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Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

After slagging me off for years RT is on the open source investigation train

https://youtu.be/HIZDWccQo38

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Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Discendo Vox posted:

Video has been removed by user.

Reposted here
https://youtu.be/e5HAARpEXMA

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Hersh finally responded to someone's questions about his reaction to the OPCW report on Khan Sheikhoun
https://twitter.com/charliearchy/status/890314121358352384
https://twitter.com/charliearchy/status/890314569276465152

Nice journalistic poo poo and run, Seymour.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Here's Hersh on his Khan Sheikhoun piece, as previously mentioned:
https://twitter.com/charliearchy/status/890954121670385665

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

I can't remember if this was published before, but Syria intellectual Yassin al-Haj Saleh gave an interview on Syria and the left, and it's very insightful
http://aljumhuriya.net/en/the-role-of-the-intellectual/syria_the_left_and_the_world

quote:

Often it seems that people on the Left have misconceptions about Syria. How far is that true?

Too far. As I said above most leftist know almost nothing about Syria, and the little they know is either deeply flawed or absolutely false. And given the background above, it becomes a bit understandable though unforgivable. As true Bakdashists, their anti imperialism discourse moved from the field of analysis and politics to the realm of identity: concepts were transformed to symbols, a specific linguistic expressions that tell who you are, not what you are doing and how to offer a better understanding of the world. So when you talk about struggle against imperialism, this in no way means that you are really doing anything that will annoy imperialism. It just means that you like this pose for yourself and you belong to a group of your likes. And it seems that they those imperialists in the White House in the Pentagon, in Wall Street, are paying no slightest drat attention to you and your solipsistic anti imperialist world.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

I love people drawing parallels between Khan Sheikhoun and the build up to the Iraq War, it's just so smart and informed. I especially like it when they cite a range of fringe figures and Seymour Hersh, seemingly unaware they contradict each other and the only thing they have in common is saying Khan Sheikhoun is some sort of US plot.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

[edit - wrong thread]

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Throatwarbler posted:

The verdict is in: Kha SHeikoun was an Al Qaeda false flag.

https://www.rt.com/news/399848-syrian-chemical-probe-shaykhun/

quote:

“The investigation conducted by OPCW specialists, to put it bluntly, is laughable and we told the organization about it. How can the organization analyze samples, delivered by the militants from another country?” Mekdad questioned.

“We suspect though, that such probes are just a formality. We’d like to remind that there’s a crucial ‘chain of custody’ principle. Who can guarantee that the samples allegedly coming from the crater were indeed there? Or how they got there?” Mekdad said. “Who can guarantee the alleged witnesses would not falsify the facts?”

“The chain of custody requires control by an OPCW representative and not those interested in smearing the Syrian government and fabricating facts, used by the US to justify such terrorist acts as the strike on the airbase,” he added.

Weird how the Syrians forget they provided their own sample from Khan Sheikhoun, which tested positive for Sarin as well, and they told the OPCW they were confident the samples were authentic.

https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/898457835817902081

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

lollontee posted:

I'm not sure if I've ever heard your opinion on the topic, but do you think the US should bomb Assad?

I think if they do it should be part of a carefully planned strategy in consultation with its international partners with the aim of making Syria incapable of deploying chemical weapons, not because the idiot president had sad feelings after watching Fox and Friends. It's hard to discuss it further because whatever we say reality is the president is an idiot who will never meet the minimum requirements I would have for any Syria strategy.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

I heard the podcast was mostly complaining about no-one listening to them.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

The ICC earlier this month published a warrant for arrest for Libya's Mahmoud Mustafa Busayf Al-Werfalli, one of General Haftar's commanders in Libya after he posted a series of videos showing him and his men executing prisoners:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__LyH5bqmMM

This is the first case where videos posted on social media have played such a key part in an arrest warrant, and is reflective of the ICCs growing interest in open source investigation. I've been on their technology advisory board for the past couple of years where open source investigation and social media has been a bit part of the discussion, and they've just had me over there lecturing for 3 hours on open source investigation to about 100 people from the office of the prosecutor. I'm hoping the ICC arrest warrant will refocus some interest on Libya from the open source community, as unlike Syria the ICC can actually issue arrest warrants, even for crimes discovered through open source investigation.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

For anyone who ever wanted to try their hand at geolocating war crimes, we've just started a project at Bellingcat relating to 7 execution videos showing Mahmoud Mustafa Busayf Al-Werfalli, an alleged commander of the Al-Saiqa Brigade in Libya, ordering and carrying out executions that was recently subject of an ICC arrest warrant:
https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2017/09/04/geolocating-libyas-social-media-executioner/

We've already geolocated 2 of the 7 videos with the help of our readers, and we're hoping this will be the start of a renewed focus on violations occurring in Libya, especially now the ICC is issuing arrest warrants based on social media posts. The irony of this for me is I started all my work because of Libya, moved onto Syria where the ICC can't do anything, and now it's Libya where open source investigation is being applied by the ICC. I've been working with the ICC for the past couple of years on use of open source investigation in their work, so if anyone is interested I can expand on that a bit.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

I just published a long piece on the history of the use of Sarin in the Syrian conflict:
https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2017/09/06/history-sarin-use-syrian-conflict/

One thing that stood out for me in the new OHCHR COI on Syria report is this:

quote:

The presence of hexamine was not further explained by the OPCW FFM, but the chemical had also been found in environmental samples collected 2013 after the Ghouta incident. Two competing explanations have been offered in the past to explain the presence of hexamine — either the chemical might indicate the use of an artisanal explosive (RDX) for agent dispersion, or it had been used in the sarin synthesis as an acid scavenger. While the former explanation cannot be ruled out, the latter would be consistent with the chemicals declared by Syria in 2013 to the OPCW as part of their chemical weapons stockpile, as well as with the process used in the past by the Syrian army for employing sarin (binary synthesis shortly before use without subsequent purification of the agent for long-term storage).

Hexamine was also found in an unexploded munition used in the 2013 Saraqib attack (where they dropped Sarin grenades in cinderblocks from helicopters (no, really)), according to French intelligence. Specifically mentioning it was used in the Khan Sheikhoun attack, and the process Syrian uses for making its Sarin is an interesting thing to include, it's not really something any UN body has explicitly stated.

Another COI report has this interesting comment on the August 21st attack:

quote:

The evidence available concerning the nature, quality and quantity of the agents used on 21 August indicated that the perpetrators likely had access to the chemical weapons stockpile of the Syrian military, as well as the expertise and equipment necessary to manipulate safely large amount of chemical agents. Concerning the incident in Khan Al-Assal on 19 March, the chemical agents used in that attack bore the same unique hallmarks as those used in Al-Ghouta.

As far as anyone seems to be aware hexamine is the only unique hallmark, which would tie Syrian government Sarin to Khan al-Assal.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Looks like Israel took action following the UN COI on Syria report on Khan Sheikhoun

https://twitter.com/henrylec1/status/905607052243853312

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Fun bit of drama in the pro-Assad crowd recently. Tim Hayward, one of the pro-Assad crowd, posted a piece about me where he was too nice about me for the taste of the pro-Assad crowd on Twitter who have spent the last few years obsessed with me, so they started to attack him. This resulted in his pro-Assad buddies coming to his defence, which included people like the "journalist" Vanessa Beeley, who has become known recently for her work attacking the White Helmets. She had been having some private chats with some of the nutters, so one of their number, known as Navsteva, posted a private chat where she said she knew the Syrian government was torturing people, but she would never publicly state that:

https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/907978860251271168

Now they're slinging as much poo poo as possible at each other and it's glorious.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Duckbox posted:

Ahahaha. Whoever leaked that chatlog is a goddamn hero, too bad they probably did it for the entirety wrong reasons.

Navsteva is an American guy called Scott Gaulke who used to harass members of a benzo addiction recovery forum, and is a failed LaRouche candidate, who moved onto worshipping Assad and obsessively trolling me. He's a vindictive arsehole, just this time it was hilarious rather than being exclusively weird and creepy. It seems to me the pro-Palestinian, pro-Assad activist types met the crazy pro-Assad trolls like him and didn't realise their mistake until now. It's a side effect of the venn diagram of various groups becoming tighter and tighter thanks to social media.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Duckbox posted:

I just have to lol at her for thinking "I'd never say this in public because it could destroy me, but random Twitter troll, I can trust him." Tribalism runs deep with these folks.

The whole reason he shared it was to prove he's a true believer in Assad unlike the "Beeley Cabal", this guy being a 50/60 something from Wisconsin.

My personal theory is we've see a growing internet community around various sets of beliefs that have been brought together over the last few years. I first saw it in the anti-NATO/anti-imperalist community that grew up around the conflict in Libya, then the community around Syria, which had a lot of cross over. Then we had a community of pro-Putin types emerge around Ukraine and MH17, and when Russia started bombing Syria that started to crossover with the pro-Assad/anti-NATO/anti-imperialist community. That community also started having a certain degree of crossover with the pro-Brexit and pro-Trump/alt-right communities, so it's like a Venn diagram of 4 or 5 circles becoming increasingly overlapped. This is something you see through various internet communities, plus the various blogs, news sites, and conspiracy sites that produce content they consume (the likes of the Voltaire Network, Global Research, RT, Sputnik, Infowars, etc). There's a thread of that which is a hatred for me and Bellingcat, so what we've seen here is those individuals in those communities who are less rabid about that encountering those who really hate me, and that dissonance causing hilarious drama.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Since the issuing of an ICC arrest warrant for one of Haftar's commanders based on videos posted to social media we've been working on geolocating them. We've just done our 4th out of seven videos, and it has the most grim dark geolocation ever

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPrxMn655lg

https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2017/09/21/how-an-execution-site-was-geolocated/

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

https://twitter.com/michaelh992/status/912240089077571584
https://twitter.com/DefenseUnits/status/912239695546900480

For a bit of context here's what the Russian MoD has been saying about the SDF and ISIS recently:

https://twitter.com/EmbassyofRussia/status/910912250998861824
https://twitter.com/mod_russia/status/911887675849834496

quote:

#USA #Syria
#US Special Operations Forces (#SOF) units enable US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (#SDF) units to smoothly advance through the ISIS formations.
Facing no resistance of the ISIS militants, the #SDF units are advancing along the left shore of the #Euphrates towards #Deir_ez_Zor.
The aerial photos made on September 8-12 over the ISIS locations recorded a large number of American #Hummer vehicles, which are in service with the #America's #SOF.
The shots clearly show the US SOF units located at strongholds that had been equipped by the ISIS terrorists. Though there is no evidence of assault, struggle or any US-led coalition airstrikes to drive out the militants.
Despite that the US strongholds being located in the ISIS areas, no screening patrol has been organized at them. This suggests that the #US_troops feel safe in terrorist controlled regions.

So apparently Raqqa is just some massive ruse to convince people ISIS, the US, and SDF aren't all secretly working together, or something.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

OhFunny posted:

Facebook deleted PartisanGirl's Facebook page.
Maybe all cool people she hangs out with:
https://twitter.com/_alhamra/status/914572324891955200

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Fallen Hamprince posted:

https://twitter.com/wammezz/status/915240077084839937



ISIS on the retreat northeast of Tikrit, and they did the ol' 'light the oil fields on fire behind you' trick too.

Planet is providing us with very regular midresolution (3m) sat imagery so we've been working with Wim to monitor stuff like that. His posts are here
https://www.bellingcat.com/author/wim-zwijnenburg/

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

The OPCW just confirmed the use of Sarin in a chemical attack a few days before the Khan Sheikhoun attack on April 4th:

quote:

Chemical weapons watchdog found sarin used in March Syria attack: sources

Samples from an attack by Syrian forces in March on an opposition-held town tested positive for the banned nerve agent sarin in an examination by the global chemical weapons watchdog, sources told Reuters on Wednesday.

The March 30 air strike in the town of Latamneh, in the northern Syrian Hama area, injured around 70 people who suffered nausea, foaming at the mouth and muscle spasms.

“Samples analysis results show clear presence of sarin,” a source told Reuters of the findings by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).

Military officials have repeatedly denied that forces under Syrian President Bashar al-Assad have used chemical weapons during the country’s civil war.

U.N. war crimes investigators however said in a report last month that Syrian forces had used chemical weapons more than two dozen times, including in a sarin attack on the town of Khan Sheikhoun in April that killed more than 80 people.

A Joint U.N.-OPCW investigation found that government forces used chlorine barrel bombs at least three times, while Islamic State militants had used sulphur mustard gas.

The latest finding by the OPCW is expected to be included in a report by its Fact Finding Mission for Syria, due to be finalised in coming weeks.

There weren't many images from the attack, and it was overlooked because at the time because of the Khan Sheikhoun attack a few days later. One video from the aftermath is very interesting, however. It shows the remains of a chlorine cylinder, the same as used in a lot of other chemical attacks, but also the remains of what might by the front of a bomb used:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8vIMxgQ0RI8

https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/915598024235261953
https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/915598673832267777

It would be very interesting if the OPCW had received that debris, because they could then analyse the metal and see if it's the same type as the debris recovered from the Khan Sheikhoun crater. I believe both the OPCW-UN JIM and OPCW FFM will be reporting in the next weeks, so we'll see how much detail they have.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

OctaMurk posted:

Lets tune in to a conversation between American Soldier and Security Advisor

SA - Greeting fellow America, how is day with you?
AS - It is good, but I am reminded that there was a fake Sarin chemical weapon attack on March 30th
SA - Oh no, my friend, is it Trump again?
AS - Yes, President Donald Trump ordered attack, and ordered OPCW to lie 6 months later.
SA - Thank the God for the calm hand of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
AS - Yes, thank him.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Can someone start a new thread with an OP summarising the last 5 years? thx

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

The best part is it's pretty much a word for word copy of what the US put out when it did the same thing earlier today:

https://twitter.com/TurkishEmbassy/status/917125729686564864

https://twitter.com/mehmetsumer_/status/917081766690684928

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Just reading back through my old posts, finding some classic videos, like this one from August 2011 when poo poo started going sideways for Gadaffi:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0LtLoros6Uk

It was also around this time time 6 years ago that Caro was beaten up and arrested by a Benghazi militia after he attacked a professional photographer trying to help Caro's friend who had just been shot in the leg by a machine gun in Sirte.

Brown Moses fucked around with this message at 22:15 on Oct 9, 2017

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Bueno Papi posted:

Have you heard from Caro recently? I hope he finally got the help he needed and is living a good life after everything he's been through.

Not since he messaged me after getting out, and I told him I didn't want to talk to someone who had previously ended up with 3 FBI agents visiting my office, or who had threatened me after saying I was part of the CIA.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

The Kevin Dawes story:
http://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/article/syria-isis-kevin-dawes

Good piece on him post release:
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices...e-a6980021.html

Forum Legend.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

FAUXTON posted:

I would imagine the FBI, pursuant to applicable treaties, can visit persons of interest in other countries for non-detention interview purposes. Brown Moses probably would have had every right to tell them to bugger off but they certainly wouldn't have had any authority to do much more than ask if he wanted to talk.

I've had that a couple of times, one with the FBI and again with the JIT investigating MH17. The JIT meeting was more official as they interviewed me as a witness, and the FBI visit was more informal. It was just after my James Foley execution geolocation so two of them kept getting sidetracked asking me about that. We've helped them with a couple of other cases where they wondered if we could help figure something out for them, so I've got a positive relationship with them, not like they were slamming my fingers in desk drawers asking me where Caro was.

Bueno Papi posted:

Wow, sorry to hear about that. If there were a case for involuntary institutionalization, this would be the cherry.

Half the reason I kept in touch with him was just in case he ever started to tell me how the kids at the local kindergarten were spying on him and he was going to make them pay. From what I last heard he was homeless, and was unable to access any kind of support because his Libya and Syria activities disqualified him from it. Next time we hear about him he'll probably have tried to kill someone. He's the Rickety Cricket of the Something Awful Forums.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

He sent me some pictures of pretty large scars around his ankle, so I'm guessing they certainly had a few goes torturing him. He also would have been poorly fed as usually you have to bribe guards to feed people properly.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

paul_soccer10 posted:

was he upset with you for working to convince everyone that he was dead

Well he didn't threaten me or my family, so that's an improvement on what he was saying before he vanished.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Following the confirmation of the use of Sarin in Khan Sheikhoun on April 4th by the OPCW Fact Finding Mission (FFM) the OPCW/UN Joint Investigative Mechanism (JIM) will report on Oct 26th about their findings on the attack. The OPCW-UN JIM can place blame, and have previously blamed the Syrian government for chlorine attacks and ISIS for sulphur mustard attacks. The UN's Commission of Inquiry on Syria (separate from the OPCW FFM and OPCW-UN JIM) has already said Syria was responsible for the attack, and Russia has indicated that the OPCW/UN JIM stating Syria did the attack would jeopardise the upcoming renewal of the OPCW/UN JIM's mandate, which Russia can veto. The OPCW has already said there was a Sarin attack on March 30th, with the OHCHR COI on Syria again blaming it on Syria, and the OPCW-UN JIM has yet to investigate that attack as the OPCW FFM hasn't reported on it, so Russia would also be preventing the investigation into that.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Al-Saqr posted:

also yesterday was the anniversary of this rear end in a top hat dying in a ditch

https://twitter.com/Lyobserver/status/921363354496716800

You can relive the day as it happened in this very thread by clicking here.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


loving Seymour Hersh.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

The OPCW-UN JIM report on Khan Sheikhoun has been leaked early. They consulted multiple experts and organisations, and examined claims like an IED was used, etc, with the experts saying they're basically bullshit. The most interesting thing is the details of the chemistry of the Sarin used. They say it has at least 3 unique chemical markers that match with the Sarin precursors from samples they took of the Syrian governments Sarin precursor stockpile, and would have required significant facilities to produce.

I did a little Twitter thread on it here
https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/923943355217862656

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Did a whole bloody post about the report leak:
https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2017/10/27/opcw-un-jims-leaked-report-khan-sheikhoun-tells-us-russias-denials-syrias-sarin/

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Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

The Intercept has a very good piece looking at the issues facing human rights violation investigators and documenters thanks to censorship on social media platforms. It's a big issue I'm spending a lot of my time working on with groups like the ICC and Syrian documentation groups, and the article explains the how situation very well.
https://theintercept.com/2017/11/02/war-crimes-youtube-facebook-syria-rohingya/

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