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Okuteru
Nov 10, 2007

Choose this life you're on your own

hooman posted:

Please quote where I said this was a good thing.

Trump loving sucks, Trump is a shithead who will gently caress things up and make poo poo worse.

Saying Trump will definitely overthrow democracy and install himself as dictator for life is just fortune telling. Is it possible that happens? Of course, many things are possible. Is it even close to likely? No.

Trump is a fascist and a piece of poo poo, but he's also a huge dumbass who probably has dementia and can't keep his mind on one thing and has surrounded himself with people who are generally dumber and more venal than he is until he backstabs them. He may win or he may lose, but if he tries to make himself king he's going to fail.

It's like you're trying to do the Fukuyama End of History bit, but for Trump.

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Crows Turn Off
Jan 7, 2008


dadrips posted:

It already has got worse, and will continue to do so barring the democrats being significantly better on a variety of issues instead of aspiring to be slightly less (or equally as) bad than the other guy.
The Biden Administration has been the most progressive administration we've ever had. Are you actually ignoring all of the demostic policy and domestic improvements that would not have happened with Trump in office?

Here's a list:
https://old.reddit.com/r/WhatBidenHasDone/comments/1abyvpa/the_complete_list_what_biden_has_done/

The Democrats and Biden actually support Ukraine against Russia, Trump has said many times he supports Russia instead, he would ensure Russia keeps invading other countries.

Trump's people literally state out-loud they want Christain Fascism for his second term:
https://newrepublic.com/post/179150/christian-nationalist-second-trump-term-plans

Voting against Biden due to Israel will not improve that situation, and make every other situation worse.

Pleasant Friend
Dec 30, 2008

Eregos posted:

I've been thinking a lot about how the 2024 election. After reviewing lots of evidence, I'd handicap it Biden 10% chance of winning, Trump 90%. Biden is almost totally doomed, no precedent for a Democratic incumbent trailing so far.

This is assessment is completely at odds with reality. While the media loves to promote a horserace narrative and liberals have a rep for "snatching defeat from the jaws of victory" which causes a lot of doomerism from leftwing crowds, the facts are Biden is overwhelmingly likely to win the election. The only pathway for Trump to conceivably win, since he has no chance of winning more voters than 2020, is to depress the votes of Democratic Party. And that's just very unlikely since Trump motivates Dems to come out to oppose him, and we have consistently seen Democrats over-perform in elections.

There is not going to be many people willing to admit that Biden winning is not just possible but probable, because there is no benefit to it. People like to root for an underdog. People don't donate as much to candidates that "don't need it" to win. People aren't as motivated to rush out and vote if they think the candidate they support will win without their vote. But when you cut out the kayfabe its very clear that Biden has every advantage this election.

Pleasant Friend fucked around with this message at 15:58 on Mar 3, 2024

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

Ither posted:

The price of insulin is capped to $35 for Americans with Medicare because the Dems controlled the Presidency and Congress in 2022.

In order for the price to be to capped for Americans without Medicare, the Dems need to control the Presidency and Congress again (in the Senate the Dems need either 60 Senators to overcome a filibuster or 50 willing to eliminate the filibuster)

That is, anyone who truly cares about the affordablity of insulin, should be voting blue.

What's stopping Biden either increasing monopoly enforcement or overruling the parliamentarian, and making it executive decree that it applies whether insured or not? Would you oppose him doing either action, given that as others have stated, the alternative is literal fascism?

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

dadrips posted:

What's stopping Biden either increasing monopoly enforcement or overruling the parliamentarian, and making it executive decree that it applies whether insured or not? Would you oppose him doing either action, given that as others have stated, the alternative is literal fascism?

Really weird way to put it. What's stopping him is the rule of law, and 'we must destroy the rule of law to save it' is literally fascism 101...

Kith
Sep 17, 2009

You never learn anything
by doing it right.


i thought we got rid of qcs to prevent this exact kind of thing

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

Really weird way to put it. What's stopping him is the rule of law, and 'we must destroy the rule of law to save it' is literally fascism 101...

No, you're right, a decree that says "people shouldn't die of being unable to afford insulin" is the same as one that says "people from Muslim majority countries aren't allowed to enter the country"

God forbid someone in the executive branch use their unchecked powers for good for once. The genie's out the bottle, you might as well do something positive with it instead of just handwringing about decorum.

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

Worrying that trump will cause nuclear hellfire isn't exactly an unsupported position.

He withdrew from the INF and brought the US into conflict with the treaty, beginning the path to having basically no arms control agreements active: https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2019-09/news/us-completes-inf-treaty-withdrawal

He ended the JPCOA, an effective deal which verifiably increased Iran's breakout time by a large amount, leading them to be less likely to pivot to nuclear weapons production during a regional crisis or conflict.

He openly called for the expansion of the US' nuclear arsenal and considered a return to nuclear testing at NTS: https://time.com/5128394/donald-trump-nuclear-poker/

He engaged in some of the most direct nuclear brinkmanship rhetoric ever seen with a US president while dealing with North Korea: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/aug/08/donald-trump-north-korea-missile-threats-fire-fury

He allegedly considered utilizing one against North Korea while trying to blame a third party: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-discussed-using-nuclear-weapon-north-korea-2017-blaming-someone-rcna65120

This is all with the background that the situation Trump inherited in 2016 was basically a paradise of strategic and diplomatic stability compared to the world we live in now. With so many more real flashpoints his rhetoric and brinkmanship would bring even higher risks of escalation than faced in his first term.

B B
Dec 1, 2005

CBS/Yougov (pollster ratings) just released some polling that continues to show Trump leading Biden:



Some other interesting questions from the poll:







Related to the ongoing discussion about preserving democracy, it doesn't appear that either Biden or Trump has an edge with voters:



Full poll results here:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-leads-biden-economy/

Bucky Fullminster
Apr 13, 2007

This is the guy who stood up on the night of the previous election and just straight-up said "frankly, we did win", and then did everything he could to make that a reality, and but for grace of the chairman of the joint chiefs and a traditionalist vice-president, he very nearly could have. So yeah, this not a party that has much respect for elections any more. His acolytes are on tape saying "gently caress the voting, let's get right to the violence" He's already told us that he is willing and eager to quite literally overthrow democracy.

But that doesn't just mean literally "installing himself as dictator for life". It means dismantling the institutions.. etc yadda yadda I'm too tired to go into it.

edit - and like I said before, even if Biden does win, significant numbers of people are going to reject the result and will likely resort to violence.

edit 2 \/\/

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

Why do you think the Trumpists are so mad about the Deep State, just for fun?"

It's for Propaganda

Bucky Fullminster fucked around with this message at 16:14 on Mar 3, 2024

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

dadrips posted:

No, you're right, a decree that says "people shouldn't die of being unable to afford insulin" is the same as one that says "people from Muslim majority countries aren't allowed to enter the country"

God forbid someone in the executive branch use their unchecked powers for good for once. The genie's out the bottle, you might as well do something positive with it instead of just handwringing about decorum.

Executive powers are in fact checked as hell, so long as the rule of law holds. Why do you think the Trumpists are so mad about the Deep State, just for fun?"

Biden's done a lot on Insulin. Do you credit that literally at all?

Jesus III
May 23, 2007

dadrips posted:

What's stopping Biden either increasing monopoly enforcement or overruling the parliamentarian, and making it executive decree that it applies whether insured or not? Would you oppose him doing either action, given that as others have stated, the alternative is literal fascism?

An extremly conservative court.

FLIPADELPHIA
Apr 27, 2007

Heavy Shit
Grimey Drawer

Comstar posted:

I don’t understand how you can not vote for Biden and simply assume you will get another chance.


If Trump wins there are no more votes. You get a full theocracy and dictatorship.

I would like you to outline very specifically how you think President Donald Trump would eliminate all future elections in America.

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

Executive powers are in fact checked as hell, so long as the rule of law holds. Why do you think the Trumpists are so mad about the Deep State, just for fun?"

Biden's done a lot on Insulin. Do you credit that literally at all?

Do you think he's done enough? Are you content with half measures that mean that uninsured people with diabetes - at least 2 million people - still have to pay hundreds of dollars? Again, I'm not interested in procedural niceties. I'm asking whether you think he's done enough, and should be happy with what he's achieved.

I'm only concentrating on insulin because it is such an easy win, by the way. If the democrats really wanted to, they could wipe out the need to pay any kind of substantial amount for insulin overnight. Their continued refusal to do so, along with any other number of basic measures that would indicate they actually want to improve people's lives, is why they deserve nothing but contempt.

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

dadrips posted:

Do you think he's done enough? Are you content with half measures that mean that uninsured people with diabetes - at least 2 million people - still have to pay hundreds of dollars? Again, I'm not interested in procedural niceties. I'm asking whether you think he's done enough, and should be happy with what he's achieved.

I'm only concentrating on insulin because it is such an easy win, by the way. If the democrats really wanted to, they could wipe out the need to pay any kind of substantial amount for insulin overnight. Their continued refusal to do so, along with any other number of basic measures that would indicate they actually want to improve people's lives, is why they deserve nothing but contempt.

How would they do this with no legislation? Please outline the steps 1 by 1, ideally with backing from any type of policy experts, without just saying "they should enact their will by decree." Even if Biden wanted to bypass the courts, how would his administration actually enforce the arbitrary decree it has no power to make?

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

Jesus III posted:

An extremly conservative court.

Oh wow, it sure is a shame that it would be impossible for a motivated democratic president to appoint a sufficient number of judges to override the Christian psychos that Trump appointed

Again, if you genuinely believe that it's this or fascism, you better be prepared to do something more meaningful than just voting.

Skex
Feb 22, 2012

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

hooman posted:

Please quote where I said this was a good thing.

Trump loving sucks, Trump is a shithead who will gently caress things up and make poo poo worse.

Saying Trump will definitely overthrow democracy and install himself as dictator for life is just fortune telling. Is it possible that happens? Of course, many things are possible. Is it even close to likely? No.

Trump is a fascist and a piece of poo poo, but he's also a huge dumbass who probably has dementia and can't keep his mind on one thing and has surrounded himself with people who are generally dumber and more venal than he is until he backstabs them. He may win or he may lose, but if he tries to make himself king he's going to fail.

See here is the loving problem.

Y'all keep thinking that this is about Trump when the problem is that 30-45% of the voting population is fully on board for Fascism.

But you'd rather spend your time and energy attacking those who you don't think are fighting against it the right way than deal with that reality.

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

Kagrenak posted:

How would they do this with no legislation? Please outline the steps 1 by 1, ideally with backing from any type of policy experts, without just saying "they should enact their will by decree." Even if Biden wanted to bypass the courts, how would his administration actually enforce the arbitrary decree it has no power to make?

It's actually very simple - the government has a monopoly on power through the courts and the police, and it can use that monopoly on power to force corporations to behave, either through regulatory enforcement or other means if they refuse to cooperate in providing life saving medicine at a cost that everybody can afford without risking debt.

This power is currently levied against people who are guilty of nothing more than smoking weed, I'm just asking it to be applied in a socially useful fashion.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010
I was very excited to see so many posts in this thread because I thought there was maybe some exciting saturday night news, such as progress on a Israel-Hamas ceasefire or the US directly dropping aid into Gaza via air and bypassing Israeli checkpoints, but instead it's a rehashed argument about how Biden hasn't implemented full communism now and the only alternative is to embrace fascism.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Ither
Jan 30, 2010

dadrips posted:

What's stopping Biden either increasing monopoly enforcement or overruling the parliamentarian, and making it executive decree that it applies whether insured or not? Would you oppose him doing either action, given that as others have stated, the alternative is literal fascism?

Biden is increasing monopoly enforcement.

https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/02/ftc-challenges-krogers-acquisition-albertsons


Also, I would not be opposed to overruling parliamentarian, but I don't think there are enough votes. Minus Manchin and Sinema, that's only 49 Senators.

This goes to my point. If there were more Dems, then the quantity (and quality) of policies enacted would increase.

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Kagrenak posted:

How would they do this with no legislation? Please outline the steps 1 by 1, ideally with backing from any type of policy experts, without just saying "they should enact their will by decree." Even if Biden wanted to bypass the courts, how would his administration actually enforce the arbitrary decree it has no power to make?

The Senate parliamentarian is what stopped them in 2022:

https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/07/politics/insulin-cap-democrats-reconciliation-bill/index.html

Overrule and/or fire them. There's historical precedent for it. Firing an unelected roadblock standing in the way of making life-saving medications affordable for the 1-in-10 Americans with diabetes doesn't really seem like doing a fascism to me.

Eletriarnation
Apr 6, 2005

People don't appreciate the substance of things...
objects in space.


Oven Wrangler

dadrips posted:

Oh wow, it sure is a shame that it would be impossible for a motivated democratic president to appoint a sufficient number of judges to override the Christian psychos that Trump appointed

Again, if you genuinely believe that it's this or fascism, you better be prepared to do something more meaningful than just voting.

The judges don't get onto the court automatically, they have to be approved by the Senate. The Senate would not approve them, because it doesn't have enough Democrats who are in favor of such a move. It could, if more people would vote for Democrats, but then we have folks like you saying "don't vote for Democrats because they don't get anything done" and here we are.

Who are you to argue we should "do something more meaningful than just voting" if you're not willing to do that much?

Zwabu
Aug 7, 2006

Since there is now an electoral politics thread, are there no punishments for persisting in polluting this thread with that argument instead of bringing it there?

I would read that thread if I wanted to read this argument that has been rehashed in these USCE threads a thousand times.

As far as Jan 6th goes, even though it failed in its end of installing Trump as dictator (that’s what you are if you stay leader and are immune to election results), fascists do learn from their mistakes.

The Nazis’ beer hall putsch also seems ridiculous in retrospect and failed miserably. But they learned from their mistakes and took another whack at it from a different angle and voila.

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

dadrips posted:

It's actually very simple - the government has a monopoly on power through the courts and the police, and it can use that monopoly on power to force corporations to behave, either through regulatory enforcement or other means if they refuse to cooperate in providing life saving medicine at a cost that everybody can afford without risking debt.

This power is currently levied against people who are guilty of nothing more than smoking weed, I'm just asking it to be applied in a socially useful fashion.

The government isn't one institution and the various institutions have overlapping authorities to impose state control on one another. This is a pretty foundational fact of running a state and what you're describing is just imposing a dictatorship of the executive which would be opposed by the other branches and grind the functioning of the state to a halt through a constitutional crisis.

Ravenfood
Nov 4, 2011
Oh good, the insulin discussion is back to entertaining the argument that half measures are somehow worse than no measures at all.

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

Ither posted:

Minus Manchin and Sinema

Why does the democratic party tolerate wreckers like these in their midst, who have done just as much if not more than republicans to stymie progressive legislation? Furthermore, where's the guarantee that "vote blue no matter who" doesn't result in more people like these whose only objection to the republican party platform is aesthetic?

Ravenfood posted:

Oh good, the insulin discussion is back to entertaining the argument that half measures are somehow worse than no measures at all.

Why half measures in the first place? Why are the Dems so concerned with the bottom line of the pharma companies, and not the people they exist to serve?

dadrips fucked around with this message at 16:35 on Mar 3, 2024

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

dadrips posted:

Why does the democratic party tolerate wreckers like these in their midst, who have done just as much if not more than republicans to stymie progressive legislation? Furthermore, where's the guarantee that "vote blue no matter who" doesn't result in more people like these whose only objection to the republican party platform is aesthetic?

Okay so let's say the Dems throw them out of the caucus. Oops McConnell controls the agenda and WV elects a Republican again because it's loving West Virginia and they've forgotten their founding.

dadrips
Jan 8, 2010

everything you do is a balloon
College Slice

Kagrenak posted:

Okay so let's say the Dems throw them out of the caucus. Oops McConnell controls the agenda and WV elects a Republican again because it's loving West Virginia and they've forgotten their founding.

As opposed to right now, where you have the entire democratic party being held to ransom by Mr Coal And Guns

Eletriarnation
Apr 6, 2005

People don't appreciate the substance of things...
objects in space.


Oven Wrangler

dadrips posted:

Why does the democratic party tolerate wreckers like these in their midst, who have done just as much if not more than republicans to stymie progressive legislation? Furthermore, where's the guarantee that "vote blue no matter who" doesn't result in more people like these whose only objection to the republican party platform is aesthetic?

Why half measures in the first place? Why are the Dems so concerned with the bottom line of the pharma companies, and not the people they exist to serve?

The Democrats tolerate them because they won their primaries, and the alternative to a Democrat who won their primary and partially agrees with you is a Republican who does not agree with you at all. Beat them in the primaries if you want something better.

There is no guarantee that you won't elect more officials who turn out like this (especially in purple states!), which is why you need enough of a buffer to marginalize and ignore them until you can primary them. Not a bare 50-50 which is only a majority because you hold the tiebreaker.

The Dems are only doing half measures because not enough of them support the full measures you want for those full measures to pass. Again, you need to stop asking why we're not moving mountains with a bare majority. The answer is obvious.

Ravenfood
Nov 4, 2011

dadrips posted:

Why does the democratic party tolerate wreckers like these in their midst, who have done just as much if not more than republicans to stymie progressive legislation? Furthermore, where's the guarantee that "vote blue no matter who" doesn't result in more people like these whose only objection to the republican party platform is aesthetic?

Why half measures in the first place? Why are the Dems so concerned with the bottom line of the pharma companies, and not the people they exist to serve?
Because they are products of a capitalist, colonialist, racist, sexist society and aren't...I don't know, perfect shining paragons of virtue or whatever. The idea that the Democratic party is flawed and lovely doesn't seem like a groundbreaking argument. Have you been so blessed in your life that every choice you've made has had a clear "good" option?

And no, Manchin has not done more to stymie progressive legislation than a random member of the GOP Senate.

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

hooman posted:

If you want to talk about the overthrow of democracy, you'd be closer arguing that happened in Florida in 2000.

hooman posted:

You actually think the dumb plan would have worked? Do you have that low a view of the resilience of the electoral system?

I dunno how to argue with someone who thinks that a few hundred rioters in Florida were successfully able to subvert our electoral system, but thousands of rioters at the Capital could not, and that the electoral system is solid, but also has already demonstrably failed in the past

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

dadrips posted:

As opposed to right now, where you have the entire democratic party being held to ransom by Mr Coal And Guns

They were able to get some decent things passed while still having that roadblock instead of completely giving up the legislative calendar and doing nothing at all.

Byzantine
Sep 1, 2007

Sounds like the Republic should've executed all the ringleaders of the treasonous plot to overthrow it, and then it wouldn't be collapsing to those exact same ringleaders. We keep letting the insurrectionists go and then being baffled when they don't give up after losing once.

JonathonSpectre
Jul 23, 2003

I replaced the Shermatar and text with this because I don't wanna see racial slurs every time you post what the fuck

Soiled Meat
Trump's not going to get rid of elections if he wins. poo poo, even Saddam didn't get rid of elections.

He just won every one that happened after his takeover by 99.8% of the vote, that's all! The silent majority supported Saddam!

The vocal ones were screaming their loving lungs out being fed feet-first into industrial plastic shredders.

Let's see what's on this ballot, "Saddam" on one side, "Your family gets fed to dogs" on the other. Hmmm... you know... Saddam's not that bad...

Bucky Fullminster
Apr 13, 2007

Zwabu posted:


The Nazis’ beer hall putsch also seems ridiculous in retrospect and failed miserably. But they learned from their mistakes and took another whack at it from a different angle and voila.

The difference between the beer hall putsch and jan 6 is that there were at least some consequences for the people who led the beer hall putsch

Acebuckeye13
Nov 2, 2010

Against All Tyrants

Ultra Carp

dadrips posted:

As opposed to right now, where you have the entire democratic party being held to ransom by Mr Coal And Guns

Is this post from a year and a half ago? Right now they aren't passing much of anything on account of Republicans controlling the House, as opposed to the multiple massive (if neutered) bills they were able to pass in the first two years of the administration. Not to mention the nearly two hundred judges! turns out controlling the chamber is actually pretty important even if you have to wrangle some assholes

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe

Kagrenak posted:

The government isn't one institution and the various institutions have overlapping authorities to impose state control on one another. This is a pretty foundational fact of running a state and what you're describing is just imposing a dictatorship of the executive which would be opposed by the other branches and grind the functioning of the state to a halt through a constitutional crisis.

Though it's on a different topic this is a very good post about the functioning of governance and state institutions which summarises why I struggle to believe that Trump will be able to overpower that state inertia to install himself as dictator. It could easily be that I am dumb and have too much belief in the resilience of democratic institutions. I hope that time will not have an opportunity to tell.

Lemming posted:

I dunno how to argue with someone who thinks that a few hundred rioters in Florida were successfully able to subvert our electoral system, but thousands of rioters at the Capital could not, and that the electoral system is solid, but also has already demonstrably failed in the past

I'm not attributing Florida to rioters.

Eletriarnation
Apr 6, 2005

People don't appreciate the substance of things...
objects in space.


Oven Wrangler

Byzantine posted:

Sounds like the Republic should've executed all the ringleaders of the treasonous plot to overthrow it, and then it wouldn't be collapsing to those exact same ringleaders. We keep letting the insurrectionists go and then being baffled when they don't give up after losing once.

If "the Republic" were an entity with a unified will which knew what was good for it then that might have happened, but its decision-making apparatus happens to be a bunch of largely self-interested humans. Many of them lack the vision to see what needs to be done, others lack the will to support it, and a very substantial portion are in fact sympathetic to the plot to overthrow the very system they sit at the top of. Unfortunately, wishing for something better or disliking what we have will not cause an easy way out of the situation to materialize in front of us.

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

hooman posted:

I'm not attributing Florida to rioters.

The Brooks Brothers Riot was a necessary step in the chain that led to the Supreme Court tossing the election to Bush

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Ither
Jan 30, 2010

dadrips posted:

Why does the democratic party tolerate wreckers like these in their midst, who have done just as much if not more than republicans to stymie progressive legislation?

Sinema is not be tolerated. She is being primaried (well, she's an independent now, but there's a Dem running for her seat).

Manchin is retiring.

Also even with them being awful, good legislation has been passed. Good judges have been confirmed.

quote:

Furthermore, where's the guarantee that "vote blue no matter who" doesn't result in more people like these whose only objection to the republican party platform is aesthetic?

There is no guarantee. Sometimes the wool gets pulled over your eyes like what happened with Sinema. But you keep on trying.

I mean, what's your alternative? You give up? How does that get you what you want?

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