putin. The first annual International Criminals Convention will be held in Brazil. Lula has stated he is all for this because, quote, America bad, end quote.

PC LOAD LETTER
May 23, 2005
WTF?!

redshirt posted:

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

No one, probably not even the Russian leadership, could give you a precise and good answer right now.

We have lots of pics of trenches Russians dug all over as back ups, and even some auxiliary mine fields.

But can they man them, defend, and supply them adequately?

There are plenty of posts from Russians begging their own leadership for more ammo, men, and support all over while the Ukrainians make very incremental gains. So all we can conclude at this point is that things don't look good for the Russians but not what that might mean in a week or 2.

Its entirely possible the Ukrainians are forced to a standstill due to mud season or their own men getting exhausted in that time frame. Or maybe we see some limited, but significant breaks, at key points in the Russian lines and the Ukrainians are able to exploit those and attack the Russians from the rear.

The latter possibility would be the most favorable for Ukraine at this point. So that is what I'm hoping for but I've no clue, and I don't think anyone else does right now, how its going to turn out or how exactly its going over all if they really make some sort've big break through.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
Americans bankrolled the guys who put Lula in jail on fake premises and did a judicial coup, it's not exactly a shock that he isn't playing ball with American interests. Sucks, but it's a case of Americans laying down rakes to step on later.

McGavin
Sep 18, 2012

BRICs got the name because they’re countries that are Badly Run by International Criminals.

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.
making GBS threads BRICs

PC LOAD LETTER
May 23, 2005
WTF?!

McGavin posted:

BRICs got the name because they’re countries that are Badly Run by International Criminals.

IMO the BRICS are indeed full of poo poo about a lot of things but so has been the West and the US when it comes to foreign policy regarding them in the past so we are kinda reapin' what we've sowed here.

That being said if Lula was real smart here he'd try to play US and Russian interests against eachother as best possible to get some sweet MIC or trade deals for his country rather than just (however justified) finding ways to flip the bird at the US or the West.

Der Kyhe
Jun 25, 2008

steinrokkan posted:

Americans bankrolled the guys who put Lula in jail on fake premises and did a judicial coup, it's not exactly a shock that he isn't playing ball with American interests. Sucks, but it's a case of Americans laying down rakes to step on later.

You don't need to love or even like Americans to hate and oppose homicidal dictators starting war on a whim because of imperial ambitions, while encouraging a system of openly committing war crimes and terrorizing civilians in the areas that aren't outright ethnically cleansed like the Nazis did some 80 years ago. Especially if you are an elected president from an actually democratic country.

Also, which part of Russia USA attacked to cause this war and make it "America's war", I forgot again?

zone
Dec 6, 2016

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-general-admits-ukraine-just-stepping-stone-invade-europe-1825776

quote:

Akey Russian general who Russian President Vladimir Putin promoted this week views the invasion of Ukraine as a mere "stepping stone" to further conflict with Europe.

Putin launched the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, sparking fears from many analysts that the Kremlin may have greater ambitions beyond taking control of its former Soviet neighbor. Russian commentators and lawmakers have often heightened those fears with their anti-North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) rhetoric throughout the war—routinely encouraging direct strikes on European and even American targets.

This week, Putin promoted Lieutenant General Andrey Mordvichev to the rank of Colonel-General. The military leader had already been serving in the role of commanding the Central Military District and Russian Central Grouping of Forces in Ukraine.

In a recent interview with Moscow's state-run Russia-1, a clip of which circulated widely on social media Saturday, Mordvichev said he believes Putin's war will last quite a long time and expand in the future.

"I think there's still plenty of time to spend. It is pointless to talk about a specified period. If we are talking about Eastern Europe, which we will have to, of course then it will be longer," the general said.

"Ukraine is only a stepping stone?" the interviewer then asked.

"Yes, absolutely. It is only the beginning," Mordvichev responded, who went on to say that the war "will not stop here."
From denazification of Ukraine to "let's try and conquer all of Europe." Any tankies at all want to weigh in on this one? I thought this was all about saving the so-called republics from the evil Ukrainians?

poor waif
Apr 8, 2007
Kaboom

zone posted:

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-general-admits-ukraine-just-stepping-stone-invade-europe-1825776

From denazification of Ukraine to "let's try and conquer all of Europe." Any tankies at all want to weigh in on this one? I thought this was all about saving the so-called republics from the evil Ukrainians?

America invaded Iraq?? Russia is encircled by NATO and very spooked. did you know Lithuania once had some Nazis in it.

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009

steinrokkan posted:

Americans bankrolled the guys who put Lula in jail on fake premises and did a judicial coup, it's not exactly a shock that he isn't playing ball with American interests. Sucks, but it's a case of Americans laying down rakes to step on later.

"Americans" are not a monolith. The Americans who bankrolled Bolsonaro's coup were aligned with Putin and say that the US should stop supporting Ukraine.

The Americans supporting Ukraine are the ones who denied asylum to Bolsonaro and sent him back to Brasil to face justice.

What you're saying is if like if Biden banned Lula from the US because Brasil had genocidal policies against indigenous people from 2019-2022.

BaldDwarfOnPCP
Jun 26, 2019

by Pragmatica

McGavin posted:

BRICs got the name because they’re countries that are Badly Run by International Criminals.

As opposed to the ones that are well run by criminals :911:

If some Brazilian special forces team snatched up GWB on vacay I'd let it go.

redshirt
Aug 11, 2007

Built like a BRICS shithouse.

Tai
Mar 8, 2006
It's on russian TV most days about invading Europe. Poland, Baltics and Berlin get mentioned a lot.

Alan Smithee
Jan 4, 2005


A man becomes preeminent, he's expected to have enthusiasms.

Enthusiasms, enthusiasms...
Ah the greatest hits

Paris in 3 days

As soon as Kyiv in 3 days

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Der Kyhe posted:

You don't need to love or even like Americans to hate and oppose homicidal dictators starting war on a whim because of imperial ambitions, while encouraging a system of openly committing war crimes and terrorizing civilians in the areas that aren't outright ethnically cleansed like the Nazis did some 80 years ago. Especially if you are an elected president from an actually democratic country.

Also, which part of Russia USA attacked to cause this war and make it "America's war", I forgot again?

Brazil and especially Lula has very little reason to care about Ukraine and very strong reasons to care about sticking and twisting the knife into the US. So Lula's actions re Russia and Ukraine are not motivated by Ukraine. It's not the moral stance in the situation, but it's perfectly predictable, consistent with normal behavior of countries, and a result of American meddling.

steinrokkan fucked around with this message at 16:08 on Sep 10, 2023

Deus Ex Macklemore
Jul 2, 2004


Zelensky's Zealots

redshirt posted:

Can anyone speak to the depth of Russian defenses? If Ukraine breaks through a certain point for example, is there any defense left?

The tough part is that when you break through the first line of defense there's another, smaller line of defense inside that. Inside that line of defense is another line of defense even smaller. When you finally get through to the last line of defense there's a jelly bean inside of it.

A borscht flavored jelly bean

JK, the money for the jelly bean never made it to the line of defense factory. Meanwhile there is an oligarch on a yacht in the South Pacific that is REALLY enjoying that dish of jelly beans

Tai
Mar 8, 2006
It's probably as simple as Brazil doesn't want to piss off USA or Russia and staying impartial. Like a lot of other countries.

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spunkshui
Oct 5, 2011



The USA knows to kick your enemies if they are down. We are sending top tier tanks with these horrifying rounds lol

Found a sliced open image of one.

https://www.reddit.com/r/TankPorn/comments/10f8ftl/american_m829a4_armorpiercing_tank_round/

Id go home personally.

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