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golden bubble
Jun 3, 2011

yospos

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1751855979665268770
https://twitter.com/FT/status/1751937666726154278

Is Orban finally going find out that his miserable, lovely actions have consequences, or is the EU going to back down yet again again?

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Blut
Sep 11, 2009

if someone is in the bottom 10%~ of a guillotine
He seems to have finally pushed his blackmail game a little bit too far. Great to see the rest of the EU growing a spine.

Nissin Cup Nudist
Sep 3, 2011

Sleep with one eye open

We're off to Gritty Gritty land




Blut posted:

It looks very likely. The polls have only been moving in only one direction in regards to support for Le Pen/RN over the last 20 years, and are now showing she'll likely get a majority:

2007: 10.4%
2012: 18%
2017: 34%
2022: 41.5%

I completely missed the 2022 election, but this trend is uh ... not great


2027 is gonna suck

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

V. Illych L. posted:

marine le pen is in with a real chance of becoming president of france. she has developed the precise degree and kind of racism which is electorally optimal and will not be moved from it. once she had to affirm that france was a country with religious freedom in the face of some (LR? Renaissance? i forget) other right-wing politician going on a genuine islamophobic tirade on television. it was interesting because it shows that she has very clearly thought through exactly how far she's going with this stuff in public appearances

Just for the record, I was more just making fun of how she shivved her own dad in the liver to get a chance at power. That was extremely funny.

The rest of it sucks, however. How was I to know a night of long knives would prelude tragedy?

His Divine Shadow
Aug 7, 2000

I'm not a fascist. I'm a priest. Fascists dress up in black and tell people what to do.

golden bubble posted:

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1751855979665268770
https://twitter.com/FT/status/1751937666726154278

Is Orban finally going find out that his miserable, lovely actions have consequences, or is the EU going to back down yet again again?

I guess we all read about it but Orban folded like a house of cards

TearsOfPirates
Jun 11, 2016

Stultior stulto fuisti, qui tabellis crederes! - Idiot of idiots, to trust what is written!

golden bubble posted:

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1751855979665268770
https://twitter.com/FT/status/1751937666726154278

Is Orban finally going find out that his miserable, lovely actions have consequences, or is the EU going to back down yet again again?

This is like at least 10 years too late and I really wish the EU just acted on the threats without Orban knowing. It'd be the one wakeup call the Hungarian nation needed and now he'll be even more powerful while posturing as a strong man to his nation who will vote for him until he dies.

mortons stork
Oct 13, 2012
Yeah it is especially galling they did this over ukraine of all things instead of all the last decade of constant sabotage.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
He had his PiS buddies in Poland covering his rear end so that wasn't possible to do earlier

Jon Pod Van Damm
Apr 6, 2009

THE POSSESSION OF WEALTH IS IN AND OF ITSELF A SIGN OF POOR VIRTUE. AS SUCH:
1 NEVER TRUST ANY RICH PERSON.
2 NEVER HIRE ANY RICH PERSON.
BY RULE 1, IT IS APPROPRIATE TO PRESUME THAT ALL DEGREES AND CREDENTIALS HELD BY A WEALTHY PERSON ARE FRAUDULENT. THIS JUSTIFIES RULE 2--RULE 1 NEEDS NO JUSTIFIC



golden bubble posted:

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1751855979665268770
https://twitter.com/FT/status/1751937666726154278

Is Orban finally going find out that his miserable, lovely actions have consequences, or is the EU going to back down yet again again?
I'm sorry but these extortion tactics makes the EU look like a mafia syndicate.

"Nice economy you get there. It'd be a real shame if something were to happen to it.".

Private Speech
Mar 30, 2011

I HAVE EVEN MORE WORTHLESS BEANIE BABIES IN MY COLLECTION THAN I HAVE WORTHLESS POSTS IN THE BEANIE BABY THREAD YET I STILL HAVE THE TEMERITY TO CRITICIZE OTHERS' COLLECTIONS

IF YOU SEE ME TALKING ABOUT BEANIE BABIES, PLEASE TELL ME TO

EAT. SHIT.


Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

I'm sorry but these extortion tactics makes the EU look like a mafia syndicate.

"Nice economy you get there. It'd be a real shame if something were to happen to it.".

That's just politics for you, sometimes you have to enforce compliance.

BlankSystemDaemon
Mar 13, 2009



Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

I'm sorry but these extortion tactics makes the EU look like a mafia syndicate.

"Nice economy you get there. It'd be a real shame if something were to happen to it.".
What, exactly, do you propose they do, that they haven't already tried?

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

BlankSystemDaemon posted:

What, exactly, do you propose they do, that they haven't already tried?
Drone strikes.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
Additional Trianons.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Drone strikes.

:hmmyes:

Would be a good lesson for Slovakia too

mortons stork
Oct 13, 2012

BlankSystemDaemon posted:

What, exactly, do you propose they do, that they haven't already tried?

Dangle a very large piano above

beer_war
Mar 10, 2005

A strongly worded letter.

Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

People have a tendency to revolt when basic needs like access to warm shelter and food are not met. Could we see something like an Arab spring in Europe this winter?

Any day now, buddy.

beer_war fucked around with this message at 12:44 on Feb 3, 2024

Glah
Jun 21, 2005

Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

I'm sorry but these extortion tactics makes the EU look like a mafia syndicate.

"Nice economy you get there. It'd be a real shame if something were to happen to it.".

That has the implication that Orban is an innocent business owner that EU-mafia is forcing to pay protection money to, when in reality it is the EU funds that are keeping Hungarian economy afloat. So in effect mafia is in this case threatening to close off the funds they were giving the business owner that kept his business afloat because that business owner has sabotaged the workings of the syndicate for years and they've just got tired of him. EU even gets to be the evil mafia syndicate in this metaphor still, if you don't agree with helping Ukraine. Gotta keep the dynamics of the situation closer to reality with these comparisons!

Similar comparison to EU mafia were made during Brexit negotiations, and it was just as important to use more factual dynamics of those threats. It wasn't that EU-mafia was bullying innocent UK, it was EU just removing the privileges of being a member of mafia syndicate from those leaving the mafia!

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
Yeah lol Orban's been undermining not only the EU objectives but democracy and rule of law in Hungary and has been a pain in the rear end for years. I thought this would be common knowledge as well as that mechanisms for dealing with him are pretty limited, it's either money or voting rights.

This is from last year for example:

quote:

BRUSSELS (AP) — The four biggest groups in the European Union’s legislature added more pressure on Hungary on Monday to counter what they see as steadfast deterioration in rule of law and democratic principles in the central European member state.

The Christian Democrat, Socialist, Liberal and Green groups — in addition to the smaller Left group — issued a joint letter that criticized Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s government for rolling back rights for LGBTI people and curtailing other democratic principles. It also called on the EU’s executive Commission to hold back funds for Budapest until liberal democracy principles are met.

“In our view, it clearly makes it impossible to give a positive assessment of the first payment under the Recovery and Resilience Plan,” from which Budapest hopes to get billions in euros to deal with the fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, the letter of the EPP, S&D. Renew Europe, the Greens/EFA and The Left said.

In a letter rife with criticism on how Budapest deals with teachers’ and LGBTI people’s rights it added that “equality, human dignity and fundamental rights are the core of the founding of the EU, and we trust your commitment to take effective action when a member state deliberately breaches these EU values.”
https://apnews.com/article/eu-hungary-orban-lgbti-rights-democracy-1133ef433a5d29f73130941a59860977



beer_war posted:

A strongly worded letter.

Any day now, buddy.

We're getting closer though!

https://twitter.com/TheDeadDistrict/status/1753703584196182107?s=20

Collateral Damage
Jun 13, 2009

BlankSystemDaemon posted:

What, exactly, do you propose they do, that they haven't already tried?
Remove veto rights.

You could still say certain votes need more than a simple majority, but a single Russian puppet shouldn't be able to cockblock important EU decisions.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
Yes but guess what you need to remote veto rights

quote:

According to Verger, what the social media posts “forget to mention is that it’s national sovereignty that applies when making these kinds of changes… It is the member states that decide. Every time there is an institutional change, it is the subject of a treaty that must be signed by every member state and ratified by all of their parliaments. It is legally, and even politically, impossible for the European Parliament to decide anything in this regard.”

For such a revision, “it is necessary for the member states to approve it unanimously every step of the way,” Gaudin said. “The states are the masters of the treaties because they’re the ones who decide whether they want to adopt them or not,” she added.
...
Guiot added: “Implementation of the changes suggested by the European Parliament (in the resolution of November 22, 2023) is still a distant prospect and it cannot become reality without unanimous and repeated consent from the member states.”
https://europeannewsroom.com/eu-members-right-of-veto-still-intact/

GABA ghoul
Oct 29, 2011

Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

I'm sorry but these extortion tactics makes the EU look like a mafia syndicate.

"Nice economy you get there. It'd be a real shame if something were to happen to it.".

Hungary has been in gross violation of EU law for years now in various areas and can be sanctioned almost at will due to this. Goodwill from the rest of the EU is what keeps the money flowing and goodwill is not an infinite resource.

Also, what gets everyone so much riled up about this is his obsession with this particular issue, i.e. blocking support for Ukraine. He has no obvious reason to push this hard back here. So the suspicion is that he either has an implicit understanding with Putin that once Russia dismantles Ukraine, Hungary will receive some of the territory or that he even explicitly made some deal with the Kreml on this.

BabyFur Denny
Mar 18, 2003

Collateral Damage posted:

Remove veto rights.

You could still say certain votes need more than a simple majority, but a single Russian puppet shouldn't be able to cockblock important EU decisions.

ok and how would you implement that in practice, without anyone vetoing it?

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

BabyFur Denny posted:

ok and how would you implement that in practice, without anyone vetoing it?
Anyone who votes against it loses EU funding/drone strikes.

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013
Probation
Can't post for 4 hours!

Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

I'm sorry but these extortion tactics makes the EU look like a mafia syndicate.

"Nice economy you get there. It'd be a real shame if something were to happen to it.".

What do you think the EU is?

BabyFur Denny
Mar 18, 2003

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Anyone who votes against it loses EU funding/drone strikes.

How do you implement that voting rule without anyone vetoing it?

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

BabyFur Denny posted:

How do you implement that voting rule without anyo-ne vetoing it?
How many divisions do the departments responsible for disbursing EU funds have?

BabyFur Denny
Mar 18, 2003

A Buttery Pastry posted:

How many divisions do the departments responsible for disbursing EU funds have?

no idea, how is that relevant?

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

quote:

Italy’s far-right government submits plan to decriminalise abuse of office
Proposal to abolish law raises fears of mafia infiltration and abuse of power in public sector


Italian senators are to debate plans by the far-right government to decriminalise abuse of office, a decision that has sparked tension with the EU and raised fears over the risk of mafia infiltration in the public sector.

Punishable by up to four years in prison, the charge of abuse of office can be brought against public officials, including mayors and local administrators, who are suspected of intentionally exploiting their public position for their own or someone else’s benefit.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/06/italy-far-right-government-plan-decriminalise-abuse-office

Just as we banish one bunch of right-wing assholes, another one pops up :negative:


BabyFur Denny posted:

no idea, how is that relevant?

"how can they actually enforce it"

SlowBloke
Aug 14, 2017

It's fun how this didn't catch airtime in Italy but also how a lot of civil servants would applaud it if it ever did. We spend more time doing paperwork for the anti corruption stuff than proper purchasing but going full anarchy in response is madness.

Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer

BlankSystemDaemon posted:

What, exactly, do you propose they do, that they haven't already tried?

In the 19th century, Europe would have just send troops and killed a bazillion people. I think it's better this way.

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013
Probation
Can't post for 4 hours!
I mean sure, Napoleon was a dictator and killed a whole lot of folks, but

Oh, you mean the other Europeans. Yeah, those folks were loving grim.

khwarezm
Oct 26, 2010

Deal with it.
Germany’s Days as an Industrial Superpower Are Coming to an End

More fuel to the fire that Europe's economy is on a probably permanent downward slide, I wonder if we'll start to see mass migration the US again as the gap continues to widen.

His Divine Shadow
Aug 7, 2000

I'm not a fascist. I'm a priest. Fascists dress up in black and tell people what to do.
Well it was self inflicted

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Well, Germany has had a history of terrible decisions leading to a self-inflicted wound.

Doctor Malaver
May 23, 2007

Ce qui s'est passé t'a rendu plus fort


This surfaced a few times on my FB feed and if it's true I'm flattered as a Croatian but also worried that everywhere else it's worse. You can walk around the main train station or main bus station (or anywhere else that comes to mind) alone at any times of night and it's OK. An acquaintance who's a social worker claims a big part of it is old school police authority. Police can frisk you if you look suspicious, no probable cause required. It happened to many friends of mine when we were younger. Making you take your shoes off in a park, looking for marijuana, and similar bullshit.

It never occurred to me that police authority varies across Europe. What can they do in your country and do you think it affects street crime?

Torrannor
Apr 27, 2013

---FAGNER---
TEAM-MATE
Interesting, I wonder where they get their stats from?

It's also worth noting that this is a ranking relative to each other, it doesn't necessarily mean that walking alone at night in Norway is unsafe.

Doctor Malaver
May 23, 2007

Ce qui s'est passé t'a rendu plus fort
Ah, I looked it up and it's from Numbeo... It's crowd-sourced, self-reported perception of safety. Not scientifically sound but useful to a degree.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numbeo

GABA ghoul
Oct 29, 2011

It's completely worthless for ranking safety though. Crime perception and crime are not necessarily correlated(or have become anti-correlated in many places due to sensationalist media reporting). It's still useful for understanding public anxieties about safety though.

IIRC Spain has one of the lowest murder rates on the planet, which is usually correlated with low violent crime. I doubt it would show up in the last few places in a real safety ranking.

Torrannor
Apr 27, 2013

---FAGNER---
TEAM-MATE

GABA ghoul posted:

It's completely worthless for ranking safety though. Crime perception and crime are not necessarily correlated(or have become anti-correlated in many places due to sensationalist media reporting). It's still useful for understanding public anxieties about safety though.

IIRC Spain has one of the lowest murder rates on the planet, which is usually correlated with low violent crime. I doubt it would show up in the last few places in a real safety ranking.

Last few places of a selection of European countries, omitting states like Franke, the UK, Germany and Italy.

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Blut
Sep 11, 2009

if someone is in the bottom 10%~ of a guillotine
The countries included by itself should throw up red flags for likely having very questionable veracity. It includes Georgia and North Macedonia, but not EU members like Belgium, Ireland or Sweden that would have more reliable, and more comparable to the rest, data.

Numbeo is also completely trash for things like this, its entirely subjective reporting on how safe someone felt walking down a street. For all you know the person doing the reporting is some fedora wearing American who's on their first trip outside of Kansas.

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