BCR posted:

Generalizations ahoy! I don't think this is a 100% it, but something like 75% of the situation.

The Arabs has a huge youth population bubble that's unemployed

The Arab's highest political unit is the tribe.

I think that you're going to get continuing higher levels of unrest for a couple of decades until this bulge gets into their 30s.

Strongman of the tribe gets control of the seat of government and the tax money, showers it into his faction/tribe until the money runs out/fails to give the tribe enough money, etc and is replaced by another strongman.

I see it as fighting over a desk job with aircon in the Ministry of Something, rather than raging for democracy now.

I can't see them developing jobs any other way. Corruption, lack of responsibility (the jews made me strip the copper from the traffic lights), lack of imagination (able to adapt western technology but not create any), with gently caress you got mine tribalism on top. They have some big cultural road blocks.