|
ButtWolf posted:Bradley Cooper is also a big one right now (well about two weeks ago). up 7% in a week. When is the best time to get out? Like when GotG 2 is released, does Bradley Coopers TAG get adjusted that day or does it take a few weeks? Bradley Cooper's starbond is actually a relatively weak long-term investment. You're going to have a positive return, but it's small when you account for the number of days you have to hold the starbond before it adjusts. If you want to make real money on that movie, take a look at Kurt Russell. His TAG is going to blow up next May because he's in GotG2 and Fast 8. (Note that he's also in this year's Deepwater Horizon, which will likely nudge his current TAG down a couple dollars when it adjusts. Timing is important.) quote:Forest looks like He'll double. if i'm correct about this: Star Wars is at $415m, but as far as it counts for TAG its maxed at $250 right? That'd put his at somewhere between 80-90m in December. quote:Actually, let's use Ethan Hawke as the example. Magnificent Seven comes out friday. When will his TAG be updated? (prob good $ from movie) His next movie in Oct actually has a higher price than the one it would knock off of the TAG, but not much so I'm not worried about having to get out quickly. Do you wait until the stock is really close to TAG?
|
# ¿ Sep 20, 2016 04:59 |
|
|
# ¿ May 17, 2024 01:03 |
|
ButtWolf posted:I've been making spreadsheets. Theses are my estimated best starbonds for the foreseeable future, based on roi%. I'm dropping Russell so I can put money into these. Russell is basically going to double, and at 3m its nice but I should be able to grab the same amount of money quicker on a 70% less investment on KREIL. Good picks! Now add a "days until adjust" column to your spreadsheet and divide those percentages by it. Daily return on investment (DROI) is everything in this game.
|
# ¿ Sep 23, 2016 17:36 |
|
2% and above for portfolios up to 25m, 1% up to 100m, 0.5% up to 200m. These are rough numbers, of course, and can change based on what else is in your portfolio besides starbonds. I'm over 200m and have started going below 0.35% just to park my spare cash. I'm probably due for a strategy overhaul soon. It gets really hard to make decent money the more of it you have.
|
# ¿ Sep 23, 2016 18:04 |
|
It's 1% to make any trade. So, buying and immediately selling a security will cost you ~2% of what you paid.
|
# ¿ Sep 23, 2016 20:17 |
|
STORK is down $10 in the past 24 hours a million in gains
|
# ¿ Sep 24, 2016 23:03 |
|
Efexeye posted:i bought and held terminator 5 long
|
# ¿ Sep 24, 2016 23:28 |
|
hot tip: you can make a share if you pick up PETS.BW between now and tomorrow at 4pm PST
|
# ¿ Sep 25, 2016 20:36 |
|
Looks like your ROI math isn't quite right. The formula in terms of prices is ROI = (Sell - Buy) / Buy or in your terms, simply Profit/Buy-in. SULLY.BW just IPO'd like an hour ago. The movie only needs to make $21 million more (it's at $94m after 3 weekends) for the BW to break even.
|
# ¿ Sep 29, 2016 18:01 |
|
I don't think so. Using your numbers, actual ROI on the Suicide Squad BW is 374,320/335,200 = 111.67%. It looks like you used Profit/Sell as the formula: 374,320/709,520 = 52.76%
|
# ¿ Sep 29, 2016 18:15 |
|
Good tip, thanks. Let's hope summer 2017 is better for blockbusters than this one!
|
# ¿ Oct 3, 2016 16:59 |
|
INDI5 at $39 is a very nice get. I don't do a whole lot of long-term holds, but I've still got a few sure things lined up. I picked up CARS3 in June for $111 and I expect to make just under double that in profit. The price is still very good now, actually. I've also got a couple smaller animated films (BOSSB and CROD2) that will give me a good payoff even if they make under $100 million. Someone earlier in the thread said that animated films are generally priced well below where they should be until right before they are released, and aside from the bomb that was Storks I've found that to be true.
|
# ¿ Oct 3, 2016 19:02 |
|
I imagine someone would have to have several billion dollars in net worth before no-name development-phase movies are anything other than fun bets. The release schedule is packed with literally years of low-risk, low-reward movies. Stuff like Star Wars and the MCU will reliably make money if you buy early enough. That said, high-stakes betting is a completely legitimate way to play HSX.
|
# ¿ Oct 3, 2016 21:23 |
|
I'm remembering what happened with The Good Dinosaur last year, too.
|
# ¿ Oct 6, 2016 19:31 |
|
Grats to everyone (not me) who bought the BOO! OW derivative, y'all are in for a sweet payday.
|
# ¿ Oct 23, 2016 20:50 |
|
Anyone else get burned by CROD2 getting canceled out of nowhere? I lost 3 million because I didn't log in for a few days and missed the news.
|
# ¿ Nov 13, 2016 21:43 |
|
I've noticed the price on a lot of big movies drops in the week leading up to release. My guess is that there is a portion of long-term investors who can't stomach opening weekend uncertainty and just want to realize their gains so far.
|
# ¿ Dec 13, 2016 20:25 |
|
good fuckin job, friend
|
# ¿ Jan 26, 2017 09:29 |
|
|
# ¿ May 17, 2024 01:03 |
|
The Wonder Woman blockbuster warrant IPO'd yesterday with a break-even point lower than the film's current box office take, i.e. it's nothing but profit for the next 8 weeks
|
# ¿ Jun 26, 2017 15:14 |