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Arkane posted:No on SCOTUS retirement is a great bet iyam, should collapse Monday after AMK doesn't retire I went for this ("Kennedy is next to leave the supreme court: No"), and sold it today for pretty good money. Thanks! Only wish I had had more funds available to invest in that one.
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Jun 26, 2017 23:41
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welp there goes healthcare vote along with my shares. I really thought McConnell would pull it off.
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Jun 27, 2017 21:20
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Same. The tip on the SCOTUS vacancy made up for it for me at least. It's never too much of a bummer when losing your PredictIt bet means an actual good political outcome happened though.
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Jun 27, 2017 21:54
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Same and I've been playing it a bit of "if something bad happens, at least I'm getting paid".
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Jun 27, 2017 22:07
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Sorry. I couldn't hear what you said about scotus and health care over all of the recent action in Mongolia.
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Jun 28, 2017 01:54
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Merlot Brougham posted:Sorry. I couldn't hear what you said about scotus and health care over all of the recent action in Mongolia. what's 538 say
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Jun 29, 2017 04:39
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Is there a way to sign up for email alerts when new markets are posted? The OP suggests there is, but I cannot find it.
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Jun 29, 2017 13:08
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theres a will theres moe posted:Is there a way to sign up for email alerts when new markets are posted? The OP suggests there is, but I cannot find it. There's a daily email that says which new markets were added
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Jun 29, 2017 22:12
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theres a will theres moe posted:Is there a way to sign up for email alerts when new markets are posted? The OP suggests there is, but I cannot find it. write an API scraper bot that polls the "new markets" endpoint and sends you an email when it sees one 
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Jul 4, 2017 19:20
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Lutha Mahtin posted:write an API scraper bot that polls the "new markets" endpoint and sends you an email when it sees one FWIW they explicitly say that if they catch anyone using bots they'll ban your account.
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Jul 4, 2017 21:29
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RIP BCRA and about $90.
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Jul 18, 2017 03:42
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I only bought a few bucks assuming despite the odds Mitch would find a way to kill us all. Oh well I guess.
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Jul 18, 2017 15:42
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Rex-Goliath posted:FWIW they explicitly say that if they catch anyone using bots they'll ban your account. did you miss the part where i said "use the api". predictit has a public api
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Jul 20, 2017 03:21
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Yes I did 
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Jul 20, 2017 04:09
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So is B6 the way to go here, or does a MTP not count? https://www.predictit.org/Market/3414/When-will-the-Senate-vote-on-the-Better-Care-Reconciliation-Act e: B4, not B6. Though if a MTP doesn't count then B6 would probably be the way to go. Jedi Knight Luigi has issued a correction as of 16:40 on Jul 25, 2017 |
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Jul 25, 2017 16:24
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Okay, so Im a HFT trader newb and programming newb, but how likely is it that bots are being used on this site? As soon as Trump or Pence tweet, the trades move instantly. So they're bots, right? How many of you use two accounts so you can hold both yes and no positions? I wish I was.
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Jul 25, 2017 18:04
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Nf3 posted:Okay, so Im a HFT trader newb and programming newb, but how likely is it that bots are being used on this site? As soon as Trump or Pence tweet, the trades move instantly. So they're bots, right? I don't have two accounts but it isn't unprecedented. I think it is unlikely that bots are being used, but macros probably are and many people (like me) queue up buy or sell orders and just stare at Twitter. Click when the alert comes and it appears pretty instant. If bots were being used you wouldn't see weird response times like on POTUS sometimes.
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Jul 25, 2017 18:22
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Hufflepuff or bust! posted:I don't have two accounts but it isn't unprecedented. I think it is unlikely that bots are being used, but macros probably are and many people (like me) queue up buy or sell orders and just stare at Twitter. Click when the alert comes and it appears pretty instant. If bots were being used you wouldn't see weird response times like on POTUS sometimes. When you say queue up, do you have it set to like having the information in and just being ready to hit submit as soon as a tweet alert comes in? I too have turned on twitter tweet alert notifications for VP and RDJT on chrome extension and mobile, but I wanted to know if Id be fast enough to sell or buy in the event of the tweet before the price adjusts too far.
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Jul 25, 2017 19:05
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i own a lot of this healthcare bill to pass and by a lot, closing in on 30,000 shares across the various markets hopefully these scurrilous senators can get it done
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Jul 26, 2017 18:07
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I've got 100 shares in B5. Hopefully it'll spike later this week and I can buy a case of beer.
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Jul 26, 2017 18:11
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I'm pretty sure B5 is nearly worthless
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Jul 26, 2017 19:34
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So all they have to do is pass any bill? I don't even know how these markets can claim a result. Something is going pass even just a blank bill that says fix it in reconciliation. Also laughing at the tweet market when Trump deleted the tweet with Senate in it. Elephanthead has issued a correction as of 20:01 on Jul 26, 2017 |
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Jul 26, 2017 19:56
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Somebody is selling a lot of NO on CLINTON.FEDCHARGES.2017 good time to get it under 90 if reality is still a thing
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Jul 26, 2017 21:13
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The Senate will almost certainly vote on something by the end of this week because of the special rules whatever that McCain dragged himself to DC to pass. There is no guarantee they'll be able to figure their poo poo out and actually pass something though.
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Jul 26, 2017 21:35
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theres a will theres moe posted:Somebody is selling a lot of NO on CLINTON.FEDCHARGES.2017 forever lmao at the folks who buy yes on poo poo like this
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Jul 27, 2017 05:01
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Homeless Friend posted:forever lmao at the folks who buy yes on poo poo like this The comments section is literally insane.
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Jul 27, 2017 05:14
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that market was great during the emails investigation. the true believers poured money into Yes in anticipation of every event where charges might be announced, and gloated endlessly in the comments. then comey or whoever would announce "lol shes fine", the price would collapse instantly, and I would sell my Nos back to the rubes for nickels on what they paid for em 
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Jul 27, 2017 14:25
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Is there a Kid Rock market?
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Jul 27, 2017 15:38
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Just bought some cheap Murcowski yes. go lotto.
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Jul 27, 2017 16:47
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theres a will theres moe posted:Somebody is selling a lot of NO on CLINTON.FEDCHARGES.2017  it's down all the way to 83
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Jul 27, 2017 17:52
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Elephanthead posted:Is there a Kid Rock market? there is and I may have bet too heavily on HYPERNORMALIZATION vs Marketing Stunt also got too comfortable this week with trump and pence twitter. Ooof. Goodbye internet money.
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Jul 27, 2017 20:55
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The twitter markets are dominated by people with scripts and big rear end spreadsheets that dedicate a ton of time to it. Don't bother loving with them.
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Jul 27, 2017 20:57
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bawfuls posted:The twitter markets are dominated by people with scripts and big rear end spreadsheets that dedicate a ton of time to it. Don't bother loving with them. You can often jump on a "safe" 85 cent no a day out from the end, but then weeks like this one can sort of gently caress up weeks of profit so yeah.
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Jul 27, 2017 21:07
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My Murkowskis almost doubled but I am greedy cause no one can resist the Trumpster.
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Jul 28, 2017 02:14
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mannnnnnnnnnnn, I got hosed in the healthcare market tonight ended up crawling away with a profit, but I was like 18k in the green at one point, and finished +2k very reminiscent of election night!
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Jul 28, 2017 08:05
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I bet against BCRA when McCain was hospitalized, but stood my ground figuring Heller or someone else in a purple state would refuse to play along. That outcome was, uh, unexpected.
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Jul 28, 2017 08:19
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Profit by month and shares traded
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Jul 28, 2017 17:17
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Arkane posted:Profit by month and shares traded holy cannoli
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Jul 28, 2017 20:37
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Arkane, my boy. Nice Job.
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Jul 28, 2017 20:54
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Arkane posted:Profit by month and shares traded What were the Feb '17 cash cows?
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Jul 28, 2017 22:37
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