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koolkal
Oct 21, 2008

this thread maybe doesnt have room for 2 green xbox one avs

haveblue posted:

If you are willing to believe that Trump will take a hard stance against Israel based on absolutely nothing but your desire for someone to do it no matter how implausible, why not extend the same courtesy to Biden? If you believe Trump will depart from everything he’s ever said and done, you can also believe Biden is just trying not to rough the Jewish vote in November. And then you can vote for the guy with the better domestic agenda and not a professed desire to exterminate our own minorities

Because we've seen 6 months of Biden and it's clear where he stands? Trump is often unpredictable when he does things depending on public opinion, Republican pressure, random people offering him things, whoever spoke to him last, etc. He is chaos.

A wildcard vs. a guaranteed outcome is a bet a lot of people are willing to take when it's clear what that outcome will be if Biden stays in power.. I don't think most people are saying Trump is definitively going to be better on the issue, but he's certainly far more likely.

Also, there's something deeply humorous about the argument that Biden is doing this to secure the Jewish vote while also arguing we need Biden to protect minorities, like said Jewish voters.

One would think these voters would be far easier to influence by pointing out the other guy is Orange Hitler but apparently they don't believe that. Why should I?

koolkal fucked around with this message at 19:31 on Apr 17, 2024

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Blue Footed Booby
Oct 4, 2006

got those happy feet

zoux posted:

Double good news: Looks like Ukraine aid is going to pass and it's going to mean another speakership crisis for the House GOP.

https://twitter.com/John_Hudson/status/1780649330048684114

I'm struggling to remember. Is that "any one R can call a no confidence vote" rule still active?

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

koolkal posted:

Because we've seen 6 months of Biden and it's clear where he stands? Trump is often unpredictable when he does things depending on public opinion, Republican pressure, random people offering him things, whoever spoke to him last, etc. He is chaos.

A wildcard vs. a guaranteed outcome is a bet a lot of people are willing to take when it's clear what that outcome will be if Biden stays in power.. I don't think most people are saying Trump is definitively going to be better on the issue, but he's certainly far more likely.

Also, there's something deeply humorous about the argument that Biden is doing this to secure the Jewish vote while also arguing we need Biden to protect minorities, like said Jewish voters.

One would think these voters would be far easier to influence by pointing out the other guy is Orange Hitler but apparently they don't believe that. Why should I?

Trump's a wildcard because he does things like bomb beloved Iranian generals, he's not fully random he randomly does something much worse than what any other president would have done, not things that are much better

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Blue Footed Booby posted:

I'm struggling to remember. Is that "any one R can call a no confidence vote" rule still active?

It is, and MTG filed one right before the most recent recess. Some procedural reason it didn't come up, though.

But I think that Mr. Johnson's days are numbered.

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1780664984072028573

Gaetz did say in that same interview I posted about last page that he doesn't support ousting Johnson because he thinks it'll result in a Democratic speaker. So we'll just have to see if the entire House GOP caucus can pass the marshmallow test.

e: oh and apparently Massie has joined the Gentlelady from Crossfit in her motion



lol

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!

Combed Thunderclap posted:

It feels deeply perverse to read this and experience a wave of nostalgia for the summer of 2016, of all years, but here we are, eight years later… :yayclod:
I remember arguing in 2004 that if we settle for lovely Democratic candidates, we would eventually be having precisely the argument that we're having now.

socialsecurity posted:

So we should ignore everything Trump has ever said he will do and has done in the past in regards to Israel to pretend he will be better? Is there any reason we should believe this fanfiction?
I'd just prefer people not use the threat of Trump to shame/threaten people to try to get them to vote for Biden. It's obscene. I have no interest in fanfiction about Donald the Dove, just as I don't care for fanfiction about how he's going to declare himself the Emperor Fuhrer.

Queering Wheel posted:

I'm trans as well. I don't think that Palestinians are less real and less human, but they're half a world away and I would like for my existence to not be made illegal. I'd like to not be forcibly detransitioned/thrown into prison for simply existing/whatever other vile poo poo a Trump administration would do to me. So, I'm voting Biden. I have to look out for myself and those I care about.
What's the connection between voting for Biden and thwarting anti-trans legislation? Anti-trans legislation is generally unpopular and a big electoral loser for Republicans. Most of these bills are at the state level, though there was a big surge at the federal level last year. How many more will be introduced under Trump than Biden? How many will pass? What positive effect will Trump's election have on passing these bills? We don't know.

It looks to me like activism at the state and local level is way more meaningful to trans rights than the choice between Biden and Trump. The good news is that if the centrist argument is true, you can not vote for Biden on Tuesday and on Wednesday go right back to protesting whatever cornfed lunatic is trying to outlaw our existence.

The Mattybee posted:

This is not the first time this has come up and every single time people put together a litany of quotes from Trump about supporting Israel just killing all of them, it goes unaddressed or handwaved away with "Well that's just Trump saying things he just says whatever".

Do you think Trump would be better to Palestine? Don't give me the "well the future is unknowable" coward answer that happened the last time this came up, give a concrete answer. Yes or no? Why?
Trump does, in fact, talk a lot of poo poo. He likes to say he did, is doing, or will do things that he didn't and doesn't do. He also likes to point at any perceived weakness in his opponents and claim that he did, would have, or will do better on the issue. The usual natsec bugmen are already crawling out of the woodwork to lament that he didn't start a war with Iran when he had the chance.

Do I think Trump will be better? Probably not. What do you think Trump will do for Israel that Biden isn't already doing? If it's vocal support, Biden's already doing that. Will he send more weapons? Deploy American troops? Setting aside that Trump does care about his approval rating beyond the diehard base, how much does the magachudbase really want to send troops to Gaza, or incur visible economic impacts for Israel's sake?

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.

koolkal posted:

I don't think most people are saying Trump is definitively going to be better on the issue, but he's certainly far more likely.

When has Trump ever been better on an issue than expected? He was in office for four years, if it was "far more likely" that should be easy to find.

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!

GlyphGryph posted:

When has Trump ever been better on an issue than expected?
I really envy that you didn't have to spend Wednesday, November 9th, 2016 explaining to your friends that the President doesn't actually have a big red button in the Oval Office that launches all of the nukes. I really do.

Blue Footed Booby
Oct 4, 2006

got those happy feet

zoux posted:

It is, and MTG filed one right before the most recent recess. Some procedural reason it didn't come up, though.

But I think that Mr. Johnson's days are numbered.

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1780664984072028573

Gaetz did say in that same interview I posted about last page that he doesn't support ousting Johnson because he thinks it'll result in a Democratic speaker. So we'll just have to see if the entire House GOP caucus can pass the marshmallow test.

e: oh and apparently Massie has joined the Gentlelady from Crossfit in her motion



lol

I would die laughing.

But who the gently caress do they even have who'd WANT the job, at this point?

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

Halloween Jack posted:

Trump does, in fact, talk a lot of poo poo. He likes to say he did, is doing, or will do things that he didn't and doesn't do. He also likes to point at any perceived weakness in his opponents and claim that he did, would have, or will do better on the issue. The usual natsec bugmen are already crawling out of the woodwork to lament that he didn't start a war with Iran when he had the chance.

Do I think Trump will be better? Probably not. What do you think Trump will do for Israel that Biden isn't already doing? If it's vocal support, Biden's already doing that. Will he send more weapons? Deploy American troops? Setting aside that Trump does care about his approval rating beyond the diehard base, how much does the magachudbase really want to send troops to Gaza, or incur visible economic impacts for Israel's sake?

He tried to start a war. He literally assassinated an Iranian general, which was loving crazy

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.

Halloween Jack posted:

I really envy that you didn't have to spend Wednesday, November 9th, 2016 explaining to your friends that the President doesn't actually have a big red button in the Oval Office that launches all of the nukes. I really do.

Trump being better than expected and and Trump being less capable than expected are very different things when discussing stuff that is definitely within his capacity.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

luv2shit
May 15, 2023

GlyphGryph posted:

When has Trump ever been better on an issue than expected? He was in office for four years, if it was "far more likely" that should be easy to find.

trump gave me money. didnt expect that

Angry_Ed
Mar 30, 2010




Grimey Drawer

Lemming posted:

He tried to start a war. He literally assassinated an Iranian general, which was loving crazy

He also tried to launch a coup in Venezuela in a plan I can only describe as "Stupid Bay of Pigs" to go along with every other stupid version of a debacle or scandal that Donald Trump inflicted on the world.

luv2shit posted:

trump gave me money. didnt expect that

Trump didn't give you loving poo poo. The Democratic-controlled congress did and Trump held it up because he wanted to put his loving name on all the checks.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

GlyphGryph posted:

When has Trump ever been better on an issue than expected? He was in office for four years, if it was "far more likely" that should be easy to find.

He did not start any new wars. He tried with Iran, but thankfully the Iranians were the adults in the room and did not take his bait beyond a relatively minor reprisal.

socialsecurity
Aug 30, 2003

luv2shit posted:

trump gave me money. didnt expect that

Wrote the bill all by himself and didn't try to get it reduced or anything, 100% credit to Trump there, as long as you don't pay attention to what actually happened or are pretending to support Trump to own the libs.

Xombie
May 22, 2004

Soul Thrashing
Black Sorcery

koolkal posted:

Because we've seen 6 months of Biden and it's clear where he stands? Trump is often unpredictable when he does things depending on public opinion, Republican pressure, random people offering him things, whoever spoke to him last, etc. He is chaos.

A wildcard vs. a guaranteed outcome is a bet a lot of people are willing to take when it's clear what that outcome will be if Biden stays in power.. I don't think most people are saying Trump is definitively going to be better on the issue, but [b]he's certainly far more likely.

Can you give an actual example of where Trump's actions have substantially differed from the Republican party line? He was actually president for a full term, the whole "you never know how he's going to act!" argument doesn't work when we have four years of his actions.

Keeping in mind as well that every single person in Trump's orbit are full-throated supporters of Israel. This includes his friend Netanyahu himself, whose only criticism from Trump is that he isn't hawkish enough.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

GlyphGryph posted:

Trump being better than expected and and Trump being less capable than expected are very different things when discussing stuff that is definitely within his capacity.

That's an issue with the way you originally framed the question, though (ie: what did you mean by "better than expected?"), not the answers that people gave you in response.

James Garfield
May 5, 2012
Am I a manipulative abuser in real life, or do I just roleplay one on the Internet for fun? You decide!

koolkal posted:

Trump is often unpredictable when he does things depending on public opinion, Republican pressure, random people offering him things, whoever spoke to him last, etc. He is chaos.

Trump's actions on policy are extremely predictable and don't deviate significantly from the positions of the Republican party. The unpredictable part is him finding new and interesting ways to break the law, but that's not relevant here.

There were some journalists in 2016 who thought he was coming up with some new syncretic blend of left and right wing policy, but since he was famously president from 2017-21 we know that those journalists were wrong (and would probably chase a laser pointer like a cat does).

volts5000
Apr 7, 2009

It's electric. Boogie woogie woogie.

koolkal posted:

Because we've seen 6 months of Biden and it's clear where he stands? Trump is often unpredictable when he does things depending on public opinion, Republican pressure, random people offering him things, whoever spoke to him last, etc. He is chaos.

A wildcard vs. a guaranteed outcome is a bet a lot of people are willing to take when it's clear what that outcome will be if Biden stays in power.. I don't think most people are saying Trump is definitively going to be better on the issue, but he's certainly far more likely.

Also, there's something deeply humorous about the argument that Biden is doing this to secure the Jewish vote while also arguing we need Biden to protect minorities, like said Jewish voters.

One would think these voters would be far easier to influence by pointing out the other guy is Orange Hitler but apparently they don't believe that. Why should I?

This is like "Look how sweet and statesmanlike George W Bush is!" level of rebranding. We had four years of Trump. We know what he did. We know how he was stopped from doing worse. Why are you giving Trump so much benefit of the doubt? What did he do to earn it?

For gently caress's sake, he is not unpredictable. He is going to do whatever gets him more power and whatever hurts his opponents worse. We saw this happen with our own eyes and it's comical that there are people who, after eight years of him, are like "Gee whiz! Who knows what Trump's going to do!? He's so random! 'Purple monkey dishwasher', am I right?"

Majorian posted:

He did not start any new wars. He tried with Iran, but thankfully the Iranians were the adults in the room and did not take his bait beyond a relatively minor reprisal.

I guess people just really want to memory hole/whitewash Trump. *cough* DRONE STRIKES *cough*

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

socialsecurity posted:

Wrote the bill all by himself and didn't try to get it reduced or anything, 100% credit to Trump there, as long as you don't pay attention to what actually happened or are pretending to support Trump to own the libs.

The fact that he signed it into law and had the political cunning to take credit for it was genuinely unexpected, at least for me. I didn't think he would do it. The fact that the Dems actually did most of the work to make it happen is immaterial; the question was, "How was Trump better than expected?"

volts5000 posted:

I guess people just really want to memory hole/whitewash Trump. *cough* DRONE STRIKES *cough*

Uh, no they don't. The question that was asked was, "How was Trump better than expected?" I gave an answer: he did not start any new wars. That does not mean that I view his foreign policy as anti-interventionist or anything else like that. That is simply an area in which I expected him to be much worse than he turned out to be.

luv2shit
May 15, 2023

Angry_Ed posted:

Trump didn't give you loving poo poo. The Democratic-controlled congress did and Trump held it up because he wanted to put his loving name on all the checks.

opps, sorry. didnt know that. thank u for the info.

Neat Bee
Apr 17, 2024

GlyphGryph posted:

No one here has argued in favour of "voting for genocide" more than you have by any metric I can identify.

The argument has been made that Trump voters are directly responsible for the things he does, something I agree with; you are responsible for the actions of the people you put in power. If that is true, why doesn't the same extend to Biden voters, especially if they are doubling down this November?

I don't believe there is any debate about Biden's role in the genocide. He has gone around congress to rearm Israel, he has pushed for funding, he has defunded aid agencies and pressured our allies to do the same, he attacked Yemen to protect Israel from the Houthis, he recently sold Israel more jets, and his administration has denied Israeli wrongdoing.

Nissin Cup Nudist
Sep 3, 2011

Sleep with one eye open

We're off to Gritty Gritty land




koolkal posted:

Trump is often unpredictable when he does things depending on public opinion, Republican pressure, random people offering him things, whoever spoke to him last, etc. He is chaos.

Trump is extremely predictable because you can count on him to do the dumbest and worst thing possible at any given time

Angry_Ed
Mar 30, 2010




Grimey Drawer

Nissin Cup Nudist posted:

Trump is extremely predictable because you can count on him to do the dumbest and worst thing possible at any given time

But you see he signed his name on a bill that he (probably) believed would win him 2020 because he "gave" people money without doing any actual work himself. That is totally unexpected...if you forget literally everything about Donald Trump, walking avatar of narcissism.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

Majorian posted:

The fact that he signed it into law and had the political cunning to take credit for it was genuinely unexpected, at least for me. I didn't think he would do it. The fact that the Dems actually did most of the work to make it happen is immaterial; the question was, "How was Trump better than expected?"

Uh, no they don't. The question that was asked was, "How was Trump better than expected?" I gave an answer: he did not start any new wars. That does not mean that I view his foreign policy as anti-interventionist or anything else like that. That is simply an area in which I expected him to be much worse than he turned out to be.

To be fair, the fact that Trump didn't start a new war in that specific case is more a result of Iran showing a pretty unexpected amount of restraint in not responding to the assassination. I would say that Trump probably actually tried to start a war more than I thought he would, I didn't think he'd just randomly assassinate higher ups (of course he did all the droning you'd expect him to have done). I don't think it's fully reasonable to give him points when he did all the steps he could to provoke a war

Xombie
May 22, 2004

Soul Thrashing
Black Sorcery

Majorian posted:

The fact that he signed it into law and had the political cunning to take credit for it was genuinely unexpected, at least for me. I didn't think he would do it. The fact that the Dems actually did most of the work to make it happen is immaterial; the question was, "How was Trump better than expected?"

Donald Trump taking credit for something he didn't do after he failed to stop it and it turns out to be popular is "genuinely unexpected"?

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Angry_Ed posted:

But you see he signed his name on a bill that he believed would win him 2020 because he "gave" people money without doing any actual work himself. That is totally unexpected (if you forget literally everything about Donald Trump, walking avatar of narcissism).

Given that the usual Republican MO is austerity at all times, no money to the people even in times of crisis, and given how much of a dullard Trump often is, it was surprising to me that he decided to do something politically smart for a change, yes. If you weren't surprised, good for you.

Xombie posted:

Donald Trump taking credit for something he didn't do after he failed to stop it and it turns out to be popular is "genuinely unexpected"?

He signed it into law instead of vetoing it. That shows that he had more political sense than your usual Republican elected official, which I admit is a low bar. But we're talking about things that surprised us. I'm relating something that surprised me.

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.

Majorian posted:

That's an issue with the way you originally framed the question, though (ie: what did you mean by "better than expected?"), not the answers that people gave you in response.

It's not an issue for anyone actually following the conversation. The point of contention was Trump's unpredictability in regards to to responding to public pressure meaning he is "far more likely" to be better on the issue. They aren't arguing he'd be easier to stop or that he'd somehow bungle it, but that he'd actively choose to take a better path.

Trump approving the COVID aid would qualify (the extent is arguable, but I think it qualifies), "Trump didn't detonate a nuke in the planet's center" would not.

GlyphGryph fucked around with this message at 20:05 on Apr 17, 2024

Zwabu
Aug 7, 2006

Fart Amplifier posted:

This seems to be the content free comment that baited everyone into the same old flame war that turns this thread into the same unreadable mess every single time it happens.

Yeah, I think it is good to point these out and I wish people would eventually recognize these and learn not to take that bait.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Lemming posted:

To be fair, the fact that Trump didn't start a new war in that specific case is more a result of Iran showing a pretty unexpected amount of restraint in not responding to the assassination. I would say that Trump probably actually tried to start a war more than I thought he would, I didn't think he'd just randomly assassinate higher ups (of course he did all the droning you'd expect him to have done). I don't think it's fully reasonable to give him points when he did all the steps he could to provoke a war

Oh, I agree 100%. This isn't in praise of Trump himself. It's just an area where I expected him to be worse than he turned out to be.

Majorian fucked around with this message at 20:08 on Apr 17, 2024

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Majorian posted:

Oh, I agree 100%. This isn't in praise of Trump himself. It's just an area where I expected him to be worse than he turned out to be.
100%. This isn't in praise of Trump himself. It's just an area where I expected him to be worse than he turned out to be.

That's 200%.

Xombie
May 22, 2004

Soul Thrashing
Black Sorcery

Majorian posted:

Given that the usual Republican MO is austerity at all times, no money to the people even in times of crisis, and given how much of a dullard Trump often is, it was surprising to me that he decided to do something politically smart for a change, yes. If you weren't surprised, good for you.

All direct payments so far have been under the last two GOP presidents. The CARES Act is one of the largest handouts to private business in a century. Trump personally grifted from it.

quote:

He signed it into law instead of vetoing it. That shows that he had more political sense than your usual Republican elected official, which I admit is a low bar. But we're talking about things that surprised us. I'm relating something that surprised me.

The CARES Act passed the senate 96-0.

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!

Lemming posted:

He tried to start a war. He literally assassinated an Iranian general, which was loving crazy
Can POTUS fail to start a war? He assassinated Soleimani, Iran retaliated with attacks that killed a contractor and injured soldiers, and Trump didn't retaliate against the retaliation. Did he try and fail to order another attack?

To be clear, I'm not suggesting that anyone vote for Trump as a harm reduction candidate. My claim is that there's no moral or strategic imperative to vote for Biden and you aren't doing your part to make a better place by supporting an enthusiastic purveyor of genocide, regardless of his stance on any other issue.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Nenonen posted:

That's 200%.

Ahahaha, not sure what happened there.


Xombie posted:

All direct payments so far have been under the last two GOP presidents. The CARES Act is one of the largest handouts to private business in a century. Trump personally grifted from it.

The CARES Act passed the senate 96-0.

That's great. I wasn't paying close attention to it at the time (foreign policy is more my beat), so it was a surprise to me. Again, if it wasn't a surprise for you, good for you.

Bar Ran Dun
Jan 22, 2006




Halloween Jack posted:

I really envy that you didn't have to spend Wednesday, November 9th, 2016 explaining to your friends that the President doesn't actually have a big red button in the Oval Office that launches all of the nukes. I really do.

That had to explained to Trump too though.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/military/milley-acted-prevent-trump-misusing-nuclear-weapons-war-china-book-n1279187

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.
I yearn for a return of the days of Maureen Dowd writing about Donald the Dove.

Riptor
Apr 13, 2003

here's to feelin' good all the time

Halloween Jack posted:

I have no interest in fanfiction about Donald the Dove, just as I don't care for fanfiction about how he's going to declare himself the Emperor Fuhrer.

Did you have a bridge game or something on Jan 6, 2021?

Elephant Ambush
Nov 13, 2012

...We sholde spenden more time together. What sayest thou?
Nap Ghost

Angry_Ed posted:

But you see he signed his name on a bill that he (probably) believed would win him 2020 because he "gave" people money without doing any actual work himself. That is totally unexpected...if you forget literally everything about Donald Trump, walking avatar of narcissism.

He still signed the bill instead of vetoing it. The material conditions of many people were improved by the free money. You're mad because trump did something good for people and you think the reasons matter. The people who got free money when they needed it most didn't care that he signed the bill out of narcissism. Those same people are also mad at Biden for not following up on the extra money he promised them during his campaign

I loathe trump as much as anyone else but please stop pretending that his reasons for signing the bill to give people free money actually matter. And if you insist on doing so then you also need to explain why Biden's reasons for not sending people even more free money are valid somehow

socialsecurity
Aug 30, 2003

Riptor posted:

Did you have a bridge game or something on Jan 6, 2021?

Or miss any of the Republicans very public policies about how they want to handle things soon as he's re-elected.

H.R. Hufflepuff
Aug 5, 2005
The worst of all worlds

Jimbozig posted:

"First they came for the Gazans, and I voted for that poo poo because the other guy was worse and anyway, I bet the fascists will stop at eliminating one group on record promising to come for the Gazans harder and also for me personally."
-Martin Niemoller if he was around today, probably.

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volts5000
Apr 7, 2009

It's electric. Boogie woogie woogie.

Elephant Ambush posted:

He still signed the bill instead of vetoing it. The material conditions of many people were improved by the free money. You're mad because trump did something good for people and you think the reasons matter. The people who got free money when they needed it most didn't care that he signed the bill out of narcissism. Those same people are also mad at Biden for not following up on the extra money he promised them during his campaign

I loathe trump as much as anyone else but please stop pretending that his reasons for signing the bill to give people free money actually matter. And if you insist on doing so then you also need to explain why Biden's reasons for not sending people even more free money are valid somehow

I forgot, why was the government giving out free money?

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