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good bet
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Mar 24, 2016 20:10
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We did it!
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Mar 24, 2016 20:33
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Let's try another one for Estonia - Serbia tomorrow then. I reckon Serbia to win at nearly even odds is a good shout. They've generally much better players, and Estonia are missing their main central defender and striker, though I imagine Estonia are much better motivated and prepared so I don't expect a huge win or anything like that. Other bets to consider: Serbia win to nil, Estonia not to score, and under 2.5 goals. If I had to predict a specific score I'd go 2-0 to Serbia, maybe 1-0.
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Mar 28, 2016 17:53
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Serbia are dodgy as gently caress and I would NOT bet on them or their national league at all
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Mar 28, 2016 17:54
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I guess that's why the odds are so high. But they still have players from Chelsea, City, Inter and the like.
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Mar 28, 2016 17:57
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I remember ages ago I posted in this thread, or one before it, with a huge bet where I basically just clicked on about 8 teams at random and put a Goliath on, so basically covering all the singles, doubles, trebles etc up to the accumulator. If any of you remember it it was a spectacular failure, so I'm having another go, this time with research! Some interesting games in the Asian World Cup qualifiers today.. This is the last round of games and the teams I'm betting on will qualify today if they win; their opponents are just playing for pride (except UAE vs Saudi Arabia where the winner takes all). All times UTC & all bets Paddypower. Bet One assumes the stronger teams will score more goals against their opponents and gives them a difficult handicap, based largely on their odds but partly on current form, home advantage and expected result. Australia & Japan have -2 handicaps so must win by at least 3 goals; Uzbekistan and Iran have -1 so must win by 2. The UAE vs Saudi Arabia game is the closest of the bunch so is win only. I have chosen Lucky 31 to largely increase my chances of breaking even and going on to win. I've put in the (approx) winnings for scenarios in which I have three, four or five winning selections per bet (having only two doesn't bear thinking about). quote:Bet One 180/1 Bets Three & Four follow more or less the same rules as One & Two except that instead of backing Saudi Arabia we're backing the UAE. This is generally frowned upon and would be A Bad Idea if we were just putting on accumulators, except for he betting method: we're covering our bets with Lucky 31s so it's actually possible for Bets One & Two to win on every individual bet, plus the combined 30 individual bets between Bet Three & Bet Four if Saudi Arabia win and the UAE don't. The closeness of the odds and the fact that this is a Winner Takes All game suggest it could go either way, but neither side is going to be playing for a draw here. quote:Bet Three 25/1 Total liabilities over all four bets: £46.50. Provided all of Bets One & Two win then thats £270.98 from them, plus £44.38 from Bet Three and £21.91 from Bet Four which equals £337.27. With four winning selections from each I will be due approx £130-£150. With three winning selections from each approx £38-45 depending on which ones they are. Watch and learn kids! they're all going to be draws edit: Have just noticed the Japan HT/FT bet screws it up a bit as they may be drawing at half time but go on to win by only 1 goal, meaning neither 1/2 or 3/4 will win the full amount. Oh well, it's on now! edit2: William Hill has Japan -1 at 4/9 and UAE +1 at 2/9. duckmaster fucked around with this message at 02:19 on Mar 29, 2016 |
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Mar 29, 2016 02:07
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Australia finished 5-1 Japan finished 5-0 with a quickfire treble in the 86th, 90th and 93rd minute. Leading at half time thanks to a Syrian OG in the first half. All bets winning so far! edit: Messed up the odds a bit on my OP I think. Here's the accumulator I put on William Hill: 
duckmaster fucked around with this message at 13:30 on Mar 29, 2016 |
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Mar 29, 2016 13:24
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jyrka posted:Let's try another one for Estonia - Serbia tomorrow then. I reckon Serbia to win at nearly even odds is a good shout. They've generally much better players, and Estonia are missing their main central defender and striker, though I imagine Estonia are much better motivated and prepared so I don't expect a huge win or anything like that. Other bets to consider: Serbia win to nil, Estonia not to score, and under 2.5 goals. If I had to predict a specific score I'd go 2-0 to Serbia, maybe 1-0.  We did it.
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Mar 29, 2016 20:32
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duckmaster posted:Australia finished 5-1 rough one, uae hosed that up
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Mar 29, 2016 21:35
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fat greasy puto posted:rough one, uae hosed that up Uzbekistan only won 1-0 as well. Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Pirin Blagoevgrad Lokomotiv Plovdiv -1 goal @ 3.30 Creteil v Clermont Foot Clermont Foot @ 2.70 RKC Waalwijk v FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven -1 goal @ 3.40 £1 treble @ 30.29
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Apr 1, 2016 15:43
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Plovdiv 4-2  Clermont 3-0 Eindhoven 2-1 
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Apr 1, 2016 21:55
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Middlesbrough, Preston, Wigan, Wycombe, Eastleigh, Annan Athletic some of the above Newcastle are longer odds but might be worth a punt however they are loving terrible so BEWARE
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Apr 16, 2016 09:23
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this one hurt
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Apr 17, 2016 05:44
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quote:
the foot knower
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Apr 17, 2016 18:02
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Real men post their bets before a match
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Apr 18, 2016 10:10
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Apr 18, 2016 10:19
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Some high stakes betting action itt
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Apr 18, 2016 10:35
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The Big Taff Man posted:Real men post their bets before a match if i'd posted it before it wouldn't have won
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Apr 19, 2016 17:19
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How much did you win Raffles? Looks like you had odds of 11/10 by the end there
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Apr 19, 2016 17:28
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Breath Ray posted:How much did you win Raffles? Looks like you had odds of 11/10 by the end there If memory serves the odds were around 13/1. So it was a welcome £13 in the paddy power account in the end. I've got another acca up my sleeve for this evening. Watch this space.
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Apr 19, 2016 19:27
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my flutter is looking good
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Apr 19, 2016 20:38
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You should see a cardiologist
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Apr 19, 2016 21:02
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Pissflaps posted:my flutter is looking good What are you going to spend your 10p on? Back in the day you could get a Freddo for that, but not now. Not now... 
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Apr 19, 2016 21:46
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Wazzerphuk posted:What are you going to spend your 10p on? Back in the day you could get a Freddo for that, but not now. Not now... 
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Apr 19, 2016 22:53
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Hibs and Rangers btts Rayo and Malaga btts Pays just under 3
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Apr 20, 2016 07:35
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First is in, come on Spanish teams
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Apr 20, 2016 20:45
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fat greasy puto posted:bet all 4 overs in paraguay tonight up to 3, but not at 3.5. thanks for reading these all covered fyi fat greasy puto fucked around with this message at 02:43 on Apr 21, 2016 |
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Apr 20, 2016 21:09
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fat gay nonce posted:Hibs and Rangers btts what does this mean
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Apr 20, 2016 21:47
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It was both teams to score in those two games, Malaga let me down tho
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Apr 20, 2016 21:48
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They scored in the 91st minute!!
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Apr 20, 2016 21:50
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Haha Christ I had turned the stream off, epic injury time goals ftw
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Apr 20, 2016 21:54
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Ado den haag vs Alkmaar BTTS Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Willem II BTTS Pays 2.3
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Apr 21, 2016 07:32
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so is btts seen as overvalued? Im going to sit down this weekend with yoyr posts and open an account so I can get that sweet free bet money rolling in. Still don't understand what laying a bet is tho.
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Apr 21, 2016 07:47
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Breath Ray posted:so is btts seen as overvalued? Im going to sit down this weekend with yoyr posts and open an account so I can get that sweet free bet money rolling in. Still don't understand what laying a bet is tho. I don't think it's necessarily overvalued, it's more that it's a bet that is quite easy to research based on recent form.
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Apr 21, 2016 09:40
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Breath Ray posted:so is btts seen as overvalued? Im going to sit down this weekend with yoyr posts and open an account so I can get that sweet free bet money rolling in. Still don't understand what laying a bet is tho. Laying a bet is you being the bookie. So if Team A are 2-1 to win against Team B If you bet £10 on team A and they won you would win £20 plus your stake If you lay £10 on team A and they lost you would win £5 plus your stake.
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Apr 21, 2016 10:27
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I don't understand the last sentence there taff
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Apr 21, 2016 12:44
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Breath Ray posted:I don't understand the last sentence there taff You become the bookie, so essentially you're taking someones £5 bet on them to win at 2-1.
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Apr 21, 2016 12:53
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The Big Taff Man posted:You become the bookie, so essentially you're taking someones £5 bet on them to win at 2-1. Right. And there's then the commission which is 2% with Smarkets and 5% with Betfair.
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Apr 21, 2016 13:07
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Huh, is that what laying bets is? I thought it was when you had a 3-4 team accumulator and you've won 3 games, and say Liverpool has to win their game for your accumulator to come in. You then place a bet for Liverpool to draw/lose so you win money no matter what. If Liverpool win => accumulator pays out, if they lose => your single bet pays out.
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Apr 21, 2016 13:23
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bunnyx how do you feel about over2.5 goals in those two games you posted?
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Apr 21, 2016 13:36
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