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Monkeytime
Mar 20, 2010
Uh-oh guys, the secret's out!

huffingtonpost posted:

.
Today 12:46 PM 'I'm Going To Reveal A Secret'

Yemen's president, who has been backed by the United States, accuses the U.S. and Israel of instigating unrest in his country. Ali Abdullah Saleh also charged the United States with trying to destabilize the Middle East.

"I am going to reveal a secret," he said. "There is an operations room in Tel Aviv with the aim of destabilizing the Arab world. The operations room is in Tel Aviv and run by the White House," he said.

In other, more relevant news, the Russian representative to the UN Security Council said he'd veto any resolution establishing a no-fly zone. To what end, I'm not sure; maybe they're trying to show other client-state dictators that they won't abandon them when the going gets tough?

What were Libya's ties with Russia like?

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Cartouche
Jan 4, 2011

Monkeytime posted:

Uh-oh guys, the secret's out!


In other, more relevant news, the Russian representative to the UN Security Council said he'd veto any resolution establishing a no-fly zone. To what end, I'm not sure; maybe they're trying to show other client-state dictators that they won't abandon them when the going gets tough?

What were Libya's ties with Russia like?

Has the "security" council ever actually done anything of substance?

SauceNinja
Nov 8, 2002
Knock Knock.
Who's There?
You're Fired.

Sivias posted:

You clearly have very little understanding about the level of influence oil has on the structure of the human civilization.
You clearly are a presumptuous, condescending, fortune-telling, and nay-saying prick.

Sivias posted:

The level of human suffering that will occur when our oil runs out will be like that our species has never seen.

Maybe if it just up and vanished. But it won't. It'll slowly disappear as we ramp up technologies we can use as substitutes. There may be a decline in population, growth, food, and wealth until we can find a sustainable equilibrium between people and renewable resources but that doesn't mean we're going to be reduced to a primitive world as a whole.

Slantedfloors
Apr 29, 2008

Wait, What?

Monkeytime posted:

Uh-oh guys, the secret's out!

Am I the only one who enjoys how non-sensical the conspiracies the dictators churn out are?

"American backed foreign Al-Queda fighters are working with Al-Jazeera to create a breakaway Islamist Emirate, enabled by machinations of Israel!"

What the gently caress man? There's like six differing ideologies in that loving thing.

IRQ
Sep 9, 2001

SUCK A DICK, DUMBSHITS!

^^^^^ It's not really so far fetched that people wouldn't believe it. How much crazier is that than "Obama is a communist nazi socialist liberal secret muslim kenyan"?

Monkeytime posted:

In other, more relevant news, the Russian representative to the UN Security Council said he'd veto any resolution establishing a no-fly zone. To what end, I'm not sure; maybe they're trying to show other client-state dictators that they won't abandon them when the going gets tough?

What were Libya's ties with Russia like?

A dude on NPR last night said that Russia's vetoing the no-fly zone isn't because they give a poo poo about Libya but rather that a similar resolution somehow came back to bite them in the rear end in the past.

The US and UK appear to be preparing for it anyway.

IRQ fucked around with this message at 19:32 on Mar 1, 2011

The Cheshire Cat
Jun 10, 2008

Fun Shoe

Slantedfloors posted:

Am I the only one who enjoys how non-sensical the conspiracies the dictators churn out are?

"American backed foreign Al-Queda fighters are working with Al-Jazeera to create a breakaway Islamist Emirate, enabled by machinations of Israel!"

What the gently caress man? There's like six differing ideologies in that loving thing.

It's basically a paranoiac's dart board. I guess they figure if they hit at least one person's favorite hot button ideology, then the rest doesn't matter because that one issue is enough to get that person on board.

Sadly, that does actually work for some people. The good news is it only works on the REALLY crazy people, whose numbers are too low to be meaningful.

Spiky Ooze
Oct 27, 2005

Bernie Sanders is a friend to my planet (pictured)


click the shit outta^
Maybe someone should deliver a list of advice from all us old crappy democracies to these new ones. Stuff like: Have more than two parties, have short term limits on all government positions, and take conflict of interest seriously from day 1. Also, if you've got anything in your laws about giving anyone more legal immunity than anyone else because they're in the government, that's kind of sucked for the US.

glug
Mar 12, 2004

JON JONES APOLOGIST #1
It seems like there are a few countries in the Arab world that, with respect to the Sunni/Shiite dividing line in Islam, are governed by a minority sect. Is there anyone out there who is seriously up on their middle east that would like to put together a color coded map?

I would be really interested in seeing the 'big picture', identifying by color or somesuch which nations were majority Sunni, majority Shiite, and those that were governed by the minority religious sect in their nation. On top of that, possibly color coding the names of each nation to indicate the level of unrest.

Don't know if we have someone that inclined and knowledgeable, but I think it'd be a neat thing to have available.

The Cheshire Cat
Jun 10, 2008

Fun Shoe
To be honest, the US is the worst example of a democratic country when it comes to those issues. Yeah, corruption exists elsewhere, but not nearly to the extent that you guys have it. So I wouldn't be too worried about the middle east.

Sorry you guys have such poo poo laws and politicians v:shobon:v

dao Jones
Jul 17, 2009

Cartouche posted:

Has the "security" council ever actually done anything of substance?

Besides the Korean War and Desert Storm? I suppose not. And I suppose Qkhaddaafi (seriously I've seen at least 6 different spellings of his name) would have to do something pretty drat serious to get China and Russia on board here.

@Cheshire Cat: I would like to see that term actually minted:

"Wow, they've gotten so desperate for spin they have resorted to a (the?) Paranoiac's Dart Board"

Apology
Nov 12, 2005

by Y Kant Ozma Post
I think this might actually be the real deal:

quote:

@NellyFurtado
Nelly Furtado
In 2007, I received 1million$ from the Qaddafi clan to perform a 45 min. Show for guests at a hotel in Italy. I am going to donate the $

Yemen's protesters are still hanging in there. Bread Hats, unite!

quote:

Yemen's president has hit out at Israel and the US, accusing them of destabilising his country and the Arab world as protesters demanding his ouster press ahead with demonstrations.

Ali Abdullah Saleh's comments on Tuesday marked his harshest public criticism yet of the US, a key ally with which his government is battling al-Qaeda pockets in the Arab Pensinsula.

He said "there's an operations room in Tel Aviv with the aim of destabilising the Arab world" and that it is "run by the White House".

There was no immediate reaction to Saleh's comments from Washington.

An hour after Saleh's speech, tens of thousands of protesters marched to the capital's university, joined for the first time by opposition parties.

Sheikh Abdul-Majid al-Zindani, a cleric the US accuses of having links to al-Qaeda, was present at the gathering and declared his support for the protesters.

'Significant development'

Saleh, speaking to faculty at Sanaa University, accused the US president of meddling in the Middle East. "Mr Obama, you're the president of the United States; you're not the president of the Arab world," he said.

Al Jazeera's Hashem Ahelbarra, reporting from Sanaa, said: "He [Saleh] is asking the international community to stop interfering in the affairs of the Arab world ... It's a very significant development; it shows Saleh is not willing to bow to the demands of the protesters."

Protesters pressed ahead with demonstrations despite an offer a day earlier from the president to form a unity government. Saleh has been in power since 1978.

Tuesday's protest is the latest in a series that have rocked the country for weeks and claimed at least 24 lives.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/03/20113191141211328.html

Iran is doggedly protesting as well:

quote:

Iran's security forces fired teargas and clashed with opposition supporters in central Tehran, where demonstrators were rallying to demand the release of two opposition leaders, according to witnesses and an opposition website.

"Security forces and people in civilian clothes clashed with demonstrators in Tehran to disperse them," opposition website Kaleme reported about Tuesday's events.

Kaleme.com said protesters rallied at several points in the capital, chanting "death to the dictator" and calling on authorities to free Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mahdi Karroubi.

Former presidential candidates Mousavi and Karoubi have not been seen in public since they called for a rally on February 14, during which thousands of their supporters took to the streets to support uprisings in the Arab world.

Family members and opposition activists say the two leaders have moved from house arrest to a Tehran prison along with their wives. Iranian authorities deny the reports.

Sahamnews, another opposition website, reported large numbers of security personnel stationed at main streets and squares in Tehran "to prevent gathering of opposition supporters."

Domestic affair

Iran has said it will not respond to international questions about the whereabouts of the opposition leaders.

Tehran considers the matter a "completely domestic" affair, said Ramin Mehmanparast, the foreign ministry spokesman .

Mehmanparast said any "issues relating to" Mousavi and Karroubi "will be dealt in the framework of law by judicial authorities".

The semiofficial news agency ISNA quoted prosecutor Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejehi as saying that the two men are not in a prison, but the report gave no further details.

Mousavi and Karroubi's suspected detention comes after the country's former reformist president, Mohammad Khatami, called on the authorities to release them.

Karroubi, Mousavi and their wives were under house arrest and living in complete isolation, their homes under surveillance and cut off from the outside world, according to their websites.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/03/201131155137369204.html

Forgive me, Iran, I've considered you an enemy my whole life, but now I see that it was your leaders, not your people, who are the enemy; and the enemy of my enemy is my friend, ergo the Iranian people are friends.

A new list of the Egyptian oppositions continued demands:

quote:

Call for Action, Reasons to go to #Tahrir Square this Friday, 4th march

The Egyptian Movement for Transitional Justice
1-The installation of an odd-numbered Presidential Council (Presidium) including a representative of the Armed Forces to replace the High Military Council. This Revolution is a People's revolution and not a military coup d'etat.

2-The replacement of Ahmed Shafik's and his cabinet by a cabinet of technocrats appointed by the Presidium.

3-The dismantling, not the restructuring, of the State Security apparatus (SS, sounds familiar, doesn't it?), and the immediate return of the full police force to its positions after removal of all its leaders who were directly related to the massacres and corruption. (And for those who still doubt that the current situation is not intended to perpetuate chaos, kindly explain why the police is still absent from our streets except for 8 hours a day?).

4-The full and proper redrafting of our Constitution by an independent council to allow for Presidential elections to precede Parliamentary ones by a sufficient time. (No more nonsense about the president having to swear in front of the parliament. This clause of the constitution must be changed and the pledge for the coming president's first term, ONLY, excepted. I would just like to remind you that our last president swore 5 or 6 times in front of a parliament, and it didn't prevent him from perjury. So to all those who keep repeating this misleading statement, please, get serious).

5-Bring all the heads of the previous regime to Justice for the right crime. El Adly's least offense, is money laundering. He should stand trial for crimes against humanity and mass murder. Same applies to Mubarak, Azmy, and all his other cronies. NO EXCEPTIONS will be tolerated.

6-Dismantling of the NDP and the nationalization of all its headquarters and accounts, as well as the banning of all its leaders and officials from taking part in political life.


I bid you for maximum participation as this will be the only way to really change our homeland. We cannot let our country slip away from us.

http://www.raafatology.com/2011/03/call-for-action-reasons-to-go-to-tahrir.html

Thank you, Raafatology.

And there's revolution and counter-revolution in Kurdistan, which has been entirely forgotten.

quote:

@RuwaydaMustafah
Ruwayda Mustafah
Looks like Twitter finally spread to Anti-demo muppets! Bear with, Bear with. #Kurdistan

Kurdistan is a region that overlaps parts of Iraq, Iran, and Turkey. Much like the Palestinians, the Kurds are a people without a country. Saddam Hussein gassed a bunch of them at the end of the first Iraq war, and this was used as evidence before the second Iraq war to show that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction.

SauceNinja
Nov 8, 2002
Knock Knock.
Who's There?
You're Fired.

Slantedfloors posted:

Am I the only one who enjoys how non-sensical the conspiracies the dictators churn out are?

"American backed foreign Al-Queda fighters are working with Al-Jazeera to create a breakaway Islamist Emirate, enabled by machinations of Israel!"

What the gently caress man? There's like six differing ideologies in that loving thing.

"American backed foreign Al-Queda fighters" - US gave them a bunch of guns in the 80's no?
"are working with Al-Jazeera" - Well, they're against us, so they must be together.
"to create a breakaway Islamist Emirate" - I'm not even sure what this means. I'm studying more about it.
"enabled by the machinations of Israel!" - Hate those guys. Thorn in our sides. Also the friend of my enemy is my enemy.

I fully understand I'm trying to really get into the minds of the crazy because when I read it before breaking it down, it's complete bullshit. Unfortunately the logic doesn't really work out well.

Chickens can reproduce.
Cows can reproduce.
I eat cows and chickens.
I would love to eat the offspring of a cow and chicken.

Roark
Dec 1, 2009

A moderate man - a violently moderate man.

The Cheshire Cat posted:

To be honest, the US is the worst example of a democratic country when it comes to those issues. Yeah, corruption exists elsewhere, but not nearly to the extent that you guys have it.

Ever heard of Italy, Spain, Greece, most of South and Central America, South Africa, South Korea, India, or the Balkan nations, among others? The US has its problems with corruption and its political system, but we're a drat beacon of cleanliness and functionality compared to some other democracies. :911:

Roark fucked around with this message at 19:51 on Mar 1, 2011

The Cheshire Cat
Jun 10, 2008

Fun Shoe

Roark posted:

Ever heard of Italy, Spain, Greece, most of South and Central America, South Africa, South Korea, India, or the Balkan nations, among others? The US has it's problems with corruption and it's political system, but we're a drat beacon of cleanliness and functionality compared to some other democracies. :911:

Okay, point. The US does kind of have a disproportionate amount of corruption compared to their quality of life, though. Most of those countries have poor living conditions because of their poor governments. In the US you live well but it's like you're actively trying to make your lives worse.

Jack Napier
Aug 5, 2010

by Ozma

Roark posted:

Ever heard of Italy, Spain, Greece, most of South and Central America, South Africa, South Korea, India, or the Balkan nations, among others? The US has its problems with corruption and its political system, but we're a drat beacon of cleanliness and functionality compared to some other democracies. :911:

You're not entirely wrong, but Central & South America and South Africa had our influence(and training on death squads) on regime change to play into their current affairs.

Earwicker
Jan 6, 2003

The Cheshire Cat posted:

Okay, point. The US does kind of have a disproportionate amount of corruption compared to their quality of life, though. Most of those countries have poor living conditions because of their poor governments. In the US you live well but it's like you're actively trying to make your lives worse.

I don't think the standard of living is significantly lower in Italy or Spain or even in most of the Balkans than it is in the US, and the corruption in some of these places - Italy especially - is far worse.

Those that do have worse standards of living do so largely because of other factors (including the involvement of other nations), not just corruption.

The Cheshire Cat
Jun 10, 2008

Fun Shoe
Italy is a weird case, because they've had trouble with their government ever since Mussolini fell, but it's like the people all kind of decided to just keep on living their lives. I think your average Italian cares even less about politics than your average American.

Patter Song
Mar 26, 2010

Hereby it is manifest that during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war; and such a war as is of every man against every man.
Fun Shoe

glug posted:

It seems like there are a few countries in the Arab world that, with respect to the Sunni/Shiite dividing line in Islam, are governed by a minority sect. Is there anyone out there who is seriously up on their middle east that would like to put together a color coded map?

I would be really interested in seeing the 'big picture', identifying by color or somesuch which nations were majority Sunni, majority Shiite, and those that were governed by the minority religious sect in their nation. On top of that, possibly color coding the names of each nation to indicate the level of unrest.

Don't know if we have someone that inclined and knowledgeable, but I think it'd be a neat thing to have available.

I can't make a map at the moment, but brief summary: there are very few Shia in Egypt or points west, North African Muslims are almost unanimously Sunni (with Christian minorities). Both the Palestinian Authority and Hamas rule territories that are overwhelmingly Sunni, with Christian minorities. Israel rules a territory that's ~80% Jewish with Christian, Muslim, and (small) Druze minorities. Lebanon is plurality (40%+) Shia with smaller Sunni, Maronite Christian, and Druze populations, and has a divided government by law that states that top offices must go to Shia, Maronite Christians, and Sunnis. Jordan is mostly Sunni and ruled by a Sunni king.

Syria is about 80%+ Sunni with Shia and Christian minorities and is ruled by a dictator from the small Alawite sect of Shia Islam (who are basically the Mormons of Islam, they're really different from mainstream Islam). The Alawites, though less than 10% of the population of Syria, are an elite group and dominate the key positions. Iraq is majority (there hasn't been a census since the days of Saddam, I believe, so take it with a grain of salt when I say ~60%) Shia and its PM is a Shia, though not an especially popular one. Iran is 90% Shia and is ruled by Shia clergy.

Saudi Arabia is strongly majority Sunni, but Eastern Saudi Arabia is filled with Shia, and Saudi Arabia embraces a hardline sect Sunni Islam called Wahhabism. Bahrain is supermajority Shia ruled by a small Sunni clique. Oman is split between Sunnism and a particular sect of Shia Islam, but the government tolerates both as state-sanctioned (it also has Christians and Hindus due to foreign guest workers). Yemen has an amazingly close Sunni/Shia split and is ruled by a Sunni President for life. The UAE is roughly 75-80% Sunni and is ruled by Sunni emirs.

In short, the only ones at the moment ruled by minorities are Syria and Bahrain, with Lebanon being a confusing case.

Sivias
Dec 12, 2006

I think we can just sit around and just talk about our feelings.

The Cheshire Cat posted:

I think your average Italian cares even less about politics than your average American.

You grossly overestimate the intellectual capability of your average American. We're so loving stupid. Fat and loving stupid.

(In one of our most popular elections in our history in 2008 only 54% of the population went to the voting polls)

Patter Song
Mar 26, 2010

Hereby it is manifest that during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war; and such a war as is of every man against every man.
Fun Shoe

Sivias posted:

You grossly overestimate the intellectual capability of your average American. We're so loving stupid. Fat and loving stupid.

(In one of our most popular elections in our history in 2008 only 54% of the population went to the voting polls)

Where are you getting 54%? I looked 2008 up and got 58%.

EDIT: For those that are interested for whatever reason:



Total Voting Age Population: 225,498,000
Total Registered Voters: 176,713,703
Votes Cast 131,463,122
% of Total Voting Age Population voting: 58.3%
% of Registered Voters voting 74.4%

Patter Song fucked around with this message at 20:20 on Mar 1, 2011

Apology
Nov 12, 2005

by Y Kant Ozma Post
A must-see video of police casually beating the gently caress out of people who are stopped in traffic--"Hmm, you're with in clubbing range, have a few whacks.":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwRyXKL8caA

I don't think this is too horrible; you must forgive me, my computer is working on another task right now and hangs up when I try to watch video, so if I missed the Iranian police eating a baby right in the middle, it was an honest mistake.

The Iranian police are also picking up Kurds:

quote:

Eleven young people in different parts of Iranian Kurdistan have been arrested
by eastkurd @ 01.03.11 – 15.52:20
EastKurd-With false accusations and without reason several Kurdish youths and students by the Intelligence Ministry forces arrested and were transferred to torture centres.

Two brothers named Aram Zandi and Foad Zandi by Intelligence Ministry forces detained in Sanandaj and was transferred to an unknown location.

According to Iranian human rights activists, their personal computers and other equipment confiscated by the Intelligence Ministry forces.

They were arrested by the Intelligence Ministry forces, but none of the security institutions have not been responsibility their arrest.

Three of the students in Mariwan named Burhan Haj Fatah, Hussein Kasraie and Hiwa Pezshkian was arrested by security forces and were transferred to an unknown location, cause of their arrest has not yet been determined.

Four in people Paveh the names of Haider Rostami, Mukhtar Ghafouri, Shahin Zabangohar and Mohammad Khalesi, because of participation Saneh Jaleh funerals arrested by security forces and were transferred to undisclosed locations.

According to Mukrian news agency, in Saqez the two people named Wafa Moradi and Sediq Hassani was arrested by security forces and were transferred to intelligence office in Saqez.

http://eastkurd.blog.co.uk/2011/03/01/eleven-young-people-in-different-parts-of-iranian-kurdistan-have-been-arrested-10729193/

You must understand that this is a "No True Iranian" type of thing. Whenever there is any sort of unrest in any of the countries that are overlapped by Kurdistan, the Kurds are the ones who are blamed first. They're the boogieman of the Arab world.

And in Oman, Sheik Hassan of Jordan give a speech worthy of Muammar, although parts of its apparent insanity could be because it's translated from Arabic to English by Google Chrome:

quote:

Mohammed Al-Najjar - Oman

Described the leaders of the Salafi trend, the traditional (scientific) in Jordan, Arab countries are witnessing revolutions of the regulations as "sedition", and attacked the opinions supported this revolution, describing some as "out" to obey parents.

The web site "all Salafis" recordings and texts of lectures for each of the famous Sheikh Hassan - renowned as the most important reference to the "Scientific Salafi" in Jordan -
And Sheikh Ali Al-Halabi, cautious about the "temptations" that brought these revolutions.

Included a lecture by a famous good last Friday - publish the site to read - his response to an attack from a book in the newspaper the way speaking on behalf of the Muslim Brotherhood, on the position of the revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia and Libya.

After describing the demonstrations "sedition and recklessness," said Sheikh Hassan from "bless pursuant to liquefy the blood will come the Day of Resurrection and the blood in his newspaper, so one was a coward on the subject of blood," and warned of speaking a word or preaching a sermon that he will find in his newspaper, the Day of Resurrection "thousands author may kill them, their blood in his newspaper. "

http://www.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/7D68B92F-1A98-415E-99D5-616507D95768.htm?GoogleStatID=1 <---This is in Arabic, btw, maybe Ham or somebody who reads Arabic can tell us if it's as insane as it sounds when translated to English.

I'm not fond of the hijab as a fashion statement, but if women want to wear them, they should be allowed to do so. Azerbaijan may be joining the protests in the near future:

quote:

The government in Baku is supported by the U.S. Political experts think that Azerbaijan may be in line for its share of protests. The only reason they have not happened earlier is because of government crackdowns.
Although Azerbaijan may be far from North Africa or even the Arabian peninsula some of the same issues abound and potential protesters are encouraged by the successes in Tunisia and Egypt.
A senior intelligence official said:"This is like Eastern Europe in the 1990s...You take the lid off, and you don't know what's going to happen," What happened was that the Soviet grip on the region was removed. But the region is now being integrated into global capitalism. Even though the grip of dictators may be removed in some Arab countries the result may also be a reintegration into global capitalism but with some reforms that will actually benefit capital as the last remnants of Nasser style ""socialism"" are removed. Certainly global stock markets show little sign of concern at protest developments. Oil companies do not need to worry either. Any loss of production in Libya will be well compensated by rises of prices for oil being pumped elsewhere.
A bronze statue of ousted Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak is being protected in a park in the middle of Azerbaijan's capital, Baku. You would think that authorities would just remove the statue.
There are special issues in Azerbaijan. The country is 98 per cent Muslim and yet the hijab is banned. Actions such as this probably generate support for Islamic radicals. Azeri Muslims are concerned about the growing secularism of the country.
An Azeri activists was arrested after he posted a message calling for Egypt style protests in Baku's central square. The government has tried to fend off protest by modest moves towards reform as by actually having a corruption committee get down to work. But many reformers regard these as purely cosmetic changes.
Nepotism and severe limitations on freedoms are regarded as primary source of public anger in the country.Azerbaijan came in 134th out of 178 countries in an index of citizen perceptions of corruption, compiled by Transparency International in 2010.

http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/8337926-azerbaijan-may-be-next-on-protest-hit-list?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



TheBalor posted:

Fixed my post. I'm still interested in an answer to the question, though. If we can switch away from fossil fuels on our power-generation needs, might we be able to use synthetic oil and remaining reserves to stretch out our supply for a good deal longer? Or is the lion's share of oil used in these industrial applications?
I don't know, but its use as an industrial 'mineral' seems like it could be open to replacement or substeition with electrically cracked turkey guts. The real problem is its use as an energy source.

Sivias
Dec 12, 2006

I think we can just sit around and just talk about our feelings.

Patter Song posted:

Where are you getting 54%? I looked 2008 up and got 58%.

Maybe my information is a bit off. The point is, nearly half the voting populace didn't bother. That's an incredible number of people who decided to 'just stay in and watch TV instead.'

stereobreadsticks
Feb 28, 2008

glug posted:

It seems like there are a few countries in the Arab world that, with respect to the Sunni/Shiite dividing line in Islam, are governed by a minority sect. Is there anyone out there who is seriously up on their middle east that would like to put together a color coded map?

I would be really interested in seeing the 'big picture', identifying by color or somesuch which nations were majority Sunni, majority Shiite, and those that were governed by the minority religious sect in their nation. On top of that, possibly color coding the names of each nation to indicate the level of unrest.

Don't know if we have someone that inclined and knowledgeable, but I think it'd be a neat thing to have available.

Iran, Azerbaijan, Iraq and Bahrain are all Shiite majority, Bahrain is ruled by a Sunni regime but there rest are governed primarily by Shiites, though Iraq is sort of a special case because of the large Sunni minority as well as the ethnic distinction between the Kurds (who are mostly Sunni) and Arabs.

Lebanon is divided between Sunnis, Shiites and several Christian denominations and their government is divided between the three main religious groups in the hopes of preventing any one from getting too much power, though there are a lot of people who want to get rid of this system in favor of a truly democratic system.

Oman is majority Ibadhi, which is different from either Sunni or Shiite, and is run by an Ibadhi regime.

Pretty much every other Muslim country is predominantly Sunni and governed by either a Sunni regime or a secular regime. Syria is noteworthy in that it's a secular regime but both the current president and his father, from whom he inherited his position, are Alawis who are a sect of Shiites.

Saudi Arabia is also noteworthy because of its large and potentially restive Shiite minority that is focused on the east coast of the country. These Saudi Shiites could potentially be a major threat to the Saudi government, especially if they're inspired by what's going on in Bahrain.

I found a map on wikipedia that shows not only the Sunni/Shia division but the major schools within the sects. I'm not 100% certain on its accuracy since it does come from wikipedia so take it with a grain of salt but I thought it might be useful.
Click here for the full 1245x604 image.

stereobreadsticks fucked around with this message at 20:37 on Mar 1, 2011

Pleads
Jun 9, 2005

pew pew pew


Apology posted:

I think this might actually be the real deal:

quote:

@NellyFurtado
Nelly Furtado
In 2007, I received 1million$ from the Qaddafi clan to perform a 45 min. Show for guests at a hotel in Italy. I am going to donate the $
Yeah this is getting coverage in Canada but nobody really knows where to stand on it because:
1) It's stupid and nobody cares about Nelly Furtado
2) Ghaddafi has always been a monster so why is your conscience only speaking now?
3) It happened in 2007 and nobody cared back then so why would anyone care now?

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Pleads posted:

Yeah this is getting coverage in Canada but nobody really knows where to stand on it because:
1) It's stupid and nobody cares about Nelly Furtado
2) Ghaddafi has always been a monster so why is your conscience only speaking now?
3) It happened in 2007 and nobody cared back then so why would anyone care now?

The biggest point it makes for me, like formerly famous artist Eve. Entertainers have a lot of really gross contacts.

IRQ
Sep 9, 2001

SUCK A DICK, DUMBSHITS!

Pleads posted:

Yeah this is getting coverage in Canada but nobody really knows where to stand on it because:
1) It's stupid and nobody cares about Nelly Furtado
2) Ghaddafi has always been a monster so why is your conscience only speaking now?
3) It happened in 2007 and nobody cared back then so why would anyone care now?

Probably because whoever that person is probably had no idea who Khadafi was before last week beyond "some rich guy."

Apology
Nov 12, 2005

by Y Kant Ozma Post
This is just confusing as hell to me. We have proposed legislation for installing an internet kill switch, yet Hillary Clinton wants to fund the development of an untraceable cellphone meshnet. WTH?

quote:


Updated: February 24, 8:35 a.m.

If technology advisers to online activists have their way, the mobile phones in the pockets of the democracy protesters reshaping the Middle East will have circumvention and anonymity tools built in to them, and they’ll be able to go blank if pro-regime goons confiscate them. The State Department wants to fund the development of precisely such activist tools. Only the activists aren’t exactly jumping to take the government’s cash.

In a speech last week, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said she’d make available $25 million for a “venture capital approach” to underwriting new tools to keep the Internet open in repressive nations. She singled out mobile technologies as increasingly important. But some observers and developers, while lauding the move, aren’t so sure the rigid bureaucracy of the State Department can accommodate the approach.

Nathan Freitas of the Guardian Project, which designs Android-based tools for mobile anonymity, says he’s not going to apply for any of State’s money. “Accounting complexity of process means we’d have to spend 25 percent of it” on an accountant, he says, while praising the idea in theory.

Same goes for Katrin Verclas of MobileActive.org, which advises activists and non-governmental organizations on how to minimize security risks on their mobile devices. Verclas likes where State is coming from, as she thinks it’ll expand the pool of government funding recipients beyond the typical Beltway aid groups who “know how to navigate the system.” But she’s not seeking the aid herself until she has a “really great project” ready to pitch.

Which might be surprising, because both of them have lots of ideas for how activists need to protect themselves when using their mobile devices. The basic problem is that mobiles are “highly traceable, trackable and centralized,” as Verclas puts it, with carriers possessing a lot of information on their users and without many circumvention tools developed for mobile phones. One of Freitas’ efforts is Orbot, a proxy tool for Android phones that uses Tor to block mobile carriers from accessing their data usage.

And the phones are potential security risks even when they’re switched off. Verclas sees a big need for a remotely activated “kill switch” that can cleanse a phone of its stored contacts or its recent Twitter or SMS activity when an activist gets arrested, so as not to alert authorities to the names of other dissidents. Activists tell her they’d like to have some kind of phone wiping occur “with a simple command while an arrest is taking place, or for an ally to do that remotely via SMS or something.”

Freitas worries about the proliferation of camera phones — a somewhat counterintuitive concern, given the power of viral videos to inspire a protest movement or galvanize outside support. But impromptu video can reveal sensitive information like people’s faces. He sees a need to “tap on these faces and blur them out” before an innocent upload accidentally gives away someone’s identity and puts them in the crosshairs of a regime.

These are the kinds of ideas that the State Department says it wants to fund. But it’s just not clear how nimble the department can really be in dishing out money responsibly — a good-government encumbrance, remember — or even what it really means by a “venture capital approach,” says Sheldon Himelfarb, a technology expert at the U.S. Institute of Peace.

When venture capital firms find a promising technology, they’re “able to turn lots of focus, attention, people, brainpower and resources to taking that to market, and the State Department doesn’t work that way,” Himelfarb says. “It’s really interesting to hear them talk about a venture capital-style approach, but try to unpack that. Apparently, they’re going to give money to lots of organizations in the hope of bringing about breakthrough technologies, but how are they going to bring them to market?”

Indeed, just last week, Sen. Richard Lugar identified at least $8 million in money the department hadn’t spent that Congress provided to help Chinese Internet users evade restrictions.

That’s not to say State’s approach doesn’t have its virtues. “Venture capital firms own half your company, while [here] the U.S. government owns nothing,” Freitas says, “so there is that benefit if you figure out how to make it work.”

And Himelfarb notes that the $25 million pot of cash is a “significant amount of money for this effort.” According to his research, the Tor Project’s 2009 budget was $1.25 million, so it’s not as if these tools are particularly expensive to develop. Rather, he says, “we have to make sure the approach is one we’re in position to take advantage of.” After the success of the Egyptian and Tunisian revolutions, there’s not going to be any shortage of demand for tools that can keep activists off the radar of the tyrants they’re trying to overthrow.

Update: Verclas and Freitas wish to clarify that they’re recipients of previous rounds of State Department funding. Verclas emails that she doesn’t agree with my characterization of State possessing a “rigid bureaucracy.” Instead, she says, “We are developing tools and resources focused on reducing risks to activists who are using mobile technology in their work. We did not seek any additional funding in the last round nor in any near-future rounds until we have delivered on our current work and have a really good sense of what additional tools and trainings are needed.” You can read Freitas’ additional clarification on the Guardian Project’s blog.

http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/02/mobile-tech-activists-wary-of-state-department-cash/

And nobody wants to take the money because of the red tape involved. This is what happened to all the infrastructure projects that the stimulus package was supposed to pay for; the people who needed the work couldn't afford the extra staffing that would be needed to sort through all the red tape, or couldn't meet all the picayune requirements in order to win the contracts. One contractor I know said "It sounds more like signing up for a 25-year-long nightmare to me."

glug
Mar 12, 2004

JON JONES APOLOGIST #1

dao Jones posted:

And I suppose Qkhaddaafi (seriously I've seen at least 6 different spellings of his name)

Same here, but I bet it's spelled only one way in whatever dominant arabic is used in Libya.

glug
Mar 12, 2004

JON JONES APOLOGIST #1

Apology posted:

Kurdistan is a region that overlaps parts of Iraq, Iran, and Turkey. Much like the Palestinians, the Kurds are a people without a country. Saddam Hussein gassed a bunch of them at the end of the first Iraq war, and this was used as evidence before the second Iraq war to show that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction.

I hadn't heard of that overlapping region thing.. where they ever an independent nation? I knew they wanted to break off from Iraq, but I didn't know that three countries had to be cool with the idea of a region breaking off like that. Seems like a very lovely situation.

Trickjaw
Jun 23, 2005
Nadie puede dar lo que no tiene



glug posted:

Same here, but I bet it's spelled only one way in whatever dominant arabic is used in Libya.

It is not really widely known that his real name is Maurice Goldberg. He only added all the extra/aternate letters because he is an awful cheat at Scrabble.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Chade Johnson posted:

Why? Lukashenko has a wide base of support, I don't see it happening.

How is that relevant? Mubarak had a wider base of support than most European governments, yet he fell. Likewise with Slobodan Milosevic. Or Saddam Hussein. Or...

Revolutions are not democratic processes, in case you didn't know. They happen regardless of what the majority thinks.

glug
Mar 12, 2004

JON JONES APOLOGIST #1

Jack Napier posted:

You're not entirely wrong, but Central & South America and South Africa had our influence(and training on death squads) on regime change to play into their current affairs.

And the US were influenced by the helping hand of France providing arms to us rebels, followed by Spain and the Dutch jumping in our our enemies and securing our breakaway, I mean you can do that poo poo all day and ultimately if you're going to judge a country and it's government you're going to have to judge that country and it's government.

Slantedfloors
Apr 29, 2008

Wait, What?

glug posted:

I hadn't heard of that overlapping region thing.. where they ever an independent nation? I knew they wanted to break off from Iraq, but I didn't know that three countries had to be cool with the idea of a region breaking off like that. Seems like a very lovely situation.

I think there were plans to break Kurdistan off into an independent state after WW1, but it was ignored and forgotten like all other promises made to the UK's Middle Eastern allies.

glug
Mar 12, 2004

JON JONES APOLOGIST #1

Patter Song posted:

I can't make a map at the moment, but brief summary:

Wow. Thanks for that post!

Roark
Dec 1, 2009

A moderate man - a violently moderate man.

glug posted:

I hadn't heard of that overlapping region thing.. where they ever an independent nation? I knew they wanted to break off from Iraq, but I didn't know that three countries had to be cool with the idea of a region breaking off like that. Seems like a very lovely situation.

In the modern period, no. Well, pretty much no: there were an unrecognized Kurdish kingdom in Iraqi Kurdistan post-WWI, but it was integrated into Irag. And even in the pre-modern period, there never was a Kurdish "kingdom"; there were individual Kurdish emirates and sultanates, and Kurdish dynasties that ruled over non-Kurdish majorities (most famously the Ayyubids) at various points in the Middle Ages, but nothing that lasted into the modern period.

Edit: The Kurds were kind of shafted in the post-WWI settlements. Wilson made noises about backing a Kurdish state, but the whole thing got swept away by the Treaty of Sevres falling through and being replaced by the Treaty of Lausanne.

Roark fucked around with this message at 21:01 on Mar 1, 2011

Fimbulvinter
Nov 6, 2008

by elpintogrande

Roark posted:

Ever heard of Italy, Spain, Greece, most of South and Central America, South Africa, South Korea, India, or the Balkan nations, among others? The US has its problems with corruption and its political system, but we're a drat beacon of cleanliness and functionality compared to some other democracies. :911:

Italy, Greece, South Korea, and most of South and Central America have had so much fuckery from the US and the CIA that their corruption is a direct result of our influence.

glug
Mar 12, 2004

JON JONES APOLOGIST #1

Trickjaw posted:

It is not really widely known that his real name is Maurice Goldberg. He only added all the extra/aternate letters because he is an awful cheat at Scrabble.

Yet another celebrity hiding his Jewish roots! Hollywood has no soul.

Slantedfloors
Apr 29, 2008

Wait, What?

Roark posted:

Edit: The Kurds were kind of shafted in the post-WWI settlements. Wilson made noises about backing a Kurdish state, but the whole thing got swept away by the Treaty of Sevres falling through and being replaced by the Treaty of Lausanne.

In all fairness, the Turks went absolutely ape-poo poo-go-go-nuts crazy and rampaged through the territory the Entente took from them. It's not like the signatories just abandoned Sevres to mess with the Kurds like they did the Arabs.

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Apology
Nov 12, 2005

by Y Kant Ozma Post

Roark posted:

In the modern period, no. Well, pretty much no: there were an unrecognized Kurdish kingdom in Iraqi Kurdistan post-WWI, but it was integrated into Irag. And even in the pre-modern period, there never was a Kurdish "kingdom"; there were individual Kurdish emirates and sultanates, and Kurdish dynasties that ruled over non-Kurdish majorities (most famously the Ayyubids) at various points in the Middle Ages, but nothing that lasted into the modern period.

Edit: The Kurds were kind of shafted in the post-WWI settlements. Wilson made noises about backing a Kurdish state, but the whole thing got swept away by the Treaty of Sevres falling through and being replaced by the Treaty of Lausanne.

You probably know a lot more about it than I do. I did find a map from the 1870s that showed Kurdistan as a separate nation. For reference, there was also an Armenia on the map.

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