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Solemn Sloth
Jul 11, 2015

Baby you can shout at me,
But you can't need my eyes.

The Artificial Kid posted:

You ever have one of those moments where you wonder if one of the times in the past when you maybe could have died (that time you had a very high fever, or fell off your bike and hit your head, or passed out on a hot day) you actually did die, and went to hell, but you didn't notice because hell starts slowly?

That's how I feel living in a world that collectively looks at COVID and thinks "better live with it". From day 1 the potential existed to eradicate it. We just needed to work together. Most of the planet has spent months in some form of lockdown over the last 1.5 years, and even when not in lockdown people have been under self imposed restrictions that have made life miserable.

It could have been over in a couple of weeks.

With coordinated action, this virus could have been confined to a few reference samples in biosafety labs by now.

It still could. There is not a single reason it couldn't that doesn't come back to "we can't persuade everyone to work together". Depending on the context everyone can mean "all world leaders", "all states within each country" or just "all people who would be required to observe strict restrictions for a couple of months", but if we as a species were capable of securing that cooperation at each of those levels successively, we'd have beaten this virus long ago.

And the most depressing flavour of this feeling is watching a number of Australian politicians giddy with excitement that they can finally wriggle out of the arm-twisting position that the public had them in that required them to do the right thing, and instead force us to endure them doing the wrong thing. They finally let the virus get so out of control here that they've made all of us give up and accept that not only will Australia, New Zealand et al. never persuade other countries to switch from their bad policies to good policies, but we're going to stop doing the good policies ourselves.

I guess you hadn’t been paying attention to the whole climate change thing :smith:

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freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

The Artificial Kid posted:

It could have been over in a couple of weeks.

With coordinated action, this virus could have been confined to a few reference samples in biosafety labs by now.

It still could.

It was maybe possible at the start when it was a less virulent strain confined to wealthier and well-organised nations, but good luck getting war refugees in Afghanistan or subsistence farmers in Mali or flat-broke workers in Beirut to give a gently caress about COVID, they have bigger problems.

norp
Jan 20, 2004

TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP

let's invade New Zealand, they have oil
Also the fact that it's been detected in wild animals (including feral cats/dogs/etc) means that we are highly unlikely to eliminate all the animal reservoirs for the virus.

SMILLENNIALSMILLEN
Jun 26, 2009



The Artificial Kid posted:

You ever have one of those moments where you wonder if one of the times in the past when you maybe could have died (that time you had a very high fever, or fell off your bike and hit your head, or passed out on a hot day) you actually did die, and went to hell, but you didn't notice because hell starts slowly?

That's how I feel living in a world that collectively looks at COVID and thinks "better live with it". From day 1 the potential existed to eradicate it. We just needed to work together. Most of the planet has spent months in some form of lockdown over the last 1.5 years, and even when not in lockdown people have been under self imposed restrictions that have made life miserable.

It could have been over in a couple of weeks.

With coordinated action, this virus could have been confined to a few reference samples in biosafety labs by now.

It still could. There is not a single reason it couldn't that doesn't come back to "we can't persuade everyone to work together". Depending on the context everyone can mean "all world leaders", "all states within each country" or just "all people who would be required to observe strict restrictions for a couple of months", but if we as a species were capable of securing that cooperation at each of those levels successively, we'd have beaten this virus long ago.

And the most depressing flavour of this feeling is watching a number of Australian politicians giddy with excitement that they can finally wriggle out of the arm-twisting position that the public had them in that required them to do the right thing, and instead force us to endure them doing the wrong thing. They finally let the virus get so out of control here that they've made all of us give up and accept that not only will Australia, New Zealand et al. never persuade other countries to switch from their bad policies to good policies, but we're going to stop doing the good policies ourselves.

this applies to basically every societal problem. aint nothing wrong on planet earth except peoples brains

Pleasant Friend
Dec 30, 2008


Why doesn't anyone call out the Craig Kelly/Palmer poo poo as what they really are, working proxies for Liberals to say the most extreme stuff while maintaining a flimsy veneer of deniability.

Craig Kelly is out there saying this poo poo because the PM and liberal party managers told him to.

The Artificial Kid
Feb 22, 2002
Plibble

freebooter posted:

It was maybe possible at the start when it was a less virulent strain confined to wealthier and well-organised nations, but good luck getting war refugees in Afghanistan or subsistence farmers in Mali or flat-broke workers in Beirut to give a gently caress about COVID, they have bigger problems.
People living like people in Afghanistan or Mali live aren't what's driving this epidemic, it's people who demand the right to travel from one side of the world to the other in a matter of hours, and mingle freely at their destination. If you live your life in walking distance COVID might as well be nonexistant in the time it would take for the jet-set countries to get their poo poo together and squash it. A significant fraction of the cases worldwide came from China via America and a handful of other countries that acted as incubator-distributors for the virus right at the time when China was burning the virus out of itself like Rambo with a thimbleful of gunpowder.

The level of restrictions needed to be applied to people is inversely proportional to their distance from other people. So while it's true that someone who lives in a hamlet in the hills is going to be harder to get on aboard the quarantine train, it's also less of a problem there.

As far as animals acting as reservoirs, I wasn't aware that there was sustained animal transmission going on, if that's the case then it may change the eradication picture a bit. But the fact remains that right now, all over the world, leaders like Morrison who had no concept of enlightened cooperation unless it was forced on them, are skating while the rest of us live in their poo poo.

The Artificial Kid fucked around with this message at 10:12 on Sep 4, 2021

Eediot Jedi
Dec 25, 2007

This is where I begin to speculate what being a
man of my word costs me

Pleasant Friend posted:

Why doesn't anyone call out the Craig Kelly/Palmer poo poo as what they really are, working proxies for Liberals to say the most extreme stuff while maintaining a flimsy veneer of deniability.

Craig Kelly is out there saying this poo poo because the PM and liberal party managers told him to.

Uh huh uh huh Scott Morrison in a brilliant move to look even more pathetically ineffective and not able to control the party he nominally heads up charges Craig Kelly to directly contradict and publicly undermine him.

EoinCannon
Aug 29, 2008

Grimey Drawer
They found lots of wild deer in America with covid apparently

Pleasant Friend
Dec 30, 2008

Eediot Jedi posted:

Uh huh uh huh Scott Morrison in a brilliant move to look even more pathetically ineffective and not able to control the party he nominally heads up charges Craig Kelly to directly contradict and publicly undermine him.

Scott Morrison is nothing if not pathetically ineffective. But yes, it is transparent as gently caress, they did this last election with Clive Palmer and are using the exact same playbook this election, invent a proxy to say all the messages that are too vile, stupid and hateful for the Liberal party to say themselves, but will appeal to a segment of society and attempt to push the conversation rightwards. It particularly helps that the media in this nation will never call them out on it and are outright complicit in selling the lie.

Eediot Jedi
Dec 25, 2007

This is where I begin to speculate what being a
man of my word costs me

nah

Clive is in it to grift and for his ego. Sure bigger brainworms will use the UAP to broadcast their own messages but Clive doesn't care. He'll take the easiest path to more votes so he can extract concessions from the government.

Clive doesn't help the LNP, by shifting the conversation further right and presenting extreme positions like firebombing refugee boats as reasonable, he makes the LNP look weak, to split votes from them, so he can sell the votes back to them.

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

The Artificial Kid posted:

People living like people in Afghanistan or Mali live aren't what's driving this epidemic, it's people who demand the right to travel from one side of the world to the other in a matter of hours, and mingle freely at their destination. If you live your life in walking distance COVID might as well be nonexistant in the time it would take for the jet-set countries to get their poo poo together and squash it. A significant fraction of the cases worldwide came from China via America and a handful of other countries that acted as incubator-distributors for the virus right at the time when China was burning the virus out of itself like Rambo with a thimbleful of gunpowder.

Which is why I said it was true at the start but is no longer true now.

If first world cities like Melbourne and Sydney with highly competent and well-funded public health bureaucracies can't eliminate Delta even with the strictest of lockdowns, good luck getting it to work in the overcrowded slums of Dhaka or Kinshasa or Phnom Penh, even if the political will to do so was there. You're dreaming. We are never eliminating COVID unless we develop a vaccine with sterilising immunity and even then it'll take decades.

Laserface
Dec 24, 2004

EoinCannon posted:

They found lots of wild deer in America with covid apparently

Maybe Rogan ate some.

Cpt Soban
Jul 23, 2011

freebooter posted:


WA, Queensland, Tasmania, SA, and the NT are in an incredibly good position and can be rightfully proud of being among the best places in the world to be during the pandemic. And they definitely shouldn't let Morrison and Berejiklian's failures bully them into opening up prematurely. But they should and will eventually open up.

And we will eventually open up in SA. But it's insanity for NSW and the feds to suggest we open up next month when we've barely hit 50% double vaxxed, and that's not including the time needed post jab for people's bodies to build immunity. We're staying shut until our health experts, not a business lobbied premier says so.

The Artificial Kid
Feb 22, 2002
Plibble

freebooter posted:

Which is why I said it was true at the start but is no longer true now.

If first world cities like Melbourne and Sydney with highly competent and well-funded public health bureaucracies can't eliminate Delta even with the strictest of lockdowns, good luck getting it to work in the overcrowded slums of Dhaka or Kinshasa or Phnom Penh, even if the political will to do so was there. You're dreaming. We are never eliminating COVID unless we develop a vaccine with sterilising immunity and even then it'll take decades.
The strictest lockdown is everyone gets food parcels delivered by the government and doesn't leave their house except by ambulance until COVID stops existing.

Centusin
Aug 5, 2009

The Artificial Kid posted:

The strictest lockdown is everyone gets food parcels delivered by the government and doesn't leave their house except by ambulance until COVID stops existing.

Since August 23rd Ho Chi Minh City residents aren't allowed to leave their home except for essential workers in 11 different groups, and there are police checkpoints everywhere so documents are definitely being examined. Food is being delivered by community workers and soldiers, at certain essential offices and factories workers are having to work, eat and sleep there. No real sign any of it is working yet.

Senor Tron
May 26, 2006


Cpt Soban posted:

And we will eventually open up in SA. But it's insanity for NSW and the feds to suggest we open up next month when we've barely hit 50% double vaxxed, and that's not including the time needed post jab for people's bodies to build immunity. We're staying shut until our health experts, not a business lobbied premier says so.

Yeah, open up when giving more freedom will actually, ya know, result in the population having more freedom.

In the near future it will just result in more restrictions on our day to day life.

The Artificial Kid
Feb 22, 2002
Plibble

Centusin posted:

Since August 23rd Ho Chi Minh City residents aren't allowed to leave their home except for essential workers in 11 different groups, and there are police checkpoints everywhere so documents are definitely being examined. Food is being delivered by community workers and soldiers, at certain essential offices and factories workers are having to work, eat and sleep there. No real sign any of it is working yet.
I guess we’ll see in another week or two? But fundamentally if the virus keeps spreading its because, and only because, infected people are having contact with uninfected people. And what’s described as a “lockdown except for essential workers” can vary significantly from one place and time to another. The question for any given lockdown is how close it actually comes to actually stopping all contact between infected and uninfected people. Some “lockdowns” barely even attempt to do that (see Berejiklian et al. 2021) but a lockdown that does that will stop the virus.

Anyway, I’m not trying to argue that we can stop it successfully now, I started out acknowledging that we are unable to come together on collective action that would achieve it. I’m just annoyed that the guilty parties will get off Morrison Free, and probably all congregate for tea and medals after absolutely flubbing one of the easiest tests of collective action we’ve ever faced.

The Artificial Kid fucked around with this message at 13:42 on Sep 4, 2021

Konomex
Oct 25, 2010

a whiteman who has some authority over others, who not only hasn't raped anyone, or stared at them creepily...
If everyone just planned to stay put for one month we could kick this viruses rear end. Of course it wouldn't happen. But you could have kill bots going around shooting anyone on the street. It'd make for a hosed up movie setting. Kind of like the purge, but you could call it Lock Down.

It's not like we're not in the process of already killing wild animal populations, we'll just cull them too. Agent Orange every forest in America, they're practically doing it already.

Cpt Soban
Jul 23, 2011

Senor Tron posted:

Yeah, open up when giving more freedom will actually, ya know, result in the population having more freedom.

In the near future it will just result in more restrictions on our day to day life.

Our only requirement is to wear a mask in public buildings. We don't need one on if we're eating/drinking. So if you're sitting in a pub it's like nothing is happening. Dunno what "restrictions" you're talking about for us right now. And when we're fully vaxxed, it'll never be a thing again.

Konomex posted:

If everyone just planned to stay put for one month we could kick this viruses rear end. Of course it wouldn't happen.

A 14 day lockdown the moment that one limo driver was detected would have stopped it completely. Better yet- Requiring masks/jabs for transporting international flight crew would have stopped a lockdown from happening at all.

Cpt Soban fucked around with this message at 13:49 on Sep 4, 2021

bobvonunheil
Mar 18, 2007

Board games and tea

Launchpad McQuack posted:

As a front line health worker in WA I feel I need to call you a delusional fuckwit who is talking out of your rear end on the internet to feel make yourself feel better about a garbage Premier who has lied from day one.

We have had almost 2 year to prepare for this and he has done nothing. We are completely unprepared. Apart from the PPE issue we are basical we were at Marst 2020. McGowan has done nothing, he has made a lot of stuff worse

The delta will have an outbreak here, you cannot politics your way out of a biological problem.

By the way if any WA people have been thinking about it St John is always recuirting vollies for the country, patient transport officers and event health officers in the city. Anyone is welcome and we could really use the help.

Anecdotally, a nurse I know in WA is leaving the profession after having a baby girl, basically because of the rear end-backwards staffing bullshit that nurses put up with.

She and her husband both do shift work, and if they're both on a night shift at the same time there's literally nobody to care for their daughter. Can she ask for them to co-ordinate something so that they don't both get night shifts on the same day? Nope, because "tHaT wOuLdN't Be FaIr" on the other nurses. She's left with trying to arrange shift swaps if she gets an unworkable scheduling conflict.

She tried so hard to make it work, but it was too stressful so the system loses another qualified nurse in a crucial time, even without anyone here having to deal with COVID.

Phigs
Jan 23, 2019

The Artificial Kid posted:

I’m just annoyed that the guilty parties will get off Morrison Free, and probably all congregate for tea and medals after absolutely flubbing one of the easiest tests of collective action we’ve ever faced.

It's fun that the literal worst thing that will happen to Scott or Gladys is that they get voted out next election. And even that's not guaranteed to happen.

Animal Friend
Sep 7, 2011

Centusin posted:

Since August 23rd Ho Chi Minh City residents aren't allowed to leave their home except for essential workers in 11 different groups, and there are police checkpoints everywhere so documents are definitely being examined. Food is being delivered by community workers and soldiers, at certain essential offices and factories workers are having to work, eat and sleep there. No real sign any of it is working yet.

Is Bunnings open?

Cpt Soban
Jul 23, 2011

Phigs posted:

It's fun that the literal worst thing that will happen to Scott or Gladys is that they get voted out next election. And even that's not guaranteed to happen.

They'll get sweet gigs for the Business/Mining lobby groups, or the IPA.

Senor Tron
May 26, 2006


Cpt Soban posted:

Our only requirement is to wear a mask in public buildings. We don't need one on if we're eating/drinking. So if you're sitting in a pub it's like nothing is happening. Dunno what "restrictions" you're talking about for us right now.

That's exactly my point.

Solemn Sloth
Jul 11, 2015

Baby you can shout at me,
But you can't need my eyes.

Phigs posted:

It's fun that the literal worst thing that will happen to Scott or Gladys is that they get voted out next election. And even that's not guaranteed to happen.

We should take inspiration from the romans and as soon as you’re out of office you get sued to oblivion / murdered and thrown in the river

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

Cpt Soban posted:

Our only requirement is to wear a mask in public buildings. We don't need one on if we're eating/drinking. So if you're sitting in a pub it's like nothing is happening. Dunno what "restrictions" you're talking about for us right now. And when we're fully vaxxed, it'll never be a thing again.

Restrictions post vaccination plateau (which will be higher than 70%, lower than 100%) are still going to be a thing for a while. Nothing major like the lockdowns we see now, but probably still capacity limits, masks in schools, university lectures online only, definitely vaccination passports. Senor Tron's point is that for you and everyone else in SA that will be an increase in restrictions. (Unless, I suppose, one considers the ability to travel interstate and internationally again to offset them.)

Laserface
Dec 24, 2004

I'm fairly concerned about how the entertainment/gig industry is going to handle it. I don't see us having anything beyond the reduced cap/sitdown shows we had last year which kinda blows depending on what you're into I guess.

Probably see a lot of pubs switch to acoustic cover acts playing wonderwall for the 50 millionth time just because it's easier than booking a band and selling tickets to a niche crowd.

perepelki
Dec 11, 2020

know before Whom you stand
this sucks

perepelki
Dec 11, 2020

know before Whom you stand


NO

TammyHEH
Dec 11, 2013

Alfrything is only the ghost of a memory...
How narrow was this mine

perepelki
Dec 11, 2020

know before Whom you stand

Tommunist posted:

How narrow was this mine
you would not believe how narrow, deep or dark

Kazzah
Jul 15, 2011

Formerly known as
Krazyface
Hair Elf
Booked in my vax for... November

Halo14
Sep 11, 2001

Kazzah posted:

Booked in my vax for... November

Which state are you in?

Worth checking this Whirlpool thread as they’ve discovered different ways to get a booking sooner:

https://forums.whirlpool.net.au/thread/96ppyl69?p=-1#bottom

Solemn Sloth
Jul 11, 2015

Baby you can shout at me,
But you can't need my eyes.

Halo14 posted:

Which state are you in?

Despair

Cpt Soban
Jul 23, 2011

freebooter posted:

Restrictions post vaccination plateau (which will be higher than 70%, lower than 100%) are still going to be a thing for a while. Nothing major like the lockdowns we see now, but probably still capacity limits, masks in schools, university lectures online only, definitely vaccination passports. Senor Tron's point is that for you and everyone else in SA that will be an increase in restrictions. (Unless, I suppose, one considers the ability to travel interstate and internationally again to offset them.)

I'm resigned to the fact that i'll be wearing a mask for a long long time.

abigserve
Sep 13, 2009

this is a better avatar than what I had before
Masks, reduced capacity venues and work from home is all here to stay unfortunately.

University's are going to get smashed. All those sweet sweet accommodation dollars...

Cpt Soban
Jul 23, 2011

abigserve posted:

work from home is all here to stay unfortunately.


I'm OK with this actually. My wife really enjoys working from home.

CAT INTERCEPTOR
Nov 9, 2004

Basically a male Margaret Thatcher

Kazzah posted:

Booked in my vax for... November

As a note, keep your booking but keep looking for vaccination slots - they regularly turn up and you can get vacced much earlier

Whirlpool thread just llinked is a good example

Laserface
Dec 24, 2004

Covidqueue.com too.

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bell jar
Feb 25, 2009

Kazzah posted:

Booked in my vax for... November

What's preventing you from getting AZ?

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