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Welcome to the Eastern Europe thread part the third CAVEAT Tom Clancy chat in this thread is forbidden. It derails into pages and pages of pointless arguing and shits up the discussion and dissemination of news. DON'T DO IT! You have been warned. Russia's invasion of Ukraine dominates the discussion, but anything happening in Eastern Europe is relevant to the thread. Here are some good videos to watch if you have no idea what the hell is going on between Russia and the rest of Eastern Europe and why this is happening right now. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EL_09mazZs8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XMv9EvthOrQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6jHhzj08yQ Why did Russia invade Ukraine? Putin and the Kremlin refuse to admit it, but about 4,000 -5,000 (possibly more) Russian troops are in Ukraine aiding the “separatists” in their struggle to establish the Donetsk People's Republic and Luhansk People's Republic. Both of these regions fly the NovoRossyia (Новоро́ссия) flag and insist they are separate states breaking away from Ukraine. In reality, the people who run these “republics” are Russians who control a ragtag militia of mercenaries from Russia and the Caucasus. They were losing badly to the Ukrainian National Guard, so that is why Russia stepped up and took on a more active role, but not really. On September 3rd an announcement of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia was quickly backtracked when the Kremlin realized if they agreed to a ceasefire they would have to admit they're directly involved. Really, they're not. On September 5 more talks will take place in Minsk, Belarus. Ukraine officially is not involved in these talks, it's mostly NovoRossyia representatives making demands and the OSCE listening to them. NovoRossyia will look like this if they are successful in driving Ukraine out of the territory. This provides a land route for Russia to access Occupied Crimea and cuts off Ukraine from the Black Sea. Another objective would be to connect Russia to Transdniestria, a breakaway state from Moldova. So far, Western Europe's response to much of this has been very The French did have a contract to sell two Mistral war ships to Russia, but President Hollande realized his popularity couldn't possibly tank any more with the French people and canceled the deal. Angela Poland Former Prime Minister Donald Tusk is now president of the European Council. Poland has been extremely vocal about the threat Russia poses to their country and the Baltic States. President Obama was in Estonia yesterday to discuss the beefing up of NATO in the Baltics. This is not a new development, Poland has wanted a stronger NATO presence in the region for some time, but the European members of the alliance have been reluctant, believing doing more would provoke Russia. That argument seems pointless now. Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania The Baltic States have good reason to be nervous about Russia. Kaliningrad was cut off from the rest of Russia when the Soviet Union broke apart. It seems unthinkable that Russia would do this, but then it was also unthinkable that Russia would annex Crimea and invade Eastern Ukraine. The Baltics are not assuming a passive role, they're setting up strategic bases and NATO countries, mostly the United States are sending in equipment and troops for a stronger presence. Yes, The Baltics are members of NATO, but recent events in Ukraine are good enough reason to speculate that the Russians may be just crazy enough. Russia using any sort of aggression on the Baltic States is still highly unlikely, but who knows? Belarus This former Soviet Republic is like the eye of the hurricane. While everyone else rattles sabres and hurls sanctions and threats at each other, Lukashenko has maintained law and order in Belarus the best way he knows how – by not allowing a shred of dissent to ever get any public acknowledgement. There is no opposition in this country to speak of. Anyone who has a history creating public displays against the regime gets harassed and imprisoned for any minor charge the court feels like using. The Belarusian people watch the same news the Russians do, and so their understanding of what is happening in Ukraine is the same: Kyiv has been overrun by a homonazi junta supported by the EU and the United States; they threaten the sovereignty of Russia and they're the evil aggressors in Eastern Ukraine. Russia is simply struggling to save their country from this satanic threat from the west. Russia meanwhile is in the process of setting up a military base in Belarus. This is also not a new development. The plans to set up an air base in Lida began in 2012. Now with the conflict in Ukraine the base will be moved south to Baranovichi. Lukashenko is looking forward to being re-elected in 2015 and ruling Belarus for another 5 years. He's in his mid 50's and has no intention of stepping down any time soon. The chances of a repeat of the 2010 election are slim to none. Minsk has become the meeting place for discussions on the crisis in Ukraine. A recent summit/Customs Union meeting in Minsk brought Ukraine's President Poroshenko and Putin together for the first time. The meeting was a complete failure to resolve anything between the two countries. It did however provide some breathtaking photo ops. Finally, thanks to Russia's sweeping sanctions banning food from just about everywhere else on Earth, Belarus has become the Georgia and Moldova Signed the Association Agreement with the European Union in June with Ukraine, and feeling the effects from Russia. The food service on Moldovan commercial flights features plenty of Moldovan apples. Moldova has close ties with Romania, which is a member of the EU and NATO. These are two more countries that were once part of the Soviet Union and watch the war in Ukraine with nervous eyes. Sanctions This has been the main method of the EU and US to punish Russia for its aggression with Ukraine. Russia has retaliated with sanctions, most recently banning commodities and consumable goods from the EU, US, Canada, Japan, Australia and several other countries. Russia's food prices are climbing, and many countries dependent on their exports to Russia are stuck with perishable food with no place to go. The EU announced more sanctions will be coming soon. The UK recently suggested cutting off Russia from the SWIFT banking network. Stay tuned to find out what the EU will do next. Malaysian Airlines Flight 17 The Ukrainian National Guard secured enough of the region where the wreckage was spread in August for airline officials and investigators from Malaysia and Europe to get in and gather as much evidence as they could, but then Russia began shelling Ukraine from the border and they gave up. Their preliminary report will be released next week on September 9. Russian media reported that the separatists were not responsible for the downing of the plane, but rather it was a Ukrainian military aircraft that shot it from the air. There is no substantial evidence to support this. The evidence of a BUK missile launcher in the area at the time is very conclusive, and there is audio evidence that the separatists were aware of what happened moments after the plane crashed. Strelkov, the former commander of the separatists also published on his VK page that they had shot down what they thought was a Ukrainian plane, but the status message disappeared quickly when it became public the plane was actually MH17. Thread Norms It can't be stressed enough to avoid Tom Clancy fanfiction chat. Don't do it. This is a D&D thread, so of course discussion is encouraged. If you come to the thread regurgitating Kremlin talking points to troll the discussion, you will be called out for it. The Russian people are perfectly aware that Russian media's portrayal of Ukraine being overrun by Gayupe homonazis and Kyiv is the epicenter of the new satanic junta threatening good Christian Russia is bullshit. We're also aware that Ukraine is capable of pushing out some pretty obvious propaganda and that will be treated the same. Discussion about any country in Eastern Europe is welcome here. This includes the Balkan States, Armenia and Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and possibly other former Soviet republics in Central Asia as the situation progresses. None of these countries at this point can afford to believe it won't happen here. Live UA Map has fairly consistent real-time updates, but their map isn't always accurate. The #Ukraine tag on twitter is a good place for as it happens information. The OP will be updated as needed.
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 16:17 |
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# ¿ May 22, 2024 09:04 |
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From the last thread, relevant important stuff happening in Mariupol: sparatuvs posted:Some people are reporting that the assault on Mariupol has begun
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 16:18 |
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Lucy Heartfilia posted:The thread icon change makes me sad. Me too, but right now it's accurate.
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 16:28 |
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Dilkington posted:Could you define "tomclancy chat?" I am trying to learn as much about the Russian order of battle as possible, especially in regards to how it is integrated with separatist units. This mostly refers to discussion of Russia and NATO escalating into an all out nuclear World War III with plenty of plot twists you would expect in a Tom Clancy novel. Never mind about Russia announcing holding nuclear readiness drills or Sweden and Finland just did some stuff at the NATO summit in Cardiff.
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 16:37 |
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A Fancy 400 lbs posted:So in simple terms, just don't go off on wild hypothetical tangents, just stick to what's actually happening and the near future? Exactly. There is enough real stuff happening to talk about.
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 16:59 |
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Cameron and Poroshenko in Cardiff.
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 17:40 |
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I mentioned the Baltics in the OP. There is plenty of real discussion about it, and NATO is increasing their presence there. Russia invading Turkey any time soon and kicking out those pesky Ottomans once and for all doesn't belong. VVVVV What he said too, The Baltics are full members of NATO and it's really really unlikely Russia would go there. HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 18:30 on Sep 4, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 18:28 |
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HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:I mentioned the Baltics in the OP. There is plenty of real discussion about it, and NATO is increasing their presence there. Talking about the Baltics is fine for the above quoted reasons. Also, recruitment pages on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/pages/Azov-special-purpose-batallion/1448785592048626 https://www.facebook.com/antimaidaninternacionalbrigadeseuropa For gore. HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 19:00 on Sep 4, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 18:58 |
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Thank you. It's perfect.
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# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 19:45 |
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What the hell are they smoking in Poland? SA Wardega video. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YoB8t0B4jx4 Is Putin God? This and other questions will be answered in an upcoming lecture. http://www.themoscowtimes.com/news/article/radical-russian-orthodox-activist-to-lecture-on-whether-putin-will-become-god/506325.html
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# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 03:06 |
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I've never heard of weapons grade nuclear material going inert. The half life on uranium is how many millions of years? The US has a government agency tasked to secure weapons grade nuclear material all over the world. http://nnsa.energy.gov/aboutus/ourprograms/dnn/gtri
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# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 04:46 |
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I obviously know nothing about Eastern Europe and Russia because just yesterday I said the Russians couldn't possibly be that stupid to do anything to provoke the Baltic states but clearly I am full of poo poo. Regardless of who abducted the Estonian officer, he's still an officer and represents the government of Estonia. As for Russia and the brand of Capitalism they developed after the collapse of the Soviet Union, apparently no one realized at the time that when Russia embraced Capitalism it was going to be a version that Russians understood. Russians are very very very slow to change anything political, social or economic. It has always been this way and that's just the way Russians want it to be. Russians don't like fast, sweeping changes. As for calling Ukraine the Ukraine: It's not the Germany or the Poland, and it sounds just as stupid when you put that article before Ukraine. I knew I forgot to put something in the new OP yesterday.
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# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 16:32 |
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Lead out in cuffs posted:Eastern Europe: Is Putin the next Stalin Russia so badly needs? If you want clickbait, 8 reasons Putin will change the way you think about everything
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# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 23:36 |
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Here is the full text of Poroshenko's statement made to the press in Wales. http://www.eurointegration.com.ua/news/2014/09/5/7025744/ quote:President Poroshenko in Newport (Wales, UK) announced the arrangements for an armistice and brought the conditions of these agreements. Also, this from the President of Estonia: https://twitter.com/IlvesToomas/status/507980939696537601 HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 23:54 on Sep 5, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 23:46 |
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Belarusian man names Lukashenko in ice bucket challenge: You won't believe what happens next! http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/posts...campaign=buffer
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# ¿ Sep 6, 2014 00:02 |
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Russia will set up a permanent naval base in the Arctic because all that arctic oil exploration and drilling will need protection. Hello, Norway, Canada. http://www.interfax.ru/world/395316 quote:Moscow. September 6th. INTERFAX.RU - Russian forces create a permanent base for the Northern Fleet in the Arctic, located in the New Siberian Islands.
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# ¿ Sep 6, 2014 13:21 |
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Paladinus posted:Has anything of importance happened in Ukraine since Poroshenko and Putin agreed on a ceasefire plan? Putin agreed to nothing, Russia's got nothing to do with the fighting in Ukraine. Ukraine had to agree to a ceasefire with NovoRossyia. We have to keep our Kremlin talking points correct. Now that a ceasefire is in place, Malaysia will attempt to send people back to the MH17 crash site to retrieve more of the plane. http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/06/world/asia/malaysia-mh17-remains/index.html I will never stop being amused by this.
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# ¿ Sep 6, 2014 14:20 |
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The Estonian officer who was kidnapped yesterday is in Moscow now, according to this Polish source. http://www.rmf24.pl/fakty/swiat/news-estonski-oficer-przewieziony-do-moskwy-media-to-porwanie,nId,1496447 quote:The officer Estonian Internal Security Service was transferred to Moscow - said the Minister Urmas Paet Foreign Affairs. How to inform the Estonian media, the officer was yesterday "kidnapped" from the country near the border with Russia. The president of Estonia made a statement yesterday that the officer was on Estonian soil when he was abducted and they have the evidence to prove it. The Russian story has changed a couple of times, but it now seems they are saying he was in Russia at the time he was detained. Here's an Estonian link with video. http://www.delfi.ee/news/paevauudised/valismaa/video-fsb-toimetas-kohveri-moskvasse?id=69685977 HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 17:06 on Sep 6, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 6, 2014 17:03 |
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Multiple reports of shelling outside Mariupol. http://www.interpretermag.com/ukraine-liveblog-day-201/#4175 And the Belarusian embassy in Moscow was on fire today. http://baltinfo.ru/2014/09/06/V-Moskve-gorit-posolstvo-Belorussii-447978 HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 21:36 on Sep 6, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 6, 2014 21:29 |
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Ukrainian forces in the area say it's the "rebels" who started shelling again. http://by24.org/2014/09/06/terrorusian_grad_system_working_in_mariupol/ quote:The long-awaited "Minsk truce" , concluded between the official representatives of Russia, Ukraine, the OSCE and the terrorist "republics" DNR and LC yesterday, September 5, lasted only a little more than a day. Today, September 6 at about 22:30 local time, the Russian military under the guise of "national militia of Donbass" again shelled the Ukrainian city of Mariupol from multiple rocket launchers BM-21 "Grad", reports local site 0629.com.ua .
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# ¿ Sep 6, 2014 22:13 |
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Cat Mattress posted:From LiveUAMap: I had to go look this up and see it myself.
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# ¿ Sep 7, 2014 00:04 |
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Fabulous Knight posted:"Finland wants to join Russia". Turns out to this article consists of one "influential businesswoman and lawyer" writing about it (I've never heard about her, Google brings no results of such a person existing), one guy from a nationalist opposition party saying a military alliance might be cool and there's also our resident loony Johan Bäckman supporting such an idea. He is... he's a really special piece of work. Essentially he's trying to bring Finland closer to Russia in a very thinly veiled manner and his wacky antics would really be deserving of a post of their own altogether but I'm too tired to put one together. These people really do not add up to "Finland wanting to join Russia", so to hell with that journal. It is alarming that they thought publishing such an article was a good idea in the first place but it will be inconsequential. Whatever support Russia has here it is irrelevant. The article is vague enough it's obviously someone's flight of fancy and nostalgia of bringing back the Russian Empire. Someone who remembers what it was like before 1917 but forgot about 1939.
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# ¿ Sep 7, 2014 00:15 |
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icantfindaname posted:The new thread title was supposed to be "Watch LF posters turn into neocons before your eyes" Everyone liked the other one instead, including me.
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# ¿ Sep 7, 2014 01:43 |
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Lukashenko opens his mouth and talks about what he thinks happened at the talks in Minsk. http://rt.com/news/185776-lukashenko-on-ukraine-crisis/#.VAxt1atj_tw.twitter Five members of NATO will send weapons and advisors to Ukraine. http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/ukraine-crisis-renewed-fighting-threatens-fragile-ceasefire-1.2758330 One civilian dead in new shelling. http://www.accessnorthga.com/detail.php?n=279250
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# ¿ Sep 7, 2014 18:47 |
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It's interesting they're denying it. The preliminary report on Flight MH17 will be released on Tuesday. That doesn't mean some are already speculating on the contents of that report. quote:http://online.wsj.com/articles/malaysia-says-intelligence-reports-on-flight-17-crash-pretty-conclusive-1409983490?mod=trending_now_2
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# ¿ Sep 7, 2014 19:58 |
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Scapegoat posted:So mightypeon and co will just ignore the findings as western lies and keep blaming Ukraine? How do you get that? The article hints that people who got a first chance to read the report are satisfied with the findings, and hints that what people concluded back in July, that the plane was hit by a surface to air missile in rebel held territory, is what will be revealed on Tuesday.
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# ¿ Sep 7, 2014 20:39 |
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President Poroshenko is on his way to Mariupol to assess the damage. https://twitter.com/JuMistress/status/508916154375868417 Lukashenko says it's America's fault Russia and Ukraine are fighting, because America wants us to kill each other. quote:Brilev, an anchorman of Rossiya 1 TV channel. http://belsat.eu/en/wiadomosci/a,21782,lukashenka-accuses-uncle-sam-of-instigating-war-in-ukraine.html Poroshenko signed a bill today allowing Western companies to purchase stakes in Ukrainian gas transit and storage companies. http://www.epravda.com.ua/news/2014/09/8/489274/ quote:Poroshenko President signed a law that permitted lease of main gas pipelines and underground gas storage facilities without their alienation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O0mbWKd1b6k HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 11:35 on Sep 8, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 8, 2014 11:27 |
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Brown Moses posted:Oh hey, look what I found, the Buk used to down MH17 in Russia being driven around by Russian troops. They didn't mothball that thing and hide it from sight? That takes balls, especially after that report comes out tomorrow.
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# ¿ Sep 8, 2014 22:06 |
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The MH17 report has been released. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/10/world/europe/malaysian-airliner-ukraine.html?smid=tw-bna&_r=0 quote:PARIS — A Malaysia Airlines passenger jet that went down over a war zone in eastern Ukraine in July was struck by “high-energy objects from outside the aircraft,” Dutch officials leading the investigation of the crash said in a preliminary report published on Tuesday.
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# ¿ Sep 9, 2014 11:47 |
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Brown Moses posted:I've helped out CrisisNET with their platform, that's very much about crunching data and turning it into something usable, and I'm currently working with Right Now Media on a proposal to create a site based on their Sport Right Now site, which allows social media accounts to be tagged in a database, then sorted on their front end. They've done it for football teams, I'm doing for Syrian opposition groups, to bring order to the 1000s of Syrian social media accounts. Looking forward to seeing this.
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# ¿ Sep 9, 2014 22:02 |
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Awesome work, Brown Moses. I enjoyed watching those, even the stupid RT video with the "Oh these bloggers on twitter think they're journalists."
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# ¿ Sep 10, 2014 00:58 |
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OddObserver posted:I shouldn't be saying this to you, but the spin on WWII in modern Russian identity is overwhelmingly positive and centered on victory more than the cost. Also, please don't say "Russia won" --- there were plenty of non-Russians in Soviet Army, like, say, Ukrainians, something that the real Vladimir Putin would rather have people forget. Yeah, the Red Army that surrounded Berlin in 1945 included Ukrainians, Belarusians, Poles, and so on.
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# ¿ Sep 10, 2014 02:06 |
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Look out Batka, Putin is muscling in on your turf. http://belarusdigest.com/story/no-longer-last-dictatorship-europe-19253
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# ¿ Sep 10, 2014 11:58 |
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With love from Montenegro. Near Grodno, Belarus, old tires were recycled into these rubber matts and a tank was used to test them to show how durable they are. Here are photos and a link to a video of the test. http://www.kp.by/online/news/1840589/ quote:Unusual ecological event was held at the tank firing range in the village Gozha HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 01:45 on Sep 11, 2014 |
# ¿ Sep 11, 2014 01:41 |
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Hambilderberglar posted:http://antikor.com.ua/articles/13410-igorj_girkin_strelkov_najden_mertvym_v_rossii Remember how Ukrainians in August claimed he was critically wounded in a clash in Donetsk,and then the Russians denied it, saying he had been relieved and given a desk job in the DPR. You haven't heard a word about him since then, and I've wondered if he didn't die of his injuries and they're just now saying something.
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# ¿ Sep 11, 2014 21:05 |
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This needs to be brought up, because essentially this Estonian police officer is going to prison for a long time. http://news.yahoo.com/russia-charges-estonian-policeman-espionage-134210621.html quote:Moscow (AFP) - An Estonian policeman detained by Russian security services has been charged with espionage in a case that has sent tensions soaring between Moscow and its small NATO-member neighbour.
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# ¿ Sep 11, 2014 23:16 |
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Found this story on the pro-opposition website Charter 97. If this is true it's very sad, but seems to be normal in Belarus where history is very tightly controlled and anything that puts a negative light on the Soviet Union is not allowed. http://charter97.org/be/news/2014/9/12/115452/ quote:Authorities banned Zaslaul exhibition about the life in Western Belarus
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# ¿ Sep 12, 2014 14:59 |
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# ¿ Sep 13, 2014 00:31 |
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e: nevermind
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# ¿ Sep 13, 2014 00:45 |
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# ¿ May 22, 2024 09:04 |
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fishmech, Kolya's about to bite your finger and have his batka execute you.
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# ¿ Sep 13, 2014 02:38 |