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cinci zoo sniper posted:You can fly over the pole. Not without crossing the Canadian or Icelandic FIR https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/co...utm_name=iossmf
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:35 |
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# ? Jun 3, 2024 06:07 |
Discendo Vox posted:What time do markets open in Russia? I would wait for American market to open for poo poo to kick really in, meaning 9:30am EST.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:35 |
Mokotow posted:Not without crossing the Canadian or Icelandic FIR Huh, TIL. Africa it is.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:35 |
Shes Not Impressed posted:It's about 10am. Thanks. CommieGIR can we get zenrus in the OP? https://zenrus.ru/ (plus any more official sites folks would recommend)
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:35 |
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Mokotow posted:https://twitter.com/FlyingandLife/status/1498040555108024325?s=20&t=tuR02fWWVCTuTg0Oi3JeDg Do commercial airlines ever say “gently caress it” and go through restricted airspace anyway? I mean, it’s a bad idea, but I don’t know what kind of response the Canadians would actually mount.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:36 |
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Edit: Sorry, fake, should been obvious.
Rincewinds fucked around with this message at 22:40 on Feb 27, 2022 |
# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:37 |
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https://twitter.com/AVindman/status/1498046970614599682
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:37 |
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cinci zoo sniper posted:You can fly over the pole. Not a very nice way to treat a pole, imo.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:37 |
cinci zoo sniper posted:I would wait for American market to open for poo poo to kick really in, meaning 9:30am EST. Although in reflection, MOEX will definitely close trading way before that. It's going to crash immediately on opening into a failsafe state.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:37 |
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TheRat posted:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yGHBHJbQLbU is a clip of one blowing up in syria. It's bonkers Ummm, so if the Russians were travelling with a group of these in formation, things would be really bad for them if a single TOS launcher got hit?
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:37 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Pretty shocking to see how the consensus about him has changed: Meh, you can't judge a take like that yet anyway. Zelensky stuck around Kyiv and was steely faced, which when rallying your country against an invader is certainly important, so props to him for that. But the decisions he made in the run up to the conflict, including questions over mobilization, distribution of forces, military leadership choices, etc. etc. The public just doesn't have a clear picture of any of that yet, we likely won't have a full accounting for years if not decades. Zelensky could easily have been making fundamental errors, and the Russians just ended up shooting themselves in the foot harder. We just don't know.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:38 |
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quote:王毅阐述中方对当前乌克兰问题的五点立场 quote:BEIJING, February 25. On February 25, State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi had a telephone conversation with British Foreign Secretary Truss, EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Borrell, and French Presidential Adviser Bona, focusing on in-depth exchanges of views on the situation in Ukraine. . Wang Yi expounded China's basic position on the Ukraine issue, which can be summarized in the following five points: It's a considerable amount of puffery of course - India would be extremely interested to know that China has never invaded any countries; this is a live issue still today - but the point is that China wants to maintain Soviet-style moral high ground messaging on Ukraine whereas Russia seems to be going off-message on that whole "indivisibility of security in Europe" 'totally reasonable security buffers' détente theme it was playing not all that long ago, rather than ranting about the overthrowing the Maidan junta to the UN
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:38 |
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Concerned Citizen posted:https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1498036418299453441 That's what you call a good old-fashioned bank run. grab as much devalued cash as you can before its gone.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:39 |
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cinci zoo sniper posted:I would wait for American market to open for poo poo to kick really in, meaning 9:30am EST. US futures markets open Sunday at 23:00 UTC and will show where things are going.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:39 |
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Vietnom nom nom posted:Meh, you can't judge a take like that yet anyway. At the same time, always question anything that the NYT puts out.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:40 |
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ik note: i'll kill on sight for any ww3 drivel in reply to this https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1498023555975450626?t=ZL6m8dEcVWKgU6ic4hZOOQ&s=19 Somebody fucked around with this message at 22:43 on Feb 27, 2022 |
# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:41 |
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Situation in south still aint great. https://twitter.com/BNONews/status/1498048091588595712 One road into Mariupol now basically
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:41 |
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Ashmole posted:https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1498023555975450626?t=ZL6m8dEcVWKgU6ic4hZOOQ&s=19 Show me one photo of a Ukrainian or a member of NATO in territorial Russia, I dare you.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:42 |
The_Franz posted:US futures markets open Sunday at 23:00 UTC and will show where things are going. Currency will start moving around midnight as well, yeah. I was leaning into the direction of "full scale of damage will on be quantifiable once investors get to yank their poo poo".
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:42 |
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The_Franz posted:US futures markets open Sunday at 23:00 UTC and will show where things are going. Australia's foreign exchange market opens in ~20 minutes. Things will start to get spicy then.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:42 |
FishBulbia posted:Situation in south still aint great. Wasn't Berdyansk seized yesterday?
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:42 |
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Vietnom nom nom posted:Australia's foreign exchange market opens in ~20 minutes. Things will start to get spicy then. Japan also announced they are blocking Russian financial trading
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:43 |
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cinci zoo sniper posted:You can fly over the pole. Poland also closed airspace
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:43 |
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https://twitter.com/AlexKhrebet/status/1498041936573349890 I have no idea how the UA is arranging logistics. There's still some amount of commuter traffic in between the cities...? I guess they're achieving it somehow.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:43 |
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ronya posted:https://twitter.com/AlexKhrebet/status/1498041936573349890 It's their homeland and they don't need directions like the Russians lol This is very good news.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:44 |
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Pook Good Mook posted:Show me one photo of a Ukrainian or a member of NATO in territorial Russia, I dare you. I mean that sounds like a fairly easy thing to acomplish. Think you need to limit your terms a bit more than that.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:44 |
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Denmark is sending 2700 M72 EC LAW, the newest weapon in the Royal Danish Army. It's strongly implied its our entire stock.
Trump fucked around with this message at 22:50 on Feb 27, 2022 |
# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:44 |
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Wasn't Berdyansk seized yesterday? They bypassed it and went toward the airport, so I thought it might be another one of those finger wide advances where they can't hold anything. This basically confirms that Ukr isn't holding the South East as well.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:45 |
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ronya posted:https://twitter.com/AlexKhrebet/status/1498041936573349890 Cool OPSEC
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:45 |
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Ashmole posted:ik note: i'll kill on sight for any ww3 drivel in reply to this I hope this dumb motherfucker steps in to moving traffic and gets squashed by a mass transit vehicle. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:47 |
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Dante posted:It was a joke more in line of "well we assume the people not-in-shelter are representative for the people in shelter". I do empirical analysis for a living, a N of 2000 is perfectly acceptable for a presidential poll and when you order polls you generally order for a round number. Professionally, I've polled around 700,000 respondents in the last few years as parts of various projects. An N of far less than 2000 would be fine to saturate their target cells given their described sample frame, and given a 91-6 split on the parameter of interest, the classical margin of error is all but irrelevant anyway, a minuscule sample would be fine. My reason for raising the round number is because it's very improbable to end up with a round number of respondents. Of course you target round numbers, but typically with CATI as a modality you have multiple calls going in parallel and so even if you turn off the tap at a round number, you end up with the last few calls trickling in. It would be very uncommon to call respondents serially such that you could actually say "I have 2,000, now I'm done". This is further complicated by mid-call attrition, and if they actually attempted to disqualify e.g. non-citizen respondents or minors. It's not necessarily a sign that it's fake -- they could very well have called in sequence one call at a time, or they could discard respondents after N=2,000 (this is not principled, since it is typically presumed that respondent order is exchangeable, and also why throw away valid data, but it wouldn't be a big deal), or they could have a true N different than N=2,000 and just reported the rounded number as pollsters sometimes do. I was just responding from a framework of "Wow, it seems insane they're doing a poll in these conditions. Would I believe this poll?" and based on what I've seen the only major red flag is the odd round number, everything else seems in keeping with best practices and I wouldn't have any huge concerns from a TSE point of view. RE: Your edit about selection issues -- it isn't necessarily. Low response rate is extremely common (and indeed more common in wealthier countries). It does inflate your risk of high total survey error, but only if there is differential nonresponse that correlates with the outcomes of interest conditional on the strata you're weighting to. Risk of displacement in Ukraine varies surely by age, sex, and location within the country, but they are stratifying for these. The weights create a design effect (which inflates variance / total MOE but polling firms only report classical MOE and there's also a deflationary pressure on the MOE because of how lopsided the parameters of interest are). Again I would be concerned about differential non-response by maternal language and past political allegiance but the former depends on how many maternal Russian speakers there are in the regions polled so it may not be a big deal. The latter would just be impossible to solve right now. And then there's the smell test: based on past RATF in other settings, is this plausible? Answer: Definitely. So it passes the sniff test for me. Man Plan Canal fucked around with this message at 12:55 on Sep 26, 2022 |
# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:47 |
FishBulbia posted:They bypassed it and went toward the airport, so I thought it might be another one of those finger wide advances where they can't hold anything. This basically confirms that Ukr isn't holding the South East as well. Ah, I see. There was alleged intel of 2k marines landing in Mariupol' whereabouts, so maybe that was Berdyansk capture - shallow perimeter control by convoy, and then overkill amphibious assault.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:47 |
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Trump posted:Denmark is send 2700 M72 EC LAW, the newest weapon in the Royal Danish Army. It's strongly it basically our entire stock. drat, I would have thought it was older AT-4s
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:47 |
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Mokotow posted:Not without crossing the Canadian or Icelandic FIR I think you've misunderstood what FIRs are - they aren't the same as airspace. It's just a way to divide up whose air traffic controllers are responsible for monitoring etc. Airspace in the context of banning flights is the upwards projection from your national territory and territorial waters. A lot of the Canada &Icelandic FIR is above international waters and so they are fine to fly through.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:48 |
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https://twitter.com/FT/status/1497879767227543553quote:“Simple kit is best,” one senior defence source said. “That means secure communications and night vision equipment, handheld anti-tank and anti-air craft missiles, and of course ammunition.”
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:48 |
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-Anders posted:drat, I would have thought it was older AT-4s Or the old Carl Gustav that was replaced.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:49 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Pretty shocking to see how the consensus about him has changed: the extra dumb thing about this is that zelensky has been impressively navigating an absolute nightmare of a political situation for a long time now, certainly far before this all popped off. Even if you didn't think he was great, he was doing solidly well with a totally hosed up situation. Zelensky since the invasion though has definitely been about as effective and inspiring as any leader could actually hope to be when getting invaded by a nuclear-armed super power
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:50 |
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Ah, I see. There was alleged intel of 2k marines landing in Mariupol' whereabouts, so maybe that was Berdyansk capture - shallow perimeter control by convoy, and then overkill amphibious assault. https://twitter.com/liz_cookman/status/1498005055613685762?s=20&t=0oH4Ws0TjKye0Qe5PytVow Some reporting that Mariupol is already surrounded. I'm sure that city isn't surrendering though.
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:50 |
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Dancing in those shoes prepared Zelensky for the trials of war https://twitter.com/swordsjew/status/1498050747950415876?t=j5g3moH6LSL16rdl4J-tjw&s=19 Full video. It feels like a fever dream. https://youtu.be/kgOSrw9Q8rc
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:51 |
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# ? Jun 3, 2024 06:07 |
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TheRat posted:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yGHBHJbQLbU is a clip of one blowing up in syria. It's bonkers allahu akbar indeed, good fuckin lord
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# ? Feb 27, 2022 22:51 |