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(Thread IKs: Stereotype)
 
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Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

Testicular Torque Wrench posted:

My point is that the existential risk of covid is null.

The existential risk to civilization was null from the start, at least in terms of acute deaths. That's kind of the whole point. We did very little to mitigate COVID pre-vaccine and we've done effectively nothing to mitigate it post-vaccine, despite the vaccines being non-sterilizing. The question was always how many people can we tolerate killing and it turns out the answer was "a lot." We did so little before we fully understood the risks that following a similar playbook with a more immediately deadly disease probably would have been a civilization-ending event. We're literally still loving around with unclear long-term impacts, to the point that the WHO has had to start saying "hey, uh, maybe stop endlessly infecting yourselves with this still mysterious virus."

Our ability to respond to COVID should be really terrifying to anyone who pays attention to climate change.

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Colonel Cancer
Sep 26, 2015

Tune into the fireplace channel, you absolute buffoon
That hole in the ozone layer is still there lol

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

Colonel Cancer posted:

That hole in the ozone layer is still there lol

you can make all the CFCs you want as long as they are an intermediate product. now what about escape during manufacturing processes? well we just pretend that doesn't exit

Hubbert
Mar 25, 2007

At a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

Colonel Cancer posted:

That hole in the ozone layer is still there lol

It's a cool place and they say it gets colder
You're bundled up now but wait 'til you get older
But the meteor men beg to differ
Judging by the hole in the satellite picture

brakeless
Apr 11, 2011

The ice we skate is gettin' pretty thin
The water's gettin' warm so you might as well swim
My world's on fire, how 'bout yours?
That's the way I like it and I'll never get bored

Testicular Torque Wrench
Apr 14, 2016

yeet

Paradoxish posted:

Our ability to respond to COVID should be really terrifying to anyone who pays attention to climate change.

Maybe ability isn't the right word and moreso willingness. We definitely have, or had, the capacity to effectively deal with covid. It simply wasn't done for lack of interest. Maybe this is an academic point and there's no tangible difference in the end.

Tolerance to the death of the Others is the entire history of civilization.

Edit: I might even add that the ability to tolerate, endure and deal out violence is the single true political measure of a state's strength. It seems that would include violence towards its own citizens.

Testicular Torque Wrench has issued a correction as of 00:08 on Jan 14, 2024

Mola Yam
Jun 18, 2004

Kali Ma Shakti de!
yeah this is tucked away in the corner of the nasa ozonewatch site



that's what a "fixed" ozone hole looks like. like if you grow a golfball sized tumor in your brain over 15 years, but it's fixed because it stopped growing.

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

Mola Yam posted:

yeah this is tucked away in the corner of the nasa ozonewatch site



that's what a "fixed" ozone hole looks like. like if you grow a golfball sized tumor in your brain over 15 years, but it's fixed because it stopped growing.

so it is as big as it was when we were have supposed to have solved this?

lmao

Rectal Death Alert
Apr 2, 2021

The emergency was that the hole was spreading and we could lose so much of it we would have drastic impacts to the global population

We banned the stuff murdering it before it got that bad, so we won

No further questions

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

COVID killed 20+ million people so far. It's not quite a success story.

Popoto
Oct 21, 2012

miaow

:thunk:

smoobles
Sep 4, 2014




:)

Scarabrae
Oct 7, 2002


this is what happens if you vote blue!

starkebn
May 18, 2004

"Oooh, got a little too serious. You okay there, little buddy?"

it could start going down, you don't know

it doesn't look like the start of a hockey stick at all really

RandomBlue
Dec 30, 2012

hay guys!


Biscuit Hider
About that ozone hole... https://www.space.com/ozone-hole-antarctica-three-times-size-of-brazil

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

Testicular Torque Wrench posted:

Maybe ability isn't the right word and moreso willingness. We definitely have, or had, the capacity to effectively deal with covid. It simply wasn't done for lack of interest. Maybe this is an academic point and there's no tangible difference in the end.

Tolerance to the death of the Others is the entire history of civilization.

Edit: I might even add that the ability to tolerate, endure and deal out violence is the single true political measure of a state's strength. It seems that would include violence towards its own citizens.

We didn't have the capacity to deal with COVID. We were given the opportunity to demonstrate the capacity and we failed.

We usually put the impacts of biosphere collapse in these non-human frames: There will be a blue ocean event when sea ice goes under a certain threshold, the thermohaline circulation will abruptly shut down, clathrates will release unfathomable amounts of methane, cloud formation will break down when temperatures pass a certain point. None of these explain what the impact to us is.

COVID is what the impact to us looks like. On the slide down we become weaker and more infirm from disease, which makes us unable to perform the mental and physical labor required to keep our structures afloat. We become hungrier and more tired as our access to food and water dries up. We become confused, angry, and demented as we poison our atmosphere in desperate attempts to course correct. Eventually the entire world starts to look like an Alzheimer's patient entering a collective sundown.

We are already incapable of dealing with the current amount of adaptive pressure, and the rate of pressure only increases from here; the environment will keep becoming more inhospitable as we become more incapacitated. When adaptive pressure outruns adaptive capacity for long enough, then an extinction event occurs. What you are experiencing now is us sliding toward our extinction, and COVID is a gentle sample of what's to come.

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice

Colonel Cancer posted:

That hole in the ozone layer is still there lol

there were a bunch of feel good stories about how it’s gonna be all better by 2040 when in reality it won’t go back to pre-industrial times till like 2200

OIL PANIC
Dec 22, 2022

CAUTIONS
...
4. ... (If the battery is exhausted, the display of the liquid crystal will become vague and difficult to look at.)
...
7. Do not use volatile oils such as thinner or benzine and alcohol for wiping.
shut yer ozone hole, i’m warmin’ in here!

HAIL eSATA-n
Apr 7, 2007


Notorious R.I.M. posted:

We didn't have the capacity to deal with COVID. We were given the opportunity to demonstrate the capacity and we failed.

We usually put the impacts of biosphere collapse in these non-human frames: There will be a blue ocean event when sea ice goes under a certain threshold, the thermohaline circulation will abruptly shut down, clathrates will release unfathomable amounts of methane, cloud formation will break down when temperatures pass a certain point. None of these explain what the impact to us is.

COVID is what the impact to us looks like. On the slide down we become weaker and more infirm from disease, which makes us unable to perform the mental and physical labor required to keep our structures afloat. We become hungrier and more tired as our access to food and water dries up. We become confused, angry, and demented as we poison our atmosphere in desperate attempts to course correct. Eventually the entire world starts to look like an Alzheimer's patient entering a collective sundown.

We are already incapable of dealing with the current amount of adaptive pressure, and the rate of pressure only increases from here; the environment will keep becoming more inhospitable as we become more incapacitated. When adaptive pressure outruns adaptive capacity for long enough, then an extinction event occurs. What you are experiencing now is us sliding toward our extinction, and COVID is a gentle sample of what's to come.

sick

cash crab
Apr 5, 2015

all the time i am eating from the trashcan. the name of this trashcan is ideology


my crackping about covid and my crackping about the planet are brothers and friends also

SniperWoreConverse
Mar 20, 2010



Gun Saliva
Wait if it gets warm enough won't the ozone "hole" just disperse evenly across the planet, ensuring everything gets continually dosed with dangerous UV instead of keeping the chems locked above the south pole where there's basically nothing to get hit?

How warm does it have to get to break the circumpolar trap?

Also there's a paper came out saying if average temp hits 47°c this son of a bitch can go venusian, no exaggeration. It has to do with the amount of solar radiation, and once you start getting enough evaporation off the ocean you hit stage one: permanent huge cloud cover at all levels of atmosphere, which makes CO2 hockey stick look like a baby child toy. Water itself is a greenhouse gas, & that amount in the atmosphere is... a lot. The key to this having never happened is plate tectonics keeping things recycled.

Stage two is hydrogen dissociation & erosion by solar wind and would take some millions of years, and if this happens it can't be reversed with our understanding of geological cycles.

hamas ftw
Nov 25, 2023

by Fluffdaddy

fun fact: increased atmospheric methane damages the ozone layer. :eng101: so it's probably a good thing that we're not weakening the AMOC right now

quote:

The stability of widespread methane hydrates in shallow subsurface sediments of the marine continental margins is sensitive to temperature increases experienced by upper intermediate waters. Destabilization of methane hydrates and ensuing release of methane would produce climatic feedbacks amplifying and accelerating global warming.

Hence, improved assessment of ongoing intermediate water warming is crucially important, especially that resulting from a weakening of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). Our study provides an independent paleoclimatic perspective by reconstructing the thermal structure and imprint of methane oxidation throughout a water column of 1,300 m. We studied a sediment sequence from the eastern equatorial Atlantic (Gulf of Guinea), a region containing abundant shallow subsurface methane hydrates. We focused on the early part of the penultimate interglacial and present a hitherto undocumented and remarkably large intermediate water warming of 6.8 °C in response to a brief episode of meltwater-induced, modest AMOC weakening centered at 126,000 to 125,000 y ago. The warming of intermediate waters to 14 °C significantly exceeds the stability field of methane hydrates. In conjunction with this warming, our study reveals an anomalously low δ13C spike throughout the entire water column, recorded as primary signatures in single and pooled shells of multitaxa foraminifers. This extremely negative δ13C excursion was almost certainly the result of massive destabilization of methane hydrates. This study documents and connects a sequence of climatic events and climatic feedback processes associated with and triggered by the penultimate climate warming that can serve as a paleoanalog for modern ongoing warming.

https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1683857180016140290

lol

lmao

Rauros
Aug 25, 2004

wanna go grub thumping?

penguins and australians are getting hit

Dokapon Findom
Dec 5, 2022

They hated Futanari because His posts were shit.
Rocket launches and stratospheric aircraft deplete ozone as they fly through the layer itself so regardless of chemical releases (imagine all the old units out there ready to leak their freon) it is still being picked apart bit by bit

If someone can find the amount by which the Space Shuttle depleted ozone with each flight, I don't recall the exact figure but it seemed absolutely unbelievable and totally unsustainable

Communist Cop
Jun 29, 2023
Lol

https://twitter.com/dwallacewells/status/1746331606418129005?t=gVa5V16P1t1vEoox91aBLQ&s=19

TeenageArchipelago
Jul 23, 2013



finally, American's are realizing that the sun is to blame

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?
poo poo is getting too scary so time to just stop believing.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005


Democrats and independents are becoming less
convinced that climate change is caused mostly by
humans, while Republican attitudes remain stable.

A_Druish_Princess
Jan 12, 2024

Paradoxish posted:

poo poo is getting too scary so time to just stop believing.

Just. Post.

HazCat
May 4, 2009

Paradoxish posted:

poo poo is getting too scary so time to just stop believing.

But enough about covid,

err
Apr 11, 2005

I carry my own weight no matter how heavy this shit gets...

Lol

Evil_Greven
Feb 20, 2007

Whadda I got to,
whadda I got to do
to wake ya up?

To shake ya up,
to break the structure up!?
it's that time again
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202313

let's check out the damage

The year 2023 was the warmest year since global records began in 1850 at 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F). This value is 0.15°C (0.27°F) more than the previous record set in 2016. The 10 warmest years in the 174-year record have all occurred during the last decade (2014–2023). Of note, the year 2005, which was the first year to set a new global temperature record in the 21st century, is now the 12th-warmest year on record. The year 2010, which had surpassed 2005 at the time, now ranks as the 11th-warmest year on record.

lol

During 2023, each monthly global surface temperature anomaly value ranked among the seven warmest with June through December each ranking as the warmest such month on record. The July global temperature value was likely the warmest of all months on record and the July, August, and September temperature anomalies each exceeded 1.0°C (1.8°F) above the long-term average for the first time on record. The September anomaly value of 1.44°C (2.59°F) was the largest positive monthly global temperature anomaly for any month on record.

lmao

Global
Land +1.79 °C +3.22 °F Warmest 1st 2023 +1.79 °C +3.22 °F
Ocean +0.91 °C +1.64 °F Warmest 1st 2023 +0.91 °C +1.64 °F
Land and Ocean +1.18 °C +2.12 °F Warmest 1st 2023 +1.18 °C +2.12 °F


haha

North America's annual temperature was 2.01°C (3.62°F) above the 1910-2000 average and was the warmest year on record. Temperatures across North America varied somewhat throughout the year. Ten of the 12 months had an above-average monthly temperature. The months of May, August, September, and December were warmest on record with July, October, and November ranking as second warmest for their respective months. August 2023 was North America's warmest month of the year with a temperature departure of +1.94°C (+3.49°F), while the largest positive temperature anomaly occurred in December (+4.88°C/8.78°F) surpassing the previous record set in 1939 by a margin of 1.39°C (2.50°F). February was North America's coldest month of the year at +0.61°C (+1.09°F). North America's yearly temperature has increased at an average rate of 0.14°C (0.23°F) per decade since 1910; however, the average rate of increase is more than double the rate (0.34°C/0.61°F) since 1982.

wooooo

Horseshoe theory
Mar 7, 2005


COVID-brain - many such cases!

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

Trabisnikof posted:

Democrats and independents are becoming less
convinced that climate change is caused mostly by
humans, while Republican attitudes remain stable.

Democrats abandoning "core beliefs" the moment they cause inconvenience is a tale as old as time

Evil_Greven
Feb 20, 2007

Whadda I got to,
whadda I got to do
to wake ya up?

To shake ya up,
to break the structure up!?
even the minimizers have to agree poo poo is hosed

https://www.drroyspencer.com/2024/01/uah-global-temperature-update-for-december-2023-0-83-deg-c/

2023 Was the Warmest Year In the 45-Year Satellite Record
...
The 2023 annual average global LT anomaly was +0.51 deg. C above the 1991-2020 mean, easily making 2023 the warmest of the 45-year satellite record. The next-warmest year was +0.39 deg. C in 2016. The following plot shows all 45 years ranked from the warmest to coolest.


that's a full tenth of a degree Celsius above the previous annual anomaly even from UAH

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?
The political reality of climate change is also totally untenable for most Americans. If it's true that:

1) Climate change is an existential threat
2) Climate change is caused by humans
3) Climate change requires immediate and drastic action

Then it also has to be true that the party of the Good Guys should be taking that immediate and drastic action. If they're not then it's only logical to assume that climate change doesn't matter or it isn't our fault. Nothing else is possible. It is impossible that the Democrats are simply not acting to solve a problem that, at a minimum, will kill a shitload of people. I'm not the bad guy, I voted.

Communist Cop
Jun 29, 2023

Evil_Greven posted:

even the minimizers have to agree poo poo is hosed

https://www.drroyspencer.com/2024/01/uah-global-temperature-update-for-december-2023-0-83-deg-c/

2023 Was the Warmest Year In the 45-Year Satellite Record
...
The 2023 annual average global LT anomaly was +0.51 deg. C above the 1991-2020 mean, easily making 2023 the warmest of the 45-year satellite record. The next-warmest year was +0.39 deg. C in 2016. The following plot shows all 45 years ranked from the warmest to coolest.


that's a full tenth of a degree Celsius above the previous annual anomaly even from UAH

It's really fun to visualize it

SniperWoreConverse
Mar 20, 2010



Gun Saliva
Also put a line for the preindustrial average

Mola Yam
Jun 18, 2004

Kali Ma Shakti de!
industrial society started in 1991

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SniperWoreConverse
Mar 20, 2010



Gun Saliva
I wanna see how far off the left it would be

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