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Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

punishedkissinger posted:

I think raising the blood pressure of people like this is good, even if it's not a huge material shift in policy.

https://twitter.com/itamarbengvir/status/1788458123436433783

It's darkly amusing that Biden basically imploding his 18-35 support to give Israel basically everything it wanted bought him ZERO slack from the warmongers.



Not that I believe he will stop the weapons supply in any real way. The IDF has been preparing for this for weeks and likely has all the material it needs. And "major" ivasion can be construed in a lot of ways.

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Seyser Koze
Dec 15, 2013

Mucho Mucho
Nap Ghost
The definitions of “major,” “invasion,” and “Rafah” can all shift as needed to ensure that the line hasn’t been crossed yet.

Freakazoid_
Jul 5, 2013


Buglord
The weapons will be delivered when Netanyahu explains that it was not an invasion, but a skirmish or sortie.

Lovely Joe Stalin
Jun 12, 2007

Our Lovely Wang
The weapon delivery kerfuffle just seems like misdirection to me. The real headline should be that for three days no humanitarian aid of any kind has entered Gaza. They don't need bombs if they can simply strangle the entire population.

fatelvis
Mar 21, 2010

The weapon delivery thing is also kinda silly, because I'd imagine Israel have stockpiles of all this stuff, and America will just refill those after they're done murdering a bunch of folk.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

fatelvis posted:

The weapon delivery thing is also kinda silly, because I'd imagine Israel have stockpiles of all this stuff, and America will just refill those after they're done murdering a bunch of folk.

You would think that, but those stockpiles have been getting depleted because they've been using them. Supposedly, they were getting into stockpiles that the US sold to them after the Vietnam War and finding out they dudded out and Hamas was repurposing them as IEDs against Israeli invasion. They were so exhausted they were using 50 year old explosives and in such quantities that they gave their enemies a reliable logistics chain.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Young Freud posted:

You would think that, but those stockpiles have been getting depleted because they've been using them. Supposedly, they were getting into stockpiles that the US sold to them after the Vietnam War and finding out they dudded out and Hamas was repurposing them as IEDs against Israeli invasion. They were so exhausted they were using 50 year old explosives and in such quantities that they gave their enemies a reliable logistics chain.

Is there a source for this?

Hong XiuQuan
Feb 19, 2008

"Without justice for the Palestinians there will be no peace in the Middle East."

Paladinus posted:

Is there a source for this?

You'll have to connect the dots but basically:

1) Hamas has been using materials from unexploded ordnance
2) Something like >10% of Israel's ordnance doesn't explode
3) Israel has been using Vietnam-era stockpiles

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/28/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-weapons-rockets.html <-- has all claims but not spelled out in "Israel is desperate for munitions to the extent that it's using old stuff that doesn't explode and therefore lets Hamas get material" sense.

Sundance Shot
Oct 24, 2010

Paladinus posted:

Is there a source for this?

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-palestine-gaza-faulty-indiscriminate-lethal-vietnam-era-bombs
https://www.middleeasteye.net/big-story/israel-palestine-gaza-strip-unexploded-bombs
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_84_bomb

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
The article doesn't list the lack of the more modern bombs as the reason, so I am not entirely convinced Israel is about to run out of ammunition.

quote:

Why use MK-84s?

1) Getting rid of old stock 

Generally, air forces are known to use old stockpiles, says Brian Castner, a senior crisis adviser at Amnesty International, who specialises in weapons and military operations.

Bombs are expensive to store and maintain and need to be kept under heavy guard. They have a shelf life and, after a point, it can become dangerous to handle and load them, so it makes sense to drop the oldest first.  

What’s more, if Elbit Systems - which has hired multiple former high-ranking IDF officers and wields influence over the IDF - wants Israel to stock up on MPR-500s, then it would be in its commercial interest to pressure the IDF to get rid of its MK-84s as fast as possible.

Neither the IDF nor Elbit answered MEE's questions about this.

2) US pressure

Under a security assistance agreement spanning 2019-2028, the US has agreed - subject to congressional approval - to give Israel $3.8bn annually in foreign military financing, almost all of which it has to spend on US-made weapons. 

What Israel buys is mostly decided by the Pentagon, and the Pentagon also wants to get rid of old bombs. So the US may be looking to offload some of its MK-84s, which it has sold to Israel in the past.

A US Department of Defense spokesperson didn't reply to a request for comment.

3) Financial concerns

Every year, the Israeli defence ministry asks for a special extra budget to deal with unexpected threats.

And the more bombs the IDF drops, the more it needs to replenish its arsenal - and the more money it needs to do so.

In 2014, Netanyahu promised to cut the defence budget but reneged when the army demanded 10 billion Israeli shekels (more than $3bn) after its invasion of Gaza.

“We have to care for the standard of living, but first we have to care about life itself,” Netanyahu said of the decision, echoing fears stoked by the MOD that the IDF needed more investment to be ready for the next confrontation.

4) Operational necessity

On 14 May, the IDF misled foreign media that ground troops had entered Gaza, which some saw as a ploy to hit Hamas by driving their fighters into tunnels before striking them with more than 400 bombs.

As the so-called "Metro" is a vast network of tunnels, it’s not enough to breach it at a certain location. High-fragmentation bunker-busters, it could be argued, might have been likelier to kill and maim more underground fighters.

Regardless of the justifications, military or otherwise, the use of MK-84s in built-up civilian areas when the IDF has less harmful bombs in its arsenal that do the same job raises further questions under the laws of war about the proportionality - the potential loss of civilian life - of Israel's recent bombing campaign.

The article also says MK-84s are still manufactured, so it's hard to tell if they are new or from really old stockpiles.

E: Took a minute to get that NYT article. It also doesn't say there's a deficit of bombs, and Israel, in fact, was dumping older bombs from day one just because they have them. There seemingly was no gradual phasing in of increasingly old and unreliable bombs.

Paladinus fucked around with this message at 13:15 on May 10, 2024

Neon Belly
Feb 12, 2008

I need something stronger.

Does Israel have a large domestic industry on this stuff? Even with sizable stockpiles going in, after months of war those become near depleted without constant infusions (we somewhat see this with the war in Ukraine, where even the manufacturing capacity can have trouble keeping up with how quickly munitions are being spent).

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc

Young Freud posted:

You would think that, but those stockpiles have been getting depleted because they've been using them. Supposedly, they were getting into stockpiles that the US sold to them after the Vietnam War and finding out they dudded out and Hamas was repurposing them as IEDs against Israeli invasion. They were so exhausted they were using 50 year old explosives and in such quantities that they gave their enemies a reliable logistics chain.

IDF is saying they have enough to attack Rafah
https://twitter.com/manniefabian/status/1788622538517442661

quote:

Responding to a question at a press conference, IDF Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari says the military has enough munitions for the missions it has planned, after US President Joe Biden threatened that some arms shipments would be frozen if Israel launches a planned offensive in southern Gaza's Rafah.

"The IDF has armaments for the missions it is planning, and also for the missions in Rafah. We have what we need," he says.

The IDF's operation in Rafah has been limited to just the eastern outskirts of the city, and not the entire city where more than one million Palestinians are sheltering.

"The US has so far provided security assistance to the State of Israel and the IDF in an unprecedented manner during the war," Hagari says.

Highlighting the coordination between the militaries, he says IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi speaks with US CENTCOM chief Gen. Michael Erik Kurilla every day.

"Even when there are disagreements between us, we resolve them behind closed doors," Hagari says.

"Israel has security interests, but we are also aware of the interests of the US, and that's how we will continue to act," he adds.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

Piell posted:

IDF is saying they have enough to attack Rafah
https://twitter.com/manniefabian/status/1788622538517442661

I don't think they need a large stockpile of 2,000lb bombs to attack a concentration camp personally. Rifles and bayonets would probably be sufficient.

rscott
Dec 10, 2009
In outside of Gaza news, Zionist mobs have attacked the UNRWA compound in East Jerusalem, causing it to be shut down:
https://twitter.com/UNLazzarini/status/1788643951945150790?t=8zQWQ9YZzqTF1NE1BTsUog&s=19

Seems like they're being emboldened by the United States' abandonment of the mission

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

rscott posted:

In outside of Gaza news, Zionist mobs have attacked the UNRWA compound in East Jerusalem, causing it to be shut down:
https://twitter.com/UNLazzarini/status/1788643951945150790?t=8zQWQ9YZzqTF1NE1BTsUog&s=19

Seems like they're being emboldened by the United States' abandonment of the mission

I'm failing to see the link between Biden withholding some munitions and an Israeli mob attacking the UNRWA, an organization that the Israeli government has equated with Hamas for months, if not years.

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!
It's a shame that Biden only recently gained the power to restrict arms shipments to Israel.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

Neon Belly posted:

Does Israel have a large domestic industry on this stuff? Even with sizable stockpiles going in, after months of war those become near depleted without constant infusions (we somewhat see this with the war in Ukraine, where even the manufacturing capacity can have trouble keeping up with how quickly munitions are being spent).

Brasil has suspended the purchase of israeli artillery and ammunitions yesterday.

https://operamundi.uol.com.br/guerr...etivos-sociais/

I think it's safe to say Israel has a decent-sized arms industry and supply, but not enough to fully cover their big operations plus international sales for an extended period.

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer

punishedkissinger posted:

I'm failing to see the link between Biden withholding some munitions and an Israeli mob attacking the UNRWA, an organization that the Israeli government has equated with Hamas for months, if not years.

I think the OP is talking about the US abandonment of UNRWA.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

PostNouveau posted:

I think the OP is talking about the US abandonment of UNRWA.

Ahhhh that makes sense

DeadlyMuffin
Jul 3, 2007

Halloween Jack posted:

It's a shame that Biden only recently gained the power to restrict arms shipments to Israel.

Is anyone saying this, or are you making up someone to be mad at?

051024
May 10, 2024
Israel's momentum is larger any gun shipment thus far

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!

DeadlyMuffin posted:

Is anyone saying this, or are you making up someone to be mad at?
Please leave me alone.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Son of Thunderbeast
Sep 21, 2002

DeadlyMuffin posted:

Is anyone saying this, or are you making up someone to be mad at?

They appear to be commenting on observable reality.

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc
Some good-ish news for once
https://twitter.com/prem_thakker/status/1788954527393042717

Piell fucked around with this message at 16:54 on May 10, 2024

051024_2
May 10, 2024
but palestine no longer exists......

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

projecthalaxy
Dec 27, 2008

Yes hello it is I Kurt's Secret Son


Sadly, none of the articles I found (or the UN news website) have an actual list of who voted no or abstained. I'd have been interested to see the lists.

DynamicSloth
Jul 30, 2006

"Man is least himself when he talks in his own person. Give him a mask, and he will tell you the truth."

projecthalaxy posted:

Sadly, none of the articles I found (or the UN news website) have an actual list of who voted no or abstained. I'd have been interested to see the lists.

Aljazeera story has this tweet

https://twitter.com/Raminho/status/1788956393438859580

:canada: are craven American toadies as usual.

Zore
Sep 21, 2010
willfully illiterate, aggressively miserable sourpuss whose sole raison d’etre is to put other people down for liking the wrong things

projecthalaxy posted:

Sadly, none of the articles I found (or the UN news website) have an actual list of who voted no or abstained. I'd have been interested to see the lists.

You can see it in the screenshot

Nos were

Argentina
Czechia
Hungary
Israel
Micronesia
Nauru
Palau
Papua New Guinea
United States

Abstains were basically almost all of Europe, Ukraine and Canada though Greece, France and Belgium voted yes.

CalvinandHobbes
Aug 5, 2004

Zore posted:

You can see it in the screenshot

Nos were

Argentina
Czechia
Hungary
Israel
Micronesia
Nauru
Palau
Papua New Guinea
United States

Abstains were basically almost all of Europe, Ukraine and Canada though Greece, France and Belgium voted yes.

Surprisingly decent support in Western Europe. Portugal, Spain, Ireland, Iceland, Denmark, Norway and Luxembourg voted yes in addition to France and Belgium that you noted above.

Szarrukin
Sep 29, 2021
I'm surprised Czechia voted against and even more surprised Poland voted for.

zokie
Feb 13, 2006

Out of many, Sweden
Sweden abstained in this vote, but actually recognized Palestine in 2014. That was the social democrats doing though, and not the current blue/brown poo poo that is in charge now

run on sentience
Mar 22, 2022
US finds Israel’s use of weapons in Gaza ‘inconsistent’ with human rights law, but will not cut flow of arms

loving disgusting, I don't know how Biden supporters can live with themselves.

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/10/world/israel-gaza-war-hamas-rafah#biden-israel-us-weapons-gaza

quote:

The Biden administration has concluded it is “reasonable to assess” that Israel’s military campaign in Gaza has violated international law, but has not found specific instances that would justify the withholding of military aid, the State Department told Congress on Friday.

In the administration’s most detailed assessment of Israel’s conduct in Gaza, the State Department said in a written report to Congress that Israel “has the knowledge, experience and tools to implement best practices for mitigating civilian harm in its military operations.”

But it added that “the results on the ground, including high levels of civilian casualties, raise substantial questions” as to whether the Israel Defense Forces are using them sufficiently.

The report also noted that “Israel has not shared complete information to verify” whether U.S. weapons have been used in specific incidents alleged to have involved human rights law violations.

Nevertheless, the report, mandated by President Biden, deems that assurances Israel provided in March that it would use U.S. arms consistent with international law are “credible and reliable” and thus allow the continued flow of U.S. military aid.

"It's reasonable to say that Israel has broken international law but we can't give specific instances because Israel is hiding all the information about their violations and they pinky swear they won't do it so we have no choice but to give them all the money and bombs they could ever want"

Oh also

quote:

The report also did not find that Israel had intentionally obstructed humanitarian aid into Gaza.

What a complete load of absolute bullshit this report is

Skex
Feb 22, 2012

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

Because we know what the alternative is.

hadji murad
Apr 18, 2006

DynamicSloth posted:

Aljazeera story has this tweet

https://twitter.com/Raminho/status/1788956393438859580

:canada: are craven American toadies as usual.

Joly tweeted that they are completely for it, but at the right time and the right way. Pathetic of course.

Josef bugman
Nov 17, 2011

Pictured: Poster prepares to celebrate Holy Communion (probablY)

This avatar made possible by a gift from the Religionthread Posters Relief Fund
Not relevant.

run on sentience
Mar 22, 2022

Skex posted:

Because we know what the alternative is.

It's one thing to vote for the lesser evil and another to outright support him and deny his involvement in war crimes.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

run on sentience posted:

It's one thing to vote for the lesser evil and another to outright support him and deny his involvement in war crimes.

Who's denying his involvement in war crimes? I'm really not sure who you're being mad at here.


Piell posted:

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/10/world/israel-gaza-war-hamas-rafah#biden-israel-us-weapons-gaza

"It's reasonable to say that Israel has broken international law but we can't give specific instances because Israel is hiding all the information about their violations and they pinky swear they won't do it so we have no choice but to give them all the money and bombs they could ever want"

Oh also

What a complete load of absolute bullshit this report is

Wouldn't be surprised if the delay was internal fights about how to create this dumb wiggle room. I'd like it if it was about *whether* to create the wiggle room but there's no evidence on the deliberations yet.

run on sentience
Mar 22, 2022

Goatse James Bond posted:

Who's denying his involvement in war crimes? I'm really not sure who you're being mad at here.

I'm not mad at anyone, I was clarifying my original statement, since it seemed Skex thought I was talking about lesser evil voters, when I was referring to those who actually support Biden. I haven't seen any posts like that itt since the thread was closed and reopened.

Edit: vvv
My definition of supporting Biden doesn't matter and is irrelevant. I'm not American but if I were it would be a very difficult decision for me whether to vote for him or not. If you are keen to debate that, feel free to read the electoralism thread where they have been writing novels on that very subject for multiple pages.

run on sentience fucked around with this message at 00:23 on May 11, 2024

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3rdEyeDeuteranopia
Sep 12, 2007

run on sentience posted:

I'm not mad at anyone, I was clarifying my original statement, since it seemed Skex thought I was talking about lesser evil voters, when I was referring to those who actually support Biden. I haven't seen any posts like that itt since the thread was closed and reopened.

What's your definition of supporting then?

Voting and telling people how he's still better on the Israel-Palestine issue and foreign affairs in general than Trump?

Or actively being a genocide apologist for everything his administration has done?

Or wherever in between because there is a massive gap between those things.

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