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i'm in nevilleflynn@gmail.com
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May 25, 2015 21:50
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Sebadoh Gigante posted:They haven't posted here lately but from the looks of it Crindy and Fisty are still playing. New job. Can't log in as much as during old job. Still in. Been a HSX member since 2007 so I'm not really a "update every day" guy, though maybe I should do a LITTLE more than I have been...
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Jun 21, 2015 21:56
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Efexeye posted:I want Genisys to tank so badly but it's not going to I shorted 5,785 (all the loose cash I had) shares when it was at $110 or so and am making out like a bandit as it absolutely PLUMMETS (down $10/10% today alone). I only wish I had more cash when I shorted it. Do you guys recommend long-haul plays? I have a bunch of old plays, and sometimes they really pay off (picked up Poltergeist in 2011 when it was at $15 and got a triple off it... eventually), but I'm not sure they're really all that effective. Like, Moana is going to triple my $70 investment, but it'll take two years to get there... I think that's my biggest problem, I have half of my cash wrapped up in years-old purchases (I grabbed Black Panther in 2012 at $16, it's now at $89, but I don't want to sell cuz it'll eventually add another $50 at least to that) and am not used to short-term plays.
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Jul 3, 2015 00:13
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Just want to say it's really loving tough getting big gains when your net worth is over $50 mil. I made more than $1m off Sisters today now that the trailer is out, and that gave me a whopping 2 percent gain. Not complaining though! Playing with you guys brings back memories of being 16 and taking risks on movies that did not pay off at loving all (looking at you, Shoot 'Em Up and Talk To Me)
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Jul 16, 2015 03:50
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Sebadoh Gigante posted:The Minions blockbuster warrant is up. Once again, I've been playing for 8 years and have a net worth of $65m. This is a very difficult game for me. Sold on Pixels about a week ago when it was up to $125m. Was a great move. Lately I'm struggling on effective moves - shorted the Vacation remake opening weekend (5 day openings usually kill demand for the weekend) and that isn't paying off, you'd really think production starting on Resident Evil 6 would launch it higher than $14 a share, clearly John Wick 2 will make more than $20m total... this stock market is weird.
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Jul 25, 2015 18:40
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MI5 has been all over the place. Most estimates are saying high 30s to 40 but I really feel like anything under 45 would be unlikely. The last two (three, counting Tyrmynytyr) big tentpole action movies have underperformed to tracking expectations (Pixels 24 down from 40-50, Ant-Man 57 down from 60-65, Tyrmyyyyyy 27/42 down from 40/60), and Jurassic World's streak is about done now. Plus, like Southpaw last weekend, MI5 is adult-skewing, and there haven't been any big adult-skewing action movies in a while (Pixels, Ant-Man and Yyyyyyyyyyyy were all somewhat intended for a younger audience). I'd say mid-40s is my expectation with 50-55 not out of the picture. I don't feel strongly about it enough to bet on it either way - I rode the stock from 70 to 170 over its production and sold right before it dipped back down to 140ish - but 40ish would be a big disappointment for Paramount. Especially considering how YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY did.
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Jul 30, 2015 03:34
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Sebadoh Gigante posted:The thing with action movies these days is that they're often casting as wide a net as possible for the international market. Tyrmynytyr is a perfect example as it bombed in the US but make a bunch overseas. Aging stars like Arnold and Tom Cruise are a much bigger draw in foreign markets than stateside. Ultimately it makes the domestic earning potential of these big action movies hard to gauge. Oh, I wouldn't be surprised if MI5 did $130-150m here and still ended up over $600m worldwide. Around-the-world actioners always rake it up in the international market. But tracking all summer hasn't put MI below 50m at worst (it was at 70m in June, down to 55m in July) and I really think the 40s are too low. There hasn't been a non-animated breakout film in 5 or 6 weeks, everything's been performing adequately but not raking it in, so SOMETHING'S gotta pop in the late-summer market, and this has a better chance than Fantastic 4 and U.N.C.L.E., the last two bigger releases of the season. Also, this August looks bad, huh? I picked up Shaun the Sheep because I think it can beat $17m, but if Fantastic 4 underperforms and reviews/word of mouth shake out, I can see Straight Outta Compton being the highest-grossing film of the calendar month when all's said and done. Otherwise: UNCLE's not going to break out like WB wanted even though it looks good/great. If Underdogs and Shaun do better than $50m combined domestic I'd be shocked - it's nice that Lionsgate and Weinstein are dumping their animated foreign pickups in the same two-week span so they're guaranteed to kill each others' profits, but yeesh. Shaun looks good but very kiddie, and Underdogs doesn't even look kiddie. American Ultra could break out, but I see breaking out for that one being $45m or so - it's Lionsgate, after all, if it's not Hunger Games or Divergent they don't know how to sell it. Agent 47 will do between $30-40 domestic in a best-case scenario. And I know nothing about two of the three movies coming out on the last week of August, an historically weak weekend, so they're DOA already.
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Jul 30, 2015 04:07
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MeinPanzer posted:I agree; Ghost Protocol only made $30m opening weekend, and although that was in December, I don't think that will necessarily translate into more than $55m opening weekend for Rogue Nation. I've seen a lot of people say this, it's not exactly true. Paramount got cold feet when Sherlock Holmes 2 was announced for the same day as MI:4 and did a platform release for Ghost Protocol, so its opening weekends can't really be used as a guideline here. MI:4 was on about 400 large-format and IMAX screens in limited release on the weekend of 12/16 and did $13m, then expanded out to wide release on the 23rd (aka Christmas), where it did the $30m (with a decent chunk of demand burned off from the limited release). It was also one of eight new releases in that time period, so that certainly affected its demand - it was up against Holmes, Tintin, Dragon Tattoo and War Horse, among others. Of course MI:5 could do $36m this weekend and prove me wrong, but the numbers don't seem to point to less than $40m.
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Jul 30, 2015 13:21
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I liquified most of my portfolio yesterday and poured it into a Fant4stic short. I'm up $1.6 million so far.
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Aug 8, 2015 18:03
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Shorted Fant4stic and Fan4stic 2, bought as much Batman as I could make work, shorted Underdogs hardcore because the Weinsteins dropped its release date a week before launch, Resident Evil 6 and Hansel and Gretel Witch Hunters 2 doubled in the past few days, and I picked up Nemesis after it was announced WB picked up a new script. Up another $2m today. Took a lot of work, though, and I probably shouldn't play so much at work, but it's getting results!
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Aug 11, 2015 03:11
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Why the gently caress is Mission: Impossible 6 sinking like a stone? It's guaranteed to make $400m overseas. It's going to get made. It's going to make some drat money. And yet it's down 16 percent and I'm down $1m+ today.
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Aug 18, 2015 21:36
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Efexeye posted:What a bunch of garbage releases this week; it's like January Strikes Back There's nothing worthwhile until September 18. Maybe Sept. 11 if The Visit is any good (early buzz says Shayalaman actually pulled it off, but I'll wait for it to come out before I'm fully convinced), but Black Mass and Everest IMAX on Sept. 18 is the light in the low-key low-budget darkness right now.
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Aug 26, 2015 00:29
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Crossed the $100m in fake money mark today! Couldn't have done it without this group making me gain interest in the game again. Also couldn't have done it without shorting every single movie coming out this weekend. I made a million off Paranormal when it went from $22 to $29 and now I get to make even more as it goes from $29 to $22!
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Oct 23, 2015 21:34
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Terrorist Fistbump posted:Congrats on joining the 9 digit club! What was your net worth when you started playing in this league? Somewhere in the 60s or low 70s? I'd been a member since the late 00s but never checked more than once a month before now.
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Oct 24, 2015 01:03
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Gotta say, randomly picking up The Disaster Artist a few weeks ago when it cost $2 because I like The Room was truly a good idea. 1,307 percent gain and counting.
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Dec 9, 2015 03:55
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Pet Rock Band posted:the NominOptions are live for Picture, Screenplay(s), and Director. They are still unadjusted/all at $5.00 (nominees get like $9-13 or something, ones that don't get $0), I don't know how much longer till they start adjusting for activity or whatever, but a lot of them are free money if you just pay a little attention to the Oscar buzz yeah I grabbed the two or three guaranteed nominations for each category, it's a free $100k for every one you get right (for instance, steve jobs has no shot at best picture but, based off current standards, will see nominations for fassbender and sorkin)
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Dec 10, 2015 20:41
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The Cellar aka Valencia aka 10 Cloverfield Lane is at 87 percent growth today. (Really glad I was up late enough to see everyone flip a poo poo over the trailer and pick it up.  )
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Jan 16, 2016 00:18
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I maxed out Zootopia the day it IPO'd at $40. I'm pretty happy right now.
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Mar 5, 2016 07:04
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Anyone know why Deadpool 2 might be cratering? It's gone from $225 to $203 in the last 48 hours. Also, Zootopia has a blockbuster warrant up today for $225m, and it looks like it's on pace to top that by the middle of this weekend. In other words, free money.
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Mar 23, 2016 18:12
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I've been riding that thing since it IPO'd in the 40s and it has been very profitable. Nothing pays off in HSX like investing in animation, they always launch really low and almost always overperform
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May 17, 2016 06:45
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I just passed the $300m mark, and after the last few derivatives paid out, I'm sitting on $32m. And that's after I loaded up on Fast 9. Thoughts on where to stick it?
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Oct 5, 2016 02:46
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| # ¿ Apr 29, 2024 15:55 |
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If Moana is Frozen/Zootopia levels of good it will be unstoppable, but it's coming out in a fairly crowded market. And don't forget Frozen and Zoot ended their four-week runs at $219m and $255m before going on to do $400m and $340m respectively, their success came off the long tail runs they had.
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Oct 16, 2016 00:31
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