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Big ole TRUMPMO spike.
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Mar 11, 2016 18:59
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Poll (supposedly) about to be released that will put Clinton up in MO. Probably a good time to buy & flip.
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Mar 11, 2016 19:01
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What the gently caress is happening in the DC market.
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Mar 11, 2016 19:05
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a cop posted:Poll (supposedly) about to be released that will put Clinton up in MO. Probably a good time to buy & flip. Source? Will it have a GOP component?
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Mar 11, 2016 19:08
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http://www.stltoday.com/news/nation...543072b341.html ST. LOUIS • Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have narrow leads in Missouri heading into Tuesday's presidential primaries, according to a new poll. The former Secretary of State Clinton leads Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 47 percent to 40 percent, with 13 percent undecided, according to the Docking Institute of Public Affairs Poll for Missouri newspapers. Among Republicans, the billionaire businessman Trump leads Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, 36-29, with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 9 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 8. A total of 17 percent of Republican poll respondents said they were undecided.
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Mar 11, 2016 19:10
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Not to mention Trump should be a post-debate bump. I said Wednesday Trump will win MO. More and more people are jumping on the #TrumpTrain
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Mar 11, 2016 19:15
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Concerned Citizen posted:http://www.stltoday.com/news/nation...543072b341.html Sanders could win Missouri, holy poo poo. Anyone spot a PDF of the full poll results/methodology?
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Mar 11, 2016 19:24
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qfCQ4riXO0 If you got in on MO when it was trading around ~35c you could almost double your money at this point.
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Mar 11, 2016 21:42
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If you aren't buying bernie lottos at super cheap for these recent races idk what to tell you, its like $10
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Mar 11, 2016 22:13
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Supreme Court down to Garland, Sri, and Watford per Reuters. With the first two the favorites. I've got a whole bunch of Garland...I've thought he would be the nominee from the get go. But I'll make a little money if its Sri or Watford instead.
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Mar 11, 2016 23:45
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Not watching the market at all but that's not really a Trollbama pick. Everyone else on that list is blatantly a political troll, but Garland has had too long a career so there'll be something objectionable in there to pretend to stonewall over. Not sure it makes sense.
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Mar 11, 2016 23:52
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I've thought he'll pick Garland because he knows it'll get rejected and Garland is a much, much safer pick. I mean, hell, he'll even die pretty soon, maybe, whereas Sri should be kicking it for about 30 years. With the voters saying the Senate should at least look at the guy, not looking at bland ol' Garland is going to be pretty harmful to the GOP.
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Mar 12, 2016 00:00
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Yeah I think Garland's age is seen incorrectly as a liability. It's helpful to him against a hostile opposition, because he'll only be on the bench for ~20 years instead of ~35. Garland has already made two shortlists; this is now his third. There is clearly some goodwill there from Obama, and I have a hard time seeing Obama bringing him back a third time if he is not seriously considering it. Sri is young enough to still be a potential nominee for the next 3 Presidential terms.
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Mar 12, 2016 00:47
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Arkane posted:Supreme Court down to Garland, Sri, and Watford per Reuters. With the first two the favorites. Sri is the only one left who was confirmed unanimously. He is also the most historic choice. I've suspected Obama might pick him from the start.
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Mar 12, 2016 01:29
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Is Kasich really 60/40 to win OH? I kinda wanna get in on NO, but if he's a slam dunk that I'm just not seeing, I don't want to be stupid. Also why aren't there markets for Wyoming, Guam, etc?
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Mar 12, 2016 02:44
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a cop posted:I'm all in, holding till the end (Well, not the end, but until it's clear on voting day). If it goes Trump then I'm BACK IN THE GAME!!! Oh poo poo, suddenly I'm starting to have second thoughts about holding MO.TRUMP YES 
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Mar 12, 2016 03:18
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Fuschia tude posted:Oh poo poo, suddenly I'm starting to have second thoughts about holding MO.TRUMP YES As you should 
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Mar 12, 2016 03:22
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A Time To Chill posted:Is Kasich really 60/40 to win OH? I kinda wanna get in on NO, but if he's a slam dunk that I'm just not seeing, I don't want to be stupid. People are reacting to a few things in Kasich's favor: 1. Some polls show him well within striking distance, or even ahead 2. Late deciders break heavily against Trump 3. Rubio basically said to vote for Kasich to stop Trump, and stopped just short of telling his voters to do so 4. There's been some "bad press" for Trump lately (the protesters things) 5. A decision today allows 17 year olds to vote in the primary (slightly helping Kasich maybe?) I'm skeptical 3 or 4 really matter, but if it's close, it could tip things toward Kasich. It's basically a tossup at this point.
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Mar 12, 2016 03:22
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Dem Illinois market is getting flooded with Berniebros who think tonight's protest isn't terrible optics for his campaign
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Mar 12, 2016 03:54
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pathetic little tramp posted:Dem Illinois market is getting flooded with Berniebros who think tonight's protest isn't terrible optics for his campaign It's good for both Bernie and for Trump, IMO.
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Mar 12, 2016 04:06
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pathetic little tramp posted:Dem Illinois market is getting flooded with Berniebros who think tonight's protest isn't terrible optics for his campaign in addition to the trump thing, at his own rally, he really went after Rahm Emanuel tonight, which is probably the right play. if he can dent Hillary's black support, he'll win Illinois I have no position
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Mar 12, 2016 04:28
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In hard on Trump.MO and Hillary.MO. Come on missouri. Bring it home!!
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Mar 12, 2016 04:31
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a cop posted:In hard on Trump.MO and Hillary.MO. Come on missouri. Bring it home!! We've still got the DC contest tomorrow first. I have 1100 shares of Trump No lined up there.
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Mar 12, 2016 05:19
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If Trump wins DC I'll buy a MAGA hat and eat it.
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Mar 12, 2016 06:02
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Bernie isn't winning Illinois with a 30/30 Hispanic and Black population in one of America's largest cities. Demos don't look good with IL population skewing older.
cheese eats mouse has issued a correction as of 06:55 on Mar 12, 2016 |
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Mar 12, 2016 06:44
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No position either. I'm fairly sure the polls were correct last week but there'll be natural tightening and obviously the Trump news will affect the Dem race heavily in some way. No idea what the fallout is on the Dem side, not gonna bother handicapping it, GL. Trump probably just locked up IL though. I'd like to be proven wrong there but let's face it I'm not.
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Mar 12, 2016 12:27
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Arkane posted:Prediction: Trump will trade below 50% by Monday. lol
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Mar 12, 2016 16:08
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shrike82 posted:lol Meh that actually happened that night and the market was panicking. It's amazing how this election is roughly 100% different if Rubio doesn't get horrifically murdered on stage that one time
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Mar 12, 2016 16:31
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I'm against Hillary in NC, IL and FL equally such that she only needs to lose one for it to be a lottery win
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Mar 12, 2016 17:45
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word of caution: the Washington DC contract could be VERY susceptible to insider knowledge this afternoon, kind of the ideal situation for it all of the votes are at a single location
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Mar 12, 2016 18:28
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I was really tempted to see if I could get in as an observer and insider trade the gently caress out of that market tbqh
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Mar 12, 2016 18:36
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You should, then broadcast it to those of us on Betfair so we can do it too tia
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Mar 12, 2016 18:45
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Rubio in DC just shot up 20+ cents. Keeping an eye on this.
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Mar 12, 2016 19:20
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Does anybody actually have any idea what's gonna happen in DC? I put $20 on Kasich yes/everyone else no because I am a gambler but I have no idea how dumb or not that was.
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Mar 12, 2016 19:21
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A Time To Chill posted:Does anybody actually have any idea what's gonna happen in DC? I put $20 on Kasich yes/everyone else no because I am a gambler but I have no idea how dumb or not that was. there's pictures of lines on twitter hard to tell from that obviously, but it didn't look overwhelming in any direction demographics-wise. if the line was all olds, trump would be the play.
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Mar 12, 2016 19:30
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trump would not be in play in DC if every old white person without a diploma showed up with a friend
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Mar 12, 2016 19:44
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A Time To Chill posted:Does anybody actually have any idea what's gonna happen in DC? I put $20 on Kasich yes/everyone else no because I am a gambler but I have no idea how dumb or not that was. Kasich is the least likely win. Rubio would win it if he wasn't days from implosion, Trump could win because Trump can apparently win anywhere especially with the anti-Trump vote spread, and Cruz is the obvious Rubio alternative since Kasich has no chance even though everyone loathes Ted Cruz.
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Mar 12, 2016 19:47
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I got out of DC because nothing makes sense
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Mar 12, 2016 20:04
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I'm guessing a huge crossover turnout to vote *against* Trump is in Rubio's favor. But who knows. Bet at your own risk.
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Mar 12, 2016 20:41
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:I got out of DC because nothing makes sense
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Mar 12, 2016 20:54
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