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ForbiddenWonder posted:edit: i'm probably gonna drop a 20 on handy when I go to 129, +265 is pretty decent.
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Apr 15, 2011 23:16
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anyone who bet on randy is a big dumb gay baby
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May 7, 2011 18:20
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And Rogers arguably lost to Ruben Villareal +390 is still terrible puncher's-chance odds on someone who got taken down multiple times by James Thompson, against someone who's been stopped by strikes once in his entire 34-fight career apologies to willie_dee
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May 31, 2011 03:07
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i too hope someone bets on jones at -500 odds
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Sep 19, 2011 16:33
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the best part of betting on jones is knowing youre betting on a cool guy who likes to have fun
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Sep 19, 2011 16:56
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Chemtrail Clem posted:Werdums gonna win yall *nods sagely*
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Feb 2, 2012 19:01
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Max Awfuls posted:The only safe bet for Nelson-Werdum is that it will be awful. theyre both pretty fearless and Nelson's standup isn't good enough to make Werdum shoot endlessly. it might be a sloppy fight but it probably won't be boring
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Feb 2, 2012 19:31
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Steve Glutenberg posted:Does anyone have any insanely cool betting tips for a man who no longer wants to go through the tedium of watching tape on everyone ever? Thanks you. Thank. 
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Jun 22, 2012 20:32
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MycroftXXX posted:When the resident mma gambling expert goes and does something like this, it makes me question everything. if it makes you feel better he bet on diaz over condit too
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Mar 15, 2013 21:12
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not at -150 or whatever diaz was at
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Mar 15, 2013 21:36
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JuanGoat posted:I also think Noons is a pretty good underdog bet 
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May 25, 2013 05:15
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anyone betting on coenen against cyborg? i haven't seen either of their recent fights, but she's +500 and has put on muscle since their last match, while cyborg's looking a bit leaner (probably due to getting blood-tested and/or dieting to eventually make 135)
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Jul 13, 2013 18:46
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Barnett at -180 is a good bet. this has been your manyak lock of the night
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Dec 27, 2013 21:34
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Lloyd Boner posted:Hmmmmm im as disappointed in manyak as you are
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Dec 29, 2013 07:23
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Bundt Cake posted:Even if Ellenbergers wrestling isnt as good as Hendricks, which I think it is, its infinitely more dangerous because Hendricks doesn't know how to do anything once he gets someone down. Ellenberger has some decent gnp. didn't Hendricks land some good GnP on GSP in the 4th
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May 14, 2014 20:28
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equal amounts bet on +402 hunt via ko/tko -104 werdum via submission
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Nov 15, 2014 18:56
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Marching Powder posted:Betting on heavyweight fights is stupid and betting on this heavyweight fight is really stupid. if your line of thinking is 'lol heavyweights anything can happen', then the smart thing to do would be to bet on the underdog
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Apr 9, 2015 16:03
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Mr. Nice! posted:That example has an ev of $50 in my favor. That's actually not a terrible wager. nice
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Apr 10, 2015 16:33
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The Duck of Death posted:Now watch as neither of these things happen. 2 fat 4 my lambo posted:for werdum vs hunt, equal amounts bet on
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May 8, 2015 13:06
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equal bets on rothwell by KO at +260, and anything-except-mittrione-by-ko at -110
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Jun 7, 2015 03:39
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manyak posted:cant be that bad, good luck goon i have learned nothing from this lesson
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Jun 7, 2015 04:54
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manyak posted:picking someone to win by a specific method is usually kind of a sucker bet because they take more juice on those types of bets, Rothwell to win straight up at +160 probably had more value but at +260 he only has to knock him out 30% of the time for you to make a profit so it cant be that bad i thought about this and you're right. the +260 bet wouldve had more value than the +160 bet only if rothwell's paths to victory involve a KO more than 72% of the time
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Jun 7, 2015 17:49
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on my site, mendes currently is +145 (41%) to win +585 (15%) to win via TKO (37% of mendes' wins will be via TKO) +670 (13%) to win via SUB (32% of mendes' wins will be via SUB) +325 (24%) to win via DEC (60% of mendes' wins will be via DEC) while mcgregor is -165 (62%). there's a 11% vig betting on the type of win versus the 3% vig if you just bet on the winner
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Jul 6, 2015 22:15
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equal bets put on barnett against nelson by decision (+345) and by finish (-110). better than a straight bet (-220) imo
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Aug 11, 2015 00:25
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attackmole posted:Whoaaah, dude, I was about to say that was a pretty good hedge because I assumed that fight was a 3-rounder, but that's a 5-rounder. Good loving luck on that one going to a decision. quote:On top of that, Barnett's been out for drat near two years so I'm not entirely sold on him as a lock in the first place.
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Aug 11, 2015 05:54
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parlay on TJ+Browne at +185. Always Bet Against Mitrione
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Jan 17, 2016 22:16
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Skip My Posts posted:Macdonald wins in round 5 +2625 Assuming you put even amounts on each of the 3 bets, you're getting odds of around +530 Whether you think that's better value than McDonald via finish at +309 or via decision at +284 is up to you
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May 5, 2016 03:35
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Skip My Posts posted:jase posting while being held out the door of a moving car by an old italian guy(racist as poo poo lol): ive got 10k on roxane modarfari, i saw a picture of her dressed up like some kind of retarded megaman lol
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Sep 11, 2017 18:57
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Jerusalem posted:This is so off the wall and weird that I don't even really know how to react other than please don't do it anymore, man. thank You. i dont know what was creepier: that he copy/pasted posts into excel, or that he wanted to talk about gambling in the gambling thread
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Sep 11, 2017 19:15
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Marching Powder posted:that's interesting what fight was he slowing down in? if you cite the one directly after his surgery i agree, he was never back to his old self, but he was still able to out point a fully steroided johny hendricks who was so dangerous that he could box inside with robbie lawler for 10 rounds and if everyone's honest, win the majority of them. and that was gsp's last fight. i dont disagree but remember that he suffered another ACL tear (on his other knee) shortly after retiring
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Sep 26, 2017 15:02
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