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Yiggy
Sep 12, 2004

"Imagination is not enough. You have to have knowledge too, and an experience of the oddity of life."

James Garfield posted:

I don't think their problem was just finding a speaker candidate. The Gaetz crew wants to do things that Republicans can't do when all they control is the house. Mike Johnson will become the establishment uniparty swamp when he won't hold a vote on An Act to Reduce the Age of Consent for Republican Politicians, which he won't because it would fail and a bunch of representatives would lose reelection.

(to be fair, Republicans might lose the house in 2024 before that happens)

I can imagine a likely timeline where they lose the house before they cut Johnson. Johnson is more-so the rights guy than McCarthy was and arguably they won’t toss him out.

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Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Re: suddenly hearing voices in your 40's, I always quietly wonder about extemely severe alcohol use. Hearing angry insulting voices is often one of the last gifts you can potentially get from decades of alcoholism.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

Rigel posted:

Re: suddenly hearing voices in your 40's, I always quietly wonder about extemely severe alcohol use. Hearing angry insulting voices is often one of the last gifts you can potentially get from decades of alcoholism.

I had never heard of this before, but it is apparently a real thing.

It is extremely rare, though. It also is usually triggered when an extreme alcoholic stops drinking cold turkey after 15+ years of heavy drinking.

There's no information about the shooter's history with alcohol or drugs, but seems like it would be hard for him to keep a job in the army or at a gun store if he was a 15+ year heavy alcoholic. Although, it is definitely a possibility.

quote:

Alcoholic hallucinosis is a complication of alcohol misuse in people with alcohol use disorder. It can occur during acute intoxication or withdrawal with the potential of having delirium tremens. Alcohol hallucinosis is a rather uncommon alcohol-induced psychotic disorder almost exclusively seen in chronic alcoholics who have many consecutive years of severe and heavy drinking during their lifetime. Alcoholic hallucinosis develops about 12 to 24 hours after the heavy drinking stops suddenly, and can last for days. It involves auditory and visual hallucinations, most commonly accusatory or threatening voices. The risk of developing alcoholic hallucinosis is increased by long-term heavy alcohol abuse and the use of other drugs.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcoholic_hallucinosis

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Gallup just released new polling on Joe Biden's approval rating, which has dropped by double digits among Democrats since last month:



His overall approval rating sits at 37%:



Gallup posted:

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- President Joe Biden’s job approval rating among Democrats has tumbled 11 percentage points in the past month to 75%, the worst reading of his presidency from his own party. This drop has pushed his overall approval rating down four points to 37%, matching his personal low.

At the same time, Biden’s approval among independents has declined four points, to 35%, while Republicans’ rating remains unchanged, at just 5%.

After ranging from 49% to 57% during the first eight months of his presidency, Biden’s approval rating has been mired in the low 40s for much of the past two years. Including the latest 37% job rating and an identical reading in April, Biden’s approval has fallen below 40% four times in the 33 readings Gallup has taken since he took office.

The latest downturn in Biden’s job rating, from an Oct. 2-23 Gallup poll, comes in the wake of the Oct. 7 surprise attack on Israel by Hamas militants that resulted in at least 1,400 deaths and more than 200 kidnappings. The attack by Hamas precipitated a counteroffensive by Israel, which has resulted in an estimated 5,000 deaths in Gaza thus far while also setting off a humanitarian crisis.

Immediately after the attack, Biden pledged “rock solid and unwavering” support for Israel from the U.S., and he subsequently visited the country on Oct. 18 to reiterate that message. But Biden has faced criticism from some members of his party for aligning too closely with Israel and not doing enough for the Palestinians. Some prominent Democratic lawmakers and protesters around the U.S. have called for Biden to do more to help the millions of Palestinians who are in need of humanitarian aid as Israel attempts to eradicate Hamas.


Early this year, Gallup found that for the first time in the U.S., Democrats’ sympathies for the Palestinians outpaced those for the Israelis. Although the survey is not designed to allow for statistically reliable estimates for any subset of the three-week polling period, the daily results strongly suggest that Democrats’ approval of Biden fell sharply in the aftermath of the Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas and Biden’s promise of full support for Israel on the same day. Biden’s current 75% approval rating among Democrats is well below the 86% average from his own party throughout his presidency.

Meanwhile, Biden’s approval rating from Republicans has been consistently low and in the single digits for more than two years, while his rating from independents has been more variable but generally weak since July 2021.

Democrats’ current rating of Biden is four points lower than Republicans’ lowest rating of Donald Trump during his presidency.

Biden’s 11th-Quarter Average Job Rating Is 40.0%

Biden’s job approval rating during his 11th quarter in office -- spanning July 20 through Oct. 19 -- averaged 40.0%, just below last quarter’s 40.7%. His latest quarterly average rating is on the lower end for his presidency but is slightly higher than his lowest, which was 39.7% in his ninth quarter earlier this year (Jan. 20 through April 19).

Biden’s average quarterly approval rating has not risen above 42.0% since his third quarter in office, when it registered 44.7%. His average ratings in the first two quarters of his presidency were 56.0% and 53.3%.

Biden’s 11th-quarter average approval rating is worse than the same period’s rating for all but one of the 11 post-World War II U.S. presidents elected to their first term. Jimmy Carter’s 31.4% 11th-quarter average rating was recorded in 1979 during a nationwide energy crisis and high gas prices.

Five presidents registered majority-level 11th-quarter average approval ratings, ranging from 50.5% to 72.7%: Dwight Eisenhower, John Kennedy, Richard Nixon, George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush. The other four presidents averaged 40.7% (Trump), 41.0% (Barack Obama), 44.4% (Ronald Reagan) and 46.4% (Bill Clinton).

Bottom Line

Biden’s immediate and decisive show of support for Israel following the Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas appears to have turned off some in his own party, resulting in Democrats’ worst assessment of the president since he took office. Biden’s overall approval rating likewise matches his personal low. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict comes at a time when Americans remain pessimistic about the economy, the Biden administration is struggling to deal with increasing numbers of migrants attempting to enter the country, and debate continues about how much aid to provide to Ukraine in its war with Russia.

As events in the Middle East continue to unfold and the humanitarian crisis in Gaza worsens, Biden’s guidance on Israel could affect not only the outcome of the war but also how he is viewed at home.

GhostofJohnMuir
Aug 14, 2014

anime is not good
i wonder if there's any combat or duty related tbi to go along with the hearing loss

not that it really matters, but nothing meaningful is going to ever happen on this issue anyway

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

B B posted:

Gallup just released new polling on Joe Biden's approval rating, which has dropped by double digits among Democrats since last month:



His overall approval rating sits at 37%:



Hard to say there is one direct cause for something with such a large margin of error as one subsample, but if it is the case, then that seems good. People should vocalize and provide measurable feedback for things like that. Especially for issues that are difficult/impossible for the average person to really weigh in on in a measurable way.

The same polling also shows overwhelming support for Israel, so I don't think the behavior of "tell Israel to please be cool just a little bit in private, while defending 98% of their actions in public" is going to change much.




Footage from Jamaal Bowman's fire alarm pull has been released by Capitol Police. Makes his original claim that he pulled it accidentally because he was thought it would unlock the door seem pretty implausible.

https://twitter.com/KevinFreyTV/status/1717621065378054272

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011



The nation being desensitized to gun violence is apparent. Even on this forum, the discussion is quite limited compared to mass shootings of the past. The crazy thing about this one, is the guy is nowhere to be seen. Just shot up 30+ people and poofed out of there. Now they think he might be in Massachusetts, based on a car. The latest is that his boat is missing.

Bellmaker
Oct 18, 2008

Chapter DOOF



Zotix posted:

The nation being desensitized to gun violence is apparent. Even on this forum, the discussion is quite limited compared to mass shootings of the past. The crazy thing about this one, is the guy is nowhere to be seen. Just shot up 30+ people and poofed out of there. Now they think he might be in Massachusetts, based on a car. The latest is that his boat is missing.

Maine is way bigger than folks think it is and very uninhabited once you get away from the coast, not hard to disappear or even cross the border if you have half the training this rear end in a top hat does

Mendrian
Jan 6, 2013

Zotix posted:

The nation being desensitized to gun violence is apparent. Even on this forum, the discussion is quite limited compared to mass shootings of the past. The crazy thing about this one, is the guy is nowhere to be seen. Just shot up 30+ people and poofed out of there. Now they think he might be in Massachusetts, based on a car. The latest is that his boat is missing.

I think much is made of 'desensitized' when it comes to Americans and violence generally. And it's not wrong, per se, but I think it's fair to say it's not that we're dead to its impact but rather we feel depressed and impotent in the face of it. Sandy Hook was the high water mark, where something might have been possible nationally, and the lack of public will to do something about it has left a sense of unease and dejection that is fairly universal especially among young people. I haven't become desensitized - I'm more terrified than ever of being attacked by a domestic terrorist than I ever have been, and feel a deep sense of fear, sadness, and dread at each of these events. From the outside looking in, especially for foreigners, I suspect people see a lack of fanfare, news, and movement around these events and conclude no one cares. People care. They've just run out of the energy required to fight a news media and government that couldn't care less. In another country, the government and media would be mortified and would energize a movement to disarm the nation. We don't have that, disarming America requires a public will at the same level as the civil rights movement.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

Cimber posted:

He is ideologically pure, managed to put an end to the embarrassment the GOP was going through, and is a loyal Trump sycophant. That's all that matters these days to the Republican party, the rest is just details. So what if he's ineffective.

ineffective and inexperienced matter insofar as he gets a government shutdown pinned on the repbulicans or, god forbid, manages to make the republican war on abortion front and center going into 2024. there's some really big liabilities there

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬
.

mannerup fucked around with this message at 19:01 on Nov 5, 2023

selec
Sep 6, 2003

Zotix posted:

The nation being desensitized to gun violence is apparent. Even on this forum, the discussion is quite limited compared to mass shootings of the past. The crazy thing about this one, is the guy is nowhere to be seen. Just shot up 30+ people and poofed out of there. Now they think he might be in Massachusetts, based on a car. The latest is that his boat is missing.

I think folks are resigned to the idea by and large that our political system isn’t capable of responding meaningfully to the demands of ordinary people who suffer because of policy. I know I’ve very consciously given up on the idea that my political desires can be achieved by voting, and I think that’s a natural and correct feeling a lot of people are hesitant to consciously accept because it has some pretty terrible follow-on thoughts.

But it’s true, to me, that a calcified oligarchy run by decrepit liches doesn’t seem to either be able to get out of bed to help or simply doesn’t care to. Either of those are meaningfully the same in outcome to me. We can’t have the way of life other countries do, under the system we do. We can’t have health care as a right, nor can we restrain rampant gun violence, in the same way you can’t drive to the moon. Wrong tool for the job.

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

Does Santos know that getting expelled from Congress is not a court proceeding?

XboxPants
Jan 30, 2006

Steven doesn't want me watching him sleep anymore.

Queering Wheel posted:

The average trans person does not give a flying gently caress about blue hair compared to, you know, the right for trans people to get the medications and healthcare they need, or the right to simply exist in public spaces without being defined as porn, or being able to use the loving bathroom without being arrested, or what will happen if Biden loses, or

GreenBuckanneer posted:

Excuse me, I'm not worried about not being able dye my goddamn hair

That's what I was trying to get across. Many transphobes just plain don't believe that trans people even exist. So there's an attitude among a lot of those circles that being any kind of trans, especially non-binary, is basically just a fashion trend for zoomers.

But as all three of us said, the fight for trans rights is not about being able to dye your hair blue. It's not a fashion trend. It's about the right for people like us to even exist at all. Being legally and socially recognized and accepted would be great, but for starters, I'd like to just not live in fear of being physically attacked on the street by a stranger because of how I'm dressed.

That's why I brought this up in relation to the Maine shooting. Transphobes think they're making cute little jokes about transfolks online, mocking people for things like hair, dress, and makeup. Because to them, that's as deep as it goes, it's just zoomers and freaks who want to dress weird, like emo kids before them. "Cringey blue hair trans person" is a whole category of transphobe meme. But it's not just cute little jokes about the people who dress funny. It's dehumanizing an entire community and having terrifying effects.

And most importantly, we need to start recognizing that it's not just individual bigots being weird online. It's a coordinated assault. And I'm not the only one saying this.

Mother Jones: Inside the Secret Working Group That Helped Push Anti-Trans Laws Across the Country

quote:

On a Saturday afternoon in August 2019, South Dakota Republican state Rep. Fred Deutsch sent an email to 18 anti-trans activists, doctors, and lawyers with the text of a bill he planned to introduce that would make it a felony for doctors to give transgender children under 16 gender-affirming medical care. “I have no doubt this will be an uphill battle when we get to session,” Deutsch warned the group. “As always, please do not share this with the media. The longer we can fly under the radar the better.”
Gist of this article, groups like the religious-right ADF are working with state officials to successfully push dehumanizing rhetoric and legislation.

Meet the woman behind Libs of TikTok, secretly fueling the right’s outrage machine
Then you have outlets like Libs of TikTok (Chaya Raichik), capitalizing on that rhetoric by encouraging their followers to target specific LGBT people. LoTT gives the impression of just being some rando twitter account doing her own thing, but it's not, it's funded and controlled by Babylon Bee, a right-wing outlet. They're involved with big far-right politicians, having been credited by DeSantis' staff as being influential on the Don't Say Gay bill, and being invited by Trump a few months back for a wine & dine at Mar-a-Lago, along with Seth Dillon, Babylon Bee's owner.

All of that culminates in horrific violence:
How Anti-Trans Rhetoric Set the Stage for the Club Q Shooting

quote:

“Constantly legitimizing these ideas to a hostile set of audiences or even just an uninformed set of audiences can change the realities of people's lives in a very material sense,” Strangio said.
[...]
“I think that we're still in the opening gambit of what's going on,” Jones says, “which is why the fear is that what happened at Club Q is perhaps just the beginning.”
[...]
Reed, alongside many experts, sees the shooting at Club Q not as a random tragedy, but as a consequence that was all too expected following a yearslong campaign to demonize trans people on a mass scale.

Is that enough to assert the existence of a anti-trans terrorist organization? It may be a reach, and I realize that. There's nothing to tie this specific shooting to transphobia yet. But another one will happen. Before it does, we need to start having this conversation. Transphobes are way more organized than us. We're reaching the point where just calling it "stochastic terrorism" isn't sufficient anymore; it's just regular terrorism. People like Catherine Leavy, who called in a bomb threat to a children's hospital, should be hit with the terrorism enhancement. Al-Qaeda was largely decentralized, too, but we recognized them as real terrorists. We need to start treating this movement as what it is.

Angry_Ed
Mar 30, 2010




Grimey Drawer

haveblue posted:

Does Santos know that getting expelled from Congress is not a court proceeding?

You're asking if a Republican knows something about how government works. The answer is always no unless it is directly related to bribes lobbying.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

James Garfield posted:

I don't think their problem was just finding a speaker candidate. The Gaetz crew wants to do things that Republicans can't do when all they control is the house. Mike Johnson will become the establishment uniparty swamp when he won't hold a vote on An Act to Reduce the Age of Consent for Republican Politicians, which he won't because it would fail and a bunch of representatives would lose reelection.

(to be fair, Republicans might lose the house in 2024 before that happens)

My reading is that Gaetz and the gang are happy with Johnson. Their whole thing was that they wanted one of their own with the gavel, and they were just waiting for any fig leaf to bounce McCarthy. They're all in agreement that the moderates have no spine and can be trampled, which is why they were surprised when Jordan couldn't get the votes. Instead they went with a different flavor of insane, one without enough baggage for people to vote against him on principle.

Johnson is almost certainly going to be fighting with the rest of the leadership in order to try and push insane bullshit that will torch every representative not in an R +10 or higher district. And I can only laugh at the honorable loving idiots from New York who think they're getting the funding they want. The only way they're getting it is if it's part of a conciliatory CR that the Freedom Caucus agrees to because getting rid of McCarthy was the thing they actually wanted. Otherwise they'll be unable to get 5 assholes to vote for the bill, and the rest of the bill will be toxic to Democrats so they get nothing.

mannerup posted:

https://twitter.com/bresreports/status/1717644199468597621
lmao if one of the first orders of business after getting a speaker is giving Santos the boot

edit: Santos has already responded to the above

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1717648255717081148

Of course this is the type of dark comedy congressional session where Santos gets bounced before Gaetz.

Murgos
Oct 21, 2010
Apparently the hard core right are already turning on Johnson and calling him a hidden Dem because he has a black child and has made some statements that racism is bad.
https://twitter.com/emeriticus/status/1717312823842291904

quote:

“It’s even worse than it looks when you see the full context. He went on PBS a week after George Floyd’s overdose and called it an ‘outrage’ and ‘objectively an act of murder,’ and then went on to fully endorse BLM’s talking points and policy prescriptions,” he continued. “Completely disqualifying. Every conservative celebrating this guy needs to watch this interview.”

Murgos fucked around with this message at 23:18 on Oct 26, 2023

Trazz
Jun 11, 2008

Murgos posted:

Apparently the hard core right are already turning on Johnson and calling him a hidden Dem because he has a black child and has made some statements that racism is bad.

Oh my god they're actually giving him the McCain treatment

Twibbit
Mar 7, 2013

Is your refrigerator running?
Impressive considering he is a full blown young earth creationist. Figured that would have given him quite the lee way with the crazies.

Charliegrs
Aug 10, 2009

Mendrian posted:

From the outside looking in, especially for foreigners, I suspect people see a lack of fanfare, news, and movement around these events and conclude no one cares. People care.

You might want to define "people" because literally half this country votes for more mass shootings.

FLIPADELPHIA
Apr 27, 2007

Heavy Shit
Grimey Drawer
This is the typical ratcheting process where the fascists put a fascist in power but he's not pure enough, so the window of acceptability for fascist politicians shifts even further right. Repeat ad nauseam until we get someone openly calling for black people to be enslaved again.

The same process that's been happening for like 40 years.

Murgos
Oct 21, 2010
Yeah, but this guy is so bad I was expecting the grace period to be more than 24hrs.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

Footage from Jamaal Bowman's fire alarm pull has been released by Capitol Police. Makes his original claim that he pulled it accidentally because he was thought it would unlock the door seem pretty implausible.

https://twitter.com/KevinFreyTV/status/1717621065378054272

Why? Because he walks away from the door after pulling the alarm, instead of trying to go through?

Let's take a closer look at that sign that was on the door:


The video only runs for about ten seconds after he pulls the alarm, so if he were to try to go through the door again after pulling the alarm, we wouldn't be able to see it in the video.

102623_4
Oct 26, 2023
what the gently caress is usce

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

102623_4 posted:

what the gently caress is usce

United States Current Events, my friend who is probably the permabanned user keeping the forums afloat with the world's most boring account names

102623_5
Oct 26, 2023
permanently banned? more like paying $6.25 a minute

Crunch Buttsteak
Feb 26, 2007

You think reality is a circle of salt around my brain keeping witches out?
Sami Zayn was made an Honorary Usce and it really elevated the Bloodline storyline

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011



Sounds like they may have the shooter surrounded at a house. FBI is at the suspects home saying "Come out with your hands up."

Zotix fucked around with this message at 00:24 on Oct 27, 2023

IUG
Jul 14, 2007


Zotix posted:

Sounds like they may have the shooter surrounded at a house.

They probably should have looked there first.

Tayter Swift
Nov 18, 2002

Pillbug

Zotix posted:

Sounds like they may have the shooter surrounded at a house. FBI is at the suspects home
I refuse to believe this.

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011



Tayter Swift posted:

I refuse to believe this.

https://x.com/connorclementtv/status/1717683203710894376?s=20

https://x.com/_KOBrien/status/1717682330683199634?s=20

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬
.

mannerup fucked around with this message at 19:01 on Nov 5, 2023

GreenBuckanneer
Sep 15, 2007


they already looked in the home according to cnn

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011



GreenBuckanneer posted:

they already looked in the home according to cnn

Yeah but they are back. CNN is covering it live as well. The police seem to think there's a good chance he's in there. Multiple drones, helicopter overhead, and lots of police flooded there again in the past half an hour. Obviously not 100% sure he's in there, but there's some reason they flooded back there.

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Twibbit posted:

Impressive considering he is a full blown young earth creationist. Figured that would have given him quite the lee way with the crazies.

Look at how quickly they turned on Paul Ryan. How could it turn out different

Nervous
Jan 25, 2005

Why, hello, my little slice of pecan pie.

BIG FLUFFY DOG posted:

Look at how quickly they turned on Paul Ryan. How could it turn out different

That other idiot didn't bring raw steaks to strap to their face and distract the face eating leopards :smug:

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Zotix posted:

Yeah but they are back. CNN is covering it live as well. The police seem to think there's a good chance he's in there. Multiple drones, helicopter overhead, and lots of police flooded there again in the past half an hour. Obviously not 100% sure he's in there, but there's some reason they flooded back there.

The police presence is high, but it's not certain that he's in the home:

https://twitter.com/MEStatePolice/status/1717691855385563218

https://twitter.com/MEStatePolice/status/1717691857163935940

Zotix
Aug 14, 2011




Ya CNN's Evan Perez said he spoke with the police and they said something prompted them to go back to the house, not sure what it was. But they are going through the motions they need to go through.

Jaxyon
Mar 7, 2016
I’m just saying I would like to see a man beat a woman in a cage. Just to be sure.

Zotix posted:

FBI is at the suspects home saying "Come out with your hands up."

Confirmation shooter is white

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Mendrian
Jan 6, 2013

Charliegrs posted:

You might want to define "people" because literally half this country votes for more mass shootings.

Well yes but I think it's fair to say when we're talking about people being 'desensitized to violence' we're not specifically discussing the ghouls, because clearly they want more violence.

If the question is, 'why don't opposed Americans do something about it' that's what I'm responding to. Also "half the country" is absurdly generous, we are a minority run government in this year 2023.

selec posted:

I think folks are resigned to the idea by and large that our political system isn’t capable of responding meaningfully to the demands of ordinary people who suffer because of policy. I know I’ve very consciously given up on the idea that my political desires can be achieved by voting, and I think that’s a natural and correct feeling a lot of people are hesitant to consciously accept because it has some pretty terrible follow-on thoughts.

But it’s true, to me, that a calcified oligarchy run by decrepit liches doesn’t seem to either be able to get out of bed to help or simply doesn’t care to. Either of those are meaningfully the same in outcome to me. We can’t have the way of life other countries do, under the system we do. We can’t have health care as a right, nor can we restrain rampant gun violence, in the same way you can’t drive to the moon. Wrong tool for the job.

This precisely how I feel. My views will never be expressed in the news and my views will be watered down, cut in half, made palatable and regurgitated by only the most daring of Democrats. This country cannot be fixed with voting, it can only be kept from barely teetering into a fascist pit. "Vote blue to keep your existence on life support" doesn't sound as good as "vote blue no matter who."

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