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gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy


wanna see that time lapse restoration vid

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Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

Was that the one the Ukrainian Navy sold off?

Hubbert
Mar 25, 2007

At a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

Frosted Flake posted:

"In the 30 years since the Gulf War, PLA innovation has been all about adaptation and improvement, with little in the way of originality."

Who loving cares?!

What a loving asinine argument. An adapted and improved weapon kills you just as a dead as an original one, probably more often since it's been proved to work and likely has been produced in quantity.

Now, FF, I always enjoy reading your long book excerpts, but I think you should read a little further.

I'd argue that the author is making a very similar argument to you, albeit with some bias in his language -- I'll draw a few key lines out:

quote:


Given the PLA’s status as a “near-peer competitor” of the U.S. military today, the backwardness of China’s military in 1991 is striking. Even Chinese assessments put the PLA 30 to 40 years behind Western militaries. Most Chinese equipment at the time was based on 1960s-era Soviet technology. In the 1980s, Chinese defense industries were known for producing large volumes of low-tech Soviet knock-offs that were sold across the developing world.
The Iran-Iraq War (1980–88) had been particularly lucrative. China supplied more than $7 billion in arms to Iraq and Iran, some of which Iraqi forces employed during the Gulf War, but with little effect.4

The PLA had a decidedly “brown-water” navy in 1991. The PLA Navy (PLAN) consisted of hundreds of patrol boats and a handful of destroyers and frigates based on 1950s Soviet designs. Chinese shipyards built dozens of antiquated diesel-electric submarines and a small number of noisy, indigenously produced nuclear-powered submarines. Virtually all PLA Air Force (PLAAF) aircraft were copies of Soviet MiG-19s and MiG-21s. A Chinese version of the Soviet SA-2 surface-to-air missile provided what passed for strategic air defense. PLA ground forces were built around antiquated Soviet-designed armor and were only beginning to experiment with combined-arms operations. PLAN marines offered few expeditionary capabilities.

Any advanced military technology found in China in 1991 had likely come from the West. Near the end of the Cold War, the United States and Western Europe sold military technology to the PLA as an “enemy-of-my-enemy” hedge against the Soviets. In 1985, the United States supplied China with 24 Sikorsky S-70/H-60 Blackhawk helicopters. Other helicopters were French designs. China’s YJ-8 antiship cruise missile bore a strong resemblance to France’s Exocet.5 A late-1980s U.S. initiative proposed outfitting 50 Chinese J-8 air-superiority fighters with advanced avionics, including the F-16 AN/APG-66 radar.

Most Western arms sales were suspended in June 1989, however, when the PLA violently put down protests in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square. The Chinese kept what they had acquired pre-sanctions, of course, including Western technology to outfit a Type 052 Luhu-class destroyer commissioned in 1994—U.S. gas turbines, German diesel engines, French sonar and electronics, and an Italian torpedo system. Interestingly, the United States issued a waiver from the Tiananmen sanctions to continue the J-8 upgrades.
[...]

quote:

In applying lessons from the Gulf War, the PLA focused on developing joint capabilities, which necessarily meant drawing down its two-million-man army while building up a technologically advanced navy and air force. The PLA also realized that it required significant long-range precision-strike capabilities to enable greater defense in depth and to support offensive operations. To locate enemy targets and coordinate the joint force, the Gulf War demonstrated that the PLA required robust, survivable C4ISR networks.

Acquiring high-technology platforms, weapons, and C4ISR became an urgent priority, and China’s defense industrial base in the early 1990s was not up to the task of originating such equipment. Indigenous Chinese design is not how the PLA first evolved following the Gulf War. China instead pursued a strategy to reverse engineer technology acquired from foreign sources, principally from a defanged and cash-strapped Russia. Overt arms purchases from Russian, European, and Israeli sources were supplemented by aggressive covert actions to acquire military technology from the United States and elsewhere.7


This isn't a "China Good" or "China Bad" perspective, but a way to understand how and why the PLA was able to evolve the way it did. The chart half way through the article really helps to explain his point: why re-invent the wheel when you can just acquire a better wheel instead, and then develop your own local manufacturing + R&D base using what you've learned?

Hubbert has issued a correction as of 04:23 on Jan 18, 2024

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Frosted Flake posted:

Was that the one the Ukrainian Navy sold off?

yup

quote:

The ship was laid down as Riga at Shipyard 444 (now Mykolaiv South) in Mykolaiv, Ukrainian SSR, on 6 December 1985.[14][15] Design work was undertaken by the Nevskoye Planning and Design Bureau.[16] Launched on 4 December 1988, the carrier was renamed Varyag in late 1990, after a previous similarly named cruiser launched in 1899. When the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, the ship was only 68% complete.[1] Construction was halted, and the ship was put up for sale. The name Varyag was then adopted by another cruiser launched in 1983.
Sale

Ukraine approached China, India, and Russia as potential buyers.[1] China sent a high-level delegation in 1992, which reported that the ship was in good condition and recommended a purchase. However, the Chinese government declined to purchase the ship because of the international diplomatic situation at the time.[17] Unable to find a buyer, Ukraine left the ship to deteriorate in the elements.[18]

In 1998, the rusting hulk was sold at auction for $20 million to Agencia Turistica E Diversões Chong Lot Limitada, a company from Macau. Chong Lot proposed to tow Varyag to Macau under pretenses of conversion into a $200 million floating hotel and casino;[19] Western observers were suspicious of the deal since Chong Lot had no listed telephone number, was not located at its listed address, and was run by former officers in the Chinese Navy. Officials in Macau also denied Chong Lot's application to operate a casino. However, analysts noted that Varyag had deteriorated too much to be used as an operational warship and pointed out that the Chinese Navy was concentrating on submarines.[15][18] The Soviet carriers Kiev and Minsk had also been sold to China as tourist attractions.

lmfao

Hubbert
Mar 25, 2007

At a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

quote:

Naval acquisitions in the 1990s and early 2000s included four Russian Sovremenny-class destroyers and 12 Kilo-class diesel-electric attack submarines. The purchases offered a trove of weapons, electronics, and propulsion technology to improve indigenous Chinese development. PLAN leaders had been impressed by the U.S. Navy’s “high-speed mobility and multidimensional combat capability” supporting air and ground operations in the Gulf War.10 In 1992, eager to emulate aircraft carrier battle groups, the PLAN initiated discussions to purchase an unfinished Soviet aircraft carrier (the Varyag, an Admiral Kuznetsov–class carrier built in Ukraine).11 Following a painful and expensive refit in China, the ship eventually was commissioned as the Type 001 aircraft carrier Liaoning in 2012. China’s burgeoning commercial shipyards have produced a number of PLAN ship classes, especially smaller patrol boats and corvettes.12 China commissioned more than 300 ships and submarines between 2000 and 2020, making the PLAN the world’s largest navy.

BearsBearsBears
Aug 4, 2022
The Chinese were able to figure out how to de-rust a warship, I wonder if the USN will be able to figure out how to "adapt and improve" this technique.

Complications
Jun 19, 2014

BearsBearsBears posted:

The Chinese were able to figure out how to de-rust a warship, I wonder if the USN will be able to figure out how to "adapt and improve" this technique.

Derusting warships is old technology. It just takes a lot of personnel with time to sweat for it. What a forward thinking military looks for is derusting robots, preferably machine learning AI enhanced LLM guided robots that are a billion dollars each and don't work even a quarter of the time until the three billion dollar DLC package is installed.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
giving billions of dollars to the Evapo-Rust company

Gresh
Jan 12, 2019


I don't know where to post this but Pakistan and Iran have both bombed each other in the last 24 hours lol

Morbus
May 18, 2004

Gresh posted:

I don't know where to post this but Pakistan and Iran have both bombed each other in the last 24 hours lol

it's more of a team-building missile exchange program

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021
I am just happy that india isn't involved for a change

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

why would Iran want to get involved with something against Pakistan with so much happening to their West? Or is this more from Pakistan?

strange feelings re Daisy
Aug 2, 2000

Morbus posted:

it's more of a team-building missile exchange program
Both sides bombed Balochi militants

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Baloch separatists are one of those proxy groups that the US funds to destabilize its enemies - they were attacking B&R projects in Pakistan in recent years, killing Chinese nationals, and apparently they've also attacked over the border into Iran

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

gradenko_2000 posted:

Baloch separatists are one of those proxy groups that the US funds to destabilize its enemies - they were attacking B&R projects in Pakistan in recent years, killing Chinese nationals, and apparently they've also attacked over the border into Iran

every time the United States gets really mad at Pakistan suddenly there’s a new bit of media about the noble Baloch freedom fighters.

fanfic insert
Nov 4, 2009

lol

"Even Chinese assessments put the PLA 30 to 40 years behind Western militaries"

"Interestingly, the United States issued a waiver from the Tiananmen sanctions to continue the J-8 upgrades. However, $200 million in U.S. defense contractor cost overruns achieved what international condemnation of the PLA could not. Beijing unilaterally canceled the so-called Peace Pearl contract in 1990.6 The PLA would need to look elsewhere for 21st-century military technology."

Mandel Brotset
Jan 1, 2024

Complications posted:

Derusting warships is old technology. It just takes a lot of personnel with time to sweat for it. What a forward thinking military looks for is derusting robots, preferably machine learning AI enhanced LLM guided robots that are a billion dollars each and don't work even a quarter of the time until the three billion dollar DLC package is installed.

labor theory of value ftw

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

PLA being thirty or forty years behind the West would place them back when the West had functional weapons lol

fanfic insert
Nov 4, 2009
Copeishly: Yeah well it's easy to catch up when your opponent has decided to stop moving on a slippery slope for a few decades.

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

FuzzySlippers posted:

PLA being thirty or forty years behind the West would place them back when the West had functional weapons lol

The PLA better watch out or a fleet of USN naval vessels that dissolve in water, that can only fire non-existent ammo, crewed entirely by shortfalls will be sailing across the pacific!

Don't worry we'll concentrate the rest of what's left into the carrier groups, or more specifically the carriers themselves. Not sure we can keep running and manning all the escorts so we might just have to have a carrier battle group consisting of half a dozen carriers and a lone oliver hazard perry class for interdiction.

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

gradenko_2000 posted:



wanna see that time lapse restoration vid

I saw it in 2001... it was a based sight

our neighbors brother worked in naval intelligence and lived on some kind of residential site up the Bosporus where his job was to watch boats all day. my folks were traveling so I was staying with the neighbor and visited that place he said it was something important. it is huge to see irl.

also saw my first ak up close that visit... rip

mawarannahr has issued a correction as of 08:57 on Jan 18, 2024

Pistol_Pete
Sep 15, 2007

Oven Wrangler

FuzzySlippers posted:

PLA being thirty or forty years behind the West would place them back when the West had functional weapons lol

Yeah, our main development in the last 3 decades is drones and it's China who builds most of them anyway.

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy
The USA can't even make a pair of leather boots using entirely domestic sourced products / components. I can only imagine how much of everything stamped with "Made in USA" comes from China or some other 3rd party.

I've got boots made in Australia, Mexico and China. The Chinese ones are the best by miles.

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.

gradenko_2000 posted:

Baloch separatists are one of those proxy groups that the US funds to destabilize its enemies - they were attacking B&R projects in Pakistan in recent years, killing Chinese nationals, and apparently they've also attacked over the border into Iran

Yep. And Pakistan struck Baloch separatists in Iran,who also mostly do cross border attacks.

Complications posted:

Derusting warships is old technology. It just takes a lot of personnel with time to sweat for it. What a forward thinking military looks for is derusting robots, preferably machine learning AI enhanced LLM guided robots that are a billion dollars each and don't work even a quarter of the time until the three billion dollar DLC package is installed.

Dang these things rule. Apparently only $5000 from China although I suspect that can't be right.


https://hby-c522.en.made-in-china.com/product/gnLpRwIGRUVt/China-1400-Bar-Hydraulic-Rust-Removal-Robot-for-Vessel-Good-Price.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OUww1hj1mQo

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.

DancingShade posted:

The USA can't even make a pair of leather boots using entirely domestic sourced products / components. I can only imagine how much of everything stamped with "Made in USA" comes from China or some other 3rd party.

I've got boots made in Australia, Mexico and China. The Chinese ones are the best by miles.

What brand are your Chinese boots?

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

Weka posted:

What brand are your Chinese boots?

Grant Stone.

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.
Thank you

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

gradenko_2000 posted:

holy poo poo

it really will buff out

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ufnc-QlaTtg

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

Pistol_Pete posted:

Yeah, our main development in the last 3 decades is drones and it's China who builds most of them anyway.

It seems to me US drone development got to the reaper, global hawk type large, slow drones in the Obama era and kind of stopped. There is no continuous evolution of making them stay on air for much longer (probably because the US has bases everywhere). Other countries kind of caught up to the reaper type drones pretty quick, see China and Turkey counterparts.

And then there are many new developments in small and mini sized drones the Pentagon is not interested in. Also small drone swarming, it's going to happen. I wonder if Russia will use swarming before the end of this war.

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

Weka posted:

Thank you

I recommend ordering a half size down. So if you're a US 10 get a 9.5.

I'll uh, stop talking about boots now.

https://www.hindustantimes.com/worl...5503215717.html

New study warns thousands of US cities could become ‘ghost towns’ by 2100.

A new study suggests that the United States could look very different by the year 2100 as nearly 30,000 cities in the nation could turn into ghost towns, witnessing a population decline ranging from 12 to 23 percent. Reductions in birth rates combined with an intensifying urban migration could result in a major population drop in as many as two thirds of cities.

Researchers at the University of Illinois said that all American cities are expected to be impacted, excluding Hawaii and Washington, D.C.

The way we’re planning now is all based on growth, but close to half the cities in the U.S. are depopulating,” said a senior author Sybil Derrible, an urban engineer at the University of Illinois Chicago, according to nature.com . “The takeaway is that we need to shift away from growth-based planning, which is going to require an enormous cultural shift in the planning and engineering of cities.”
.
.
.
Strong positive outlook. Let's plan for the opposite of physical reality and just hope for the best.

Facehammer
Mar 11, 2008

DancingShade posted:

The USA can't even make a pair of leather boots using entirely domestic sourced products / components.

You people of the South don't know what you are doing. This country will be drenched in blood, and God only knows how it will end. It is all folly, madness, a crime against civilization! You people speak so lightly of war; you don't know what you're talking about.

War is a terrible thing! You mistake, too, the people of the North. They are a peaceable people but an earnest people, and they will fight, too. They are not going to let this country be destroyed without a mighty effort to save it … Besides, where are your men and appliances of war to contend against them? The North can make a steam engine, locomotive, or railway car; hardly a yard of cloth or pair of shoes can you make. You are rushing into war with one of the most powerful, ingeniously mechanical, and determined people on Earth — right at your doors.

You are bound to fail. Only in your spirit and determination are you prepared for war. In all else you are totally unprepared, with a bad cause to start with. At first you will make headway, but as your limited resources begin to fail, shut out from the markets of Europe as you will be, your cause will begin to wane. If your people will but stop and think, they must see in the end that you will surely fail.

Admiral Bosch
Apr 19, 2007
Who is Admiral Aken Bosch, and what is that old scoundrel up to?
Woke up thinking about something. Several pages back we were talking about sortie tempo on American carriers and how, at least on the shiny new Gerald Ford, it was like... Less than half of what it was during the cold war or something like that. I can't find a good average, so let's say it's like... 60 launches a day(someone feel free to correct me). What is the Liaoning averaging?

Petey
Nov 26, 2005

For who knows what is good for a person in life, during the few and meaningless days they pass through like a shadow? Who can tell them what will happen under the sun after they are gone?
i don't regularly read this thread but every day within an hour of waking i think of its title

Skaffen-Amtiskaw
Jun 24, 2023

DancingShade posted:

Grant Stone.

https://stridewise.com/grant-stone-interview-wyatt-gilmore/

I got a pair of Thursday Captains to replace some two-year-old cemented Cat boots that were tearing off the sole. They’re US leather, but Mexico made them. The funny thing is, I was originally going to get some DMs, only their QC is terrible for the off-shored manufactured ones, with the “good” quality ones being the 1% still made in England. Which have a premium added as consequence.

GlassEye-Boy
Jul 12, 2001

Admiral Bosch posted:

Woke up thinking about something. Several pages back we were talking about sortie tempo on American carriers and how, at least on the shiny new Gerald Ford, it was like... Less than half of what it was during the cold war or something like that. I can't find a good average, so let's say it's like... 60 launches a day(someone feel free to correct me). What is the Liaoning averaging?

Significantly less, it's does not have catapults and has about half the fighter compliment. Their new carrier should get them pretty close to the US carrier in performance though.

That being said the Liaoning is operating at a much higher tempo than it's sister ship in Russia with a larger air wing.

GlassEye-Boy has issued a correction as of 16:01 on Jan 18, 2024

Hatebag
Jun 17, 2008


it's funny that the only red wings made in the us are the ones that aren't for work. they call them "heritage" boots but all the actual work boots are made in asia. the red wing work boots are amazing though, their 12-in waterproof composite toe boots are literally the most comfortable shoes I've ever had. love the king toe!

Retromancer
Aug 21, 2007

Every time I see Goatse, I think of Maureen. That's the last thing I saw. Before I blacked out. The sight of that man's anus.

Complications posted:

The US navy is infamous for running shifts way too long for its sailors in addition to not having enough of anyone. It'd just take one undermanned shift of overworked and exhausted plane maintenance guys cutting corners to fill quota on turnaround and poof goes the carrier.

US Sailors would NEVER cut corners on duties because they have honor and integrity and that would go against the Boy Scout Oath.

cat botherer
Jan 6, 2022

I am interested in most phases of data processing.

gradenko_2000 posted:



wanna see that time lapse restoration vid
This season on HGTV,

Hubbert
Mar 25, 2007

At a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

fanfic insert posted:

lol

"Interestingly, the United States issued a waiver from the Tiananmen sanctions to continue the J-8 upgrades. However, $200 million in U.S. defense contractor cost overruns achieved what international condemnation of the PLA could not. Beijing unilaterally canceled the so-called Peace Pearl contract in 1990.6 The PLA would need to look elsewhere for 21st-century military technology."

I regret excluding that part of the paragraph with my [...] above.

:negative:

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dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


Facehammer posted:

You people of the South don't know what you are doing. This country will be drenched in blood, and God only knows how it will end. It is all folly, madness, a crime against civilization! You people speak so lightly of war; you don't know what you're talking about.

War is a terrible thing! You mistake, too, the people of the North. They are a peaceable people but an earnest people, and they will fight, too. They are not going to let this country be destroyed without a mighty effort to save it … Besides, where are your men and appliances of war to contend against them? The North can make a steam engine, locomotive, or railway car; hardly a yard of cloth or pair of shoes can you make. You are rushing into war with one of the most powerful, ingeniously mechanical, and determined people on Earth — right at your doors.

You are bound to fail. Only in your spirit and determination are you prepared for war. In all else you are totally unprepared, with a bad cause to start with. At first you will make headway, but as your limited resources begin to fail, shut out from the markets of Europe as you will be, your cause will begin to wane. If your people will but stop and think, they must see in the end that you will surely fail.

Sherman had a degree of incredible foresight on how industrial relations would affect the conditions of warfare, perhaps the most of all generals. It seems to me that Grant understood in a more instinctual level, too. Lincoln connects both things (political economy and warfare) with the symbolic mark of the Emancipation proclamation, then the more "Clausewitzian" leaders (Grant, Sherman, Sheridan(?)) become eminent in the Union side while their industrial ability really takes off with all the Republican reforms of industrial capitalism: infrastructure acts (canals, roads, railways), finance (organization and regulation of credit, methods of financing), government authority (just military organization alone is enough to justify building an entire federal apparatus), etc.

The south's slave agrarian capitalism only offered the illusion of the possibility of victory by the volumes of profit received, which made the landowners full of wishful thinking such as the British coming in to save king cotton. Ooops, turns out cotton can be sourced elsewhere, too! And guess what, the British have a colony in a place with more than ten times the population of the South that can grow cotton! And what about giving a chance to Brazil, too?

So it is of course tremendously funny that the United States government doesn't realize its own history and the thinking of its own successful leaders at the time about political economy in warfare. Neoliberalism!

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