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Beshear is about as decent as it gets for being a pol. He's gonna be the candidate in 2028.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:29 |
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# ? May 24, 2024 16:02 |
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Push El Burrito posted:Steiner canonically has what is called a "buster dick". Vivi casting Firaga on it is one of the earliest ways to reach the damage cap
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:29 |
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Mitch gonna be pissed.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:29 |
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While we wait for election results, CNN has a new poll out that shows Trump leading Biden:CNN posted:CNN Poll: Trump narrowly leads Biden in hypothetical rematch
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:30 |
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What the gently caress is that under 35 number for Trump and how did they even find them
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:33 |
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A viral tiktok prank encouraging viewers to mess with pollsters (I have no idea if this actually happened)
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:38 |
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I'm not going to put stock in polls a year out, but it's very clear that Biden has an enthusiasm problem. It doesn't help that Dems seem to be falling back towards the 2016 Hillary campaign TRUMP BAD strategy which completely failed. You need to actually give your voters a positive reason to go to the polls. At least with Republicans they can drive voters to the polls by saying it will make Dems mad or whatever.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:41 |
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Yeah I'm not gonna pretend to know anything about their methodology but I'm just gonna go ahead and assume that all of the caveats previously discussed about that NYT poll apply to this one. Especially the whole "Oh no, people think the country is going badly!" thing, which can mean literally anything. We're still a year out people, the Democrat and the Republican being a few points away from one another before either starts actively campaigning isn't surprising.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:41 |
I'm really interested in how the rest of the night goes, not least of all because I am not sure how to square continued strong Democratic electoral results with continued polls showing Biden in deep trouble.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:43 |
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I'm gonna wait until how votes shake out tonight as my actual weather vane for presidential polling. I can respect, and absolutely agree Biden has an enthusiasm problem but when the rubber meets the road, if dems lock up Ohio, Virginia, and just now confirmed KY then those polls are pretty suspect.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:44 |
B B posted:While we wait for election results, CNN has a new poll out that shows Trump leading Biden: R value = 0 on this apparently so who cares. I’m so tired of this election stuff being four years long. Also my poll worker buddy in Delaware county OH said all precincts at our polling spot broke yes on 1+2
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:48 |
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goethe.cx posted:This may be controversial, but I think Steiner is the best physical lover of any playable character in the FF mainline series, and arguably of any FF game. Also it's important that everyone who doesn't understand the context, that regardless of everything he's completely right.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:48 |
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Farchanter posted:I'm really interested in how the rest of the night goes, not least of all because I am not sure how to square continued strong Democratic electoral results with continued polls showing Biden in deep trouble. You’re assuming that low enthusiasm automatically becomes a vote against or an abstention. Americans are way more tolerant of non-ideal candidates than posters here
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:50 |
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way too early numbers on the Ohio issues coming in now (4% counted) ('yes' is the good result on both) https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1722053889191538793?s=20 https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1722054020670390653?s=20
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:53 |
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Nelson Mandingo posted:I'm gonna wait until how votes shake out tonight as my actual weather vane for presidential polling. Yeah, a whole lot of it is "Biden's old" which just manifests as "can we get someone younger" but there's no real consensus on who that might be so it's just rummaging through the fridge and hoping something pops out you didn't see before. Barring some unforeseen development, it's likely to matter about as much as in 2020 when people complained Biden was old but the ones doing it the loudest were transparently maneuvering for an even older guy or a similarly old guy in visibly worse shape. I mean, if some charming young primary candidate or third party showed it would be big trouble, but no significant number of people are going to stay home because of Biden's age.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:54 |
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Cthulhumatic posted:What the gently caress is that under 35 number for Trump and how did they even find them Yeah...what the actual gently caress lmao Where did they poll? The chudlands?
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:57 |
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TulliusCicero posted:Yeah...what the actual gently caress lmao It's the Andrew Tate generation
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:57 |
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I think part of the gap in the "Too old/senile for president" questions is down to the relative amount of media coverage Biden and Trump get when they speak. If Biden gives a speech or something, it's probably on CNN, and likely gets shown (in part) on nightly news, and maybe a bit on local news stations. If there's a "gaffe", the event gets even more coverage, so a lot of people are likely to see it. When Trump does a rally, outside of OAN/Newsmax, it's pretty unlikely anyone covers it live, and the coverage it gets is going to be confined to brief clips for the most part (especially after the Fox settlement), so if both Biden and Trump say something equally senile, the Biden one is going to get a hell of a lot more coverage in places most people who don't closely follow politics get their news.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:57 |
Professor Beetus posted:It's the Andrew Tate generation Like sub 20% of them Edit: Nevermind more like 30% and basically in lockstep with millennials https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2019/01/17/generation-z-looks-a-lot-like-millennials-on-key-social-and-political-issues/ I think they found the one gen z’er out there answering land lines
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 01:59 |
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Cthulhumatic posted:What the gently caress is that under 35 number for Trump and how did they even find them they absolutly exist, they are just more rare and the smarter ones are quiet about it.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:00 |
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Amazed that anyone even answers an unknown number on their phones these days
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:01 |
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azflyboy posted:I think part of the gap in the "Too old/senile for president" questions is down to the relative amount of media coverage Biden and Trump get when they speak. Yeah, like I said earlier, Trump's relative obscurity on the mass media side of things is leading to a "Joe Biden (meh) vs. a generic Republican (could be anything!)" mentality, especially among the politically-unengaged who might even think that the Republican primary matters and Trump might not be the nominee. Once Trump gets back on the stage and has to answer questions and rambles on annoyingly on CNN and makes everything about him again, I think a lot of independents are going to be reminded of what he's actually like. Like, it's a weird case of being kicked off social media actually helping his public image with the general public (and not just idiots obsessed with cancel culture).
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:02 |
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Crunch Buttsteak posted:Yeah, like I said earlier, Trump's relative obscurity on the mass media side of things is leading to a "Joe Biden (meh) vs. a generic Republican (could be anything!)" mentality, especially among the politically-unengaged who might even think that the Republican primary matters and Trump might not be the nominee. Once Trump gets back on the stage and has to answer questions and rambles on annoyingly on CNN and makes everything about him again, I think a lot of independents are going to be reminded of what he's actually like. this. i know alot of people who are like that right now.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:04 |
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Killer robot posted:Yeah, a whole lot of it is "Biden's old" which just manifests as "can we get someone younger" but there's no real consensus on who that might be so it's just rummaging through the fridge and hoping something pops out you didn't see before. Barring some unforeseen development, it's likely to matter about as much as in 2020 when people complained Biden was old but the ones doing it the loudest were transparently maneuvering for an even older guy or a similarly old guy in visibly worse shape. I mean, if some charming young primary candidate or third party showed it would be big trouble, but no significant number of people are going to stay home because of Biden's age. I am going to stay home. Not because of Biden's age, but because I can vote from home.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:05 |
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Ages posted:way too early numbers on the Ohio issues coming in now (4% counted) ('yes' is the good result on both) Looking good. That metric is gonna shrink but I'm pretty confident Issue 1 is gonna make it.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:09 |
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I always write myself in for sheriff, and I regret to inform you all that I have seen enough: I have lost yet another election for sheriff in Virginia.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:09 |
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B B posted:While we wait for election results, CNN has a new poll out that shows Trump leading Biden: "its just another outlier! its just another outlier!!", i continue to insist as i slowly shrink and transform into a corn cob
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:16 |
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Pobrecito posted:"its just another outlier! its just another outlier!!", i continue to insist as i slowly shrink and transform into a corn cob That poll says 48% of people 35 and under want Trump lmao Complete trash poll
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:23 |
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Ohio now has constitutional protection for abortion access: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722062934023483640 Anno posted:e:
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:27 |
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722062934023483640?s=20 e: But also, sick. We were seriously thinking about looking for jobs elsewhere if this failed. Hard to want to raise a daughter in this hosed up state sometimes but this is a little reprieve. Anno fucked around with this message at 02:30 on Nov 8, 2023 |
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:27 |
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Pobrecito posted:"its just another outlier! its just another outlier!!", i continue to insist as i slowly shrink and transform into a corn cob Got em.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:27 |
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CNN'S polling has been particularly insane lately Like what the gently caress is that about? Chud boss demanding wierd poo poo?
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:29 |
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Quick Virginia update. Democrats are currently leading 9 to 6 in the senate (21 are needed for a majority), and the races that will likely determine control are pretty evenly split right now: Looking like a nail-biter on the senate side at the moment.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:34 |
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Pobrecito posted:"its just another outlier! its just another outlier!!", i continue to insist as i slowly shrink and transform into a corn cob Dems have loving swept tonight vote-wise. If they lock up VA that's a dominating victory march. I won't take polls like that seriously. Which isn't me saying to not take Trump seriously. Edit: Apparently as I wrote this, Virginia senate got called for dems. Nelson Mandingo fucked around with this message at 02:42 on Nov 8, 2023 |
# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:34 |
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FlamingLiberal posted:I'm not going to put stock in polls a year out, but it's very clear that Biden has an enthusiasm problem. It doesn't help that Dems seem to be falling back towards the 2016 Hillary campaign TRUMP BAD strategy which completely failed. You need to actually give your voters a positive reason to go to the polls. At least with Republicans they can drive voters to the polls by saying it will make Dems mad or whatever. It's a viable strategy post 2016, however it's not a long term strategy and it makes Donald Trump the entirety of the election. Democrats and Republicans are driven to the polls in near equal fervor to vote on Trump, but it still means that everything comes down to what the carnival barker is yelling about. 3 cycles in a row we've let an especially stupid and narcissistic fail son decide what we're going to be arguing about and fighting over. You'd think that if for the last 30 years your plays have only worked when you're either running the most charismatic guy of a generation or, half the time, when you're running against the most hated man in the nation, you'd try something else out. I mean, at least try not defaulting to going with the most boring option.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:35 |
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TulliusCicero posted:CNN'S polling has been particularly insane lately Close races are bad for business. Emerson had the KY gov race at Cameron +1 last week. https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1722059530928804070 This is the woman who got revenge porned by the state GOP. Her polling in the immediate aftermath of that oppo drop was abysmal, though I haven't seen recent numbers e: also I'm not calling it a commonwealth as long as there's a Goochland county there, fake state
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:39 |
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Roem is apparently predicted to win. So Virginia is locked up for dems. I can see why Youngkin is against abortion, when his presidential aspirations were terminated before viable. Tonight was a victory march. I can only hope that republicans double down on abortion next year.
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:41 |
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Nelson Mandingo posted:Roem is apparently predicted to win. So Virginia is locked up for dems. I can see why Youngkin is against abortion, when his presidential aspirations were terminated before viable. This Never stop with the Gilead policies GOP just let us keep crushing you
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:42 |
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only poll i care about is who the american public thinks is the best physical lover in mainline final fantasy
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:44 |
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# ? May 24, 2024 16:02 |
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World Famous W posted:only poll i care about is who the american public thinks is the best physical lover in mainline final fantasy I'm a big fan of Cid myself I'll leave you to decide which one
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# ? Nov 8, 2023 02:44 |