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Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

Lol he asked the first question

My guess so far is that they rule he can run even if disqualified from holding office, and issue no finding on whether or not he's actually disqualified.

Considering 3rd Parties run candidates who are ineligible from time to time, it's not without precedent. I forget which year, but one of the Socialist Parties ran a lady who wasn't 35 and I could have voted for her.

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gregday
May 23, 2003

Trump being on the ballot, winning, and then being disqualified from taking the office would send him into intergalactic levels of grievance that might collapse the solar system.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

gregday posted:

Trump being on the ballot, winning, and then being disqualified from taking the office would send him into intergalactic levels of grievance that might collapse the solar system.

No, once he's elected and wins then his disqualification becomes a nonjusticiable political question. And the USSC never has to risk getting shot at by fringe weirdos.

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

VideoGameVet posted:

I had a horse roll over me when I was 12. Luckily it was a fat soft horse and I wasn't hurt.

Note: In the late 1800's police on bikes enforced the speed limits in NYC when Teddy Roosevelt was the Police Commissioner.

Created by Police Commissioner Theodore Roosevelt in 1895 to apprehend speeding horse-drawn carriages, the 29-member bike squad, known as the “Scorcher Squad,” made 1,366 arrests in its first year.

These fast riding cyclists were “scorchers” for the way they blazed down roads, the racers were called “cracks.”

A 19th century cop pedaling as fast as he can on a penny farthing bike is a hilarious visual to me

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

dr_rat posted:

Wouldn't that be like the easiest secret service gig. Like if he's in a white collar criminal prison you'd be think it would be easy enough to make it safe for him.

Yeah but you'd have to still be around the guy your entire shift. And he wouldn't have any meetings or poo poo to keep him occupied so you'd probably have to listen to him randomly and ramble the entire time.

I wouldn't last a shift.

I have ADHD so I can blissfully zone out of conversations (unfortunately at random times beyond my control) so I'm sure that would kick in at some point and become Charlie Brown "Wah wah wah" background noise while I think about three completely different things at the same time.

BigBallChunkyTime fucked around with this message at 16:43 on Feb 8, 2024

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK
Is it just because I'm not a lawyer that it seems weird that Trump's lawyer is more or less conceding that Trump did an insurrection? It just doesn't matter because maybe he convinces Congress to agree by 2/3 that he's absolved.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound
This is the best lawyer Trump had yet had that I've heard

Gyges posted:

Is it just because I'm not a lawyer that it seems weird that Trump's lawyer is more or less conceding that Trump did an insurrection? It just doesn't matter because maybe he convinces Congress to agree by 2/3 that he's absolved.

He's not so much admitting anything as he is saying it's irrelevant at this stage whether he did it or not, he can't be excluded regardless because the right to run for office is distinct from the right to hold office, and the amendment only bars the right to hold. Which is a fair point.

Hieronymous Alloy fucked around with this message at 16:41 on Feb 8, 2024

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

This is the best lawyer Trump had yet had that I've heard

Getting paid in arguing before the Supreme Court. Lawyer exposure

Fuschia tude
Dec 26, 2004

THUNDERDOME LOSER 2019

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

No, once he's elected and wins then his disqualification becomes a nonjusticiable political question.

Does it? The court's already held that states can force their states' electors to vote for their state's winner. If Trump's disqualified those states can just throw out his invalid electors and go with the next highest slate.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Fuschia tude posted:

Does it? The court's already held that states can force their states' electors to vote for their state's winner. If Trump's disqualified those states can just throw out his invalid electors and go with the next highest slate.

Oh I mean such a ruling would be nonsensical but court is gonna court

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

haveblue posted:

Getting paid in arguing before the Supreme Court. Lawyer exposure

That's actually exposure that id think would skyrocket their demand.

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

Fuschia tude posted:

Does it? The court's already held that states can force their states' electors to vote for their state's winner. If Trump's disqualified those states can just throw out his invalid electors and go with the next highest slate.

I think his point is that if Trump wins and it is challenged then the SC is just gonna go "Well it happened, can't stop it now Trump is President by default by the way this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent for Democratic candidates."

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Kchama posted:

I think his point is that if Trump wins and it is challenged then the SC is just gonna go "Well it happened, can't stop it now Trump is President by default by the way this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent for Democratic candidates."

Right

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


BigBallChunkyTime posted:

I have ADHD so I can blissfully zone out of conversations (unfortunately at random times beyond my control) so I'm sure that would kick in at some point and become Charlie Brown "Wah wah wah" background noise while I think about three completely different things at the same time.

Why are you typing my thoughts out on the internet like that? Get out of my head.

Lucasar
Jan 25, 2005

save a few for lefty too

Gyges posted:

Is it just because I'm not a lawyer that it seems weird that Trump's lawyer is more or less conceding that Trump did an insurrection? It just doesn't matter because maybe he convinces Congress to agree by 2/3 that he's absolved.

They're getting to this now.

dr_rat
Jun 4, 2001

Kchama posted:

I think his point is that if Trump wins and it is challenged then the SC is just gonna go "Well it happened, can't stop it now Trump is President by default by the way this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent for Democratic candidates."

Can the high court just outright say "this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent" or do they have to be tricky about the word of the ruling.

Seems a bit weird if one of the points of the high court seeming to be to actually set precedents on issues where the law is a bit vague.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

dr_rat posted:

Can the high court just outright say "this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent" or do they have to be tricky about the word of the ruling.

Seems a bit weird if one of the points of the high court seeming to be to actually set precedents on issues where the law is a bit vague.

They did it in 2000

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

dr_rat posted:

Can the high court just outright say "this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent" or do they have to be tricky about the word of the ruling.

Seems a bit weird if one of the points of the high court seeming to be to actually set precedents on issues where the law is a bit vague.

They can say that, and make it binding on lower courts, but they can't make it binding on themselves in perpetuity even if they wanted to. There is no higher authority that can tell the court they have to abide by a precedent. Congress in theory could do it, but Congress isn't willing to right now

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

dr_rat posted:

Can the high court just outright say "this decision is not allowed to be used as precedent" or do they have to be tricky about the word of the ruling.

Seems a bit weird if one of the points of the high court seeming to be to actually set precedents on issues where the law is a bit vague.

Technically it's complete bullshit, but the SC can do whatever it wants.

Nash
Aug 1, 2003

Sign my 'Bring Goldberg Back' Petition
Listening (not a lawyer) and it sounds like justices are a bit leery about a state making decisions on a federal election.

Crows Turn Off
Jan 7, 2008


Nash posted:

Listening (not a lawyer) and it sounds like justices are a bit leery about a state making decisions on a federal election.
Federal elections are already managed by the states, though? Voting eligibility, electoral districts, voting times and locations, electors, etc?

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Crows Turn Off posted:

Federal elections are already managed by the states, though? Voting eligibility, electoral districts, voting times and locations, electors, etc?

Whether a candidate is constitutionally eligible to be president under federal law can't really be decided on a state-by-state basis. There's lots of state-specific stuff that can be left up to the states, but something like that pretty much needs a national determination.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Colorado explicitly stayed their decision pending supreme court review because it's not up to states to decide, and asked for a federal decision.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound
Ok yeah [edit: Kavanaugh] seems to really be hoping that a federal prosecution solves this issue for him

I would not be optimistic for trumps immunity arguments listening to this

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

I would not be optimistic for trumps immunity arguments listening to this
For him getting his immunity, or not?

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

Grouchio posted:

For him getting his immunity, or not?

The court is not going to rule that presidents are allowed to commit crimes as a perk of holding office

Barrel Cactaur
Oct 6, 2021

If you think they styling on the plaintiff now just wait for next week.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Grouchio posted:

For him getting his immunity, or not?

Not. Kavanaugh is clearly accepting the premise that an insurrectionist can be prosecuted federally and that such a conviction would necessarily disqualify from holding office.

Papercut
Aug 24, 2005

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

No, once he's elected and wins then his disqualification becomes a nonjusticiable political question. And the USSC never has to risk getting shot at by fringe weirdos.

This was my problem with the justices' theoretical about one state deciding the presidential election. Their proposed remedy, Congress refusing to seat an ineligible election winner, is just as insane and would cause just as much chaos when you're talking about president, senator, etc.

gregday
May 23, 2003

Robert’s basically just said if Colorado can kick Trump off the ballot, then every red state will kick off whoever the democratic is every election. He’s basically tipped his hand.

dr_rat
Jun 4, 2001

gregday posted:

Robert’s basically just said if Colorado can kick Trump off the ballot, then every red state will kick off whoever the democratic is every election. He’s basically tipped his hand.

I mean if the democrat candidates in running in every red state in every election are convicted of treason, that seems fine...

I'm somewhat sure the dems wouldn't be stupid enough to just run convicted treason people if they kept on getting kicked off the ballot. Particular after the first one got kicked off.

Only way this would be a threat is if the GOP managed to pass laws in red states calling being a member of the Dems is treason, or something I guess?

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

Ok yeah [edit: Kavanaugh] seems to really be hoping that a federal prosecution solves this issue for him

I would not be optimistic for trumps immunity arguments listening to this

Trump might have been able to make a case for some level of immunity, since we don't like holding Presidents accountable, but he's looking at full treason poo poo and is demanding cart blanche to assassinate political opponents and be a full on tyrant. I'm not even sure Thomas and Alito are on board for it.

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

dr_rat posted:

Only way this would be a threat is if the GOP managed to pass laws in red states calling being a member of the Dems is treason, or something I guess?

Pretty much. If you let states make the determination, they will inevitably make determinations that other states disagree with, and now different parts of the country are using different ballots to vote in federal elections. And something that requires keeping states in line and removing their agency is naturally the responsibility of the federal government

mdemone
Mar 14, 2001

gregday posted:

Robert’s basically just said if Colorado can kick Trump off the ballot, then every red state will kick off whoever the democratic is every election. He’s basically tipped his hand.

Yeah this is going to be an easy reversal. May get as many as 7, 8 votes.

Barrel Cactaur
Oct 6, 2021

dr_rat posted:

I mean if the democrat candidates in running in every red state in every election are convicted of treason, that seems fine...

I'm somewhat sure the dems wouldn't be stupid enough to just run convicted treason people if they kept on getting kicked off the ballot. Particular after the first one got kicked off.

Only way this would be a threat is if the GOP managed to pass laws in red states calling being a member of the Dems is treason, or something I guess?

Yeah the natural response would be to say "the judicial process can rapidly stay and dismiss cases that are totally insubstantial strategic lawsuits rather than genuine and material allegations". Its like saying a bad actor could try and drown a candidate in any spurious legal case, there is an established process for removing meritless cases. The theoretical use of SLAPP tactics would otherwise require extending immunity to all prosecution to any notable figure with public policy positions. Its a fairly farcical question to ask 'what if the other guy spams frivolous suits like a raging chimp with a photocopier'. The answer is courts have to reject meritless cases regardless of the law or principle used to construct them.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Barrel Cactaur posted:

Yeah the natural response would be to say "the judicial process can rapidly stay and dismiss cases that are totally insubstantial strategic lawsuits rather than genuine and material allegations". Its like saying a bad actor could try and drown a candidate in any spurious legal case, there is an established process for removing meritless cases. The theoretical use of SLAPP tactics would otherwise require extending immunity to all prosecution to any notable figure with public policy positions. Its a fairly farcical question to ask 'what if the other guy spams frivolous suits like a raging chimp with a photocopier'. The answer is courts have to reject meritless cases regardless of the law or principle used to construct them.

The atty for the Colorado sec of state basically made this argument just now.

Looking up the attorneys here the guy arguing for Trump is the same Stanford professor who invented the Texas "legalize private lawsuits to enforce abortion laws" thing. So, the rare competent, creative evil.

Oil!
Nov 5, 2008

Der's e'rl in dem der hills!


Ham Wrangler

haveblue posted:

Pretty much. If you let states make the determination, they will inevitably make determinations that other states disagree with, and now different parts of the country are using different ballots to vote in federal elections. And something that requires keeping states in line and removing their agency is naturally the responsibility of the federal government

This is how Presidential ballots already work. Each state decides who qualifies to be on the ballot. It just hasn't recently happened that the debate was over a major party candidate who committed insurrection.

SonOfGhostDad
Nov 16, 2022

haveblue posted:

The court is not going to rule that presidents are allowed to commit crimes as a perk of holding office

quoting for posterity

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound
The argument i have not yet heard that i would have liked to is that disqualifying him now protects voters rights it doesn't damage them, by preventing them from wasting votes on an ineligible candidate.

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Old Kentucky Shark
May 25, 2012

If you think you're gonna get sympathy from the shark, well then, you won't.


BigBallChunkyTime posted:

A 19th century cop pedaling as fast as he can on a penny farthing bike is a hilarious visual to me

The brief period between the mass production of bicycles and the rise of the automobile really doesn’t get enough love. People went loving insane for a while, drunk on the absolute natural high of top speeds of ten to fifteen mph.

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