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fits my needs
Jan 1, 2011

Grimey Drawer
hahaha holy poo poo the d&d lib is for real

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bigstupidjellyfish
Oct 25, 2010
Sorry, this is probably a stupid question, but do you guys think—what with the behind the scenes negotiations that seemed to take place, and all the advance warning Iran gave—that the military bases getting hit were actually substantial losses, or could Israel have evacuated and moved the most expensive poo poo ahead of time? I mean I get that losing the physical installations and the runways would definitely hurt their ability to wage war, but maybe that wouldn't be as galling as losing all their super expensive planes and a bunch of soldiers?

scary ghost dog
Aug 5, 2007

NeonPunk posted:

It's odd. Usually by now we would get details on exactly what was hit and destroyed, but so far we only heard of a general idea that they hit Golan and two air bases.

I wonder if there's just simply too much to accurately assess, or they're trying to intentionally suppress details to cover just how badly they got hit

this is the discourse that western media is cultivating

quote:

They launched hundreds of deadly of munitions to not cause damage and just warn them? That is a STRETCH. Any one of those could have slipped the net and done irrevocable damage given where they were headed. I don't believe for a second that Iran launched all of that with the surefire confidence that no harm would be done. They had to know the level of risk was increased exponentially given the number of munitions that they used. They could have accomplished the same message with much less munitions used with far less risk of the Dome missing some of them.


Iran's response was not some carefully calculated response with full confidence that nothing would get through. It was reckless and dangerous to the utmost degree given the situation.

quote:

So, Iran basically achieved nothing, except for starting another conflict where each and everyone is now supporting Israel? Especially how ineffective it was (besides propaganda), it was like all talk.
The whole situation right now is so dumb and so dehumanizing..
I wish both Iran and Israel wiser governments in the nearest future.

quote:

Iran can't have thought that was a strategic attack that would impact Israel. It feels to me like it was posturing to save face and show force to its people while almost guaranteeing it would be shut down completely. My hope is that they wanted to make a quick show of force, Israel doesn't respond with a significant response, and this fizzes out quickly.

Honky Mao
Dec 26, 2012

Iranian missiles landed in Israel last night, they are currently ftw so put a cork in the ciaposting

VoicesCanBe
Jul 1, 2023

"Cóż, wygląda na to, że zostaliśmy łaskawie oszczędzeni trudu decydowania o własnym losie. Jakże uprzejme z ich strony, że przearanżowali Europę bez kłopotu naszego zdania!"

Death By The Blues posted:

I do wonder if Biden/America actually do want to deescalate or at this point gently caress it cause they know they are going to lose the election.

I think they do because they know what a loving disaster a wider war would be for them.

Mandel Brotset
Jan 1, 2024

ELTON JOHN posted:

was the cia behind the people who got shot at for attending her funeral

please gently caress off

SniperWoreConverse
Mar 20, 2010



Gun Saliva

TheIllestVillain posted:

This mf name almog

"Armakrog Neverhood remarks:"

Mister Bates
Aug 4, 2010

NeonPunk posted:

It's odd. Usually by now we would get details on exactly what was hit and destroyed, but so far we only heard of a general idea that they hit Golan and two air bases.

I wonder if there's just simply too much to accurately assess, or they're trying to intentionally suppress details to cover just how badly they got hit

the official Israeli position is that they shot down almost every missile, nothing got through, and nothing was damaged, so we're probably not getting any kind of official statement about damage anytime soon

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Al-Saqr posted:

Russia:- Xa Xa Xa .... Da.... DA!

============

‎Russian Foreign Ministry: Israel did not condemn the Ukraine attacks and asks to condemn the Iran attack‎

‎The Russian Foreign Ministry said that "the ambassador of Israel asks to condemn the attack on Iran, and we do not recall that Israel has condemned any time Ukraine's attacks on us."‎

https://www.aljazeera.net/news/live...%A6%D9%8A%D9%84

the fact it sounds so petty makes it extra funny

Ham
Apr 30, 2009

You're BALD!

bigstupidjellyfish posted:

Sorry, this is probably a stupid question, but do you guys think—what with the behind the scenes negotiations that seemed to take place, and all the advance warning Iran gave—that the military bases getting hit were actually substantial losses, or could Israel have evacuated and moved the most expensive poo poo ahead of time? I mean I get that losing the physical installations and the runways would definitely hurt their ability to wage war, but maybe that wouldn't be as galling as losing all their super expensive planes and a bunch of soldiers?

Israel actually tried moving some poo poo ahead of the attack and got caught by mistake - their Wings of Zion plane (lol) was based in the targeted airbase (Nevatim, in Negev) and that plane got scrambled only in the middle of the attack and took off for another airport in Israel, and had its transponder on.

evilmiera
Dec 14, 2009

Status: Ravenously Rambunctious

ded redd posted:

the immortal science


Would, though I would replace the sprinkles with marshmallows or nutella.

Orbs
Apr 1, 2009
~Liberation~
[edit- nevermind. dti, dta

Orbs has issued a correction as of 16:31 on Apr 14, 2024

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

it’s interesting that a country (Iran in this instance ) can attack another country and limit the targets to military only and not commit horrific war crimes

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

Sancho Banana posted:

The materialist take on Iran's government is:

1. Their foreign policy in the region, ie their active opposition to western hegemony, is good

2. The conditions for a properly "leftist" coup aren't there. We're talking about a country that hasn't been free from the ire of imperial vultures for decades. Any regime change would 100% end up with a western backed comprador in charge, screwing everybody over. I'm sure that there are genuine socialists/leftists in Iran with legitimate grievances regarding their government, but there's pretty much no way that they'll be the ones in charge once the government is overthrown.

2.5. And it won't just be Iranians that would get ultimately hosed over. The geopolitical - and by extension humanitarian- consequences of removing such a crucial bulwark against Israeli/American influence, and the ability of Israel/America to act with impunity in the middle east, would be disastrous. Look at the nazi level poo poo Israel is doing right now. This is what's at stake here.

3. Iran is unquestionably on the right side of this conflict.

Therefore, critical support for Iran.

E: and just in general, changing focus to Iran's domestic policies in the context of people praising them for attacking the fourth Reich is dumb

To add to this, there's a good bunch of Iranian diaspora every bit as insane as the Ukrainian diaspora in Canada. These are the psycho's who'd end up in charge of the Islamic Republic is overthrown while the empire lives.

Orange Devil has issued a correction as of 15:39 on Apr 14, 2024

Spoondick
Jun 9, 2000

glad i live in a country that respects women's rights, like america, where we only occasionally send black women to prison for miscarriages

Orbs
Apr 1, 2009
~Liberation~

Spoondick posted:

glad i live in a country that respects women's rights, like america, where we only occasionally send black women to prison for miscarriages
Same, but getting bombed or couped by foreign intelligence could probably make us even better on women's rights

DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

Mister Bates posted:

I would have supported the British during WW2

Finally, something we can all agree on.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy
https://twitter.com/Seamus_Malek/status/1779488567644815684

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

FTFY <3

e: How offensive is calling a Dutch person "Jan Cheese" considered these days?

I can't imagine it was ever offensive given how Dutch people (used to? haven't seen it much lately) refer to themselves as kaaskoppen, aka cheese heads.

Or well technically a kaaskop is a mold (as in form, not fungus) to make cheese in but that dates back to Napoleonic times or whatever and ain't no way regular people know that while "kop" also means head.

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

VoicesCanBe posted:

I think they do because they know what a loving disaster a wider war would be for them.

Yeah, that they came out drat near as the attack was happening and said "Don't retaliate, Israel. We're not attacking Iran if you do" is a pretty big shift in posturing

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

FTFY <3

e: How offensive is calling a Dutch person "Jan Cheese" considered these days?

lol @ ff digging to find forgotten old-timey racist slurs

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

Germany really doesn't want those Jewish people to return home eh?

They can't afford to have this happen. I mean, have you seen the gas prices in Germany?

Mr. Lobe
Feb 23, 2007

... Dry bones...


tristeham posted:

my mom supports the attack by Iran.

Wish my mom was this cool

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.

Orange Devil posted:

I can't imagine it was ever offensive given how Dutch people (used to? haven't seen it much lately) refer to themselves as kaaskoppen, aka cheese heads.

Or well technically a kaaskop is a mold (as in form, not fungus) to make cheese in but that dates back to Napoleonic times or whatever and ain't no way regular people know that while "kop" also means head.

And the mold is round? This is just cope about being called square heads.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
I would imagine even if Israel took some bad hits, they aren't going to admit to most of them considering their Ukraine style "99% shot down" narrative. Admittedly, if Israel suddenly needs more replacement fighters it would be pretty funny.

Butter Activities
May 4, 2018

Spoondick posted:

glad i live in a country that respects women's rights, like america, where we only occasionally send black women to prison for miscarriages

Whataboutism Rule 183PW user loses posting privileges for 1 day

SniperWoreConverse
Mar 20, 2010



Gun Saliva

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

But the point of the old Imperial Fleet Reviews was that the RN made the world safe for commerce, and so the average person directly benefitted. "We have coffee, tea, rubber, because Britannia rules the waves". People had to be sold on the expense, and wielding that sort of power, and they were sold on it because they were told that they directly benefitted.

The 🌐 people are saying: "We don't have healthcare because we have a military around the globe". It's the criticism of empire that led to the creation of the NHS as the British Empire was wrapping up: "Instead of spending 40% of the budget on the navy, let's do something useful for people instead".

It's like, taunting the average American, no? "We don't actually benefit from this empire" is a confusing message for people who are pro-empire.

Oh no, at best you benefit emotionally, by redefinition. It's a switcheroo. Not having health is a joyous celebration of freedom and projected strength until it's your turn to be fed into the wood chipper (will obviously never happen to you personally).

Communist Thoughts
Jan 7, 2008

Our war against free speech cannot end until we silence this bronze beast!


bigstupidjellyfish posted:

Sorry, this is probably a stupid question, but do you guys think—what with the behind the scenes negotiations that seemed to take place, and all the advance warning Iran gave—that the military bases getting hit were actually substantial losses, or could Israel have evacuated and moved the most expensive poo poo ahead of time? I mean I get that losing the physical installations and the runways would definitely hurt their ability to wage war, but maybe that wouldn't be as galling as losing all their super expensive planes and a bunch of soldiers?

I reckon they probably moved everything in time, they had a lot of warning and the targets of the attack should have been pretty easy to guess for them too.

This is just Iran showing it is capable of hitting Israel, they pretty clearly didnt want to deal serious damage with this attack just to show theyr capable of hitting military targets in Israel and not going to back down and let Israel have a free pass just because America tells them to

Otoh Israel seems quite incompetent and crazy atm so it also wouldn't exactly surprise me if planes that should have been moved did get hit

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
Former israeli spy chief says that the iranian strikes might end up forcing israel to end the gaza war and do a permament ceasefire

=======

Former Israeli intelligence director: Iran’s response could lead to war end

Bloomberg quoted the former director of Israeli intelligence as saying that Iran’s response could lead to a strategic change in the war and even to an end.


https://www.aljazeera.net/news/live...?update=6448067

DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

Orange Devil posted:

They can't afford to have this happen. I mean, have you seen the gas prices in Germany?

Mr. Lobe
Feb 23, 2007

... Dry bones...


Ardennes posted:

I would imagine even if Israel took some bad hits, they aren't going to admit to most of them considering their Ukraine style "99% shot down" narrative. Admittedly, if Israel suddenly needs more replacement fighters it would be pretty funny.

Does Israel hire much in the way of mercenaries?

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

Brogeoisie posted:

No one gives a gently caress about your dumb Iranian expat axe to grind

Shut the gently caress up

ram dass in hell
Dec 29, 2019



:420::toot::420:

fits my needs posted:

are these d&d libs for real?
we were fighting for womens rights in afghanistan against the taliban!!!

lmfao

CheetoVonTito
Nov 11, 2023

by Fluffdaddy

Al-Saqr posted:

by the way those of you who still use twitter it woild help if you could link what the more serious and level-headed analysts think of the iranian strikes this evening, are they saying its an embarrasing failure for Iran or a strategic disaster for israel? very curious.

https://x.com/fadiquran/status/1779426300760850642?s=46

“On Iran’s strike:

At Stanford, I attended a masterclass on military strategy led by a person with decades of experience, including serving at the highest levels in the military and government.

One lesson he thought that I always remember was this:

He asked us:

“Say the US decided to attack Iraq with a new stealth jet it hadn’t used before that evaded all radars? The attack was a success. Was it strategic?”

Many in the class raised their hands to say “yes, it achieved its goal”. But the professor said: “It may not have been”.

Why?

“Because now your adversaries know your capabilities and it’s a matter of time before they find ways around them. If this attack could be done with conventional weapons, it’s better to keep your top weapons until you need them. Using them creates a disadvantage.”

My analysis is that the scale of Iran’s attack, the diversity of locations it targeted, and weapons it used, forced Israel to uncover the majority of anti-missile technologies the US and it have across the region.

The Iranians did not use any weapons Israel didn’t know it had, it just used a lot of them. But the Iranians likely now have almost a full map of what Israel’s missile defence system looks like, as well as where in Jordan and the Gulf the US has installations. It also knows how long it takes to prepare them, how Israeli society responds…etc

This is a huge strategic cost to Israel, while Arab regimes now are being blasted by their peoples, particularly the Jordanian monarchy, for not doing anything to protect Gazans but then going all out to protect Israel.

Crucially, Iran can now reverse engineer all the intel gathered from this attack to make a much more deadly one credible. While the US and Israel will have to re-design away from their current model which has been compromised. Its success in stopping this choreographed attack is thus still very costly.

Moreover, with the threat of a regional war that neither the US nor the Arab regimes want feeling nearer, it’s likely their pressure on Israel to back down will increase, making a ceasefire more feasible.

Anyone assuming this is just theatrics is missing the context of how militaries assess strategy versus tactics. Theatre is an important factor, but gathering intelligence of the “enemy’s” posture is more valuable, especially if one believes they’re in a long war of attrition.

Netanyahu and the Israel government prefer a quick hot and urgent war where they can pull in America. The Iranians prefer a longer war of attrition that bleeds Israel of its deterrence capabilities and makes it an ally for Arabs and the US that’s too costly to have.

Lastly, if you are a person who hates war, if you want peace, the best and only way to get there in the region is to support the Palestinian struggle for freedom, justice and dignity.

There is no sustainable peace possible as long as Palestinians live under an oppressive system of apartheid.”

Cassian of Imola
Feb 9, 2011

Keeping her memory alive!

Weka posted:

I guess the question is not whether it is good if any particular person died, but what the results of not suppressing these protests would be.

if I had to guess, probably they'd lighten up with the religious paramilitary stuff for a while

but you're right it's better not to risk it. in the world we live in, the CIA does not run Iran, so any one woman the morality police beat to death up to this point might have had to die in order to prevent a CIA coup. if you criticise any past action by the Iranian police you're basically advocating that we build the michael crichton Timeline machine and give it to bolton

DaysBefore
Jan 24, 2019

Iran ftw

Butter Activities
May 4, 2018

euphronius posted:

it’s interesting that a country (Iran in this instance ) can attack another country and limit the targets to military only and not commit horrific war crimes

I will be bringing this blatant genocide denial against the indigenous corn pizza people to QCS immediately


Mr. Lobe posted:

Does Israel hire much in the way of mercenaries?

There was the black water guys who got owned.

I think the main user of foreign mercenaries are settlers in the West Bank

lumpentroll
Mar 4, 2020

ram dass in hell
Dec 29, 2019



:420::toot::420:

euphronius posted:

it’s interesting that a country (Iran in this instance ) can attack another country and limit the targets to military only and not commit horrific war crimes

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DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

Israel has the Lone Soldier Program and Nahal, the weird kibbutz/military enrolment program, both of which illegally recruit abroad. Idk if you'd consider the son of a dentist from Yorkdale joining the IDF a mercenary though.

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