2016 U.S. Downballot: THEY ARE THE LAW

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > 2016 U.S. Downballot: THEY ARE THE LAW

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Evan Bayh is still young enough to run for this seat and then run for president in 2020 :getin:

# ¿ Mar 24, 2015 23:13

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# ¿ May 14, 2024 05:44

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

The single best contribution Evan Bayh made to public life was exposing Ezra Klein as an embarrassing shill when he retired.

Klein begging him to "stay in the Senate, Mr. Bayh" is my single favourite thing he's ever written. Maybe closely followed by his outraged piece when he realised, ten years after everybody else, that he's been taken in by an obvious huckster and that Bayh was and had always been a piece of poo poo.

Pinterest Mom has issued a correction as of 00:39 on Mar 26, 2015

# ¿ Mar 26, 2015 00:33

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Indiana is an open seat, that's a pickup opportunity in a state where Democrats are surprisingly competitive in non-presidential statewide races.

# ¿ Mar 28, 2015 16:53

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

it's gonna be a loving tragedy when mccaskill loses her seat in 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-yzGA_glnkM

# ¿ Nov 10, 2015 21:39

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Claire no

Claire McCaskill posted:

I very recently learned that I have breast cancer. It was detected through a regular mammogram. It�s a little scary, but my prognosis is good and I expect a full recovery. I will be in St Louis for the next 3 weeks receiving treatment. During this time my staff will continue to assist Missourians and I will be posting on my Senate website (McCaskill.senate.gov) how I would have voted on any matters that come before the Senate during my absence�which I�ll also enter into the Congressional record. Additionally, I�ll be submitting questions in writing for any missed Senate hearings.

Thank you for the honor of serving you in the Senate.

# ¿ Feb 22, 2016 22:12

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

The Florida race is dozing off!
https://twitter.com/oliverdarcy/status/704902231259217921

# ¿ Mar 2, 2016 07:54

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

whoops
https://twitter.com/NRSC/status/707297607488565249

e: it's gone

Pinterest Mom has issued a correction as of 21:22 on Mar 8, 2016

# ¿ Mar 8, 2016 21:17

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Arsenic Lupin posted:

Is Bernie up for reelection this year, or can he keep his Senate seat if he loses the nomination?

Bernie's up in 2018.

# ¿ Mar 10, 2016 18:17

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

quote:

Ben Carson, who just days ago dropped his lackluster Republican Party presidential bid amid languishing poll numbers and a disappearing profile, is leading in Florida polling by a wide margin, but in the contest for the Sunshine State's soon-to-be-open Senate seat.

A new poll shows 56 percent of likely voters would choose Carson if he were to enter the state GOP primary for the job Sen. Marco Rubio plans to vacate. If Carson doesn't run in what's likely to be a crowded field, according to the poll, voters so far are backing Florida Rep. David Jolly, but far less enthusiastically: He polled at 18 percent, 38 points behind Carson.

# ¿ Mar 11, 2016 00:47

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PloH-AaM2f4

e: oh he's running for congress, not senate

w/e!

# ¿ Apr 22, 2016 13:28

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

America Must Restore Its Greatness might not fit on a hat

# ¿ Apr 30, 2016 18:58

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

oh my god

https://twitter.com/scottwongDC/status/730467240726925312

# ¿ May 11, 2016 21:13

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

lool https://twitter.com/aterkel/status/732316695524675584

# ¿ May 16, 2016 22:17

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

https://twitter.com/jacobfhsmith/status/742415921482989569

ty mormons

# ¿ Jun 13, 2016 19:43

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

evilweasel posted:

I think that's true, all the big wave elections I remember (since 2006) had the winning party win every close race.

Well, the Dems managed to salvage NH 2014 (and VA, though that wasn't supposed to be close), but mostly true, yeah.

# ¿ Jun 25, 2016 19:45

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Joementum posted:

Yeah, here's my post from two years ago:

From that, I'd move WI and NH into Leans Dem and PA into Tossup. Maaaaybe move IA into Leans Rep, but the rest stays the same. Even if Democrats win WI, NH, IL, NV, PA, and OH they still only have 51 Senate seats.

Arizona?

# ¿ Jul 9, 2016 05:45

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Gyges posted:

If it weren't for Orrin Hatch and his good buddy Ted Cruz, we could theoretically clear the Senate of every member who actually thought they could be President this very election.

(and Graham and Sanders from this cycle!)

# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 03:25

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Bayh isn't really lovely because he's not ideologically pure, he's lovely because he's a slimy profiteer who make grandiose noises about the integrity of the system and wanting to go do something useful like teach when he left the senate and immediately took lobbying jobs.

Like, he was basically on board for Obama's agenda, that wasn't the problem with him.

# ¿ Jul 12, 2016 05:36

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

this ad is 🔥

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VNk-cTbipkg

makes john mccain look really bad, and also completely innocently and incidentally reminds republican voters ahead of the august 30th primary that trump said mccain should be defeated

# ¿ Aug 11, 2016 17:17

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Cliff Racer posted:

Those special elections are actually pretty useful for the winner (who typically also wins the regular 2 year term as well) as it allows them to get in seniority over all of the people who begin their terms with the new congress.

they're also useful if you're shelley "dracula oval office" sekula-gibbs because then you get to be a real life congresswoman for two months :unsmith:

# ¿ Aug 13, 2016 22:48

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/765956980779413504

bayh running is really loving up republican chances to keep the senate

# ¿ Aug 17, 2016 18:51

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Cliff Racer posted:

I see no 538 on that list, the salt is palpable.

You might think that 538 isn't on the list of Senate forecasts because they don't have a Senate forecast, but no, I'm sure it's salt.

# ¿ Aug 27, 2016 18:20

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Shinjobi posted:

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/08/canova-revolution-bernie-sanders-debbie-wasserman-schultz/497807/

As someone who was excited about the whole "Our Revolution" thing, it's pretty sad to think it got derailed as quickly as it did. Get hosed, Weaver.

I know, I know, DWS probably would have won anyway, but I can't imagine how someone like her racked up a double digit lead.

She's a 12 year incumbent. She's one of the most prominent jewish politicians in the country in a 15% jewish district. Canova was a weirdo who was attacking her from the right on foreign policy and running against Obama's Iran deal, and the district is also 12% black.

Canova ran like 10% ahead of Bernie in the district, but he was always going to lose.

# ¿ Aug 31, 2016 04:13

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

lmao
https://twitter.com/GeorgeRichards/status/770830513409929216

# ¿ Aug 31, 2016 05:38

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

FlamingLiberal posted:

She ran an abysmal midterm in 2014. There was no coordinated message coming from the top, so instead you had some Dems running away from Obama.

the DNC is not the DCCC or the DSCC

# ¿ Aug 31, 2016 17:23

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

They also mattered in the House - the Dems managed to pass everything they wanted, including things the Senate didn't take action on like the public option and cap and trade. It just so happens that the Dems managed to pass everything with ~exactly~ 218 votes because Pelosi always freed up the members in vulnerable districts to vote against the Dems to show their independence. It doesn't mean that those people would have voted against the legislation if their vote was pivotal.

# ¿ Sep 1, 2016 03:16

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

this is the 2018 gubernatorial map. on top of that, Virginia and NJ are 2017 (bright colours are term limited/retiring, black unknown because the incumbent will get elected in 2016)

# ¿ Sep 19, 2016 00:42

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

i've got bad news about maryland

quote:

The popularity of Gov. Larry Hogan continues to soar.

Seventy-one percent of registered voters in the state � including 63 percent of Democrats and 88 percent of Republicans � approve of the job he is doing, according to a recent poll.

The poll was conducted by Annapolis-based OpinionWorks, which shared its findings with The Baltimore Sun in advance of their release Tuesday.

# ¿ Sep 19, 2016 00:47

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

The Nastier Nate posted:

Rubio isn't going to resign. If he wanted a cushy patronage job he would have lined it up already. He didn't walk back a year of "no I'm not running again, the senate sucks" to quit in 6 months. The only way you'll get rid of Rubio before his next term is up is if he becomes president in 2020. Sorry Florida dems, better luck in 2022.

unless..

https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/778277737848987648

# ¿ Sep 20, 2016 18:07

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_BCSysUkgw

# ¿ Oct 12, 2016 17:47

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Badger of Basra posted:

can someone who knows about The Polls explain what it means that the "leading" candidate still only has 43% of the vote

i feel like it's fairly late in the game for such high undecideds but idk

It is. In Nevada's last competitive Senate race, PPP had the race 49-48 for Reid with only 3% undecided on October 7-9. The 18% undecided in this poll is six times the number six years ago.

Interestingly, both Democrats and Republicans are a lot more undecided in this race than in Reid/Angle.

Pinterest Mom has issued a correction as of 00:00 on Oct 13, 2016

# ¿ Oct 12, 2016 23:55

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/51a716548ddb41efad6e2dd06ae3366b/bayh-didnt-stay-overnight-indiana-condo-once-2010

quote:

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) � Evan Bayh says that his Indianapolis condominium has long been his home, and that he has spent "lots and lots" of time there since deciding to run for his old Senate seat. But a copy of his schedule shows Bayh did not stay overnight there once during his last year in office in 2010.

The schedule provided to The Associated Press shows the Democrat spent taxpayer money, campaign funds or let other people pay for him to stay in Indianapolis hotels on the relatively rare occasions he returned from Washington, D.C.

During the same period, he spent $3,000 in taxpayer money on what appeared to be job hunting trips to New York, despite the assertion of his campaign that the trips were devoted to official media appearances.

The AP obtained Bayh's schedule from a source who requested anonymity because the information was private. The Bayh campaign did not dispute its authenticity.

Since unexpectedly entering the race in July, Bayh, whose primary residence is in Washington, has struggled to explain whether Indiana is home. During an interview with WLFI-TV in August he tried to put the issue to rest, but gave the wrong address for his condo, which is listed on his drivers' license and voter registration.

"I'll always be a Hoosier," Bayh said last week. "We own our condominium. Period. From time to time I would stay someplace else, but our condo has always been our home."

Bayh stayed at Indianapolis hotels roughly a dozen times in 2010, though taxpayers paid only a few hundred dollars because campaign funds or other people helped pick up the tab.

Bayh's schedule shows the four taxpayer-funded trips to New York between September and November 2010 revolved largely around meetings with a veritable who's who of American banking and finance, as well as a job headhunter.

Senate ethics rules forbid the use of public money for personal travel. Bayh's campaign says the trips to New York were justified because he also conducted official business, including giving interviews to journalists.

Bayh's campaign initially made no mention of the meetings with leaders in the financial world. Later, presented with details from his schedule, campaign spokesman Ben Ray said the meetings were routine for Bayh, who served on the Senate's banking committee.

"It was entirely ordinary and even important for him to meet with industry leaders to insist upon regulatory changes," Ray said.

But the New York trips were all after he announced he was leaving the Senate in February, and after President Barack Obama signed into law the Dodd-Frank banking reform bill that Bayh considered as a member of the committee.

Prior to 2010, Senate records show he hadn't traveled to New York using Senate funds since 2002.

In September 2010, Bayh took two trips that cost taxpayers $1,414.

He flew to New York on Sept. 1, staying overnight with Adam Aron, a longtime friend and official at Apollo Global Management. After a morning appearance on MSNBC's "Morning Joe," Bayh met with Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan followed by JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon.

Five days later, he again flew to New York, leaving a family vacation at the Nantucket mansion of financier David Rubenstein. He again stayed with Aron, met with then-Credit Suisse executive Rob Shafir and taped an appearance with journalist Katie Couric.

Later, he met with Deutsche Bank chief executive Seth Waugh, dined with Goldman Sachs chief executive Lloyd Blankfein and returned to Aron's apartment for the night. The next morning he had breakfast with Thomas Neff, a headhunter from New York firm Spencer Stuart.

In November 2010, he flew in for an interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity. The Senate paid $519 for a stay at the Regency in Manhattan in addition to airfare. The next day Bayh met with Moelis and Co. investment bank CEO Ken Moelis, General Atlantic investment firm CEO William E. Ford and Leon Black, CEO of Apollo Global Management. Apollo hired Bayh two months later.

# ¿ Oct 21, 2016 18:32

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# ¿ May 14, 2024 05:44

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

i'm glad that's cleared up
https://twitter.com/alexburnsNYT/status/775736430911954944

# ¿ Nov 3, 2016 01:34

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > 2016 U.S. Downballot: THEY ARE THE LAW