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(Thread IKs: fatherboxx)
 
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MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

Charliegrs posted:

Yeah I really never understood the "Ukraine support is bipartisan" in the US Congress idea that so many people say. I

It is bi-partisan. The Ukraine funding is being held hostage by both the Dems and the Republicans to try to get what they want on other issues and a government shutdown is one of the tools of leverage.

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DancingMachine
Aug 12, 2004

He's a dancing machine!

D-Pad posted:

The majority of the GOP caucus is not against further aid to Ukraine. They weren't willing to fight for it in these circumstances, but the majority still support it and will most likely vote in the future for further aid. That being said the majority probably aren't super gung-ho and can easily flip in the future if the republican sentiment continues its current trend, but for now the majority are still on record as supporting continuing assistance to Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/mattgaetz/status/1707726278835450020?s=20

https://twitter.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1708186379551719743

Zedsdeadbaby
Jun 14, 2008

You have been called out, in the ways of old.

Moon Slayer posted:

Looks like the US government won't shut down, at the cost of this round of Ukraine aid money, which will be stripped from the Continuing Resolution so it can be approved by both the House and Senate. Don't ask me what this actually means for Ukraine in the short or medium term but I'm guessing not much as more aid will be passed in the future.

Although I'm sure we'll get a few doomposts about how it's all over now.

Proof that Putin only needed a small number of GOP in his pocket

notwithoutmyanus
Mar 17, 2009

Zedsdeadbaby posted:

Proof that Putin only needed a small number of GOP in his pocket

He already has all of their leadership in his pocket. But they will only take calculated risks, as Ukraine support *was* very popular. If people rally support again, GOP will pay the price (as will democrats who waned)

notwithoutmyanus fucked around with this message at 22:00 on Sep 30, 2023

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

Britain going in the opposite direction

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1708223134640251020

"could" is doing a lot of work there, but that seems like a pretty big deal if it happens.

Defenestrategy
Oct 24, 2010

Cant believe the MIC didnt send their best and brightest amounts of money and schmoozers to get ukraine funding over the line. Most of that money would have gone directly to the mic as equipment buy to ukraine or as replenishing us stocks. Cant imagine raytheon et all shrugging at all of the money.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

notwithoutmyanus posted:

He already has all of their leadership in his pocket. But they will only take calculated risks, as Ukraine support *was* very popular. If people rally support again, GOP will pay the price.

If they are all in Putin's pocket, it follows that they don't care about risks unless Putin tells them to care. Seems unlikely.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Chalks posted:

"could" is doing a lot of work there, but that seems like a pretty big deal if it happens.

Probably needs some talks with Erdogan too, but usually Turkey has been supportive of grain exports for not only unselfish reasons, so it might not be the biggest obstacle.

ethanol
Jul 13, 2007



ukraine funding isn't over. they can just pass more ukraine funding later, like they did last week. keeping it out of the CR is theatrics. gaetz crew won't have the votes to block a Ukraine bill independent from the CR

Nothingtoseehere
Nov 11, 2010


Chalks posted:

Britain going in the opposite direction

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1708223134640251020

"could" is doing a lot of work there, but that seems like a pretty big deal if it happens.

There is broad support for arming Ukraine in the UK, and it's part of the UK trying to show it's still a big relevant international player post-Brexit. Reguardless of what the US does, UK and broader EU support for Ukraine probably won't change.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

Told ya there'd be a bunch of doomposting.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

D-Pad
Jun 28, 2006


Good reading comprehension. As I said in my post they aren't supporting it when all this other stuff is involved but if separated out from all this other drama the majority of the GOP still support Ukraine funding. This is not the end of funding for Ukraine and in the future a straight up and down vote will pass.

Xiahou Dun
Jul 16, 2009

We shall dive down through black abysses... and in that lair of the Deep Ones we shall dwell amidst wonder and glory forever.



Lol at quoting Matt Gaetz on anything.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

Does Britain currently have ships in the black sea?

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009
I am not sure how much escort ships will help if Russia keeps bombing Ukrainian ports anyway.

the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

D-Pad posted:

Good reading comprehension. As I said in my post they aren't supporting it when all this other stuff is involved but if separated out from all this other drama the majority of the GOP still support Ukraine funding. This is not the end of funding for Ukraine and in the future a straight up and down vote will pass.

I think it's fair to say that it's seriously in question now. Gaetz's assertion is technically incorrect--the caucus still broadly supports Ukraine aid and there's nothing stopping a future Ukraine funding bill from advancing to the floor if a majority of GOP reps support it at that time. But in practical terms, it's been proven that a majority of the GOP are willing to sacrifice Ukraine over funding the government, which may be basically the same thing. As long as there are a dozen or so single issue Putin boosters in the House they can continue to hold funding bills hostage. They (or at least their handlers) are smart enough to know that Ukraine is back on the table as soon as a mid-range funding bill passes, so they're not going to let one pass.

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

OddObserver posted:

I am not sure how much escort ships will help if Russia keeps bombing Ukrainian ports anyway.

I imagine they'd have some ability to intercept missiles too which will make their flight paths more complex at least.

Depends what they consider the scope of their mission I guess. Defending shipping could reasonable include shooting down missiles targeting the port that shipping is in.

Chalks fucked around with this message at 23:00 on Sep 30, 2023

DancingMachine
Aug 12, 2004

He's a dancing machine!

D-Pad posted:

Good reading comprehension. As I said in my post they aren't supporting it when all this other stuff is involved but if separated out from all this other drama the majority of the GOP still support Ukraine funding. This is not the end of funding for Ukraine and in the future a straight up and down vote will pass.

An up or down clean vote would pass but GOP leadership isn't going to bring such a bill to the floor because it divides their caucus. They have a rule that they won't bring bills to the floor that don't have majority support from within their party.

To make a more specific prediction: I don't believe McCarthy will allow a clean Ukraine funding bill to get a vote. If such a bill happens it probably involves other turmoil with house leadership. Hope I'm wrong, but folks in this thread pretty consistently underrate the depth of rot in the GOP and the depth of dysfunction in US legislative process.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

the holy poopacy posted:

willing to sacrifice Ukraine over funding the government

I mean, it may be a hot take, but ... I kinda agree that the government of the US should prioritize funding the US government over pretty much anything else?

the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

Moon Slayer posted:

I mean, it may be a hot take, but ... I kinda agree that the government of the US should prioritize funding the US government over pretty much anything else?

Well, yes, but realistically there's no material limitations to doing both; it's only an issue because Russia's stooges have chosen to create one. (To wit, they have literally chosen to make not aiding Ukraine a bigger priority than funding the US government, directly contrary to your statement.)

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Moon Slayer posted:

I mean, it may be a hot take, but ... I kinda agree that the government of the US should prioritize funding the US government over pretty much anything else?

Not to get into US political structures so much, but bear in mind these funding bills do not actually need to exist. The whole reason they function like this is because it allows conservatives in the US to create just this sort of "pick one" framing and deteriorate government functions- including foreign aid.

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007
It's not like this CR bill really matters for Ukraine funding. Most of the funding is done outside of CR, this is just a "well might as well" thing.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

Ukraine aid still holding up the vote in the Senate.

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1708250168854810744?t=L9T_5exv_-C9SVEv2U5r9Q&s=19

https://twitter.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1708247913808175139?t=n7QkTTSQF4cWB5U5SyOVOg&s=19

E:
https://twitter.com/kaylatausche/status/1708254137303925140?t=p3ReBB7amoQRjI5jGQO73g&s=19

Moon Slayer fucked around with this message at 23:59 on Sep 30, 2023

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007


Sounds like no money, just words.

OneEightHundred
Feb 28, 2008

Soon, we will be unstoppable!

DancingMachine posted:

An up or down clean vote would pass but GOP leadership isn't going to bring such a bill to the floor because it divides their caucus. They have a rule that they won't bring bills to the floor that don't have majority support from within their party.

To make a more specific prediction: I don't believe McCarthy will allow a clean Ukraine funding bill to get a vote. If such a bill happens it probably involves other turmoil with house leadership. Hope I'm wrong, but folks in this thread pretty consistently underrate the depth of rot in the GOP and the depth of dysfunction in US legislative process.
There's no reason to spin it off as a separate bill unless it's to make it fail. Usually rolling stuff into larger bills is easier because reluctant members can be brought on-board with sweeteners, and both houses of Congress right now are plagued with bullshit fake rules and leadership cowardice that allows blocking minorities to kill legislation.

The idiot caucus just gave up most of what Republicans USUALLY demand in concessions over $300M in Ukraine aid, what do you think they're going to do over a $24b stand-alone bill?

Usually this type of thing could also get resolved by party leadership threatening to torpedo members' district pet projects, but that doesn't work when dealing with members that don't care about governing and think humiliating McCarthy and showing they can get away with anything is its own goal.

OneEightHundred fucked around with this message at 00:44 on Oct 1, 2023

coelomate
Oct 21, 2020


Lots of little details in this politico piece that strongly imply Ukraine money is going to happen, and soon, but separately: https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/30/biden-administration-congress-government-shutdown-deal-ukraine-aid-00119296

It’s all a mess, but hardly the end of the road for US financial support for Ukraine.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

Cpt_Obvious posted:

Sounds like no money, just words.

https://twitter.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1708290532684824584

EasilyConfused
Nov 21, 2009


one strong toad

Cpt_Obvious posted:

Does Britain currently have ships in the black sea?

No, but it could be a reference to either naval aviation or (imo more likely) simply providing technical advice.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound
I mean, "we promise to pass that later pinky swear " has been a Lucy football move on a lot of things lately.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

Those things don't get put on the official schedule though.

D-Pad
Jun 28, 2006

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

I mean, "we promise to pass that later pinky swear " has been a Lucy football move on a lot of things lately.

I mean if that tweet is correct it's already been passed by the house and the Senate is fully onboard for more funding so if it's on the schedule it'll get passed.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010
https://twitter.com/SecBlinken/status/1707826104759705760

from yesterday, but extremely not thrilled blinken is doing actual holocaust denialism with this poo poo. A shitload of soviet POWs were killed in Babyn Yar and the soviets loving brought journalists to the site of the massacre almost immediately!

the only way I can make any sense of the "buried" line is that the soviets only included secular memorials of the massacre rather than ones specifically for jews or romani, which is utter nonsense.

and that's not even getting into the fun parts of "accountability" considering operation paperclip

OperaMouse
Oct 30, 2010

It looks like a populist anti-EU party Smer, with pro-Russian leader Robert Fico has won the Slovakian elections. Of course, they still need to form a coalition.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ndroidApp_Other

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 3 days!)

A big flaming stink posted:

https://twitter.com/SecBlinken/status/1707826104759705760

from yesterday, but extremely not thrilled blinken is doing actual holocaust denialism with this poo poo.

That's not holocaust denialism. Blinken is quite correct in his statement that some 34000 Jews were killed initially at Babi Yar on 29 and 30 September 1941.

Others were killed there subsequently, but he is clearly referring to the initial killings.

The Soviet preference to avoid mentioning that particular victims were killed *because they were Jews* but merely to call them "peaceful Soviet civilians" has been a problem for some, much like some Poles prefer to emphasize the 'Polishness' of victims killed as opposed to any 'Jewishness'. If nothing else I refer you to the following comment from Wikipedia:

Wikipedia posted:

This meant that both Jewish and Roma peoples were not specifically memorialised at the Babi Yar site until the Soviet Union collapsed. Indeed, Yevgeny Yevtushenko's 1961 poem on Babi Yar begins "Nad Babim Yarom pamyatnikov nyet" ("Over Babi Yar there are no monuments"); it is also the first line of Shostakovich’s Symphony No. 13.


quote:

No monument stands over Babi Yar.
A droop sheer as a crude gravestone.
I am afraid.
Today I am as old in years
as all the Jewish people.
Now I seem to be
a Jew.
Here I plod through ancient Egypt.
Here I perish crucified, on the cross,
and to this day I bear the scars of nails.
I seem to be
Dreyfus.
The Philistine
is both informer and judge.
I am behind bars.
Beset on every side.
Hounded,
spat on,
slandered.
Squealing, dainty ladies in flounced Brussels lace
stick their parasols into my face...

In summary, the Soviet deliberate avoidance of the fact that the Holocaust was primarily and overwhelmingly aimed at the extermination of European Jews is indeed burying the issue. They weren't killed for being Soviet citizens, they were killed for being Jews.

For anyone who has an interest in learning more I may suggest Inga Clendinnen's book "Reading the Holocaust" as a starter. It will give you pointers to additional sources up to Hilberg and others.

https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/inga-clendinnen/reading-the-holocaust/

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 07:54 on Oct 1, 2023

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS
Aren't these issues with the GOP and Ukraine aid what the new Lend Lease thing was passed last year to circumvent?

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

Rust Martialis posted:

That's not holocaust denialism. Blinken is quite correct in his statement that some 34000 Jews were killed initially at Babi Yar on 29 and 30 September 1941.

Others were killed there subsequently, but he is clearly referring to the initial killings.

The Soviet preference to avoid mentioning that particular victims were killed *because they were Jews* but merely to call them "peaceful Soviet civilians" has been a problem for some, much like some Poles prefer to emphasize the 'Polishness' of victims killed as opposed to any 'Jewishness'. If nothing else I refer you to the following comment from Wikipedia:



In summary, the Soviet deliberate avoidance of the fact that the Holocaust was primarily and overwhelmingly aimed at the extermination of European Jews is indeed burying the issue. They weren't killed for being Soviet citizens, they were killed for being Jews.

For anyone who has an interest in learning more I may suggest Inga Clendinnen's book "Reading the Holocaust" as a starter. It will give you pointers to additional sources up to Hilberg and others.

https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/inga-clendinnen/reading-the-holocaust/

I don't want to get into a settling of debts (of dead people) but the erasure of the non-jews killed in the massacre is why i called it denialism. the holocaust killed far more than just jewish people, though they were obviously the primary ones to be victimized

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

A big flaming stink posted:

I don't want to get into a settling of debts (of dead people) but the erasure of the non-jews killed in the massacre is why i called it denialism. the holocaust killed far more than just jewish people, though they were obviously the primary ones to be victimized

This implies that talking about the erased Jewish deaths automatically erased the non-Jewish deaths, since Blinken was specifically talking about how the Soviet Union officials were hiding that the dead were Jews...

The Artificial Kid
Feb 22, 2002
Plibble

A big flaming stink posted:

I don't want to get into a settling of debts (of dead people) but the erasure of the non-jews killed in the massacre is why i called it denialism. the holocaust killed far more than just jewish people, though they were obviously the primary ones to be victimized

In my experience the argument that people don’t focus enough on the non-Jewish victims of the holocaust and world war 2 is advanced by proto- holocaust deniers who aren’t quite ready to say the quiet part aloud. The next step is “and anyway there weren’t nearly as many Jews killed as everyone thinks” followed by “…if any. I mean how would they have…[etc]”

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013

The Artificial Kid posted:

In my experience the argument that people don’t focus enough on the non-Jewish victims of the holocaust and world war 2 is advanced by proto- holocaust deniers who aren’t quite ready to say the quiet part aloud. The next step is “and anyway there weren’t nearly as many Jews killed as everyone thinks” followed by “…if any. I mean how would they have…[etc]”

I wonder what this has to do with the war in Ukraine?

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Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 3 days!)

A big flaming stink posted:

I don't want to get into a settling of debts (of dead people) but the erasure of the non-jews killed in the massacre is why i called it denialism. the holocaust killed far more than just jewish people, though they were obviously the primary ones to be victimized

He was *specifically* referring to the killings of Sept 29-30, 1941 - "82 years ago". On those *specific* dates, it was some 34000 Jews, and *only* Jews, that were killed. I have not seen any source material claiming otherwise.

You apparently thought Blinken was referring to *all* the killings at Babi Yar. He clearly wasn't.

Calling Blinken a Holocaust denier for not mentioning killings of Roma/Sinti at Babi Yar on 29-30 September 1941 makes no sense, because none of them were killed there on those dates.

Again, if you have a source saying otherwise, post it.

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