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For the record Hamas cares a lot about broadcasting the war and have clearly given their soldiers orders to film as much as possible. There's a video out there of a Hamas soldier carrying a camera and then he gets killed by a sniper, so his partner immediately runs over and picks it up... and also gets killed on the spot. Then a third guy picks it up. They're willing to sacrifice their lives for this footage so it actually is strange that they don't have any footage of destroyed tanks because it would be a huge PR win for them Though with how chaotic the war is I'm sure we'll start seeing destroyed tanks soon anyway
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 16:53 |
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# ? May 25, 2024 02:57 |
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A quick Google tells me the videos and pictures exist so I don't even know where the calls for photo evidence are coming from
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 16:57 |
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Well there's daily OS satellite footage of good enough quality that abandoned burnt out vehicles would be clearly identifiable, so at a minimum we can tell that the IDF is recovering any vehicles that do get hit.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 17:06 |
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There's plenty of video evidence of IDF tanks getting smoked by tandem rockets. Here's a supercut. https://x.com/Partisangirl/status/1721191298106093872?s=20 It makes sense for Israel to be recovering them. Palestine is fighting a guerilla war, they can't deny Israel access to areas, just attack them by ambush where they are weak. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 17:11 |
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That's the footage people are discussing already. No one is saying the tanks are not getting hit, they're questioning whether or not the hits are effective. A lot of videos from Syria for example showed trophy tank kills but nothing in that compilation shows an actual destroyed tank, only a tractor at the very end.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 17:33 |
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The IDF has admitted to losing ~20 KIA and ~260 wounded in Gaza (which can be a range anywhere from being treated with first aid to 'technically alive') so clearly the weaponry being used against Israeli armor is effective.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 17:39 |
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Vernii posted:The IDF has admitted to losing ~20 KIA and ~260 wounded in Gaza (which can be a range anywhere from being treated with first aid to 'technically alive') so clearly the weaponry being used against Israeli armor is effective. The question is how much ammo do Hamas have and what losses do they suffer? If, unlike previous incursions, the IDF intend to 'finish the job' even if it costs them several thousand soldiers, provided Hamas' allies don't try to invade Israel, it's not like Hamas can win a war of attrition. ~20 KIA may sound dramatic for the usually casualty-averse IDF, but objectively it's a drop in the ocean. Also, it looks like Israel's wounded can be quickly moved to hospitals inside of Israel. If the IDF can also extract and repair damaged tanks, unless a tank is destroyed completely, even if Hamas damage 60 tanks a month, Israel could be able to rotate them for years on end. There is simply no way for Hamas to effectively Israel's military infrastructure or disrupt their logistics with the weapons they have, while they also don't have much infrastructure beyond the improvised assembly lines for their cheap rockets and, well, the tunnels. Paladinus fucked around with this message at 18:12 on Nov 5, 2023 |
# ? Nov 5, 2023 18:03 |
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 18:17 |
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Vernii posted:The IDF has admitted to losing ~20 KIA and ~260 wounded in Gaza (which can be a range anywhere from being treated with first aid to 'technically alive') so clearly the weaponry being used against Israeli armor is effective. So you agree that Hamas has no power to seriously affect idf, as it suffers minuscule casualties, and that a big cool explosion, filmed, doesn’t actually mean anything but tinnitus happened inside? (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 18:26 |
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Paladinus posted:The question is how much ammo do Hamas have and what losses do they suffer? If, unlike previous incursions, the IDF intend to 'finish the job' even if it costs them several thousand soldiers, provided Hamas' allies don't try to invade Israel, it's not like Hamas can win a war of attrition. ~20 KIA may sound dramatic for the usually casualty-averse IDF, but objectively it's a drop in the ocean. Also, it looks like Israel's wounded can be quickly moved to hospitals inside of Israel. If the IDF can also extract and repair damaged tanks, unless a tank is destroyed completely, even if Hamas damage 60 tanks a month, Israel could be able to rotate them for years on end. There is simply no way for Hamas to effectively Israel's military infrastructure or disrupt their logistics with the weapons they have, while they also don't have much infrastructure beyond the improvised assembly lines for their cheap rockets and, well, the tunnels. If you're trying to get into hypotheticals, Israel's political will and economy will collapse before that point, they don't have the ability to sustain thousands of losses. Military operations do not exist in a vacuum. Edgar Allen Ho posted:So you agree that Hamas has no power to seriously affect idf, as it suffers minuscule casualties, and that a big cool explosion, filmed, doesn’t actually mean anything but tinnitus happened inside? Where the hell did you get that impression from my post?
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 18:31 |
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Herstory Begins Now posted:no one on any side is suggesting that hamas has had literally zero success against Israeli vehicles, but at least against the tanks hamas and other groups have recorded a lot of attacks and there is a very conspicuous absence of evidence of those attacks successfully damaging or destroying a significant number of israeli tanks (at least post 10/7, they destroyed and damaged apparently more than a dozen on 10/7). I'm not suggesting anything specific be read into that since there are about a billion reasons why that could be the case or why that could merely appear to be the case. With that said, destroyed tanks are incredibly conspicuous and if hamas was having a particularly significant success rate in their attacks on tanks there'd be a lot more damaged or destroyed tanks showing up. I'm not sure where that evidence would come from, aside from IDF soldiers (who are unlikely to be taking and posting photos of their own losses) and Hamas combatants (who are relying on stealth to carry out surprise attacks on tanks, and are therefore unlikely to stick around long enough to take photos). If there was much urban combat going on, we'd probably see more combat footage turning up regardless, but from what limited info we have, the IDF is mostly operating in the sparsely populated agricultural areas surrounding Gaza City right now. Not a lot of spectators around. As Ograbme pointed out, in an real warzone it's actually quite difficult to reliably know whether you took out an enemy vehicle or not. In the heat of battle, no one has time to sit around and wait to see just how much damage that explosion actually did. Overclaiming kills is pretty standard even among conventional militaries, especially when they don't win control of the territory being fought over and thus aren't able to confirm destroyed vehicles or prevent the enemy from recovering repairable vehicles. I will say this much, though: if the IDF is sending in tanks without infantry support, then they are absolutely losing tanks, Trophy or no Trophy. Infantry support is a fundamental piece of tank doctrine for a reason. Even with newfangled top-of-the-line modern tech, tanks are still fundamentally vulnerable to infantry sneaking up on them with anti-tank weapons, and there's only so much that can be done to compensate for that weakness. This does not mean that Hamas is slaughtering Israeli tanks en masse, of course. Even if Israel is taking losses, that doesn't mean the IDF is on the verge of defeat or anything like that. Stringent posted:Is there any particular reason to consider whatever information is coming out of the IDF to be more reliable/less propagandist than whatever's coming out of Hamas? Not a rhetorical question, I'd really like to know if there's a rationale behind it. I don't think there's any reason to think that they're making up fake casualties that didn't happen. They might be delaying casualty reports, or leaving out details, sure. But that's why I'm only using them to determine "are armored vehicles being destroyed?" and not "how many armored vehicles are being destroyed?". Irony Be My Shield posted:It seems unlikely to me that Hamas can literally walk up directly next to a working tank and place a grenade on it, but that the resulting burnt-out tanks are so perfectly defended that not a single person can get within line-of-sight to take a photo of one (and then the IDF sweeps up the wreckage extremely quickly? Or this zone of absolute control lasts indefinitely?). I'd also note that in the compilation video I saw there for a lot of them there is no evidence of the anti-tank crew retreating - you see them shoot, you see the explosion, and then the video cuts before the smoke clears. These aren't solo tanks driving around. They don't have infantry support, but they're moving in groups. The other tanks that are nearby might not notice a lone infantryman creeping up on one of them, but they'll sure as gently caress notice the explosion and start sweeping the area for threats. Rule 1 of being a guy with an anti-tank weapon is that you book it the gently caress out of there basically the instant there's any chance the tanks know where you are. And there isn't much indication that the IDF is sending significant forces into areas it's not planning to capture. They occupied the area around Gaza City, but we haven't heard about them doing much beyond that, just scattered raids and incursions. If an IDF tank is damaged or destroyed, they're absolutely going to recover it if they can. And they have overwhelming firepower superiority and aren't aggressively pushing into territory they don't hold and don't plan to hold, so they typically can.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 18:49 |
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That's in the active voice, right? Passive voice would be, like, "Many Casualties in Dense Neighborhood Were Caused by Airstrike, Gazans Say." I'm awed in a horrified way at how the NYT will dodge attributing responsibility while remaining in the active.Marenghi posted:There's plenty of video evidence of IDF tanks getting smoked by tandem rockets.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 18:52 |
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:That's in the active voice, right? Passive voice would be, like, "Many Casualties in Dense Neighborhood Were Caused by Airstrike, Gazans Say." I'm awed in a horrified way at how the NYT will dodge attributing responsibility while remaining in the active. At least one of the times the IDF decided to massacre more Palestinians this was actually an officially funded part of the IDF's PR. Like "hey gorgeous young Israeli women paint and show off your rear end for the IDF" was a thing on Twitter.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 19:14 |
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Vernii posted:If you're trying to get into hypotheticals, Israel's political will and economy will collapse before that point, they don't have the ability to sustain thousands of losses. Military operations do not exist in a vacuum. Obviously, I was only talking about military capabilities, although I imagine billions of dollars graciously provided by Israel's Western allies would help with the whole economy collapsing thing. Meanwhile, Gaza's economy is not just crippled or on the verge of collapse, it literally lies in ruin. Whether Israel 'eliminates Hamas' or not is immaterial if they can keep up their presence in Gaza over a long period and kill a hundred of civilians for every militant.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 19:48 |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bgk4QWRIVFE Anyone know large this protest was?
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 19:57 |
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:That's in the active voice, right? Passive voice would be, like, "Many Casualties in Dense Neighborhood Were Caused by Airstrike, Gazans Say." I'm awed in a horrified way at how the NYT will dodge attributing responsibility while remaining in the active. Yeah there's no necessary connection between active/passive voice and attribution. "Many killed by Israeli airstrike" is passive, but "Explosion kills many" is active. It's just a matter of word order, the words themselves can be anything. NO idea what could cause a massive explosion in an area actively being bombed by a first-world military Honestly it's progress enough to see 'Gazans' as the source, instead of, you know, 'Hamas spokesman' or whatever.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 20:16 |
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Marenghi posted:There's plenty of video evidence of IDF tanks getting smoked by tandem rockets. Ah @partisangirl, I haven't seen posts from this crazy moron in years. I just ne of innately distrust anything they claim or state becUse they loving suck.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 20:19 |
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Main Paineframe posted:These aren't solo tanks driving around. They don't have infantry support, but they're moving in groups. The other tanks that are nearby might not notice a lone infantryman creeping up on one of them, but they'll sure as gently caress notice the explosion and start sweeping the area for threats. Rule 1 of being a guy with an anti-tank weapon is that you book it the gently caress out of there basically the instant there's any chance the tanks know where you are. And there isn't much indication that the IDF is sending significant forces into areas it's not planning to capture. They occupied the area around Gaza City, but we haven't heard about them doing much beyond that, just scattered raids and incursions. Another hazard for ambusher is that RPGs and missile launchers have a backblast that in dusty environment is very hard to conceal. On top of that, vehicles with Trophy countermeasure system can use their radars to automatically determine where a projectile came from and share this information with others in the network. This doesn't give much time to GTFO, much less to stay there to document the results. Camera drones might be better for this, though IDF radio jammers might make their use difficult. quote:Use of the system as a target locator
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 20:23 |
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I too get my news from *checks notes* an Australian paid by the Assad regime to promote the use of chemical weapons on civilians?
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 20:24 |
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From those videos they are most likely shooting some form of HEAT rounds for the RPGs, and firing them at very close range. It should be effective vs. those tanks. I feel like the videos do cut off a bit abruptly, but I think it's more likely that the person filming came under fire moments after the tank getting hit. https://roe.ru/eng/catalog/land-forces/strelkovoe-oruzhie/grenade-launchers/pg-29v/
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 20:40 |
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Stanley Pain posted:From those videos they are most likely shooting some form of HEAT rounds for the RPGs, and firing them at very close range. It should be effective vs. those tanks. I feel like the videos do cut off a bit abruptly, but I think it's more likely that the person filming came under fire moments after the tank getting hit. setting aside that the video linked above is being posted by the likes of partisangirl and jackson hinkle, it shows them firing mostly the locally made tandem 105s (which the video is explicitly intended to be a promotion for) which are influenced by the pg-29v but i would not just assume that they are equally capable. the previous versions of the hamas domestic production tandem rounds were, in practical terms, modified pg7v rounds rather than an entirely new creation. exactly how capable they are is a huge open question, hence why there's a messaging effort ongoing around that exact point Main Paineframe posted:I'm not sure where that evidence would come from, aside from IDF soldiers (who are unlikely to be taking and posting photos of their own losses) and Hamas combatants (who are relying on stealth to carry out surprise attacks on tanks, and are therefore unlikely to stick around long enough to take photos). yeah I'm talking purely in terms of what there is clear evidence for, which at the moment is very thin for, yeah, quite a variety of reasons. Setting aside the specific point of hard evidence I think we're basically in agreement, I don't doubt at all that Israel is losing vehicles and if anything I come down quite heavily on the side of Hamas having the capacity to do very real damage to the IDF (albeit probably at a horrific cost, the degree of asymmetry is a lot to overcome), though likely not enough to stop the IDF from flattening Gaza. Hamas has the fight that they've been preparing for for years and they've smuggled in and built weapons for this exact purpose and they are motivated and have access to additional training and resources from groups that have as much experience in asymmetric warfare as anyone alive. Given how untested the IDF is against enemies that fight back and indeed inexperienced in general, it's a recipe for a bunch of costly fuckups. Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 22:55 on Nov 5, 2023 |
# ? Nov 5, 2023 22:36 |
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Sick, there’s a boomer in the AO now. https://x.com/centcom/status/1721271207260033230?s=46 Nm, just a SSGN TheWeedNumber fucked around with this message at 23:01 on Nov 5, 2023 |
# ? Nov 5, 2023 22:40 |
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Edgar Allen Ho posted:No, it relies on the assumption that after a month the destroyed israeli tanks might be seen and documented by someone, there must be at least one, because everyone has a phone even in Gaza Apologies for quoting while you can't reply, but the tanks in question here only moved into Gaza in the last week or so - the events of the 7th aren't really pertinent to the current conversation
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 23:05 |
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Stanley Pain posted:From those videos they are most likely shooting some form of HEAT rounds for the RPGs, and firing them at very close range. It should be effective vs. those tanks. I feel like the videos do cut off a bit abruptly, but I think it's more likely that the person filming came under fire moments after the tank getting hit. Folks, as far as I know, these tanks don't tend to travel solo (even if infantry aren't out and about). If they're successfully (or unsuccessfully) hitting them and getting kills, they absolutely do not want to be hanging about taking selfies while Yoni and Yael figure out what's happening.
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 23:07 |
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This thread seems to think that a destroyed or downed tank goes up in flames and there's black pillars of smoke like they're searching for a Pope, when the reality is much less cinematic. In real life a tank just has a big hole in it, and the tank next to it drags it away
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 23:34 |
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i expect the top part to shoot up like a champagne cork and come crashing down
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 23:41 |
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they claim to have destroyed 6 more tanks today
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# ? Nov 5, 2023 23:52 |
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HootTheOwl posted:This thread seems to think that a destroyed or downed tank goes up in flames and there's black pillars of smoke like they're searching for a Pope, when the reality is much less cinematic. This is absolutely worth bearing in mind. Tanks don't have to be destroyed to be knocked out. They can be 'killed' and they can be 'mobility killed,' or just damaged in a way to render them temporarily unfit for combat. Knocking out a tank doesn't have to look particularly spectacular from the outside. And given modern designs, knocking one out is not guaranteed to result in dead or wounded crews.
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 00:02 |
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HootTheOwl posted:This thread seems to think that a destroyed or downed tank goes up in flames and there's black pillars of smoke like they're searching for a Pope, when the reality is much less cinematic. Er. There are a lot of counterexamples for this from N-K and Ukraine. Tanks are absolutely full of explosives, and if you manage to set them off, the explosion will be gigantic. Turrets occasionally fly up 50 meters. Of course, Israeli tanks have much better compartmentalization and crew protection than Soviet-made ones. Still, the blowout panels mean that any ammunition detonation will be very dramatic-looking, even if the crew is fine. Still, the reaction trained into a lot of people from seeing a lot of footage from Armenia and Ukraine is that if someone shows you a video of something hitting a tank, a fireball engulfing the tank, and then footage cuts out before the fire is gone, that's not a tank kill, that's a tank inconveniencing, and you can bet your rear end that eventually there is going to be footage from another angle on the same situation which shows the tank driving off and possibly engaging whatever inconvenienced it. Of course, this conflict is different in that only one side has substantial amount of recon drones up, and Israelis don't want to show off their own losses, so Hamas probably needs to be given a bit more benefit of the doubt than usual about their claims.
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 00:05 |
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And if a tank is damaged, it probably has a longer time to repair than say a Sherman from WW2 due to the various procedures, systems, checklist/testing requirements, etc
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 00:05 |
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Kunabomber posted:i expect the top part to shoot up like a champagne cork and come crashing down That's apparently a bug specific to Soviet-era tanks (which even the modernized T-90 stuff counts since it's just upgraded T-80 and T-72 designs), because of the ammo carousels underneath the turret. Almost everyone else started designing their ammo storage around blow-out panels, which caused their turrets to balloon and the Merkava was no exception.
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 00:06 |
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Paladinus posted:The question is how much ammo do Hamas have and what losses do they suffer? If, unlike previous incursions, the IDF intend to 'finish the job' even if it costs them several thousand soldiers, provided Hamas' allies don't try to invade Israel, it's not like Hamas can win a war of attrition. ~20 KIA may sound dramatic for the usually casualty-averse IDF, but objectively it's a drop in the ocean. Also, it looks like Israel's wounded can be quickly moved to hospitals inside of Israel. If the IDF can also extract and repair damaged tanks, unless a tank is destroyed completely, even if Hamas damage 60 tanks a month, Israel could be able to rotate them for years on end. There is simply no way for Hamas to effectively Israel's military infrastructure or disrupt their logistics with the weapons they have, while they also don't have much infrastructure beyond the improvised assembly lines for their cheap rockets and, well, the tunnels. Hamas doesn’t have a real army. Hope this helps
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 00:32 |
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Tuna-Fish posted:Er. There are a lot of counterexamples for this from N-K and Ukraine. Tanks are absolutely full of explosives, and if you manage to set them off, the explosion will be gigantic. Turrets occasionally fly up 50 meters. Of course, Israeli tanks have much better compartmentalization and crew protection than Soviet-made ones. Still, the blowout panels mean that any ammunition detonation will be very dramatic-looking, even if the crew is fine. Part of this is specific Russian/Soviet tanks were built in such a way that they have a much lower profile but in exchange are much more likely to suffer from flying turret syndrome. Like you said Merkavas are the opposite they have a really unique internal layout that amongst other things does a good job of preventing catastrophic ammo cook-off. [E] dangit, teach me to fully read the replies first. Saros fucked around with this message at 01:09 on Nov 6, 2023 |
# ? Nov 6, 2023 01:03 |
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Many pages ago, but someone asked about the prophecy of Isaiah that Netanyahu referenced. The relevant bit in the context of religious Zionism is Isaiah 66:6-17. That and several preceding chapters reflect on the rebuilding of the Temple in Jerusalem, and there is an obvious theme of return to the promised land. So, no, Bibi wasn't implying he was a Messiah, he was just trotting out an old classic.
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 01:35 |
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Sydney Morning Herald seems reliable and is claiming a ballistic missile from Yemen was shot down by the Iron Dome https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/in-a-first-israel-shoots-down-a-ballistic-missile-in-space-20231106-p5ehs1.html Not sure how excited I am if the Houthis are in fact going to get in on the bombardment game
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 01:37 |
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1) that's from 5 days ago 2) literally the first sentence says it is not an iron dome shootdown
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 01:39 |
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well, egg on my face then
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 01:43 |
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Why is Blameless B at the helm of this genocide? (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 02:55 |
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TheWeedNumber posted:Sick, there’s a boomer in the AO now. Are the subs both conventional and nuclear attack subs?
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 03:03 |
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# ? May 25, 2024 02:57 |
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Not a lot of detail out about it yet, but the Palestinian telecoms company says Israel cut off communications in Gaza again: https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-771820 quote:Palestinian telecommunications company Paltel said on Sunday that all communications and internet services have been cut again within the Gaza Strip. Meanwhile, Netanyahu seems to be getting increasingly frustrated with Otzma Yehudit, who are making basically no effort at all to play along with Israel's PR needs. A couple of days ago, he reportedly scolded Ben-Gvir for downplaying the ongoing epidemic of settler violence in the West Bank: quote:National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir tried to downplay the phenomenon of deadly settler violence when the head of the Shin Bet Ronen Bar raised concerns at a recent cabinet meeting, Channel 12 reported Friday. And now today he's suspended Amichai Eliyahu from cabinet meetings after making a number of comments that ranged from obvious political blunders to downright genocidal rhetoric. He said that "there is no such thing as uninvolved civilians in Gaza" and that "we wouldn’t hand the Nazis humanitarian aid", he suggested that nuking Gaza shouldn't be ruled out, he stated that the lives of hostages were less important than the lives of soldiers, and he said that Israel should reoccupy and resettle Gaza and that the Palestinian population that would be displaced by that should go to "Ireland or deserts". Real fuckin class act there. quote:Far-right minister says nuking Gaza an option, PM suspends him from cabinet meetings
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# ? Nov 6, 2023 03:08 |