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PawParole posted:https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/01/06/ethiopia-benishangul-gumuz-violence-gerd-western-front/ Is FP heavily neocon? The second story I see on their front page reads quote:It Happened Here
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Jan 10, 2021 13:43
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Tuna-Fish posted:And even the "needlessly" might have to be in quotes. When you are in power because the army likes you, because they feel you are one of them, it's a good idea to make sure they keep feeling that way. Sometimes that means putting yourself in harm's way. And sometimes the rebels just get really lucky. Would be interesting to know the nature of the injuries. Small arms fire? Shrapnel? I wonder if rebels targeted him or if he was just near an IED.
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Apr 23, 2021 16:11
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Beelzebufo posted:I'm wondering if people more versed in this area could answer a question for me. Given what we're seeing in India, among other places, right now, I'm wondering if the relatively low covid infections/deaths by population we are seeing in big chunks of Africa is just a reporting issue, or if maybe the variants haven't spread there yet. Stories out of India seem to indicate that this wave is going really bad in rural as well as urban areas, so I was wondering if this means there's the potential for an African surge coming in the near future. I think an African surge is inevitable. Why it hasn't yet occurred I couldn't tell you: how covid spreads on a population level doesn't seem well understood.
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Apr 29, 2021 23:32
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Well wellquote:KAMPALA (Reuters) - Uganda has detected the Indian variant of the novel coronavirus, igniting fears the East African nation could suffer a resurgence of cases just when its outbreak has waned, a senior health official said on Friday.
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Apr 30, 2021 12:33
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PawParole posted:In other news the government of Ethiopia just declared the Oromo Liberation Front a terrorist group and disappeared its political leader. I'm very ignorant about Ethiopia and Africa as a whole, but I'm trying to learn. What happened in 2005 and why is that relevant to today?
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May 5, 2021 16:13
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piL posted:We are very interested in both natural beauty and world industry. Bridges, ports, rail lines, roads about tank width and larger, escarpments, mountain passes, you know, that sort of stuff. I'm interested in these things irl and I think it could get me in trouble someday when I get caught with binoculars looking at a port in a foreign country.
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Jun 24, 2021 18:54
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I'd love to see a group photo of these tourists.
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Jun 24, 2021 21:47
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KinkyJohn posted:They've also just looted a blood bank, petrol bombed hospitals and water tankers and are firing automatic rifles at ambulances. It rings true to me (as just some guy in North America, but I did at least work in SA for a few months) that parts of the ANC are instigating this. Either to make Ramaphosa look bad or to somehow apply pressure to get Zuma off (no idea if this is possible) or as a sort of lesson: this is what happens when you convict someone of corruption, better not do it to anyone else.
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Jul 13, 2021 00:16
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What does LP stand for here?
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Jul 26, 2021 19:31
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What's the deal with Afar? They're attacking neighbouring groups, but unrelated to the original war involving Tigray? Or is it actually part of the same conflict? I cannot yet keep these groups separate in my head.
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Jul 28, 2021 10:53
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So Somalis blockaded the road. They did this because they're getting hosed up by Afar. Blockading the road puts pressure on the central government, who could in turn pressure Afar to ease up on the Somalis. Is that basically it?
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Jul 28, 2021 17:01
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Those demands seem pretty reasonable E: I guess since "invaders" here means the central government it could be a hard sell Count Roland fucked around with this message at 16:59 on Jul 30, 2021 |
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Jul 30, 2021 16:56
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Gimmick Account posted:Sub-Saharan Africa is not exactly my area of expertise, so I have little to offer to this thread other than my heartfelt thanks to Saladman and company for keeping us updated. Please don't mistake the silence after your super-informative posts as disinterest! I'm checking in once or twice a day, and I'm sure others are as well. Same
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Aug 6, 2021 00:15
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omnatigray.org is a very slick website. Demands for Biden-Harris, twitter campaigns, a spot to "report disinformation", a call to stop the genocide in Tigray, etc.
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Aug 6, 2021 18:02
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PawParole posted:it’s complicated, but the Ethiopian army is made up mostly of non-Abyssinian conscripts who are not eager to die to restore (shewan) amharan hegemony, which is why they keep surrendering. Wait, Abyssinia is the name of the biblical empire. They're not an ethnic group-- are they?
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Aug 8, 2021 01:02
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PawParole posted:https://www.reuters.com/world/ethiopias-tigray-forces-seek-new-military-alliance-2021-08-11/?utm_source=reddit.com This seems not good for the central government.
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Aug 12, 2021 11:26
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PawParole posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/abdisaor...%5Es1_&ref_url= loving lol. Credit to the BBC for having a service in a language I hadn't heard of until a few months ago.
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Aug 14, 2021 18:30
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So what if anything is the African Union doing about the war in Ethiopia?
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Aug 24, 2021 12:42
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Vivian Darkbloom posted:https://twitter.com/TelegraphWorld/status/1434532668910325769 The Telegraph is a major UK newspaper. They're more reliable than a random twitter account, at least.
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Sep 6, 2021 11:25
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Are international journalists allowed to report from Ethiopia? I find the lack of reliable sources to be odd given the scale and international character of this conflict. I basically only see Tigray get mentioned but little mention of Oromia or the OLA.
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Sep 12, 2021 23:41
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fez_machine posted:The internet/vulture capital completely gutted foreign affairs reporting. The old model of thousands of smaller newspapers paying for agency/news wire reporting no longer exists and there's been belt tightening on international reporters all around for the last 15 years. I see what you're saying, but international reporting of conflicts absolutely still exists, even for the less-sexy conflicts. BBC and Al-Jazeera come immediately to mind, while wire news services have people coming reports from all over. Even in Syria outlets would take about "unconfirmed reports" based on some YouTube video, but in Ethiopia I don't see even that.
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Sep 13, 2021 18:06
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Earlier this year the Ethiopian government was making similar statements about people defending themselves, though I don't think it was the capital. I don't know how possible it is for the capital to call or even be directly attacked-- I still find this conflict quite opaque and confusing to be honest
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Nov 3, 2021 01:31
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i say swears online posted:that 1% though, they've read the wiki articles and know Finally, I am the 1%.
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Nov 12, 2021 20:17
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What do other countries (or rebel groups) in the region think about Addis falling? May they intervene in one way or another?
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Nov 21, 2021 14:09
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PawParole posted:https://twitter.com/Sanyiikoo_Oromo/status/1462412250799562764 Hoooooly poo poo
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Nov 22, 2021 18:33
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Has that video been verified? I don't find anything like it from major outlets. I find it difficult to navigate information for this conflict, I find there are very few sources and even fewer that she very trustworthy.
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Nov 22, 2021 23:30
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V. Illych L. posted:the obvious drone footage means that it can't be very old and they're holding aloft what looks sort of what the TPLF flag if i squint, but that's mostly the red+yellow/orange triangle shape which i suppose is a fairly general design and could also belong to other groups My thought was the numbers could be inflated by the TDFs own members. A long shot, I think, but I wish there was some independent journalist there that could confirm.
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Nov 23, 2021 00:15
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Grape posted:Doesn't that bring him into heavily ethnic Oromo territory? Or is the idea that Kenya is a good place to escape to? Abiy is himself Omoro so fleeing to Omoro territory makes sense?
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Nov 24, 2021 02:03
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I came across a book on Amazon the other day. Its about the conflict in the DRC during the 90s. I only recently learned how heavily Rwanda was involved in the conflict and that it is important to understand this conflict to understand the region today. Can anyone comment on the book? Or recommend another book (or podcast) on the subject?
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Dec 6, 2021 00:41
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Charlz Guybon posted:How is the war on Ethiopia going? The war in Europe is taking up all the war reporting. The cease fire seems to be holding. Tigray says they're leaving territory they're occupying in the Afar region. However there are still desperate food shortages in the Tigray region. There is a bit of aid getting through but only a fraction of what is needed. I don't know what the problem is there.
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Apr 26, 2022 13:38
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Grouchio posted:Last thing I had heard Abiy Ahmed was personally leading a counter-offensive around Dec/Jan. How'd that go? Went pretty well. Remember how the rebels were in spitting distance of the capital? Well it seems like they overstretched their lines; I wonder if the government let this happen on purpose. Anyway, the government rolled up the rebel advance and pushed them far back from the capital. In late Dec Tigray forces sued for peace and the government indicated it wouldn't re-take the rebel capital. In march the government declared its own ceasefire, ostensibly for humanitarian reasons. Tigray forces just announced they were withdrawing from neighbouring Afar. The humanitarian situation still seems pretty dire but it doesn't look like war is going to break out again in the short term. No idea if there's potential for lasting peace.
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Apr 27, 2022 01:04
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Also re: "mild misrule" of the Derg, isn't that then Ethiopia had its awful famines?
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Oct 25, 2022 16:33
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On another subject, I recently read Dancing in the Glory of Monsters by Jason Stearns and it really helped me understand both the civil war in Congo as well as the Rwandan genocide by putting them in a political/historical context. I'd love something similar for Ethiopia if anyone has suggestions.
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Oct 25, 2022 16:39
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Elyv posted:Thanks for posting updates. Same, it's appreciated
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Oct 27, 2022 13:35
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On the other hand: 'foreign power supplying equipment which ends up being used by baddies" is quite common. What would be interesting to know here is if France does indeed supply that truck to Burkina Faso, and also what militias they support. If info isn't available for Burkina Faso then looking at neighboring countries where France is also Hector involved could provide clues.
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Jan 24, 2023 21:29
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KOTEX GOD OF BLOOD posted:does russia do literally anything nonmilitary in africa? i haven't seen any FDI by them whatsoever, they don't even loan shark like the chinese This is a good question
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Feb 7, 2023 19:43
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Is it more of a focal point? The outside world still views it largely as a backwards place. A place to extract resources from, a place for big companies to do business, maybe host a military base. Not a place of equals though, not a place to be respected. The internal conflicts of the continent I think are still mostly that, internal. The Ukrainian war has involved much of the rest of the world. But wars in Ethiopia, Congo and now Sudan struggle to attract outside attention. I think eventually this will change but it will take some country or region in Africa to become a lot more rich/organized/militarily strong. With rapid economic growth that could happen pretty quickly but I don't think we're there yet.
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Apr 19, 2023 21:12
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ECOWAS threatening military action is interesting. The group has intervened in the region several times before in response to coups. However, there have been several coups in the region in the last three years. Plus most of these countries are already fighting rebellions and/or rampant banditry/lawlessness. It's hard for me to picture Nigeria sending and effective force to Niger when they can't control multiple parts of their own country. Maybe ECOWAS is trying to get France or the US to do some of the heavy lifting for them.
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Aug 1, 2023 19:55
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Yeah you're probably right on that Is either France or the US in good enough shape to consider an intervention? I think the US is busy enough with Ukraine/Russia. This is more of France's thing, not sure about their capabilities or appetite these days.
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Aug 3, 2023 01:25
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Owling Howl posted:Yeah I doubt freedom or self-determination is a priority to the military juntas and it doesn't seem like they particularly care about having the funds to feed people. I'm curious about this too. Militarily at least France fights, and gets others to fight, islamist militants in the region. This carries with it the standard civilian casualties, cosying up to brutal local militias, and general lawlessness that comes from distant powers being involved in local power struggles. But the junta is saying they'll keep doing all this. They cite the fight v islamist groups as a reason for their coup. So... I don't actually know what the grievances are against France, specifically. Aside from colonizer = bad, which is fine, but loses some oomph when you go to Wagner instead.
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Aug 3, 2023 18:18
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