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actionjackson posted:is it weird that we have only had one major hurricane hit the US gulf coast so far? i know the water temps are really high  "The main reason El Niņo hampers tropical development is wind shear." https://www.wunderground.com/article/storms/hurricane/news/2023-03-20-el-nino-atlantic-hurricane-season-2023
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Sep 19, 2023 21:33
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Just to compare, Hurricane Ian hit SW Florida in October last year, and then we had another strong TS/Cat 1 landfall in November on the east coast which was very unusual. But the point is that there is still plenty of time left.
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Sep 19, 2023 21:43
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actionjackson posted:is it weird that we have only had one major hurricane hit the US gulf coast so far? i know the water temps are really high that's just a slower form of the new types of terror we're going to be facing biosphere thread might have answers on what really high warming might do
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Sep 19, 2023 21:46
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Rauros posted:ugh, count data isn't continuous; they shouldn't connect the points. That's pretty ubiquitous in the weather/climate world friend.
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Sep 19, 2023 22:16
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Rauros posted:ugh, count data isn't continuous; they shouldn't connect the points. you try telling my students that
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Sep 19, 2023 22:19
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and then for some types of regression you just assign some cardinal values to categorical data. statistics is fun
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Sep 19, 2023 22:37
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i'm a biostatistician it is fun
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Sep 19, 2023 22:39
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Oglethorpe posted:biosphere thread might have answers on what really high warming might do the UNs removal of sulfur from shipping fuels has led to rapid warming of the ocean a fun feedback loop is heat reducing clouds, leading to a warmer ocean continent-sized hypercanes start in another thirteen degrees celsius
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Sep 19, 2023 23:04
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Unless posted:the UN’s removal of sulfur from shipping fuels has led to rapid warming of the ocean I want to see a hypercane really bad before I die.
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Sep 19, 2023 23:11
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Unless posted:the UNs removal of sulfur from shipping fuels has led to rapid warming of the ocean at thirteen degrees of warming there will not be many people left to witness any hypercanes
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Sep 19, 2023 23:23
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1glitch0 posted:I want to see a hypercane really bad before I die. If a hypercane happens, you will indeed see it before you die. 
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Sep 19, 2023 23:23
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FlapYoJacks posted:If a hypercane happens, you will indeed see it before you die. not at night
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Sep 19, 2023 23:24
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SirPablo posted:Not a map but you're talking about ACE. thanks Pablo that rules. I love you weather nerds
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Sep 19, 2023 23:40
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1glitch0 posted:I want to see a hypercane really bad before I die. 
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Sep 20, 2023 00:17
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Real hurthling! posted:not at night what if the sirens wake them up???
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Sep 20, 2023 00:20
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Red Baron posted:what if the sirens wake them up??? i gotta find where my communitys air raid sirens went https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QfpVfttI97Q
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Sep 20, 2023 00:24
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Red Baron posted:what if the sirens wake them up??? The hurricane sirens won't sound for the hurricane, but will sound if someone gives a cop only 8 nuggets in a 10 piece. An officer was down some nuggets
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Sep 20, 2023 00:29
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To clarify, I want to see a hypercane on tv, preferably with a CNN reporter standing in the middle of it, while I shitpost about it with my posting buddies in C-SPAM.
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Sep 20, 2023 00:37
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1glitch0 posted:To clarify, I want to see a hypercane on tv, preferably with a CNN reporter standing in the middle of it, while I shitpost about it with my posting buddies in C-SPAM. yeah this. I want the watch climate change in horror thru other people's cameras. I don't want to experience climate death
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Sep 20, 2023 01:10
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smoobles posted:yeah this. I want the watch climate change in horror thru other people's cameras. I don't want to experience climate death https://t.me/Disaster_News and i got some rough news for you about the latter
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Sep 20, 2023 01:15
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 link gulf do be hot as hell though and it be hot as hell right up to the coast
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Sep 20, 2023 02:09
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dr_rat posted:So what I'm getting from this is the Southern Atlantic Ocean is just lazy? Maņana maņana....
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Sep 20, 2023 05:10
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actionjackson posted:is it weird that we have only had one major hurricane hit the US gulf coast so far? i know the water temps are really high No, it's actually real good and you want it to remain so.
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Sep 20, 2023 05:13
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I'm petitioning my community to put up sirens to warn about the model crisis.
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Sep 20, 2023 05:28
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SirPablo posted:I'm petitioning my community to put up sirens to warn about the model crisis. Odysseus endorses this solution.
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Sep 20, 2023 05:34
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1glitch0 posted:I want to see a hypercane really bad before I die. everyone can just move to the poles and the equator, not that big deal
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Sep 20, 2023 06:23
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SirPablo posted:Not a map but you're talking about ACE. this seems to be trending up in recent years. someone should probably look into why this seems to be happening
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Sep 20, 2023 07:42
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redleader posted:this seems to be trending up in recent years. someone should probably look into why this seems to be happening we're looking for hurricanes more often and therefore finding more. if we stop looking, the count will stop going up 
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Sep 20, 2023 07:49
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The covid vaccines are full of hurricane pheromones
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Sep 20, 2023 08:00
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if that was true Florida would never get hit
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Sep 20, 2023 08:02
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RandolphCarter posted:if that was true Florida would never get hit It could have been aiming for NY and Florida was just in the way
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Sep 20, 2023 08:08
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Hurricanes are actually natural pickleball enthusiasts. Just can't get enough of that *thock* *thock* *thock* *thock*
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Sep 20, 2023 09:27
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SirPablo posted:I'm petitioning my community to put up sirens to warn about the model crisis.
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Sep 20, 2023 12:54
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this was a good listen about reconstructing hurricane history with tree rings, shipwrecks, and sunspots. https://radiolab.org/podcast/fellowship-tree-rings
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Sep 20, 2023 16:42
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Latest GFS run has that just-emerged tropical wave blowing up half of the Caribbean before making a final strike on Martha's Vineyard. I'm running out of locks!
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Sep 20, 2023 19:02
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It won't. If anything it'll just get cold feet and veers off to the east again
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Sep 20, 2023 19:04
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SirPablo posted:I'm petitioning my community to put up sirens to warn about the model crisis. every time the gfs goes insane, your community hears https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFr74zI1LBM
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Sep 20, 2023 21:53
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I just imagine pablo seething every time we interpret the latest gfs fever dream
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Sep 21, 2023 00:06
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Wolfy posted:I just imagine pablo seething every time we interpret the latest gfs fever dream Close, rage boner
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Sep 21, 2023 01:37
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SirPablo posted:Close, rage boner 
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Sep 21, 2023 02:58
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