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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:The bill they recently passed in the House (and Senate Republicans are proposing a modified version of) is basically: Reading between the lines here, seems like the GOP believes every asylum seeker is lying. Also thanks for the informative post.
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Nov 7, 2023 21:08
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/frankthorp/status/1721971763557404841 Trump's anti-immigration policies didn't stop people from immigrating to the US, but they did slow the process and lead to a bunch of people waiting near the border for waiting lists to move along and restrictions to lift. Meanwhile, he generally hampered the federal bureaucracy's capacity for moving people through properly. On top of that, COVID and various other economic, political, and environmental issues hit South America and caused a general increase in immigration. All this led to a massive immigration backlog, with tons of people waiting for an opportunity to come through (or just coming illegally instead). The Biden administration has been loosening up the restrictions and trying to let people in, but the immigration bureaucracy and infrastructure has simply not been able to keep up with it, while illegal immigration continues to rise. There's some legitimate problems the administration is struggling to deal with there, but the GOP are mostly just using it as an excuse to push the immigration policies they already held.
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Nov 7, 2023 21:32
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Basically, the Republicans have hosed up the immigration process enough that everyone agrees there is a "crisis" and the democrats appear to have largely bought into right wing framing. In actuality immigration is an opportunity not a problem but, here we are
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Nov 7, 2023 21:37
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zoux posted:Reading between the lines here, seems like the GOP believes every asylum seeker is lying. Also thanks for the informative post. To be fair, the Republicans are proposing pretty bad "solutions" to the problem, but there is one thing that everyone sort of recognizes is a problem that they are harping on. It's similar to what happened with disability in 2009-2010. In some places, particularly in Appalachia and poorer areas, after the financial collapse in 2008 some places had ~25% of the single working-age adult population suddenly become "disabled" over a year or two. 25% of the population didn't suddenly break their back, but disability was the de facto only long-term income program after unemployment ran out. The lack of other options drove a ton of people to apply for disability. The result of so many people doing that is disability massively cracked down and basically implemented a policy of automatically denying the first attempt to apply for disability from anyone who isn't paralyzed or missing a limb. The assumption is that people who are really disabled will appeal and provide the documentation, whereas people trying to get it as an income replacement would give up. The net result is that lots of people who might qualify for disability, but are edge cases or not obvious, will get denied initially and have to go through a long process to get approved. It's a similar situation with asylum. Legal methods for immigrating to the U.S. for economic reasons have dramatically shrunk since 1987. It even further massively shrunk after covid and Trump. That means that the only realistic options for getting to stay in the U.S. for economic reasons are to sneak in illegally or to claim asylum. So lots more people are claiming asylum, but "my quality of life would dramatically improve" is not a valid asylum reason. Now, similar to disability, they are trying to massively crack down on those people who see it as their only legal option for economic advancement or security. They can do that, but it is also having the effect of making legitimate asylum cases or edge cases suffer by making it massively more difficult to legitimately apply for it. They keep trying to open up legal avenues for more immigration, but every attempt since 1987 has failed. Nobody can really nail down what they want a legal increase to look like that can become law. The result is that everyone else is just trying to use the last remaining avenue where they can legally stay in the U.S. Shooting your shot has no downside, but it creates a huge backlog and the response from the U.S. has been to just mass disqualify non-obvious cases to try and solve the backlog. Leon Trotsky 2012 fucked around with this message at 21:42 on Nov 7, 2023 |
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Nov 7, 2023 21:38
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/frankthorp/status/1721971763557404841
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Nov 7, 2023 21:44
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https://twitter.com/FarnoushAmiri/status/1721984500186382449 Second attempt to censure Rashida Tlaib going on right now, this one is more likely to succeed because she used "from the river to the sea".  Even her ostensible allies aren't giving her cover on this one. Tibeerius posted:The only Biden administration action I'm aware of that could possibly be criticized as "open borders" was ending the Trump-implemented Title 42 automatic ejections, which were only supposed to be in effect to reduce the spread of Covid. That's what I thought but the rhetoric down here is that Biden is, on purpose, letting all immigrants in for malicious reasons. So I was wondering what they were pretending was the problem, if it's just the end of Title 42 then I must lol.
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Nov 7, 2023 21:45
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Comments and questions during oral arguments don't necessarily mean anything with relation to their final decision, but Gorsuch and Roberts both seemed to be in favor of the constitutionality of gun control laws that prevent "dangerous" people from having access to firearms, but explicitly went out of their way to say that "irresponsible" is not the same as dangerous. That seems to point towards upholding the ban on domestic abusers possessing firearms, but loosening or eliminating the ability to restrict other types of people from owning guns before they are convicted of a crime.
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Nov 7, 2023 22:06
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Some of the conservative justices were mad at Kentaji Brown Jackson because they were arguing that gun control laws had to have an "historical or traditional" basis for what they would have intended to be allowed when the bill of rights was drafted and she responded by talking about laws banning slaves from owning guns and the conservative justices thought it was unfair to bring that up.quote:Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson repeatedly raised the issue of bans on slaves owning guns and she accused both sides in the case of dismissing the relevance of those categorical bans. quote:Several of the conservatives Justices complained that she was bringing up irrelevant issues to the question at hand.
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Nov 7, 2023 22:11
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Eric Cantonese posted:Any doomscrolling fuel for Election Day yet? Just a heads up that we're still about about 2 hours and 40 minutes away from polls closing in VA. Results will start coming in pretty quick, but it'll probably be like noon tomorrow before we have a solid picture of who is in control. With that said, Virginia also very recently decided control of the House of Delegates by drawing a name out of a hat, so maybe not. In any case, I look forward to  ing with you. I can post some sites later for following vote counts when we get closer.gurragadon posted:I'm not sure of anywhere but i'll get you started with a personal anecdote. My polling place outside of Richmond was empty but there were a lot of people giving out information for Democrats but only one lady giving out stuff for Republicans. Looks like early voting was down this year from 2021. I voted early this year, but I live right next to a polling place and have been keeping an eye on traffic to and from throughout the day. Purely anecdotal, but it does seem a bit less active than in years past. I'm nervous about the outcome because of the possibility of the looming abortion ban.
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Nov 7, 2023 22:21
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B B posted:Just a heads up that we're still about about 2 hours and 40 minutes away from polls closing in VA. Results will start coming in pretty quick, but it'll probably be like noon tomorrow before we have a solid picture of who is in control. With that said, Virginia also very recently decided control of the House of Delegates by drawing a name out of a hat, so maybe not. In any case, I look forward to Yeah mine wasn't too active either but we just have two generic Democrats running unopposed plus a casino referendum. If anything it's about the same as last year when we also just had one Dem running unopposed. There are so many counties with either Republicans or Democrats running unopposed that you have to pinpoint down to the district level to find the actual competitive races.
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Nov 7, 2023 23:01
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I live in PA and went in around 9ish and it was mostly a slow trickle but its never really busy in the mornings
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Nov 7, 2023 23:03
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My wife voted about 2pm and still had to stand in line for a few people here in Franklin county, Ohio, which I think is similar to past years. I drive past the early voting location twice a day and it's always packed as poo poo. So hopefully people are getting out there.
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Nov 7, 2023 23:23
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My buddy is a poll worker at our location in Delaware, said there were more people than the 2022 midterms by a lot and lots of women with their daughters. I also talked to multiple dudes I would describe as corporate republican types who were a hell yes on 1. I think it’s gonna sail through.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:11
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This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Steiner is so focus-minded on one thing at a time, and so physically built from running around in armor all the time, that I think he could gently caress a hole into the Sister Ray if he had to. e: uh crap. wrong thread
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Nov 8, 2023 00:12
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. downside: no individual snippet in the post is quite S-tier catchy
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Nov 8, 2023 00:23
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Wonderful. Now that's a good title.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:26
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Holy poo poo Came here for Ohio issue 1 content, stayed for this
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Nov 8, 2023 00:28
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Well, he’s got my vote
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Nov 8, 2023 00:35
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He’s right
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Nov 8, 2023 00:36
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Just close USCE forever because there will never be another post this good in it
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Nov 8, 2023 00:38
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Eric Cantonese posted:Any doomscrolling fuel for Election Day yet? Not quite doomscrolling but CNN reported a little tidbit from their exit polling that 6 in 10 voters favored legal abortion. https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/07/politics/exit-polls-election-2023/index.html At first I thought that would violate the laws about reporting exit polls early but I realized that they are probably doing some "I'm not touching you" stuff where the issue on the ballot is about enshrining that in the constitution so technically a different question.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:39
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I'm curious about which thread that post would belong in....
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Nov 8, 2023 00:39
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If you have to ask, you'll never know
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Nov 8, 2023 00:40
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Never apologize for being right
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Nov 8, 2023 00:43
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i am a moron posted:My buddy is a poll worker at our location in Delaware, said there were more people than the 2022 midterms by a lot and lots of women with their daughters. I also talked to multiple dudes I would describe as corporate republican types who were a hell yes on 1. I think it’s gonna sail through. What are we talking about here?
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Nov 8, 2023 00:46
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:gun stuff Is there anything stopping a state legislature from passing a law that makes any gun crime ineligible for bail or an astronomical amount to bail out?
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Nov 8, 2023 00:47
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Kentucky starting to come in https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722033738484162798 https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722036145788186977
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Nov 8, 2023 00:47
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i am a moron posted:My buddy is a poll worker at our location in Delaware, said there were more people than the 2022 midterms by a lot and lots of women with their daughters. I also talked to multiple dudes I would describe as corporate republican types who were a hell yes on 1. I think it’s gonna sail through. Delaware, Ohio?
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Nov 8, 2023 00:48
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Polls close in VA in 10 minutes. As promised, here are some resources you may find useful in tracking election results: Virginia State Board of Elections - Official Results VPAP - This site is particularly good, because it offers an option to view election results by the most competitive races that are likely to decide control of both houses of the state legislature. Unless something really weird happens, control of both houses will come down to the seats identified by the "featured races only" filter. This site has also historically updated their results very quickly as districts release their data. In terms of when to expect results, here's a note from the AP: AP posted:HOW LONG DOES VOTE COUNTING USUALLY TAKE? I'll keep an eye out for any interesting streams I find. Really hoping I wake up tomorrow in a state where abortion will remain legal through the next legislative cycle, at least.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:49
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Zotix posted:What are we talking about here? wilderthanmild posted:Delaware, Ohio? Sorry, Delaware County. Was supposed to be a follow on to the post about Franklin County. We’re the much redder county that’s a small slice of north Columbus and a lot of country types.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:50
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. A+ mispost. Simply tremendous content, I'm still laughing. Thank you for brightening my afternoon.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:50
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Did NYT get rid of The Needle? I’m not seeing it on mobile and don’t have access to my pc right now.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:52
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Sublimer posted:Did NYT get rid of The Needle? I’m not seeing it on mobile and don’t have access to my pc right now. I think that's really only a thing for national elections. As far as I know, it's based on a model that uses polling data, and there's nowhere near enough "good" polling for that to be valuable for the races happening tonight.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:55
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Hell, California doesn't even have an election this year. My county has a couple school district ones, but there's no voting at all for my district.
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Nov 8, 2023 00:58
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Just one red county in KY, but Cameron is running behind what Bevin got in '19 https://x.com/Redistrict/status/1722040276472975484?s=20 Ages fucked around with this message at 01:00 on Nov 8, 2023 |
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Nov 8, 2023 00:58
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While we are posting Dave Wasserman tweets, here's his prediction for how things go tonight in VA: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722030020116267275  , because we need only the Senate to prevent the worst of what Youngkin wants to do (namely, ban abortion).
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Nov 8, 2023 01:02
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. You posted a wrong opinion in the wrong thread, but two wrongs make a right so I think we all need to consider this
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Nov 8, 2023 01:04
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Can you provide some evidence for this claim?
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Nov 8, 2023 01:13
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Steiner canonically has what is called a "buster dick".
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Nov 8, 2023 01:17
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https://x.com/Redistrict/status/1722047246512832967?s=20
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Nov 8, 2023 01:27
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