Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
(Thread IKs: PoundSand)
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

Paradoxish posted:

In like four years I've never made any genuinely dire predictions because our society is poo poo and can absorb stupid amounts of death and suffering, but I don't think you actually need anywhere near 50% mortality to cause everything to fall apart. I think 5-15% is probably the magic range where society implodes just because COVID has so profoundly destroyed the concept of public health. That's the point where every family has a death and every workplace stops being able to function as most people choose to face tank the 1 in 10 death chance rather than taking the appropriate response of running in terror.

It can probably get really bad at <5% if non-fatal infections are extremely debilitating and/or require hospitalization.

I mean if it’s a seriously disfiguring disease or makes your dick fall off or rots your flesh from your bones ala leprosy that might give some people pause. They don’t fear death but they drat sure fear being ugly.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Gunshow Poophole
Sep 14, 2008

OMBUDSMAN
POSTERS LOCAL 42069




Clapping Larry

Oracle posted:

I mean if it’s a seriously disfiguring disease or makes your dick fall off or rots your flesh from your bones ala leprosy that might give some people pause. They don’t fear death but they drat sure fear being ugly.

yeah you gotta appeal to vanity because it's the individualism driving peoples' brains

Crazypoops
Jul 17, 2017



Hmmm bird cow flu

Heh let me know when it hits primates you ninnys

Crazypoops
Jul 17, 2017



Running up to a field of cattle *cough cough* hey I've got bird flu! Haha loving coWards

tuyop
Sep 15, 2006

Every second that we're not growing BASIL is a second wasted

Fun Shoe

Oracle posted:

I mean if it’s a seriously disfiguring disease or makes your dick fall off or rots your flesh from your bones ala leprosy that might give some people pause. They don’t fear death but they drat sure fear being ugly.

Covid already eats dick and sucks pussy and nobody cares!

Parity warning
Nov 1, 2009



3rd Place, TRP Sack Race 2021/22
actually my dick never worked :smuggo:

Raskolnikov2089
Nov 3, 2006

Schizzy to the matic
Couldn’t find moth juice so went with my first love, moderna.

Gatekeeping on a walk-in extended to asking when my last shot was, and then asking if I was immunocompromised.

Nothing beyond that but I barely felt the needle and my arm has yet to start hurting so maybe the pharmacist gave me a, “Sure thin, fake” shot

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

this mf
Remarks by President Biden at a Campaign Event | New York, NY | The White House

www.whitehouse.gov - Fri, 29 Mar 2024 posted:


 But think how we’ve diminished the dialogue. What are we doing? What the hell are we doing to our children?

 You know, the pandemic has extracted a big price from us, from this society. One million people dead. Didn’t have to be that high. Didn’t have to be that. 

 We came in, we got to work, and finished it. 

 But here’s the deal. I was speaking with Vivek Murthy, our Surgeon General that I appointed. He talks about the mental health problems that exist in the country as a consequence of this. For every single person who passed away, the estimates are there’s 8 to 10 people who are profoundly affected — mother, father, son, daughter, husband, wife. And it’s had a profound effect.

 Well, folks, we can overcome all of this. We really can. And I think it just — and the world is looking for us to lead. 

 I don’t want to — you know, everybody says, “Well, why are you putting the burden on us?” Because it’s who we are. 

 We’re the most unique country in the world. Last comment, I promise. The most unique country in the world. Every other country is organized based upon ethnicity, geography, religion.  It’s a — but we’re the only country based on an idea. It’s not — it’s not a joke. An idea. 

Why Am I So Tired
Sep 28, 2021

mawarannahr posted:

quote:

It’s a — but we’re the only country based on an idea. It’s not — it’s not a joke. An idea.


And that idea is Open Biden.

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


Kragger99 posted:

Bovid will be fine. There's herd immunity! I'm sure the people in charge will take stock of the situation. Have they ever steered us wrong? At least the steaks aren't that high and that's no bull.

Animal-Mother
Feb 14, 2012

RABBIT RABBIT
RABBIT RABBIT

mawarannahr posted:

It’s a — but we’re the only country based on an idea. It’s not — it’s not a joke. An idea

I would like to see a country based on a joke.

ram dass in hell
Dec 29, 2019



:420::toot::420:

Animal-Mother posted:

I would like to see a country based on a joke.

every country is based on a joke

Crazypoops
Jul 17, 2017



I've got an idea, it's a joke.

maxwellhill
Jan 5, 2022

Paradoxish posted:

In like four years I've never made any genuinely dire predictions because our society is poo poo and can absorb stupid amounts of death and suffering, but I don't think you actually need anywhere near 50% mortality to cause everything to fall apart. I think 5-15% is probably the magic range where society implodes just because COVID has so profoundly destroyed the concept of public health. That's the point where every family has a death and every workplace stops being able to function as most people choose to face tank the 1 in 10 death chance rather than taking the appropriate response of running in terror.

It can probably get really bad at <5% if non-fatal infections are extremely debilitating and/or require hospitalization. Nightmare scenario is a disease with actual lasting immunity from infection because survivors will have zero tolerance for anyone who wants to avoid infection.

temper your expectations, everybody. the big thing we all missed in 2020 was how SLOW pandemics are. we assumed all those deaths would happen simultaneously. in reality it took over two years for the virus to come close to full population coverage. and that was the most contagious virus in history by a wide margin. this... will not be, so expect slower.

unrelated, but the other thing we and everyone else got wrong was treating "death rate" as a coherent idea. it's not, because deaths are not independent events -- you can only die once. a population can be full of people on the brink of death (babies, elderly, sick, etc) one minute and then not the next, due to a big pandemic, and then suddenly it looks like the death rate drops way off. it didn't, nothing changed about the virus at all. just those people can't die a second time. with a 1-2% "death rate" this is a huge deal and confused everybody. if anything ends up with a 50% "death rate" it won't matter so much because one pass will be plenty.

Bruce Hussein Daddy
Dec 26, 2005

I testify that there is none worthy of worship except God and I testify that Muhammad is the Messenger of God

quote:

finished it.

When. When did was it "finished"

maxwellhill
Jan 5, 2022

Bruce Hussein Daddy posted:

When. When did was it "finished"

Nov 4th, 2020

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

the $60 box of 440 blue rubber band auras arrived



haven't opened them yet but I have had good luck with vendors on Amazon selling them really cheap. i think there isn't much demand anymore. they seem just like the ones i ordered from industrial and other established places. most importantly, they smell exactly right -- it is a very distinct smell. have been protected 6+ months by them.

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

mawarannahr posted:

the $60 box of 440 blue rubber band auras arrived

lol you overpaid

Could have had the red strap 1870+ healthcare model for less.

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

Platystemon posted:

lol you overpaid

Could have had the red strap 1870+ healthcare model for less.

where at?

space chandeliers
Apr 8, 2008

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

Same deal, Amazon vendors with overstock of mysterious provenance.

https://www.amazon.com/Aura-Particulate-Respirator-1870Plus-NIOSH/dp/B0937JGMY7

I’d probably go with shipped by “Keebomed Keebovet” over whatever “Todd’s Throve” is.



Tragic case of long bovid.

e: Oh now that I am caught up, I see that that was the joke.

Platystemon has issued a correction as of 23:15 on Mar 31, 2024

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

Platystemon posted:

Same deal, Amazon vendors with overstock of mysterious provenance.

https://www.amazon.com/Aura-Particulate-Respirator-1870Plus-NIOSH/dp/B0937JGMY7

I’d probably go with shipped by “Keebomed Keebovet” over whatever “Todd’s Throve” is.

Tragic case of long bovid.

reviews seem bad idk

Steve Yun
Aug 7, 2003
I'm a parasitic landlord that needs to get a job instead of stealing worker's money. Make sure to remind me when I post.
Soiled Meat
which one is the biggest

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

Steve Yun posted:

which one is the biggest

1870+ is a smol bean.

9205+ is a chonker.

9210+ is in the middle; IDK how to put that into contemporary slang.

9211+ is the second smallest.

U-DO Burger
Nov 12, 2007




Forseti
May 26, 2001
To the lovenasium!
What was the website? Seems like https://youhavetoliveyour.life/ is down now :(

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


mycomancy posted:

If this happens you got like a week tops before everything collapses, no way you can have 50% lethality and not have your civilization start crumbling too. You just wind up not having enough people to run the place, not to mention all the knockoff deaths, the increased childhood mortality, the pure logistics of dealing with 500 million kilograms of rotting human flesh, the opportunistic wars. Real Biblical, cats and dogs living together poo poo.

if we actually get to that point, lol @ everyone who still thinks paper and cloth masks will actually protect them

Anne Whateley
Feb 11, 2007
:unsmith: i like nice words

Forseti posted:

What was the website? Seems like https://youhavetoliveyour.life/ is down now :(
History’s last goonrush

Precambrian Video Games
Aug 19, 2002



tired: long covid
wired: you have to live your life
ired: you have to live laugh love your life

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

Potato Salad posted:

if we actually get to that point, lol @ everyone who still thinks paper and cloth masks will actually protect them

I witnessed a rare sighting of a person with a mask on in traffic a couple weeks ago.

It was an EMT working a patient in the back of an ambulance, wearing a baggy blue surgical mask.

The pharmacy that I got Novavax at had eight people on duty. One of them was masked. It was a surgical mask, though in stylish black.

My experience with Novavax, by the way, is that unlike the last several mRNA shots, it gave me systemic side effects. However, it compares favorably to the side effects I had from shots two and three in 2020. Those gave me fever, chills, muscle aches, and lethargy for a day and a half. Novavax’s shot just gave me a touch of feverishness for about the same period of a day and a half.

*Including the original formulation as a booster, the BA.5/OG bivalent, and the XBB.1.5 shot

no lube so what
Apr 11, 2021
bil got hlh (autoimmune thing) a few months after covid infection (# unknown). almost died. by some grace it went into remission. then he got some blood clots and had to go to the er. then he got diagnosed with early onset stills (another but similar autoimmune thing) then his hlh came out of remission and he had another stint in the hospital. he’s 38.

world is a gently caress, trust your respirator

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

roffels posted:

I know it's a popular joke around here, but did you folks not have things shut down near you? Like in Minneapolis, "non-essential" businesses had temporary closures, which included tele-learning, capacity limits imposed, or rules banning dining in. I'm assuming that's what people are referring to?

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/03/25/minnesotas-covid19-stayathome-order-what-you-need-to-know

Old post, but allow me to quote Minnesota’s premiere epidemiologist on this exact topic, because we will all be hearing about it for the rest of our natural lives.

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/episode-145-hospital-capacity-crisis posted:

In the United States. 40 different states enacted some type of stay at home orders in March of 2020. If you look at those 40, within eight weeks, all of them were basically lifted. More importantly, many of them were basically screen doors on a submarine in terms of what they accomplished. In Minnesota, for example, the governor had in place a stay at home order except for essential workers, but 82% of our workforce was defined as essential workers. We never really had a lockdown here. There may be individual companies or organizations that decided not to have activities or be open, but it wasn't forced on it. And remember, the pandemic lasted more than three years. In that sense, this was 6 to 8 weeks at the beginning of the pandemic, when at that point, fewer than 5% of all the cases had occurred. So we get into these debates about lockdowns and what happened. This is just an emotional issue. There was never really any activity that was a lockdown as far as I'm concerned, in this country.

Platystemon has issued a correction as of 02:58 on Mar 31, 2024

Strep Vote
May 5, 2004

أنا أحب حليب الشوكولاتة

no lube so what posted:

bil got hlh (autoimmune thing) a few months after covid infection (# unknown). almost died. by some grace it went into remission. then he got some blood clots and had to go to the er. then he got diagnosed with early onset stills (another but similar autoimmune thing) then his hlh came out of remission and he had another stint in the hospital. he’s 38.

world is a gently caress, trust your respirator

... good luck to him and your family. 😬

DickParasite
Dec 2, 2004


Slippery Tilde

Platystemon posted:

Old post, but allow me to quote Minnesota’s premiere epidemiologist on this exact topic, because we will all be hearing about it for the rest of our natural lives.

I assume he/she/they were sacked for speaking plain truth?

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

DickParasite posted:

I assume he/she/they were sacked for speaking plain truth?

Nah Mike Osterholm has seniority, and moreover he’s a helpless addict of neoliberalism.

He’s been a hardworking apologist recently for the end of isolation as a “harm reduction” approach.

He’s still better than the vast majority of the people in his field because he does have areas where he’s stubborn, like “America did not have real lockdowns”, “COVID‑19 is not a seasonal disease”, “Paxlovid is extremely poorly prescribed”, “wear an N95”, and “the tripledemic isn’t real; RSV and influenza are not remotely on the level of COVID‑19”.

The closest he comes to directly challenging the status quo is probably his theses that hospitals are killing people as they’re bought up by financiers who shutter less profitable units, and also in giving everyone who walks into their building a serious vascular disease.

You’re allowed to say that if you’re an old guy who simps for Biden’s dark id.

NoNotTheMindProbe
Aug 9, 2010
pony porn was here

Snowglobe of Doom posted:

I'll suggest BORVID which is a combination of bovine + corvid + covid

it's spreading from chickens and waterfowl though which are all galliformes

Zantie
Mar 30, 2003

Death. The capricious dance of Now You Stop Moving Forever.

mawarannahr posted:

the $60 box of 440 blue rubber band auras arrived



haven't opened them yet but I have had good luck with vendors on Amazon selling them really cheap. i think there isn't much demand anymore. they seem just like the ones i ordered from industrial and other established places. most importantly, they smell exactly right -- it is a very distinct smell. have been protected 6+ months by them.

:catte:

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Precambrian Video Games
Aug 19, 2002



More young people are getting colorectal cancer(s), which is an ok article, but I had thoughts on Why Are Older Americans Drinking So Much?:

quote:

The proportions of people over 65 who report using alcohol in the past year (about 56 percent) and the past month (about 43 percent) are lower than for all other groups of adults. But older drinkers are markedly more likely to do it frequently, on 20 or more days a month, than younger ones.

Moreover, a 2018 meta-analysis found that binge drinking (defined as four or more drinks on a single occasion for women, five or more for men) had climbed nearly 40 percent among older Americans over the past 10 to 15 years.

What’s going on here?

The pandemic has clearly played a role. The C.D.C. reported that deaths attributable directly to alcohol use, emergency room visits associated with alcohol, and alcohol sales per capita all rose from 2019 to 2020, as Covid arrived and restrictions took hold.

“A lot of stressors impacted us: the isolation, the worries about getting sick,” Dr. Koob said. “They point to people drinking more to cope with that stress.”

Researchers also cite a cohort effect. Compared to those before and after them, “the boomers are a substance-using generation,” said Keith Humphreys, a psychologist and addiction researcher at Stanford. And they’re not abandoning their youthful behavior, he said.

The article goes on but as far as I can tell does not actually answer the question in the end, perhaps because there's still no new CDC mortality data? But then why even write this, other than to meet a deadline and open with the slightly troubling anecdote about the 77-year-old with signs of dementia drinking a pint of scotch per day?

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply