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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:In the continuing trend of "literally everything becoming partisan" news, views on specific states have dramatically shifted and sorted by partisanship. Honestly, if right-wingers are unhappy in California, they can just leave, the rest of us will be better off
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Feb 14, 2024 02:00
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House finally got their ducks in order and impeached Mayorkas. https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/mayorkas-impeachment-house-vote-02-13-24/index.html
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Feb 14, 2024 02:02
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Nissin Cup Nudist posted:Good info here. I think it would be better if there were jobs that kept people from leaving the region. But you have to build all that up from scratch, because no one in their right mind is going to pour the resources into anywhere outside of the coasts or like Texas where the infrastructure and expertise doesn't already exist.
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Feb 14, 2024 02:21
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I saw a paper that remote work resulted in a lot more Appalachian graduates returning home after college. The immediate effect is really just to stop the bleeding rather than rebuild the area.
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Feb 14, 2024 02:35
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Morrow posted:I saw a paper that remote work resulted in a lot more Appalachian graduates returning home after college. The immediate effect is really just to stop the bleeding rather than rebuild the area. Were those jobs able to stay remote? I hope so.
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Feb 14, 2024 02:36
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A lot more of the wfh movement was within regions. Interstate was a smaller portion than in region, it’s just more visible to folks. The in region wfh moves aren’t going to move back, if back is hybrid and most bto seems to be hybrid.
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Feb 14, 2024 02:55
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Eric Cantonese posted:Were those jobs able to stay remote? I hope so. Many of them ya. We have team in the office two days once a month. The company flys you out and puts you up in a hotel for two days. It's cheaper on the department's budget than playing facilities for a full time desk.
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Feb 14, 2024 02:58
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For us it was only us suckers who stayed local who were brought back hybrid. Everyone else who hosed off around the country had the right idea. One guy built a mini-house into a trailer and every other week I have a call with him where he's in some new national park.
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Feb 14, 2024 03:01
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FlamingLiberal posted:Our state leaders are making sure that our sunshine laws will soon only apply to regular people and not them. They conveniently made the selection process for state university presidents confidential when they hired former Sen. Ben Sasse to go run UF. Oh yeah I totally know that. Just saying it's been a factor in "Florida Man" becoming a meme when other states have plenty of incredibly dumb people as well.
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Feb 14, 2024 03:22
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STAC Goat posted:People are gonna read a LOT into a Republican leaning suburb of NYC special election on the day of the worst snow storm NYC has gotten in years. Ehh this one was over over by noon. I've seen rain events that were more disruptive to polling
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Feb 14, 2024 03:29
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Big election news in a swing state leaning Dem https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1757582844870705601?s=20
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Feb 14, 2024 03:38
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If people are sick of these updates, please let me know. This guy is apparently trusted by local reporters. https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1757590131211391406 https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1757594707557745016 https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1757593852741906915 The snow probably hurt the GOP more than the Dems here.
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Feb 14, 2024 03:42
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Calls are starting to come in for the Dem https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1757600237919551981?s=20
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Feb 14, 2024 04:06
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Nassau County votes started coming in and Suozzi was leading in the first batch. https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1757600665306583271 Decision Desk decided to call it already. https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1757600237919551981 AP too. https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1757601637923684352 Yay.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:07
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Was there much reputable polling for this race?
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Feb 14, 2024 04:16
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Bidens polling numbers really hindered Suozzis ability to have his victory called an hour earlier than expected. What will Bidens polling numbers do next?
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Feb 14, 2024 04:16
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What a relief. I also hate that a single house seat matters so much.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:18
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Regardless of who would've won, that election was unique enough that it wouldn't have meant anything for November unless one candidate won by a large margin. But a win is a win.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:19
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Anno posted:Was there much reputable polling for this race? 
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Feb 14, 2024 04:20
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Anno posted:Was there much reputable polling for this race? This says the polls were D+3, but doesn't say who the pollsters were.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:21
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Now just to be clear, we are sure this isn't Santos under another alias, right?
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Feb 14, 2024 04:22
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L. Ron DeSantis posted:Oh yeah I totally know that. Just saying it's been a factor in "Florida Man" becoming a meme when other states have plenty of incredibly dumb people as well. Well, there's also a limit one citizens of other states to do alligator beard crimes. That and the entire state being either beaches or hillbillies makes for very media friendly crimes to cherry pick.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:23
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What's the house margin after that?
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Feb 14, 2024 04:23
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So if we unskew the polls Biden is actually at 50% approval
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Feb 14, 2024 04:23
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I feel like we're going to see a decent amount of takes like the following. https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1755637354398662769
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Feb 14, 2024 04:24
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Normy posted:What's the house margin after that? I think it's now 219-213. 6 seat majority There are still 4 vacancies, I believe. https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown Apparently this election was one of the drivers for having Mayorkas' impeachment happen today.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:30
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https://twitter.com/FoxReports/status/1757610191015624929 There's still some tea leaves to read in terms of the exact margin, to see whether dems over or underperformed polls.
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Feb 14, 2024 04:43
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I live in this district, and I have a few observations. In my area at least there were tons of Mazi signs all over the place, and a few Suozzi signs which is..pretty surprising actually. My area is really really red and to see signs for Suozzi in this area is pretty significant. Democrats here tend to keep their mouths shut here and don't put out signs or have stickers on their car out of fear of vandalism. My wife and I voted early, a week ago on the first day of early voting. The polling pace had a HUUUGE line out the door for this one election, and many of the people early voting were probably in their 70s. The amount of paper, phone calls, targeted advertising and the rest was loving NUTS. I'd get 4-5 broadsheets a day in the mail for each candidate. The two big themes were 'she's anti abortion' and 'hes tied to Biden at the hip.' These are obviously trial balloons for November. As a candidate she sucked. No idea why she was nominated, probably because she checked off a number of boxes (Wait, i thought the republicans hated identity politics?). She had no real positions, no character and no personality. Apparently at the debate she floundered badly.
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Feb 14, 2024 05:11
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L. Ron DeSantis posted:Regardless of who would've won, that election was unique enough that it wouldn't have meant anything for November unless one candidate won by a large margin. But a win is a win. Is an almost 20 point margin not "large"? EDIT: Especially when Santos himself won it by 7.5% EDIT 2: Nevermind, I was using old data. Current margin is about 8.5%. Still a 15 point swing. Neo_Crimson fucked around with this message at 05:40 on Feb 14, 2024 |
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Feb 14, 2024 05:32
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Neo_Crimson posted:Is an almost 20 point margin not "large"? Sounds like a lot of the remaining votes may be from R friendly areas, just not enough to change the result. We'll see.
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Feb 14, 2024 05:36
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my understanding is the house gop pushed the impeachment vote to avoid dealing with the seat flipping, but the foreseeable result is losing a bunch of media focus on the impeachment to prognosticate on the horse race. a gop house so bad they can't even match the hay the tea party folks made out of benghazi
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Feb 14, 2024 05:37
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L. Ron DeSantis posted:Regardless of who would've won, that election was unique enough that it wouldn't have meant anything for November unless one candidate won by a large margin. But a win is a win. Enough of this. Democrats winning in the midterms. Democrats winning in special elections in 2023. Democrats winning in special elections in 2024. Democrats winning in bad weather. Democrats winning in good weather. Democrats winning very strange seats. Democrats winning very normal seats. Democrats also retained control of the PA House with a +35 win in a +10 Biden district. What's the common thread here? Democrats winning, and they keep on winning. But I'm sure that the people who voted for almost-senior citizen centrist Zionist "close the border" Suozzi are not going to vote for Biden because he's old or Gaza or something.
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Feb 14, 2024 06:02
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small butter posted:Enough of this. [sarcasm] No, the fact the Dems keep winning means nothing for Biden. Actually, let me tell you why it's bad for him! [/sarcasm] https://twitter.com/DougJBalloon/status/1757608315427672498 Ither fucked around with this message at 06:13 on Feb 14, 2024 |
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Feb 14, 2024 06:06
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donald trump was simultaneously convicted of 1,000 crimes and caught on fire before being devoured by velociraptors. here's why this is bad news for biden
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Feb 14, 2024 06:46
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Staluigi posted:donald trump was simultaneously convicted of 1,000 crimes and caught on fire before being devoured by velociraptors. here's why this is bad news for biden Well, for one thing, that won’t cost Trump any votes
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Feb 14, 2024 06:55
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Actually as I was listing the reasons this district is unique, all but one should have favored the Republican. Maybe it is good news. Most swing districts: Are not 20% Jewish, many of whom are now single-issue Israel voters Do not have the Republicans running a candidate practically tailor made for the district Are not in states where abortion rights are secure Are not right next to a city where a surge of migration is overwhelming services, and where the NY Post is constantly highlighting that fact Are not laughingstocks for having elected George Santos ...huh, I thought this was going to be more balanced, maybe this is pretty good news for the Dems
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Feb 14, 2024 07:01
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L. Ron DeSantis posted:Actually as I was listing the reasons this district is unique, all but one should have favored the Republican. Maybe it is good news. You're missing arguably the single biggest factor: Suozzi held the seat for several terms, leaving it to run for Governor instead He's not technically an incumbent but he is essentially an incumbent
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Feb 14, 2024 07:03
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haveblue posted:Well, for one thing, that won’t cost Trump any votes is biden's age worse than chief velociraptor's pledge to withdraw from nato and designate humans as food? tune in for our daily dems in disarray special
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Feb 14, 2024 07:45
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GhostofJohnMuir posted:my understanding is the house gop pushed the impeachment vote to avoid dealing with the seat flipping, but the foreseeable result is losing a bunch of media focus on the impeachment to prognosticate on the horse race. a gop house so bad they can't even match the hay the tea party folks made out of benghazi For once the TV in the break room was on the local news instead of either CSI or NCIS. Which is where I learned they actually impeached the guy "Over disagreements about the border. Experts doubt the Impeachment will proceed." It was sandwiched between a much lengthier segment about the special election and an unhinged attempt to get the viewer to riot over gummies edibles that look like candy gummies. Staluigi posted:donald trump was simultaneously convicted of 1,000 crimes and caught on fire before being devoured by velociraptors. here's why this is bad news for biden Actually that probably is bad news for Biden. A large part of his appeal is not being Trump when the only other option is Trump.
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Feb 14, 2024 08:08
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Gyges posted:Actually that probably is bad news for Biden. A large part of his appeal is not being Trump when the only other option is Trump. you're hired. welcome to the opinion desk
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Feb 14, 2024 10:04
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