|
thoughts? most everything here is in the short-to-medium term but i'm kinda happy with my portfolio where it's at through september 1 at least. i'm prepared to cash out a few of them just for more day-trading options since things are too crazy not to bernmentum is loving me, i think i need to hold that into january 
|
#
¿
Aug 22, 2015 18:17
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ Apr 29, 2024 08:38 |
|
|
my portfolio hasn't seriously changed in a month; I bought romney shares at .05 in the event of a multi-round convention same with biden; i think out of everyone i'm ready to sell him the fastest
|
|
#
¿
Aug 22, 2015 21:16
|
|
|
lol bidenrun shot up from .51 to .58 this afternoon and there's still like 78 shares left at that price. i'm out
|
|
#
¿
Aug 23, 2015 03:33
|
|
|
NotWearingPants posted:Isn't gambling on a presidential election a federal crime? gambling sites are people, my friend
|
|
#
¿
Aug 23, 2015 05:35
|
|
|
holy poo poo, biden at 73/30? lol god dammit
|
|
#
¿
Aug 25, 2015 04:00
|
|
|
I'm still a little exposed on No shares for Bernie winning Iowa and they took another nosedive again; googled "iowa poll" and sure 'nuff, the Register released one not two hours ago
|
|
#
¿
Aug 30, 2015 03:02
|
|
|
Yoshifan823 posted:Would they be pro- or anti-Iran deal? I assume pro, because that means more oil, but they're pure evil, and I can't pretend to know how that works. Pro. Big Oil is about the only American industry that can regularly tell Israel to get hosed.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 30, 2015 04:42
|
|
|
I just sold all my Walker NO shares at .85, someone put up over 100 shares at several cents above the next-best offer. That just freed up a bunch for day-trading, though I still think Jeb has a ways to plummet.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 2, 2015 05:10
|
|
|
The Romney YES spread is 10/5 now, lol The primary is such an absolute clusterfuck that I actually don't think that's a bad price.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 2, 2015 19:16
|
|
|
https://www.predictit.org/Home/SingleOption?marketId=1559#data1 Jeb is already underwater in the RCP average and he's had a bad week. NO should win out in the end and steadily trend toward 100% throughout the month imo, y'all jump in on it now.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 3, 2015 17:25
|
|
|
We're two weeks from the debate, I have no problem taking both those bets for at least until the day of the debate.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 4, 2015 02:08
|
|
|
tinstaach posted:I like the No side of Jeb! polling below 10% on September 30, at least in the short term. There's a CNN poll from 8/16 that has him at 13, once that goes away his RCP average will be down to 8. Plus Trump's probably going to make him cry at the debate. This is why I'm holding, I was able to buy in at 51. I'm prepared to dump if he does something good on Colbert tomorrow, but that's unlikely imo.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 7, 2015 18:39
|
|
|
PredictIt now has Bernie Sanders favored to win Iowa if y'all want to stock up on NO shares. I have Bernie at NO at .71 and have to hold on probably until December 
|
|
#
¿
Sep 7, 2015 23:37
|
|
|
I'd say that's a good buy around November of next year to sell in January.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 8, 2015 00:11
|
|
|
Concerned Citizen posted:I don't think so. it's a joke
|
|
#
¿
Sep 8, 2015 05:15
|
|
|
I think Boehner would rather break the Hastert Rule than give in to the crazies and shut everything down again. Just bought big into NO.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 11, 2015 03:05
|
|
|
The crazies were more important last Congress, but this round has more Republicans period, therefore Boehner's buffer is larger.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 11, 2015 03:38
|
|
|
^^ You actually think someone other than Mr. T will attack Carson?DaveWoo posted:So, who had Rick Perry in the "first to drop out" pool? I, at one point, owned 152 shares of Perry YES 
|
|
#
¿
Sep 12, 2015 07:07
|
|
|
I bought about 50 shutdown NO shares at $.51 and I'm keeping them. McConnell, Cornyn and Boehner are publicly against a shutdown and like I said on the previous page, Boehner has a larger buffer between the goal line and the crazies because of 2014 gains.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 15, 2015 07:24
|
|
|
I can't stomach the volatility, y'all really think the YES will bump up toward the deadline despite all signs pointing toward NO? edit goddamn that's a good sell price, but an eight-cent differential on the buy/sell may be too much for me. i say swears online has issued a correction as of 08:36 on Sep 15, 2015 |
|
#
¿
Sep 15, 2015 08:19
|
|
|
Okay, Bernie winning Iowa: I'm sitting at $.71 NO and I can currently sell at $.40. I should definitely sit on this, right? Hillary's bound for a rebound, conventional wisdom says.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 15, 2015 08:28
|
|
|
I can't see Santorum dropping out before Iowa. It would be too sad.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 16, 2015 22:15
|
|
|
Oh, this is cool.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 17, 2015 22:15
|
|
|
JEB! is still trading way higher than what should be the case.fronz posted:I bought 100 shares that Rubio was going to win the debate for some reason. Luckily they were like 12 cents. I'm hoping there's a bump when the next poll comes out so I can unload them. When the next poll comes out, the market will close.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 18, 2015 18:48
|
|
|
GREXIT is still my only bad decision to date. I won big on the Greek Referendum and dove straight into grexit without thinking; bought at .43 and sold at .19. It's at .08 right now.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 18, 2015 18:50
|
|
|
fronz posted:How do you get that from the rules here? I can only read that as that it closes on the 23rd. Ah, you're playing that market until its dying hours. That's what I meant anyway; it'll only take a few days until the post-debate polls come out and it'll close. I guess you'll see some weird swings between now and then.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 18, 2015 18:54
|
|
|
Because of the reasons I detailed upthread. I'm still in big on NO.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 19, 2015 02:30
|
|
|
fronz posted:It's only 80 cents to buy that Walker will not be the next to drop out (Yes is selling for 38). If that price goes down some more it'd be a steal, no way Kochs give up on him so early. There's a Wisconsin debate in November. Someone else will drop out before that; Walker NO is a sure bet. I just got back in on Biden NO 
|
|
#
¿
Sep 20, 2015 19:33
|
|
|
Biden NO down to .32, free money imo
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 02:13
|
|
|
the government better not loving shut down i swear to god i still don't think it'll happen; if you're on the YES side i'd dump after it goes above .55 or .60
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 17:27
|
|
|
Do Not Resuscitate posted:Got a nice ride out of my Biden YES so I flipped it into Shutdown YES at 52 cents. This thing is going down the wire, so I figure the longer I hold on, the better. I plan on cashing out on that final afternoon at whatever I can get for my shares. i'd cash out the day before; things tend to get leaked and nothing ever actually comes down to the wire on CSPAN
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 17:31
|
|
|
pathetic little tramp posted:Biden NO is climbing, I think I'm gonna sidle on out of that market with a pretty profit instead of trusting my gut that he's not running. thanks for the heads up, i'm starting to dump at .45 and with that trade, i'm now in the black since i signed up lol
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 18:54
|
|
|
That's exactly what's happening. I sold all my,no shares but two at .45, then refreshed and 100 more .45 shares were available so I got out completely.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 19:11
|
|
|
Bush NO was about 60% of my portfolio but I've been slowly liquidating them at a small profit to get more feisty in betting.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 21:07
|
|
|
oh my loving god he dropped out
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 21:27
|
|
|
tinstaach posted:Man, I thought Huckabee was the worst, but Walker just cost me 30 bucks. gently caress him. i do a lot of bets that are on other sides of the seesaw between getting money and real-life benefit; for instance, I have money on Bernie not winning Iowa. If he wins, I lose money but I'll still be happy.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 21:34
|
|
|
Necc0 posted:I had 70 shares on him not winning the primary I had over 120, bought at .80 and sold at .84 months ago lol
|
|
#
¿
Sep 21, 2015 21:42
|
|
|
I just bought into Biden NO when I saw it was down to .43 again, then I read the comments, then I freaked the gently caress out and came here. I think I'm going to hold on. If they close the market because of this poo poo I'm cashing out and am done with the site; Necc0 is correct in that it'll ruin their reputation.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 22, 2015 05:26
|
|
|
platzapS posted:Is there any rhyme or reason to the way RealClearPolitics updates its polling average? I'm pretty sure they have an approved list of polling outfits.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 22, 2015 05:37
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ Apr 29, 2024 08:38 |
|
|
it seems PI is slightly falling for this technicality bullshit
|
|
#
¿
Sep 22, 2015 08:51
|
|